Serum 14-3-3η as predictor of clinical remission and progression of structural damage in early rheumatoid arthritis following a treat-to-target strategy in a randomized controlled trial.

OBJECTIVE: 14-3-3η is a proinflammatory mediator critical to joint destruction in rheumatoid arthritis (RA). We aimed to evaluate serum 14-3-3η for predicting disease activity and radiographic progression in patients with early RA in the double-blinded, randomized OPERA trial. METHOD: 180 patients with early RA were randomized to receive methotrexate (MTX) + adalimumab or MTX + placebo in combination with glucocorticoid injections into swollen joints. Disease activity was measured using the 28-joint Disease Activity Score-C-reactive protein (DAS28-CRP). Clinical remission was defined as DAS28-CRP < 2.6. X-rays of hands and feet were evaluated by the Total Sharp van der Heijde score (TSS). Radiographic progression was defined as exceeding the smallest detectable change (1.8 TSS-units). Serum 14-3-3η was determined by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Multivariate logistic regression models were used to identify predictors of DAS28-CRP remission at 6 months and radiographic progression at 12 months. RESULTS: Baseline 14-3-3η was a borderline significant independent predictor of radiographic progression at 12 months (odds radio = 1.02, 95% confidence interval 1.00-1.03, p = 0.05). In anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide antibody (ACPA)-negative patients, a moderate/high baseline 14-3-3η concentration increased the risk of radiographic progression at 12 months [4/51 (8%) vs 3/9 (33%), χ2 = 4.823, p = 0.028]. No value of 14-3-3η for predicting achievement of clinical remission was found. CONCLUSION: Serum 14-3-3η was a borderline significant predictor of radiographic progression, particularly in ACPA-negative patients, but not of predicting achievement of clinical remission. Optimal cut-off levels of 14-3-3η for predicting radiographic progression in RA need further clarification.

Predictive value of a multi-biomarker disease activity score for clinical remission and radiographic progression in patients with early rheumatoid arthritis: a post-hoc study of the OPERA trial.

OBJECTIVES: Measurement of serum biomarkers at disease onset may improve prediction of disease course in patients with early rheumatoid arthritis (RA). We evaluated the multi-biomarker disease activity (MBDA) score and early changes in MBDA score for prediction of 28-joint Disease Activity Score based on C-reactive protein (DAS28-CRP) remission and radiographic progression in the double-blinded OPERA trial. METHOD: Treatment-naïve RA patients (N = 180) with moderate or high DAS28 were randomized to methotrexate (MTX) + adalimumab (n = 89) or MTX + placebo (n = 91) in combination with glucocorticoid injection into swollen joints. X-rays of hands and feet were evaluated at months 0 and 12 (n = 164) by the total Sharp van der Heijde score (TSS). The smallest detectable change (1.8 TSS units) defined radiographic progression (∆TSS ≥ 2). Clinical remission (DAS28-CRP < 2.6) was assessed at baseline and 6 months. MBDA score was determined at 0 and 3 months and tested in a multivariable logistic regression model for predicting DAS28 remission at 6 months and radiographic progression at 1 year. RESULTS: Baseline MBDA score was independently associated with radiographic progression at 1 year [odds ratio (OR) = 1.03/unit, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.01-1.06], and changes in MBDA score from baseline to 3 months with clinical remission at 6 months [OR = 0.98/unit, 95% CI 0.96-1.00). In anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide antibody (anti-CCP)-positive patients, 35 of 89 with high MBDA score (> 44) showed radiographic progression (PPV = 39%), compared with 0 of 15 patients (NPV = 100%) with low/moderate MBDA score (≤ 44) (p = 0.003). CONCLUSION: Early changes in MBDA score were associated with clinical remission based on DAS28-CRP at 6 months. In anti-CCP-positive patients, a non-high baseline MBDA score (≤ 44) had a clinical value by predicting very low risk of radiographic progression at 12 months.

Circulating serum interleukin-6, serum chitinase-3-like protein-1, and plasma vascular endothelial growth factor are not predictive for remission and radiographic progression in patients with early rheumatoid arthritis: post-hoc explorative and validation studies based on the CIMESTRA and OPERA trials.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate serum interleukin-6 (IL-6), serum chitinase-3-like protein-1 (YKL-40), and plasma vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) as measures of disease activity and predictors of clinical remission and radiographic progression in two early rheumatoid arthritis (RA) randomized controlled trials (RCTs). METHOD: Treatment-naïve patients with early RA (< 6 months' duration) and active disease, participating in two investigator-initiated RCTs, were treated according to a predefined treat-to-target algorithm aiming at inflammatory control, using methotrexate (MTX) + cyclosporine versus MTX + placebo (CIMESTRA study, n = 150, 5 year follow-up) or MTX + adalimumab versus MTX + placebo (OPERA study, n = 180, 2 year follow-up). The 28-joint Disease Activity Score (DAS28) and conventional radiography [bilateral hands and feet at baseline, 2 years and 5 years (only CIMESTRA)] were obtained at baseline and during follow-up. Serum IL-6, serum YKL-40, and plasma VEGF were measured in baseline blood samples and during follow-up. Hypotheses regarding the biomarkers' relation with DAS28 and ability to predict clinical remission (DAS28 < 2.6) and radiographic progression (change in total Sharp van der Heijde score ≥ 2) were generated in CIMESTRA and validated in OPERA, by Spearman's correlation and logistic regression analyses. RESULTS: Baseline IL-6, YKL-40, and VEGF correlated significantly with DAS28 in CIMESTRA (r = 0.50, r = 0.36, r = 0.36, respectively, all p < 0.01) and these results were confirmed in OPERA patients (r = 0.52, p < 0.01; r = 0.18, p = 0.01; r = 0.23, p = 0.002, respectively). None of the biomarkers (absolute values or change) was predictive of clinical remission or radiographic progression at 2 or 5 years in either study. CONCLUSION: Serum IL-6, serum YKL-40, and plasma VEGF were significantly correlated with DAS28 at baseline, but did not have consistent predictive value for clinical remission or radiographic progression in two early RA RCTs.

Investigation of a multi-biomarker disease activity score in rheumatoid arthritis by comparison with magnetic resonance imaging, computed tomography, ultrasonography, and radiography parameters of inflammation and damage.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the multi-biomarker disease activity (MBDA) score by comparison with imaging findings in an investigator-initiated rheumatoid arthritis (RA) trial (HURRAH trial, NCT00696059). METHOD: Fifty-two patients with established RA initiated adalimumab treatment and had magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), ultrasonography (US), computed tomography (CT), and radiography performed at weeks 0, 26, and 52. Serum samples were analysed using MBDA score assays and associations between clinical measures, MBDA score, and imaging findings were investigated. RESULTS: The MBDA score correlated significantly with MRI synovitis (rho = 0.65, p < 0.001), MRI bone marrow oedema (rho = 0.36, p = 0.044), and US power Doppler (PD) score at week 26 (rho = 0.35, p = 0.039) but not at week 0 or week 52. In the 15 patients who had achieved a Disease Activity Score based on C-reactive protein (DAS28-CRP) < 2.6 at week 26, MRI and/or US detected subclinical inflammation and 13 (87%) had a moderate/high MBDA score. For the cohort with available data, none of the four patients in MBDA remission (score ≤ 25) at week 26 had progression of imaging damage from baseline to week 52 whereas progression was observed in three out of nine (33%) and seven out of 21 (33%) patients with moderate (30-44) and high (> 44) MBDA scores, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In this cohort, the MBDA score correlated poorly with MRI/US inflammation. However, the MBDA score and MRI/US were generally concordant in showing signs of inflammation in most patients in clinical remission during anti-tumour necrosis factor (anti-TNF) therapy. MBDA scores were elevated in all patients with structural damage progression.