Diroximel Fumarate in Patients with Relapsing-Remitting Multiple Sclerosis: NEDA-3 After Re-Baselining in the Phase 3 EVOLVE-MS-1 Study.

INTRODUCTION: Diroximel fumarate (DRF) and dimethyl fumarate (DMF) are orally administered fumarate disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) for multiple sclerosis (MS). The safety, tolerability, and exploratory efficacy of DRF were evaluated in the phase 3 EVOLVE-MS-1 study. No Evidence of Disease Activity (NEDA-3) is a composite efficacy endpoint used in clinical trials for MS defined as no relapse, no 24-week confirmed disability progression (CDP), no new/newly enlarging T2 lesions, and no new gadolinium-enhancing lesions. As NEDA outcomes in studies may be confounded by initial disease activity, the objective of this analysis was to evaluate NEDA-3 in EVOLVE-MS-1 for newly enrolled patients and patients who were re-baselined after approximately 7 weeks. METHODS: Patients entered EVOLVE-MS-1 as either newly enrolled or having completed the 5-week phase 3 EVOLVE-MS-2 study of DRF and DMF. Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) was performed at baseline before each study (approx. 7 weeks apart) and at weeks 48 and 96 in EVOLVE-MS-1. Therefore, patients entering from EVOLVE-MS-2 were re-baselined after approximately 7 weeks. NEDA-3 outcomes on DRF are reported for prior DRF, prior DMF, and de novo patient groups. RESULTS: Of 1057 patients in EVOLVE-MS-1, 239 (22.6%) had rolled over from receiving DRF in EVOLVE-MS-2 ("prior DRF"), 225 (21.3%) had rolled over from receiving DMF in EVOLVE-MS-2 ("prior DMF"), and 593 (56.1%) were newly enrolled ("de novo"). At week 48, Kaplan-Meier estimates of NEDA-3 were 72.3% (prior DRF), 72.1% (prior DMF), and 62.1% (de novo); at week 96, estimates were 50.2% (prior DRF), 48.2% (prior DMF), and 36.5% (de novo). CONCLUSIONS: In EVOLVE-MS-1, after re-baselining at approximately 7 weeks, approximately half of DRF-treated patients achieved NEDA-3 at week 96, compared with 36.5% of patients who were not re-baselined. Re-baselining may be useful for assessing efficacy of DMTs by mitigating the influence of disease activity prior to the onset of efficacy. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATIONS: NCT03093324 (EVOLVE-MS-2); NCT02634307 (EVOLVE-MS-1).

Relapse recovery in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis: An analysis of the CombiRx dataset.

BACKGROUND: Clinical relapses are the defining feature of relapsing forms of multiple sclerosis (MS), but relatively little is known about the time course of relapse recovery. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to investigate the time course of and patient factors associated with the speed and success of relapse recovery in people with relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS). METHODS: Using data from CombiRx, a large RRMS trial (clinicaltrials.gov identifier NCT00211887), we measured the time to recovery from the first on-trial relapse. We used Kaplan-Meier survival analyses and Cox regression models to investigate the association of patient factors with the time to unconfirmed and confirmed relapse recovery. RESULTS: CombiRx included 1008 participants. We investigated 240 relapses. Median time to relapse recovery was 111 days. Most recovery events took place within 1 year of relapse onset: 202 of 240 (84%) individuals recovered during follow-up, 161 of 202 (80%) by 180 days, and 189 of 202 (94%) by 365 days. Relapse severity was the only factor associated with relapse recovery. CONCLUSION: Recovery from relapses takes place up to approximately 1 year after the event. Relapse severity, but no other patient factors, was associated with the speed of relapse recovery. Our findings inform clinical practice and trial design in RRMS.

Remission of severe myasthenia gravis after autologous stem cell transplantation.

OBJECTIVE: Myasthenia gravis (MG) is an autoantibody-mediated neuromuscular junction disorder involving the acetylcholine receptors on the motor endplate. The safety and response to high-dose chemotherapy (HDIT) and autologous hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) were assessed in a patient with severe refractory MG. METHODS: As part of a pilot study of HDIT/HCT for patients with treatment-resistant autoimmune neurological disorders, a patient with severe refractory MG underwent treatment. After mobilization of hematopoietic stem cells with rituximab, prednisone, and G-CSF, the patient had HDIT consisting of carmustine, etoposide, cytarabine, melphalan, and rabbit antithymocyte globulin, followed by autologous HCT. The effect of treatment on the autoantibody to the acetylcholine receptor (AChR) was assessed. RESULTS: The patient had been diagnosed with AChR antibody-positive MG 14 years before HDIT/HCT and had failed thymectomy, therapeutic plasma exchange, and multiple immunomodulatory agents. The Myasthenia Gravis Foundation of America (MGFA) clinical classification was IVb before HDIT/HCT. She tolerated HDIT/HCT well and started to improve clinically within days of treatment. At both 1 and 2 years after HDIT/HCT, patients remained symptom-free. After HDIT/HCT, AChR-binding autoantibodies persisted, and the relative frequency of immune cell subtypes shifted. INTERPRETATION: HDIT/HCT induced a complete response of disease activity in a patient with severe refractory MG. This response may suggest that a cell-mediated etiology may be a significant contributing factor in refractory MG cases. A phase 2 clinical trial is warranted to establish if HDIT/HCT can be an effective therapy for severe refractory MG and to gain a further understanding of disease pathogenesis.

Threshold definitions for significant change on the timed 25-foot walk and nine-hole peg test in primary progressive multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The timed 25-foot walk (T25FW) and nine-hole peg test (NHPT) exhibit random variability in the short term. A threshold of ≥20% change from baseline has been used to indicate true disability change, but other threshold definitions may be better suited to exclude false and include true change events. The aim of this study was to use patient-level original trial data to investigate the short-term variation in T25FW and NHPT, and to compare its extent with disability change at 12-month follow-up in people with primary progressive multiple sclerosis (PPMS). METHODS: We used original patient-level data from PROMISE, a large PPMS trial. In this trial, three separate T25FW and NHPT measurements were performed 1 week apart during screening. We used these repeated measures to describe the extent of short-term variation. We used binary logistic regression models to investigate the association between screening characteristics and unacceptable short-term variation. RESULTS: The traditional 20% threshold excluded a reasonable number of false change events, while also yielding a large number of change events at follow-up. Increasing index values on the T25FW and NHPT were associated with higher short-term variation. CONCLUSIONS: The traditional ≥20% change threshold for the T25FW and NHPT represents a reasonable compromise between reducing the number of false change events and achieving the largest number of change events in people with PPMS. Our analyses inform the design of clinical trials in PPMS.

Association of age and inflammatory disease activity in the pivotal natalizumab clinical trials in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Focal inflammatory disease activity in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) diminishes with increasing age. Here we use patient-level data from randomised controlled trials (RCTs) of natalizumab treatment in RRMS to investigate the association of age and inflammatory disease activity. METHODS: We used patient-level data from the AFFIRM (natalizumab vs placebo in relapsing-remitting MS, NCT00027300) and SENTINEL (natalizumab plus interferon beta vs interferon beta in relapsing remitting MS, NCT00030966) RCTs. We determined the proportion of participants developing new T2 lesions, contrast-enhancing lesions (CELs) and relapses over 2 years of follow-up as a function of age, and investigated the association of age with time to first relapse using time-to-event analyses. RESULTS: At baseline, there were no differences between age groups in T2 lesion volume and number of relapses in the year before inclusion. In SENTINEL, older participants had a significantly lower number of CELs. During both trials, the number of new CELs and the proportion of participants developing new CELs were significantly lower in older age groups. The number of new T2 lesions and the proportion of participants with any radiological disease activity during follow-up were also lower in older age groups, especially in the control arms. CONCLUSIONS: Older age is associated with a lower prevalence and degree of focal inflammatory disease activity in treated and untreated RRMS. Our findings inform the design of RCTs, and suggest that patient age should be taken into consideration when deciding on immunomodulatory treatment in RRMS.

Longitudinal Changes in Cognitive Test Scores in Patients With Relapsing-Remitting Multiple Sclerosis: An Analysis of the DECIDE Dataset.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Cognitive impairment is a common and impactful symptom of relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS). Cognitive outcome measures are often used in cross-sectional studies, but their performance as longitudinal outcome measures in clinical trials is not widely researched. In this study, we used data from a large clinical trial to describe change on the Symbol Digit Modalities Test (SDMT) and the Paced Auditory Serial Addition Test (PASAT) over up to 144 weeks of follow-up. METHODS: We used the data set from DECIDE (clinicaltrials.gov identifier NCT01064401), a large randomized controlled RRMS trial to describe change on the SDMT and PASAT over 144 weeks of follow-up. We compared change on these cognitive outcomes with change on the timed 25-foot walk (T25FW), a well-established physical outcome measure. We investigated several definitions for clinically meaningful change: any change, 4-point change, 8-point change, and 20% change for the SDMT, any change, 4-point change, and 20% change for the PASAT, and 20% change for the T25FW. RESULTS: DECIDE included 1,814 trial participants. SDMT and PASAT scores steadily improved throughout follow-up: the SDMT from a mean 48.2 (SD, 16.1) points at baseline to 52.6 (SD 15.2) at 144 weeks and the PASAT from 47.0 (SD 11.3) at baseline to 50.0 (SD 10.8) at 144 weeks. This improvement in scores is most likely due to a practice effect. Throughout the trial, participants were more likely to experience improvement than worsening of their SDMT and PASAT performance, whereas the number of worsening events on the T25FW steadily increased. Changing the definition of clinically meaningful change for the SDMT and PASAT or using a 6-month confirmation changed the overall number of worsening or improvement events but did not affect the overall behavior of these measures. DISCUSSION: Our findings suggest that the SDMT and PASAT scores do not accurately reflect the steady cognitive decline that people with RRMS experience. Both outcomes show postbaseline increases in scores, which complicates the interpretation of these outcome measures in clinical trials. More research into the size of these changes is needed before recommending a general threshold for clinically meaningful longitudinal change.

Diabetic Retinopathy and Dementia Association, Beyond Diabetes Severity.

PURPOSE: To investigate whether associations between diabetic retinopathy (DR) and dementia and Alzheimer's disease (AD) remain significant after controlling for several measures of diabetes severity. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. METHODS: Adult Changes in Thought (ACT) is a prospective cohort study of adults aged ≥65 years, randomly selected and recruited from the membership rolls of Kaiser Permanente Washington, who are dementia free at enrollment and followed biennially until incident dementia. The ACT participants were included in this study if they had type 2 diabetes mellitus at enrollment or developed it during follow-up, and data were collected through September, 2018 (3516 person-years of follow-up). Diabetes was defined by ≥ 2 diabetes medication fills in 1 year. Diagnosis of DR was based on International Classification of Diseases Ninth and Tenth Revision codes. Estimates of microalbuminuria, long-term glycemia, and renal function from longitudinal laboratory records were used as indicators of diabetes severity. Alzheimer's disease and dementia were diagnosed using research criteria at expert consensus meetings. RESULTS: A total of 536 participants (median baseline age 75 [interquartile range 71-80], 54% women) met inclusion criteria. Significant associations between DR >5 years duration with dementia (hazard ratio 1.81 [95% CI 1.23, 2.65]) and AD (1.80 [1.15, 2.82]) were not altered by adjustment for estimates of microalbuminuria, long-term glycemia, and renal function (dementia: 1.69 [1.14, 2.50]; AD: 1.73 [1.10, 2.74]). CONCLUSIONS: Among people with type 2 diabetes, DR itself appears to be an important biomarker of dementia risk in addition to glycemia and renal complications.

The nine hole peg test as an outcome measure in progressive MS trials.

BACKGROUND: The nine-hole peg test (NHPT) is the outcome measure with the least change in secondary and primary progressive MS (SPMS and PPMS) trials. The Standard NHPT is defined as the average of four measurements, two in each hand. Little is known about the performance of alternative NHPT scoring methods as longitudinal outcome measures in progressive MS. Non-ambulatory people with progressive MS are now generally excluded from clinical trials, and there is little information on longitudinal NHPT change in this patient group. In this investigation, we used patient-level data from two large randomized controlled trials in progressive MS to explore alternative NHPT scoring methods and NHPT change in non-ambulatory people with progressive MS. METHODS: We used patient-level data from the ASCEND (SPMS, n = 889) and PROMISE (PPMS, n = 943) clinical trials to compare significant change on the Standard NHPT with the alternatives dominant hand (DH), non-dominant hand (NDH), and either hand (EH) NHPT in ambulatory and non-ambulatory trial participants. RESULTS: The Standard NHPT changed slowly and showed few worsening events, as did the DH and NDH alternatives. Using the EH NHPT resulted in a substantial increase of worsening events. Non-ambulatory trial participants with PPMS experienced more NHPT worsening than ambulatory participants, especially when using the EH NHPT. CONCLUSION: Using the EH NHPT yielded substantially more worsening events in people with progressive MS. Clinical trials in non-ambulatory people may be possible with the NHPT as the primary outcome measure. More research into the precision of these measures in this patient group is necessary.

The MSIS-29 and SF-36 as outcomes in secondary progressive MS trials.

BACKGROUND: Patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) are often used in clinical research, but little is known about their performance as longitudinal outcomes. METHODS: We used data from ASCEND, a large SPMS trial (n = 889), to investigate changes on the Short Form Health Survey 36 (SF-36 v2) and the Multiple Sclerosis Impact Scale (MSIS-29) over 2 years of follow-up. RESULTS: PROM scores changed little over the 2 years of follow-up. In contrast to physical disability measures, there was no consistent trend in PROM change: significant worsening occurred about as often as improvement. Using a 6-month confirmation reduced the number of both worsening and improvement events without altering their relative balance. There was no clear difference in worsening events in groups based on population characteristics, nor was there a noticeable effect using different thresholds for clinically significant change. CONCLUSION: We found little consistent change in MSIS-29 and SF-36 over 2 years of follow-up in people with SPMS. Our findings show a disconnect between disability worsening and PROM change in this population. Our findings raise caution about the use of these PROMs as primary outcome measures in SPMS trials and call for a critical reappraisal of the longitudinal use of these measures in SPMS trials.

The timed 25-foot walk is a more sensitive outcome measure than the EDSS for PPMS trials: an analysis of the PROMISE clinical trial dataset.

BACKGROUND: Clinical trials in primary progressive MS (PPMS) generally use the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) as their primary outcome measure, although different clinical outcomes may be more useful. Disability worsening in PPMS trials may be influenced by baseline factors, such as age, sex, and contrast-enhancing lesions. METHODS: We used the dataset of PROMISE, a large randomized controlled trial of glatiramer acetate (GA) versus placebo, to compare the clinical outcomes EDSS, timed 25-foot walk (T25FW), and nine-hole peg test (NHPT). We used Cox regression analyses to investigate the association of the baseline factors age, sex, treatment arm, contrast-enhancing lesions (CELs), and EDSS on the time to 3-month confirmed disability worsening (3MCDW) on the EDSS and the T25FW. RESULTS: PROMISE included 943 participants. Worsening on the T25FW or EDSS or occurred much more frequently than on the NHPT. Having CELs at baseline was associated with a shorter time to 3MCDW on both the EDSS and T25FW. An additional resampling experiment using the PROMISE dataset showed that increasing representation of participants with CELs at baseline increases the likelihood of having a positive trial result in favor of GA treatment. CONCLUSION: Our investigation suggests that the T25FW may be a more useful primary outcome measure than the EDSS in PPMS trials, and that its use may shorten clinical trials. Our findings on the impact of CELs at baseline on disability outcomes inform the critical appraisal of clinical trials in PPMS.

A double-blind, placebo-controlled, single-ascending-dose intravenous infusion study of rHIgM22 in subjects with multiple sclerosis immediately following a relapse.

Background: Recombinant human immunoglobulin M22 (rHIgM22) has promoted remyelination in animal models and was well tolerated in people with clinically stable multiple sclerosis. Objective: Safety/tolerability of a single rHIgM22 dose was investigated following an acute relapse and to determine whether this enhanced CNS/CSF concentrations. Methods: Adults (N = 27) with acute relapse were assigned to rHIgM22 (0.5 or 2.0 mg/kg) or placebo. Study included screening/steroid administration periods and 10 study visits over 6 months. rHIgM22 CSF concentrations were assessed on days 2 and 29. Pharmacokinetic and safety samples were taken for up to 60 days. Assessments included adverse events and other clinical measures. Brain magnetic resonance imaging was performed with/without gadolinium. Results: rHIgM22 CSF levels were consistent with dose-dependent concentration on both days 2 and 29. Infusion was generally well tolerated during an acute relapse. Immunogenicity was mild. Most adverse events did not appear to be dose dependent, were mild/moderate, and were events often associated with multiple sclerosis. Conclusion: Although limited by high variability and small sample size, the data suggest enhanced CNS uptake associated with a drop in CSF levels. This study demonstrated safety of an antibody directed to myelin and oligodendrocytes in the course of active demyelinating disease. Further research into rHIgM22 is warranted.ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT02398461 https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/study/NCT02398461?term=M22&draw=2&rank=8.

Efficacy and Safety Outcomes with Diroximel Fumarate After Switching from Prior Therapies or Continuing on DRF: Results from the Phase 3 EVOLVE-MS-1 Study.

INTRODUCTION: Diroximel fumarate (DRF) is an oral fumarate for relapsing multiple sclerosis (MS) with the same active metabolite as dimethyl fumarate (DMF). DRF has a safety/efficacy profile similar to DMF but with improved gastrointestinal (GI) tolerability and low (< 1%) treatment discontinuation due to GI adverse events (AEs). Efficacy and safety outcomes in patients who switched to DRF from other disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) have not been evaluated. METHODS: EVOLVE-MS-1 is an ongoing, 2-year, open-label, phase 3 study of DRF in adults with relapsing-remitting MS. Patients either entered as newly enrolled to DRF trials, or from the 5-week, randomized, head-to-head, phase 3 EVOLVE-MS-2 study of DRF and DMF. This analysis evaluated safety and GI tolerability in patients continuing on DRF (DRF-rollover) or switching from DMF (DMF-rollover) following EVOLVE-MS-2. Safety and efficacy were evaluated in a subset of newly enrolled patients who had received prior glatiramer acetate (GA; GA/DRF) or interferons (IFN; IFN/DRF) as their most recent DMT, prior to switching to DRF in EVOLVE-MS-1. RESULTS: As of September 1, 2020, 1057 patients were enrolled in EVOLVE-MS-1, including 166, 182, 239, and 225 patients in the GA/DRF, IFN/DRF, DRF-rollover, and DMF-rollover groups, respectively. Treatment discontinuation due to GI AEs was < 1% in all groups. GA/DRF and IFN/DRF patients experienced improvements from baseline in clinical and radiological efficacy outcomes, including significantly reduced annualized relapse rates. Rollover patients had low rates of new or recurrent GI AEs (DRF-rollover, 26.8%/4.2%; DMF-rollover, 27.1%/4.9%). CONCLUSION: After 2 years of DRF exposure, patients with prior GA, IFN, or fumarate treatment had safety outcomes consistent with previous fumarate studies. Efficacy in patients with prior GA or IFN treatment was consistent with previous fumarate studies. The data suggest that transition to DRF from GA, IFN, or DMF is a reasonable treatment strategy, with low rates of discontinuation due to GI AEs. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT02634307). INFOGRAPHIC.

Impact of clinical outcomes and imaging measures on health-related quality of life in secondary progressive MS.

BACKGROUND: Health-related quality of life (HRQOL) outcomes are often included as secondary outcomes in clinical trials in secondary progressive MS (SPMS), but little is known about the longitudinal association of HRQOL and clinical and imaging outcome measures in SPMS. OBJECTIVE: To assess the association of change in clinical and imaging outcomes with HRQOL in people with SPMS. METHODS: We used data from ASCEND, a large randomized controlled trial (n = 889), to investigate the association of significant worsening on the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS), Timed 25 Foot Walk (T25FW), Nine Hole Peg Test (NHPT), Symbol Digit Modalities Test (SDMT), and change in lesional and volumetric imaging outcomes with significant worsening on the 36-Item Short Form Health Survey (SF-36) and the Multiple Sclerosis Impact Scale (MSIS-29) during 2 years of follow-up using logistic regression models. RESULTS: HRQOL measures were most associated with EDSS and T25FW, less so with NHPT and SDMT, and not associated with lesional and volumetric imaging outcomes. DISCUSSION: Worsening of the EDSS and T25FW was associated with two commonly used HRQOL measures. These outcomes therefore appear to be more patient relevant than either the NHPT or SDMT in the context of a 2-year clinical trial.

Association Between Cataract Extraction and Development of Dementia.

IMPORTANCE: Visual function is important for older adults. Interventions to preserve vision, such as cataract extraction, may modify dementia risk. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether cataract extraction is associated with reduced risk of dementia among older adults. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This prospective, longitudinal cohort study analyzed data from the Adult Changes in Thought study, an ongoing, population-based cohort of randomly selected, cognitively normal members of Kaiser Permanente Washington. Study participants were 65 years of age or older and dementia free at enrollment and were followed up biennially until incident dementia (all-cause, Alzheimer disease, or Alzheimer disease and related dementia). Only participants who had a diagnosis of cataract or glaucoma before enrollment or during follow-up were included in the analyses (ie, a total of 3038 participants). Data used in the analyses were collected from 1994 through September 30, 2018, and all data were analyzed from April 6, 2019, to September 15, 2021. EXPOSURES: The primary exposure of interest was cataract extraction. Data on diagnosis of cataract or glaucoma and exposure to surgery were extracted from electronic medical records. Extensive lists of dementia-related risk factors and health-related variables were obtained from study visit data and electronic medical records. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The primary outcome was dementia as defined by Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (Fourth Edition) criteria. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were conducted with the primary outcome. To address potential healthy patient bias, weighted marginal structural models incorporating the probability of surgery were used and the association of dementia with glaucoma surgery, which does not restore vision, was evaluated. RESULTS: In total, 3038 participants were included (mean [SD] age at first cataract diagnosis, 74.4 (6.2) years; 1800 women (59%) and 1238 men (41%); and 2752 (91%) self-reported White race). Based on 23 554 person-years of follow-up, cataract extraction was associated with significantly reduced risk (hazard ratio, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.62-0.83; P < .001) of dementia compared with participants without surgery after controlling for years of education, self-reported White race, and smoking history and stratifying by apolipoprotein E genotype, sex, and age group at cataract diagnosis. Similar results were obtained in marginal structural models after adjusting for an extensive list of potential confounders. Glaucoma surgery did not have a significant association with dementia risk (hazard ratio, 1.08; 95% CI, 0.75-1.56; P = .68). Similar results were found with the development of Alzheimer disease dementia. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: This cohort study found that cataract extraction was significantly associated with lower risk of dementia development. If validated in future studies, cataract surgery may have clinical relevance in older adults at risk of developing dementia.

MRI brain volume loss, lesion burden, and clinical outcome in secondary progressive multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) of brain volume measures are widely used outcomes in secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS), but it is unclear whether they are associated with physical and cognitive disability. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association between MRI outcomes and physical and cognitive disability worsening in people with SPMS. METHODS: We used data from ASCEND, a large randomized controlled trial (n = 889). We investigated the association of change in whole brain and gray matter volume, contrast enhancing lesions, and T2 lesions with significant worsening on the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS), Timed 25-Foot Walk (T25FW), Nine-Hole Peg Test (NHPT), and Symbol Digit Modalities Test (SDMT) with logistic regression models. RESULTS: We found no association between MRI measures and EDSS or SDMT worsening. T25FW worsening at 48 and 96 weeks, and NHPT worsening at 96 weeks were associated with cumulative new or newly enlarging T2 lesions at 96 weeks. NHPT worsening at 48 and 96 weeks was associated with normalized brain volume loss at 48 weeks, but not with other MRI outcomes. CONCLUSION: The association of standard MRI outcomes and disability was noticeably weak and inconsistent over 2 years of follow-up. These MRI outcomes may not be useful surrogates of disability measures in SPMS.

Association of Performance on Dichotic Auditory Tests With Risk for Incident Dementia and Alzheimer Dementia.

Importance: Age-related hearing difficulties can include problems with signal audibility and central auditory processing. Studies have demonstrated associations between audibility and dementia risk. To our knowledge, limited data exist to determine whether audibility, central processing, or both drive these associations. Objective: To determine the associations between signal sensitivity, central auditory processing, and dementia and Alzheimer dementia (AD) risk. Design, Setting, and Participants: This follow-up observational study of a sample from the prospective Adult Changes in Thought study of dementia risk was conducted at Kaiser Permanente Washington, a western Washington health care delivery system, and included 280 volunteer participants without dementia who were evaluated from October 2003 to February 2006 with follow-up through September 2018. Analyses began in 2019 and continued through 2021. Exposures: Hearing tests included pure tone signal audibility, a monaural word recognition test, and 2 dichotic tests: the Dichotic Sentence Identification (DSI) test and the Dichotic Digits test (DDT). Main Outcomes and Measures: Cognition was assessed biennially with the Cognitive Abilities Screening Instrument (range, 1-100; higher scores are better), and scores of less than 86 prompted clinical and neuropsychological evaluations. All data were reviewed at multidisciplinary consensus conferences, and standardized criteria were used to define incident cases of dementia and probable or possible AD. Cox proportional hazard models were used to determine associations with hearing test performance. Results: A total of 280 participants (177 women [63%]; mean [SD] age, 79.5 [5.2] years). As of September 2018, there were 2196 person-years of follow-up (mean, 7.8 years) and 89 incident cases of dementia (66 not previously analyzed), of which 84 (94.4%) were AD (63 not previously analyzed). Compared with people with DSI scores of more than 80, the dementia adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) for DSI scores of less than 50 was 4.18 (95% CI, 2.37-7.38; P < .001); for a DSI score of 50 to 80, it was 1.82 (95% CI, 1.10-3.04; P = .02). Compared with people with DDT scores of more than 80, the dementia aHR for DDT scores of less than 50 was 2.66 (95% CI, 1.31-5.42; P = .01); for a DDT score of 50 to 80, it was 2.40 (95% CI, 1.45-3.98; P = .001). The AD results were similar. Pure tone averages were weakly and insignificantly associated with dementia and AD, and associations were null when controlling for DSI scores. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study, abnormal central auditory processing as measured by dichotic tests was independently associated with dementia and AD risk.

Smoking, obesity, and disability worsening in PPMS: an analysis of the INFORMS original trial dataset.

BACKGROUND: Smoking and obesity are recognized modifiable risk factors associated with a higher MS incidence, but their impact on physical and cognitive disability worsening is less clear. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the impact of smoking and obesity on disability worsening in primary progressive MS (PPMS). METHODS: We used data from INFORMS (clinicaltrials.gov identifier: NCT00731692), a large randomized-controlled trial in PPMS to compare significant worsening on the EDSS, T25FW, NHPT, and PASAT between smokers and non-smokers, and between BMI groups, at 12, 24, and 33 months of follow-up. We investigated the association of smoking and BMI at screening and the risk of disability worsening with logistic regression models. RESULTS: Smokers had significantly higher EDSS scores throughout the trial. EDSS was not significantly different between BMI categories. No other outcome measure was significantly different between smokers and non-smokers and between BMI categories throughout the trial. Neither smoking status nor BMI were associated with significant worsening on any outcome measure at any time point during follow-up. CONCLUSION: Despite the known effects on MS incidence, smoking and BMI were not associated with the risk of physical and cognitive disability worsening over 3 years in this well-characterized PPMS trial cohort.

Early first-line treatment response and subsequent disability worsening in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Treatment success in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) is generally determined using relapse frequency and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) activity in the first 6 or 12 months on treatment. The association of these definitions of short-term treatment success with disability worsening and disease activity in the longer term is unclear. In this study, we investigated risk factors associated with early first-line treatment failure in RRMS, and the association of early treatment failure with subsequent disability worsening or "no evidence of disease activity" (NEDA-3) status. METHODS: We used data from CombiRx (clinicaltrials.gov identifier NCT00211887) to investigate risk factors associated with early treatment failure, and the association of early treatment failure at 6 and 12 months with subsequent disability worsening or NEDA-3 at 36 months. RESULTS: CombiRx included 1008 treatment-naïve participants with RRMS, who were randomly assigned to treatment with glatiramer acetate, interferon beta, or the combination of both. Early treatment failure at 6 or 12 months by several definitions was associated with NEDA-3 failure at 36 months, but not with subsequent disability worsening at 36 months. Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) was the only baseline characteristic associated with the risk of disability worsening at 36 months. Approximately 70% of NEDA-3 failures occurred due to MRI activity, and <10% occurred due to EDSS worsening. CONCLUSIONS: Our investigation shows that current definitions of early treatment failure in RRMS are unrelated to patient-relevant disability worsening at 36 months of follow-up. Further research into useful definitions of treatment success and failure in RRMS is needed.

Brain volume change after high-dose immunosuppression and autologous hematopoietic cell transplantation for relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Brain volume loss (BVL) is commonly observed after high-dose immunosuppression and autologous hematopoietic cell transplantation (HDIT/HCT) for treatment of multiple sclerosis (MS). To better understand the mechanisms of underlying BVL associated with this treatment, we characterized the time courses of whole-brain (WB), grey-matter (GM) and white-matter (WM) volume loss in relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) patients who received BEAM-based HDIT/HCT. METHODS: We used Jacobian integration to measure MRI-based WB, GM and WM volume changes up to 5 years after transplant in twenty-four RRMS participants who underwent BEAM-based HDIT/HCT. Using a two-piecewise mixed-effects model, we estimated the short-term (baseline to 1 year) and long-term (beyond 1 year) rates of BVL after HDIT/HCT. We also compared the rates based on the presence of gadolinium-enhancing lesions at baseline, and the maintenance of event-free survival during follow-up. RESULTS: On average, accelerated short-term BVL of -1.37% (SE: 0.21), -0.86% (SE: 0.28) and -2.18% (SE: 0.26) occurred in WB, GM and WM, respectively. Baseline T1-weighted MRI WM lesion volume was a significant predictor in the WB (short-term) and the WM (short-term and long-term). The average rates of BVL after the initial acceleration were -0.22%/y (SE: 0.10), -0.13%/y (SE: 0.11) and -0.36%/y (SE: 0.11) in the WB, GM and WM, respectively. Participants with gadolinium-enhancing lesions at baseline had significantly higher short-term rates of GM (-1.56% vs. -0.27%, p = 0.01) and WB volume loss (-1.94% vs. -0.81%, p = 0.006) at 1 year follow-up as compared to those without gadolinium-enhancing lesions. WM volume loss was not significantly different (-2.59% vs. -1.66%, p = 0.16). Participants who maintained event-free survival had similar rates of BVL compared to those who did not. CONCLUSIONS: BVL may accelerate for months after HDIT/HCT. However, over the long-term, adequate HDIT/HCT may reduce BVL rates to those similar to normal aging at the WB level.

Theoretical impact of the AT(N) framework on dementia using a community autopsy sample.

The AT(N) research framework categorizes eight biomarker profiles using amyloid (A), tauopathy (T), and neurodegeneration (N), regardless of dementia status. We evaluated associations with dementia risk in a community-based cohort by approximating AT(N) profiles using autopsy-based neuropathology correlates, and considered cost implications for clinical trials for secondary prevention of dementia based on AT(N) profiles. We used Consortium to Establish a Registry for Alzheimer's Disease (moderate/frequent) to approximate A+, Braak stage (IV-VI) for T+, and temporal pole lateral ventricular dilation for (N)+. Outcomes included dementia prevalence at death and incidence in the last 5 years of life. A+T+(N)+ was the most common profile (31%). Dementia prevalence ranged from 14% (A-T-[N]-) to 79% (A+T+[N]+). Between 8% (A+T-[N]-) and 68% (A+T+[N]-) of decedents developed incident dementia in the last 5 years of life. Clinical trials would incur substantial expense to characterize AT(N). Many people with biomarker-defined preclinical Alzheimer's disease will never develop clinical dementia during life, highlighting resilience to clinical expression of AD neuropathologic changes and the need for improved tools for prediction beyond current AT(N) biomarkers.