An enhanced mixture method for constructing gatekeeping procedures in clinical trials.

It is increasingly common to encounter complex multiplicity problems with several multiplicity components in confirmatory Phase III clinical trials. These components are often based on several endpoints (primary and secondary endpoints) and several dose-control comparisons. When constructing a multiplicity adjustment in these settings, it is important to control the Type I error rate over all multiplicity components. An important class of multiple testing procedures, known as gatekeeping procedures, was derived using the mixture method that enables clinical trial sponsors to set up efficient multiplicity adjustments that account for clinically relevant logical relationships among the hypotheses of interest. An enhanced version of this mixture method is introduced in this paper to construct more powerful gatekeeping procedures for a specific type of logical relationships that rely on transitive serial restrictions. Restrictions of this kind are very common in Phase III clinical trials and the proposed method is applicable to a broad class of multiplicity problems. Several examples are provided to illustrate the new method and results of simulation trials are presented to compare the performance of gatekeeping procedures derived using this method and other available methods.

Outcomes in Patients With Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma Who Develop Everolimus-Related Hyperglycemia and Hypercholesterolemia: Combined Subgroup Analyses of the RECORD-1 and REACT Trials.

BACKGROUND: Hyperglycemia and hypercholesterolemia are class effects of mammalian target of rapamycin inhibitors. The purpose of this study was to characterize safety and efficacy of patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC) treated with everolimus in RECORD-1 (REnal Cell cancer treatment with Oral RAD001 given Daily) and REACT (RAD001 Expanded Access Clinical Trial in RCC) who developed these events. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Adults with vascular endothelial growth factor-refractory mRCC received everolimus 10 mg/d in the randomized RECORD-1 (n = 277) and open-label REACT (n = 1367) studies. Outcomes included safety, treatment duration, overall response, and progression-free survival for patients who developed hypercholesterolemia or hyperglycemia. RESULTS: In RECORD-1, 12% (33 of 277) and 20% (55 of 277) of patients developed any grade hyperglycemia or hypercholesterolemia, respectively, with only 6% (78 of 1367) and 1% (14 of 1367) of the same events, respectively, in REACT. Median everolimus treatment duration was similar for patients with hyperglycemia or hypercholesterolemia (RECORD-1, 6.2 and 6.2 months, respectively; REACT, 4.4 and 4.5 months, respectively), but longer than the overall populations (RECORD-1, 4.6 months; REACT, 3.2 months). In RECORD-1/REACT, 82%/68% of patients with hyperglycemia and 75%/71% of patients with hypercholesterolemia achieved partial response or stable disease. The incidence of clinically notable Grade 3 or 4 adverse events, other than anemia and lymphopenia, appeared to be similar across trials and subgroups. Although there was a trend for improved progression-free survival with development of hyperglycemia or hypercholesterolemia, the association was not statistically significant. CONCLUSION: Hyperglycemia and hypercholesterolemia were observed in low numbers of patients, and although these events might be associated with improved response to everolimus, the differences were not significant. These findings should be validated with prospective biomarker studies.

Safety and QOL in Patients with Advanced NET in a Phase 3b Expanded Access Study of Everolimus.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: An open-label, multi-center, expanded access study was conducted in patients with advanced neuroendocrine tumors (NET) treated with everolimus (10 mg/day) to assess safety and health-related quality of life (HRQOL). METHODS: Of the 246 patients enrolled, 126 have pancreatic NET (pNET) and 120 have non-pNET. Patients continued treatment until disease progression, unacceptable toxicity, death, until commercial availability of everolimus, or May 2012, whichever came first. Adverse events (AEs) were analyzed according to Common Terminology Criteria version 4.0. HRQOL was assessed at baseline, for three 28-day cycles, and then at every three cycles until end of treatment (EOT) with EQ-5D, EORTC QLQ-C30, and EORTC QLQ-GINET21 instruments. RESULTS: The most common grade 3 or 4 AEs included hyperglycemia, infections, stomatitis, fatigue, and abdominal pain. In patients with pNET, mean (± SD) EQ VAS score remained stable at EOT (baseline, 68.8 ± 19.9 vs. EOT, 66.5 ± 20.6) without clinically significant change in QLQ-C30 global health status (change from baseline, - 3.9; n = 86). For patients with non-pNET, a reduction in EQ VAS score (63.9 ± 19.0 vs. 55.3 ± 23.0) with clinically significant changes in QLQ-C30 global health status (-13.0; n = 69) was seen by EOT. EQ-5D utility scores remained stable in patients with pNET and a moderate decrease was reported by patients with non-pNET. CONCLUSIONS: The safety profile of everolimus was consistent with the previous studies without adversely affecting HRQOL in pNET. Lower baseline HRQOL scores and more frequent comorbidities might have contributed to the worse outcomes in non-pNET. TRIAL REGISTRATION: EudraCT no. 2010-023032-17.

Safety of Everolimus in Patients Younger than 3 Years of Age: Results from EXIST-1, a Randomized, Controlled Clinical Trial.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the long-term safety of everolimus in young children with tuberous sclerosis complex (TSC)-associated subependymal giant cell astrocytoma (SEGA). STUDY DESIGN: EXamining everolimus In a Study of Tuberous Sclerosis Complex-1 (EXIST-1) was a multicenter, randomized, double-blind phase 3 study with an open-label extension evaluating the efficacy and tolerability of everolimus in patients with TSC-associated SEGA. Everolimus was initiated at 4.5 mg/m(2)/day and titrated to blood trough levels of 5-15 ng/mL. Post hoc analysis of safety data (adverse events [AEs]) was performed in a subgroup of patients aged <3 years at everolimus initiation. RESULTS: Eighteen patients (median age 1.82 years) were included; 16 were still receiving everolimus at the analysis cut-off date of January 11, 2013. Median everolimus exposure was 31.1 months (range, 11.5-39 months). One patient discontinued treatment because of AEs (ie, Acinetobacter bacteremia, increased blood alkaline phosphatase, and viral infection). AEs were reported in all patients, but events were mostly grade 1/2 in severity; 12 patients (66.7%) experienced grade 3 events, and 2 patients (11.1%) reported grade 4 events. The most common AEs were stomatitis, cough, pharyngitis, and pyrexia; no new safety issues were identified in this population. Serious AEs were reported in 50% of patients; these were suspected to be medication related in 4 patients (22.2%). CONCLUSIONS: Everolimus appears to be a safe therapeutic option for patients aged <3 years with TSC-associated SEGA. The small sample size in this subpopulation limits interpretation of the results; additional studies in the pediatric population are needed and are underway. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT00789828.

Mixture-based gatekeeping procedures for multiplicity problems with multiple sequences of hypotheses.

Complex multiplicity problems arise in drug development programs with several sets of clinical objectives. This article considers a common setting with two sources of multiplicity induced by the analysis of multiple dose levels based on ordered endpoints. This results in multiplicity problems with multiple sequences of null hypotheses of no effect. Type I error rate inflation in problems of this type is typically addressed by using gatekeeping procedures that account for the hierarchical structure of the trial objectives. A general method for building gatekeeping procedures, known as the mixture method, tends to be conservative in problems with several sequences of hypotheses. This article defines a modified mixture method and shows that this method provides a power advantage over the standard mixture method. In addition, it is demonstrated that in special cases the modified mixture method allows for a stepwise testing algorithm, which facilities the implementation of gatekeeping procedures and general decision making. The new methodology is illustrated using two clinical trial examples.

Pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics of everolimus in patients with renal angiomyolipoma and tuberous sclerosis complex or lymphangioleiomyomatosis.

AIMS: The purpose was to determine the exposure-response relationship of everolimus in patients with angiomyolipoma from the EXIST-2 trial and to analyze the correlation between exposure and plasma concentrations of angiogenic biomarkers in these patients. METHODS: One hundred and eighteen patients with angiomyolipoma associated with tuberous sclerosis complex (TSC) or sporadic lymphangioleiomyomatosis (sLAM) were randomly assigned 2 : 1 to receive everolimus 10 mg (n = 79) or placebo (n = 39) once daily. Blood samples for determining everolimus concentration were collected at weeks 2, 4, 12, 24 and 48 during double-blind treatment. Plasma samples for biomarker analysis were collected at baseline and weeks 4, 12, 24, 36, 48 and at the end of treatment. Concentrations of eight angiogenic biomarkers associated with tumour growth were determined by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). RESULTS: Peak and trough concentrations of everolimus in blood remained stable over time and similar to those reported in other indications. Substantial pharmacodynamic effects were observed in the everolimus, but not placebo, arm for three biomarkers: After 24 weeks of treatment, reduction of vascular endothelial growth factor D (VEGF-D) and collagen type IV (COL-IV) (mean fold-changes with 95% confidence intervals [CI] were 0.36 [0.33, 0.40], and 0.54 [0.51, 0.57], respectively, P < 0.001 for both), along with increased VEGF-A (mean fold-change of 1.59 [1.39, 1.80], P < 0.001), were seen. Furthermore, baseline VEGF-D and COL-IV levels were associated with angiomyolipoma size at baseline and with angiomyolipoma response to everolimus. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that plasma angiogenic markers may provide an objective measure of patient response to everolimus.

The effect of everolimus on renal angiomyolipoma in patients with tuberous sclerosis complex being treated for subependymal giant cell astrocytoma: subgroup results from the randomized, placebo-controlled, Phase 3 trial EXIST-1.

BACKGROUND: Tuberous sclerosis complex (TSC) is characterized by benign tumours in multiple organs, including the brain, kidneys, skin, lungs and heart. Our objective was to evaluate everolimus, an mTOR inhibitor, in the treatment of angiomyolipoma in patients with subependymal giant cell astrocytoma (SEGA) associated with TSC. METHODS: EXamining everolimus In a Study of Tuberous Sclerosis Complex-1 (NCT00789828), a prospective, double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled, Phase 3 study, examined everolimus in treating SEGA associated with TSC. Patients with serial SEGA growth from pre-baseline to baseline scans were randomly assigned (2:1) to receive 4.5 mg/m(2)/day everolimus (target blood trough: 5-15 ng/mL; n = 78) or placebo (n = 39). Angiomyolipoma response rates were analysed in patients (n = 44) with target baseline angiomyolipoma lesions (≥1 angiomyolipoma; longest diameter ≥1.0 cm). An angiomyolipoma response rate, defined as the proportion of patients with confirmed angiomyolipoma response, was assessed by kidney CT or MRI screening at baseline, at 12, 24 and 48 weeks and annually. RESULTS: Angiomyolipoma response rates were 53.3% (16/30) and 0% (0/14) for everolimus- and placebo-treated patients, respectively. Angiomyolipoma reductions ≥50% in the sum of volumes of all target lesions were seen only in everolimus-treated patients (56.5, 78.3 and 80.0%) compared with placebo-treated patients (0% at each time point) at Weeks 12, 24 and 48, respectively. Greater percentages of everolimus-treated patients had angiomyolipoma reductions ≥30% at these same time points (82.6, 100 and 100% versus 8.3, 18.2 and 16.7% for everolimus versus placebo, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Everolimus showed efficacy in reducing angiomyolipoma lesion volume in patients with SEGA associated with TSC.The trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT00789828; http://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT00789828?term=EXIST-1&rank=1.

Everolimus plus exemestane as first-line therapy in HR⁺, HER2⁻ advanced breast cancer in BOLERO-2.

The present exploratory analysis examined the efficacy, safety, and quality-of-life effects of everolimus (EVE) + exemestane (EXE) in the subgroup of patients in BOLERO-2 whose last treatment before study entry was in the (neo)adjuvant setting. In BOLERO-2, patients with hormone-receptor-positive (HR(+)), human epidermal growth factor receptor-2-negative (HER2(-)) advanced breast cancer recurring/progressing after a nonsteroidal aromatase inhibitor (NSAI) were randomly assigned (2:1) to receive EVE (10 mg/day) + EXE (25 mg/day) or placebo (PBO) + EXE. The primary endpoint was progression-free survival (PFS) by local assessment. Overall, 137 patients received first-line EVE + EXE (n = 100) or PBO + EXE (n = 37). Median PFS by local investigator assessment nearly tripled to 11.5 months with EVE + EXE from 4.1 months with PBO + EXE (hazard ratio = 0.39; 95 % CI 0.25-0.62), while maintaining quality of life. This was confirmed by central assessment (15.2 vs 4.2 months; hazard ratio = 0.32; 95 % CI 0.18-0.57). The marked PFS improvement in patients receiving EVE + EXE as first-line therapy for disease recurrence during or after (neo)adjuvant NSAI therapy supports the efficacy of this combination in the first-line setting. Furthermore, the results highlight the potential benefit of early introduction of EVE + EXE in the management of HR(+), HER2(-) advanced breast cancer in postmenopausal patients.

Development of gatekeeping strategies in confirmatory clinical trials.

This paper discusses multiplicity issues arising in confirmatory clinical trials with hierarchically ordered multiple objectives. In order to protect the overall type I error rate, multiple objectives are analyzed using multiple testing procedures. When the objectives are ordered and grouped in multiple families (e.g. families of primary and secondary endpoints), gatekeeping procedures are employed to account for this hierarchical structure. We discuss considerations arising in the process of building gatekeeping procedures, including proper use of relevant trial-specific information and criteria for selecting gatekeeping procedures. The methods and principles discussed in this paper are illustrated using a clinical trial in patients with type II diabetes mellitus.

A mixture gatekeeping procedure based on the Hommel test for clinical trial applications.

When conducting clinical trials with hierarchically ordered objectives, it is essential to use multiplicity adjustment methods that control the familywise error rate in the strong sense while taking into account the logical relations among the null hypotheses. This paper proposes a gatekeeping procedure based on the Hommel (1988) test, which offers power advantages compared to other p value-based tests proposed in the literature. A general description of the procedure is given and details are presented on how it can be applied to complex clinical trial designs. Two clinical trial examples are given to illustrate the methodology developed in the paper.