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1.
Integr Environ Assess Manag ; 19(6): 1581-1599, 2023 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37070476

RESUMO

Synthetic pesticides are important agricultural tools that increase crop yield and help feed the world's growing population. These products are also highly regulated to balance benefits and potential environmental and human risks. Public perception of pesticide use, safety, and regulation is an important topic necessitating discussion across a variety of stakeholders from lay consumers to regulatory agencies since attitudes toward this subject could differ markedly. Individuals and organizations can perceive the same message(s) about pesticides differently due to prior differences in technical knowledge, perceptions, attitudes, and individual or group circumstances. Social media platforms, like Twitter, include both individuals and organizations and function as a townhall where each group promotes their topics of interest, shares their perspectives, and engages in both well-informed and misinformed discussions. We analyzed public Twitter posts about pesticides by user group, time, and location to understand their communication behaviors, including their sentiments and discussion topics, using machine learning-based text analysis methods. We extracted tweets related to pesticides between 2013 and 2021 based on relevant keywords developed through a "snowball" sampling process. Each tweet was grouped into individual versus organizational groups, then further categorized into media, government, industry, academia, and three types of nongovernmental organizations. We compared topic distributions within and between those groups using topic modeling and then applied sentiment analysis to understand the public's attitudes toward pesticide safety and regulation. Individual accounts expressed concerns about health and environmental risks, while industry and government accounts focused on agricultural usage and regulations. Public perceptions are heavily skewed toward negative sentiments, although this varies geographically. Our findings can help managers and decision-makers understand public sentiments, priorities, and perceptions and provide insights into public discourse on pesticides. Integr Environ Assess Manag 2023;19:1581-1599. © 2023 The Authors. Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of Society of Environmental Toxicology & Chemistry (SETAC).


Assuntos
Praguicidas , Mídias Sociais , Humanos , Praguicidas/toxicidade , Comunicação
2.
Integr Environ Assess Manag ; 19(3): 817-829, 2023 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36385493

RESUMO

The US Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA or the Agency) is responsible for administering the Federal Insecticide, Fungicide, and Rodenticide Act (FIFRA). The Agency is also required to assess the potential risks of pesticides undergoing registration or re-registration to threatened and endangered (i.e., listed) species to ensure compliance with the Endangered Species Act. To assess potential risks to listed species, a screening-level risk assessment in the form of a biological evaluation (BE) is undertaken by the Agency for each pesticide. Given the large number of registration actions handled by the USEPA annually, efficient tools for conducting BEs are desirable. However, the "Revised Method" that is the basis for the USEPA's BE process has been ineffective at filtering out listed species and critical habitats that are at de minimis risk to pesticides. In the USEPA's BEs, the Magnitude of Effect Tool (MAGtool) has been used to determine potential risks to listed species that potentially co-occur with pesticide footprints. The MAGtool is a highly prescriptive, high-throughput compilation of existing FIFRA screening-level models with a geospatial interface. The tool has been a significant contributor to risk inflation and ultimately process inefficiency. The ineffectiveness of the tool stems from compounding conservatism, unrealistic and unreasonable assumptions regarding usage, limited application of species-specific data, lack of consideration of multiple lines of evidence, and inability to integrate higher-tier data. Here, we briefly describe the MAGtool and the critical deficiencies that impair its effectiveness, thus undermining its intention. Case studies are presented to highlight the deficiencies and solutions are recommended for improving listed species assessments in the future. Integr Environ Assess Manag 2023;19:817-829. © 2022 The Authors. Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of Society of Environmental Toxicology & Chemistry (SETAC).


Assuntos
Inseticidas , Praguicidas , Animais , Estados Unidos , Espécies em Perigo de Extinção , Medição de Risco/métodos
3.
Environ Monit Assess ; 194(8): 578, 2022 Jul 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35819550

RESUMO

For pesticide registrations in the USA under the Federal Insecticide, Fungicide, and Rodenticide Act (FIFRA), as implemented by the United States Environmental Protection Agency, drinking water risk assessments for groundwater sources are based on standard scenario modeling concentration estimates. The conceptual model for the drinking water protection goals is defined in terms of (1) a rural well in or near a relatively high pesticide use area, a shallow well (4-10 m); (2) long-term, single-station weather data; (3) soils characterized as highly leachable; (4) upper-end or surrogate, worst-case environmental fate parameters; and (5) maximum, annual use rates repeated every year. To date, monitoring data have not been quantitatively incorporated into FIFRA drinking water risk assessment; even though considerable, US national-scale temporal and spatial data for some chemistries exists. Investigations into drinking water monitoring data development have historically focused on single-source efforts that may not represent wide geographies and/or time periods, whereas Safe Drinking Water Act groundwater monitoring data are focused on a community-level scale rather than an individual, shallow, rural well. In the current case study, US national-scale, rural well data for the herbicide atrazine was collected, quality controlled, and combined into a single database from mixed sources (termed the atrazine rural well database) to (1) characterize differences between exposure estimates from standard EPA modeling approaches for specific characterization, (2) evaluate monitoring data toward direct use in US drinking water risk assessments to compliment or supersede standard modeling approaches to define risk, and (3) evaluate monitoring trends a function of time relative to label changes implemented as part of the registration review process. Of the 75,665 drinking water samples collected from groundwater, atrazine was only detected in 3185, a 4% detection rate.


Assuntos
Atrazina , Água Potável , Água Subterrânea , Praguicidas , Atrazina/análise , Monitoramento Ambiental , Praguicidas/análise , Estados Unidos
4.
Pest Manag Sci ; 78(7): 3193-3206, 2022 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35488378

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: This work reports a combined, field-scale spray drift deposition and plant bioassay study for a pre-mixture of the herbicides mesotrione and s-metolachlor. Wind direction data and field dimensions were used to evaluate the potential for spray drift to bypass downwind sampling devices. Variability in resulting spray drift across downwind distances was assessed alongside wind speed measured at on-site weather stations. Measured wind angles were used to geometrically adjust traveled drift particle distances and enabling isolation of wind direction impact from wind speed. Further, the use of single and multiple in-field monitoring locations was compared to quantify the benefit of higher-resolution meteorological sampling. RESULTS: Generally, increased wind speed resulted in significantly greater herbicide deposition at distances proximal to the edge of the spray zone. According to the drift deposition curves that included wind speed data from single and multiple onsite weather stations, trials with relatively higher wind speeds were associated with greater spray drift deposition at relatively close sampling distances downwind from the application area. Only marginal improvement of linear mixed-effects model fit was observed when including data from three weather stations, compared to the fit from a single weather station or absence of weather data in the model. Using tomato and lettuce plant bioassay species, the overall no-effect distance was 3.0 m (10 ft). CONCLUSION: Results from this study are informative to refine pesticide risk assessment for non-target plants and indicate that a single weather station is sufficient to capture potential influential effects from wind speed and direction on spray drift. © 2022 Society of Chemical Industry.


Assuntos
Herbicidas , Praguicidas , Agricultura/métodos , Cicloexanonas , Monitoramento Ambiental/métodos , Herbicidas/farmacologia , Praguicidas/análise , Plantas , Vento , Zea mays
5.
J Toxicol Environ Health B Crit Rev ; 24(6): 223-306, 2021 08 18.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34219616

RESUMO

Atrazine is a triazine herbicide used predominantly on corn, sorghum, and sugarcane in the US. Its use potentially overlaps with the ranges of listed (threatened and endangered) species. In response to registration review in the context of the Endangered Species Act, we evaluated potential direct and indirect impacts of atrazine on listed species and designated critical habitats. Atrazine has been widely studied, extensive environmental monitoring and toxicity data sets are available, and the spatial and temporal uses on major crops are well characterized. Ranges of listed species are less well-defined, resulting in overly conservative designations of "May Effect". Preferences for habitat and food sources serve to limit exposure among many listed animal species and animals are relatively insensitive. Atrazine does not bioaccumulate, further diminishing exposures among consumers and predators. Because of incomplete exposure pathways, many species can be eliminated from consideration for direct effects. It is toxic to plants, but even sensitive plants tolerate episodic exposures, such as those occurring in flowing waters. Empirical data from long-term monitoring programs and realistic field data on off-target deposition of drift indicate that many other listed species can be removed from consideration because exposures are below conservative toxicity thresholds for direct and indirect effects. Combined with recent mitigation actions by the registrant, this review serves to refine and focus forthcoming listed species assessment efforts for atrazine.Abbreviations: a.i. = Active ingredient (of a pesticide product). AEMP = Atrazine Ecological Monitoring Program. AIMS = Avian Incident Monitoring SystemArach. = Arachnid (spiders and mites). AUC = Area Under the Curve. BE = Biological Evaluation (of potential effects on listed species). BO = Biological Opinion (conclusion of the consultation between USEPA and the Services with respect to potential effects in listed species). CASM = Comprehensive Aquatic System Model. CDL = Crop Data LayerCN = field Curve Number. CRP = Conservation Reserve Program (lands). CTA = Conditioned Taste Avoidance. DAC = Diaminochlorotriazine (a metabolite of atrazine, also known by the acronym DACT). DER = Data Evaluation Record. EC25 = Concentration causing a specified effect in 25% of the tested organisms. EC50 = Concentration causing a specified effect in 50% of the tested organisms. EC50RGR = Concentration causing a 50% reduction in relative growth rate. ECOS = Environmental Conservation Online System. EDD = Estimated Daily Dose. EEC = Expected Environmental Concentration. EFED = Environmental Fate and Effects Division (of the USEPA). EFSA = European Food Safety Agency. EIIS = Ecological Incident Information System. ERA = Environmental Risk Assessment. ESA = Endangered Species Act. ESU = Evolutionarily Significant UnitsFAR = Field Application RateFIFRA = Federal Insecticide, Fungicide, and Rodenticide Act. FOIA = Freedom of Information Act (request). GSD = Genus Sensitivity Distribution. HC5 = Hazardous Concentration for ≤ 5% of species. HUC = Hydrologic Unit Code. IBM = Individual-Based Model. IDS = Incident Data System. KOC = Partition coefficient between water and organic matter in soil or sediment. KOW = Octanol-Water partition coefficient. LC50 = Concentration lethal to 50% of the tested organisms. LC-MS-MS = Liquid Chromatograph with Tandem Mass Spectrometry. LD50 = Dose lethal to 50% of the tested organisms. LAA = Likely to Adversely Affect. LOAEC = Lowest-Observed-Adverse-Effect Concentration. LOC = Level of Concern. MA = May Affect. MATC = Maximum Acceptable Toxicant Concentration. NAS = National Academy of Sciences. NCWQR = National Center of Water Quality Research. NE = No Effect. NLAA = Not Likely to Adversely Affect. NMFS = National Marine Fisheries Service. NOAA = National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. NOAEC = No-Observed-Adverse-Effect Concentration. NOAEL = No-Observed-Adverse-Effect Dose-Level. OECD = Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development. PNSP = Pesticide National Synthesis Project. PQ = Plastoquinone. PRZM = Pesticide Root Zone Model. PWC = Pesticide in Water Calculator. QWoE = Quantitative Weight of Evidence. RGR = Relative growth rate (of plants). RQ = Risk Quotient. RUD = Residue Unit Doses. SAP = Science Advisory Panel (of the USEPA). SGR = Specific Growth Rate. SI = Supplemental Information. SSD = Species Sensitivity Distribution. SURLAG = Surface Runoff Lag Coefficient. SWAT = Soil & Water Assessment Tool. SWCC = Surface Water Concentration Calculator. UDL = Use Data Layer (for pesticides). USDA = United States Department of Agriculture. USEPA = United States Environmental Protection Agency. USFWS = United States Fish and Wildlife Service. USGS = United States Geological Survey. WARP = Watershed Regressions for Pesticides.


Assuntos
Atrazina/toxicidade , Monitoramento Ambiental/métodos , Herbicidas/toxicidade , Animais , Atrazina/análise , Herbicidas/análise , Medição de Risco/métodos , Especificidade da Espécie , Estados Unidos
6.
Pest Manag Sci ; 77(9): 4192-4199, 2021 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33942978

RESUMO

Tracer dyes are often used as surrogates to characterize pesticide spray drift and it is assumed that they accurately reflect analytical measurement of active ingredients; however, the validity of this assumption remains inconclusive. Consequently, the influence of measurement technique on the magnitude of deposition of spray drift was investigated using spray drift samples evaluated by traditional analytical techniques (HPLC-MS/MS) and fluorimetry (1,3,6,8-pyrene-tetra sulfonic acid tetrasodium salt dye tracer). The experiment was conducted in a low-speed wind tunnel under controlled meteorological conditions. The herbicide mesotrione was sprayed through three spray air induction nozzles (anvil deflector flat fan TTI11004; flat fan AI11004; flat fan AIXR11003). Spray drift deposition samples were collected using stainless steel discs pairs placed side by side in the center of the wind tunnel at distances of 5, 10, 20, 30, and 40 ft (1.5, 3.1, 6.1, 9.1, and 12.2 m) from the spray nozzle. The analytical technique determined pesticide concentration on one disc per pair, and the other was evaluated by fluorimetry. The experimental results, analyzed using the linear split-split plot model, revealed that median deposition concentrations were 15% higher using the tracer dye fluorescence method relative to the analytical method, potentially due in part to procedural recovery inefficiencies of the analytical method (the mean overall procedural recovery result and RSD was 87% ± 6.4% (n = 12). This relationship was consistent and held true for the three nozzle types at all distances within the wind tunnel. © 2021 Society of Chemical Industry.


Assuntos
Agricultura , Praguicidas , Fluorometria , Tamanho da Partícula , Praguicidas/análise , Espectrometria de Massas em Tandem
7.
Arch Environ Contam Toxicol ; 81(1): 123-132, 2021 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33891147

RESUMO

This paper presents a semiquantitative method to help ecotoxicologists evaluate the consistency of data within the available peer-reviewed literature. In this case study, we queried whether there is consistent evidence of direct toxicity in Anurans exposed to atrazine at concentrations ≤ 100 µg/L under laboratory conditions. Atrazine was selected because of the relatively large repository of Anuran toxicity data. To accomplish this, we interrogated available data found in recent quantitative weight-of-evidence risk assessments for atrazine with a series of yes or no questions developed a priori. The questions examined consistency of reported effects within and between studies, within and between species, and across a wide range of endpoints categories (e.g., survivorship, growth and development, reproduction). The analysis found no compelling evidence of a consistent direct effect in Anurans around growth and development, reproduction, or survivorship at concentrations of up to at least 100 µg/L atrazine in laboratory studies. Further work is needed to refine the approach, including accounting for the magnitude of the reported effects. However, we recommend that ecotoxicologists employ some method of formal consistency of effects assessment method routinely before performing toxicity tests, in the contextualizing of new data, and in reviews of contaminants.


Assuntos
Atrazina , Herbicidas , Poluentes Químicos da Água , Animais , Anuros , Atrazina/toxicidade , Herbicidas/toxicidade , Laboratórios , Poluentes Químicos da Água/toxicidade
8.
Environ Toxicol Chem ; 40(5): 1239-1240, 2021 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33523553

Assuntos
Ecotoxicologia
9.
Integr Environ Assess Manag ; 17(2): 321-330, 2021 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32949192

RESUMO

Risk curves describe the relationship between cumulative probability and magnitude of effect and thus express far more information than risk quotients. However, their adoption has remained limited in ecological risk assessment. Therefore, we developed the Ecotoxicity Risk Calculator (ERC) to simplify the derivation of risk curves, which can be used to inform risk management decisions. Case studies are presented with crop protection products, highlighting the utility of the ERC at incorporating various data sources, including surface water modeling estimates, monitoring observations, and species sensitivity distributions. Integr Environ Assess Manag 2021;17:321-330. © 2020 Syngenta Crop Protection, LLC. Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of Society of Environmental Toxicology & Chemistry (SETAC).


Assuntos
Proteção de Cultivos , Ecotoxicologia , Monitoramento Ambiental , Probabilidade , Medição de Risco , Gestão de Riscos
10.
Sci Total Environ ; 755(Pt 2): 142589, 2021 Feb 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33065508

RESUMO

Fathead minnows (Pimephales promelas) were continuously exposed to the herbicide atrazine (0.15, 0.25, 0.46, 0.99, and 2.0 mg a.i./L, plus dilution water and solvent controls) for a complete life cycle (274 days). Concentrations of atrazine up to 2.0 mg a.i./L did not significantly reduce hatching success, larval survival at 30 or 60 days post-hatch, or reproduction (eggs/spawn, total eggs, spawns/female, or eggs/female) in the F0 generation. However, at 60 days of exposure, total length and total survival to study completion were significantly reduced in ≥0.46 mg a.i./L and ≥ 0.99 mg a.i./L treatments, respectively. In the F1 generation, hatchability of embryos at ≥0.25 mg a.i./L (range 74-82%) was significantly less than that of pooled control organisms (86%). Following 30 days' post-hatch exposure, F1 survival was not significantly different from pooled control for any treatment. Finally, tissues representing major life stages had bioconcentration factors ranging from 3.7× (F1 embryos, <24 h) to 8.5× (F0 adults), indicating little to no evidence of bioconcentration. We developed a series of questions to assess the consistency of observed responses in order to place the data in context with the wider available and relevant literature (e.g., Observed between studies? Observed between species? Observed at lower levels of biological organization?). The analysis for consistency supports the conclusion that atrazine does not pose a significant chronic risk to freshwater fish in terms of growth, reproduction, or survivorship at concentrations of up to at least 100 µg/L.


Assuntos
Atrazina , Cyprinidae , Poluentes Químicos da Água , Animais , Atrazina/toxicidade , Feminino , Estágios do Ciclo de Vida , Reprodução , Poluentes Químicos da Água/toxicidade
11.
Environ Toxicol Chem ; 39(11): 2298-2303, 2020 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32776598

RESUMO

The comprehensive aquatic systems model (CASM), an aquatic food web-ecosystem model, was developed originally to explore relationships between food web structure and ecosystem function, and was then subsequently adapted to assess potential ecological risks posed by chemical contaminants. The present short communication presents the history of the CASM, describes the model structure, lists the outputs of the model, and introduces user-friendly versions of CASM applications that are being made publicly available. Environ Toxicol Chem 2020;39:2298-2303. © 2020 SETAC.


Assuntos
Ecossistema , Modelos Teóricos , Animais , Organismos Aquáticos/fisiologia , Biomassa , Metabolismo Energético , Cadeia Alimentar , Software
12.
Environ Toxicol Chem ; 39(9): 1655, 2020 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32681660
13.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32418111

RESUMO

Most Americans are at least three generations removed from the farm, thereby at least three generations removed from the reality of where their food comes from. Not surprisingly, there are many misconceptions about modern food production, including the potential collateral environmental damage attributed to agriculture, particularly the application of pesticides. However, the implication of conventional agriculture in the broader narrative of wildlife species status outcomes (SSOs) lacks context and relativity. Since the dawn of civilization, humans have had a profound impact on their environment. Originating as hunter-gatherer societies, our ancient ancestors initially exploited anything that could be consumed or brought to bear. With the advent of the "first proto-farmers," humans began manipulating their environments to maximize available resources. Urban centers propagated and flourished proximal to agricultural origins, where modern societies have been built primarily on an abundance of food. As societies "developed," and continue to develop, an inevitable economic transition occurs from agriculture to industry/service predominance, culminating in a corresponding shift in land use. Developed countries have typically experienced maximal expansion of the agricultural frontier, where farmland is now steadily eroding by a proverbial flood of urban development. In contrast, in developing countries, this shift in economic development has not yet fully manifested and the agricultural footprint continues to expand at the expense of native habitats. Thus, the relative influence of "agriculture" on SSOs, in terms of land use, is primarily dependent on economic developmental status, which can be, at least in part, ameliorated via technology by increasing yield from existing land. Moreover, in addition to the land use challenge, there are multiple other factors affecting wildlife SSOs, including a figurative plague of invasive species, a literal plague of disease, a barrage of buildings, bumpers, grilles, and windshields to collide with, light pollution to confuse cues with, poachers to contend with, and even more complicated factors such as climate change. Being an easy target does not mean pesticides are the right target, and this fixation can potentially detract from public awareness regarding the primary drivers affecting SSOs as well as the opportunity to proactively address them. So, relatively speaking, how do these other factors compare to "pesticides" in terms of driving SSOs? Moreover, why is the popular media so fixated on the pesticide narrative? Based on the available evidence, this manuscript attempts to address these questions from a holistic and relative perspective within the context of land use change, economic development, population growth, and associated implications of global connectivity and commerce.

15.
Integr Environ Assess Manag ; 16(1): 53-65, 2020 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31433110

RESUMO

A species sensitivity distribution (SSD) is a cumulative distribution function of toxicity endpoints for a receptor group. A key assumption when deriving an SSD is that the toxicity data points are independent and identically distributed (iid). This assumption is tenuous, however, because closely related species are more likely to have similar sensitivities than are distantly related species. When the response of 1 species can be partially predicted by the response of another species, there is a dependency or autocorrelation in the data set. To date, phylogenetic relationships and the resulting dependencies in input data sets have been ignored in deriving SSDs. In this paper, we explore the importance of the phylogenetic signal in deriving SSDs using a case studies approach. The case studies involved toxicity data sets for aquatic autotrophs exposed to atrazine and aquatic and avian species exposed to chlorpyrifos. Full and partial data sets were included to explore the influences of differing phylogenetic signal strength and sample size. The phylogenetic signal was significant for some toxicity data sets (i.e., most chlorpyrifos data sets) but not for others (i.e., the atrazine data sets, the chlorpyrifos data sets for all insects, crustaceans, and birds). When a significant phylogenetic signal did occur, effective sample size was reduced. The reduction was large when the signal was strong. In spite of the reduced effective sample sizes, significant phylogenetic signals had little impact on fitted SSDs, even in the tails (e.g., hazardous concentration for 5th percentile species [HC5]). The lack of a phylogenetic signal impact occurred even when we artificially reduced original sample size and increased strength of the phylogenetic signal. We conclude that it is good statistical practice to account for the phylogenetic signal when deriving SSDs because most toxicity data sets do not meet the independence assumption. That said, SSDs and HC5s are robust to deviations from the independence assumption. Integr Environ Assess Manag 2019;00:1-13. © 2019 The Authors. Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc. on behalf of Society of Environmental Toxicology & Chemistry (SETAC).


Assuntos
Clorpirifos , Filogenia , Especificidade da Espécie , Poluentes Químicos da Água , Animais , Clorpirifos/toxicidade , Ecotoxicologia , Medição de Risco , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Poluentes Químicos da Água/toxicidade
16.
Integr Environ Assess Manag ; 15(6): 936-947, 2019 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31310045

RESUMO

Characterizing potential spatial overlap between federally threatened and endangered ("listed") species distributions and registered pesticide use patterns is important for accurate risk assessment of threatened and endangered species. Because accurate range information for such rare species is often limited and agricultural pesticide use patterns are dynamic, simple spatial co-occurrence methods may overestimate or underestimate overlap and result in decisions that benefit neither listed species nor the regulatory process. Here, we demonstrate a new method of co-occurrence analysis that employs probability theory to estimate spatial distribution of rare species populations and areas of pesticide use to determine the likelihood of potential exposure. Specifically, we 1) describe a probabilistic method to estimate pesticide use based on crop production patterns; 2) construct species distribution models for 2 listed insect species whose ranges were previously incompletely described, the rusty-patched bumble bee (Bombus affinis) and the Poweshiek skipperling (Oarisma poweshiek); and 3) develop a probabilistic co-occurrence methodology and assessment framework. Using the principles of the Bayes' theorem, we constructed probabilistic spatial models of pesticide use areas by integrating information from land-cover spatial data, agriculture statistics, and remote-sensing data. We used maximum entropy methods to build species distribution models for 2 listed insects based on species collection and observation records and predictor variables relevant to the species' biogeography and natural history. We further developed novel methods for refinement of these models at spatial scales relevant to US Fish and Wildlife Service (FWS) regulatory priorities (e.g., critical habitat areas). Integrating both probabilistic assessments and focusing on USFWS priority management areas, we demonstrate that spatial overlap (i.e., potential for exposure) is not deterministic but instead a function of both species distribution and land use patterns. Our work serves as a framework to enhance the accuracy and efficiency of threatened and endangered species assessments using a data-driven likelihood analysis of species co-occurrence. Integr Environ Assess Manag 2019;00:1-12. © 2019 SETAC.


Assuntos
Distribuição Animal , Produção Agrícola , Insetos/fisiologia , Praguicidas/efeitos adversos , Animais , Modelos Estatísticos , Medição de Risco/métodos , Análise Espacial
17.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int ; 26(21): 21717-21735, 2019 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31129901

RESUMO

Urbanization is an inevitable process in human civilization. When populations expand, socio-economic and political dynamics typically shift from agricultural predominance to one of industry and services. Accordingly, agrarian societies transform from diffuse rural communities to dense urban centers. By 2050, the world's population is projected to reach 9.1 billion, with the urban population growing from 50 to 70%. Inevitably, this ever-expanding urban frontier encroaches along the human-ecological interface, creating a challenge for conservation and biodiversity. For the past 30 years, agricultural cropland area in the USA has remained fairly constant, despite significant population growth over the same time period. Thus, agricultural production in America has more than kept pace with rapid population growth and global export demand without increasing the farmland footprint at the expense of wildlife habitat. This is primarily due to considerable advances made in pesticide development, safety, and regulation, coupled with soil conservation and genetically modified crops. Still, the potential contribution of agriculture to ecosystem impairment remains contentious, particularly with regard to current use of pesticides. Recently, significant focus has been placed on the state of bird populations in the USA. Many species are considered imperiled, and this is often attributed in the popular media to pesticide use. However, focusing solely on the agricultural/chemical story as a significant driver of species viability and ecological risk within the broader biodiversity and conservation narrative lacks context and perspective. Moreover, the hypothesis that pesticides are indirectly affecting bird population status via reductions in food resources should be considered with caution and within the context of other likely causes. This work explores the dynamics between historical land use, human-controlled activity, and bird population trends from a holistic perspective within the USA. The aim is to provide context, developed from a relative comparison of potential contributing factors, in order to help inform discussion and foster dialogue between industry, academia, government, non-governmental organizations, and the public.


Assuntos
Agricultura , Ecologia , Ecossistema , Praguicidas , Animais , Animais Selvagens , Biodiversidade , Aves , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais , Produtos Agrícolas , Humanos , Indústrias , Organizações , Plantas Geneticamente Modificadas , Política , Cultura Popular , Dinâmica Populacional , Crescimento Demográfico , População Rural , Estados Unidos , População Urbana , Urbanização
18.
Integr Environ Assess Manag ; 14(6): 692-702, 2018 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29968963

RESUMO

Declining bird populations across the United States have been noted in a number of studies. Although multiple explanations have been proposed as causes of these declines, agricultural intensification has often been suggested as a significant driver of bird population dynamics. Using spatially explicit USDA-NASS Cropland Data Layer, we examined this relationship by comparing bird count data from the Breeding Bird Survey collected between 1995 and 2016 across 13 states in the central United States to corresponding categorical changes in land cover within a 2-km radius of each survey transect. This approach allowed us to compare the slopes of counts for 31 species of birds between grassland- and cropland-dominated landscapes and against increasing levels of cropland (all types combined) and pooled corn and soybean land cover types. Nearly all birds demonstrated significant responses to land cover changes. In all cases, the number of species exhibiting positive or negative responses was comparable, and median differences in percent change per year ranged from -0.5 to 0.7%. Species that responded either positively or negatively did not appear to fall into any particular foraging guild. If changes in agricultural practices are a major cause of declines, we would expect to see it across the spatial scale studied and across the majority of species. While these results do not rule out potential agricultural effects, such as toxicity resulting from pesticide exposure, which may have species-specific or localized effects, a variety of factors related to habitat are likely the most significant contributor overall. Given these results over a large spatial scale basis (multistate) and across numerous bird species, there is not a broad general trend of greater decline in crop-intensive areas. Integr Environ Assess Manag 2018;14:692-702. © 2018 SETAC.


Assuntos
Agricultura , Aves , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais , Animais , Produtos Agrícolas , Dinâmica Populacional , Estados Unidos
19.
Chemosphere ; 205: 126-136, 2018 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29689526

RESUMO

Short-term reproduction assays were conducted with fathead minnow (Pimephales promelas) and Japanese medaka (Oryzias latipes) to evaluate responses from atrazine exposure at environmentally relevant concentrations and above. Breeding groups of fish with multiple males and females were exposed to atrazine under flow-through conditions. Fathead minnows were exposed to mean measured concentrations of 1.0, 10, 26, 52, and 105 µg atrazine/L for 28 days. Medaka were exposed to mean measured concentrations of 9.4, 48, 74, 97, and 244 µg atrazine/L for 28 or 29 days. Fish were evaluated for survival, fecundity, fertility, total length, wet weight, secondary sex characteristics, gonadosomatic index (GSI) (P. promelas only), plasma or hepatic vitellogenin (VTG), and histopathology of gonads. General observations of health and behaviour were also conducted. There were no statistically significant effects (i.e., p < 0.05) of atrazine on survival, size, reproduction, behaviour, GSI, VTG, or secondary sex characteristics in either species at any exposure level. In fathead minnows, there were no histopathological findings associated with atrazine exposure in male fish, but there was an increased proportion of Stage 4.0 ovaries accompanied by an increase in proportion of Grade 3 post-ovulatory follicles in females of the 105 µg/L treatment group. Without a concomitant increase in oocyte atresia, neither of these findings are considered adverse for the health of the fish. In medaka, there were no significant effects of atrazine exposure on histopathology in either sex. These data support current weight-of-evidence assessments that atrazine does not cause direct adverse effects on fish reproduction at environmentally realistic concentrations.


Assuntos
Atrazina/farmacologia , Fertilidade/efeitos dos fármacos , Gônadas/fisiologia , Oryzias/fisiologia , Ovário/fisiologia , Reprodução/efeitos dos fármacos , Poluentes Químicos da Água/farmacologia , Animais , Feminino , Gônadas/efeitos dos fármacos , Herbicidas/farmacologia , Masculino , Ovário/efeitos dos fármacos , Fatores Sexuais
20.
Sci Total Environ ; 630: 517-525, 2018 Jul 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29486444

RESUMO

Understanding dermal exposure is important for higher-tier avian ecological risk assessments. However, dermal exposure and toxicity are often unknown for avifauna. The US EPA's Terrestrial Investigation Model (TIM) uses a method to estimate avian dermal LD50 values (and ultimately dermal exposure) that frequently results in unusually high dermal exposure and low dermal LD50 estimates. This is primarily a result of using organophosphate and carbamate toxicity data to develop the oral-dermal relationship. An estimated dermal LD50 is necessary to generate a dermal route equivalency factor that normalizes potency relative to oral toxicity within the dermal pathway dose equation. In this study, atrazine dermal absorption experiments were conducted with mallard, northern bobwhite, and rat skin. These data were used to derive an avian-mammal dermal route equivalency factor for atrazine and introduce a new approach for estimating dermal LD50 values and ultimately predicting exposure via the TIM dermal pathway. Compared to the default TIM method, this new approach yielded TIM output with lower mean total dose, lower dermal fraction of total dose, greater oral fraction of total dose, and reduced model predicted mortality for atrazine. In addition, the new approach was compared with other methods for estimating avian dermal LD50 values such as those proposed for use with mammalian data and physico-chemical properties and a triazine-specific oral-dermal equation using mammalian LD50 data. The three alternative approaches resulted in output similar to one another and different from the default TIM methods. These results indicate that a dermal route equivalency factor derived from empirical data provides a higher avian dermal LD50 estimate that is consistent with other methods. In addition, the use of this dermal route equivalency factor results in greatly reduced modeled atrazine risk to birds than previously reported in US EPA risk assessments using TIM.


Assuntos
Atrazina/toxicidade , Praguicidas/toxicidade , Testes de Toxicidade , Animais , Radioisótopos de Carbono , Colinus , Dose Letal Mediana , Ratos , Absorção Cutânea
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