Endotypes of intraoperative hypotension during major abdominal surgery: a retrospective machine learning analysis of an observational cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Intraoperative hypotension is associated with myocardial injury, acute kidney injury, and death. In routine practice, specific causes of intraoperative hypotension are often unclear. A more detailed understanding of underlying haemodynamic alterations of intraoperative hypotension may identify specific treatments. We thus aimed to use machine learning - specifically, hierarchical clustering - to identify underlying haemodynamic alterations causing intraoperative hypotension in major abdominal surgery patients. Specifically, we tested the hypothesis that there are distinct endotypes of intraoperative hypotension, which may help refine therapeutic interventions. METHODS: We conducted a secondary analysis of intraoperative haemodynamic measurements from a prospective observational study in 100 patients who had major abdominal surgery under general anaesthesia. We used stroke volume index, heart rate, cardiac index, systemic vascular resistance index, and pulse pressure variation measurements. Intraoperative hypotension was defined as any mean arterial pressure ≤65 mm Hg or a mean arterial pressure between 66 and 75 mm Hg requiring a norepinephrine infusion rate exceeding 0.1 µg kg-1 min-1. To identify endotypes of intraoperative hypotension, we used hierarchical clustering (Ward's method). RESULTS: A total of 615 episodes of intraoperative hypotension occurred in 82 patients (46 [56%] female; median age: 64 [57, 73] yr) who had surgery of a median duration of 270 (195, 335) min. Hierarchical clustering revealed six distinct intraoperative hypotension endotypes. Based on their clinical characteristics, we labelled these endotypes as (1) myocardial depression, (2) bradycardia, (3) vasodilation with cardiac index increase, (4) vasodilation without cardiac index increase, (5) hypovolaemia, and (6) mixed type. CONCLUSION: Hierarchical clustering identified six endotypes of intraoperative hypotension. If validated, considering these intraoperative hypotension endotypes may enable causal treatment of intraoperative hypotension.

The Relation Between Mean Arterial Pressure and Cardiac Index in Major Abdominal Surgery Patients: A Prospective Observational Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Cardiac output is an important hemodynamic variable and determines oxygen delivery. In contrast to blood pressure, cardiac output is rarely measured even in high-risk surgical patients, suggesting that clinicians consider blood pressure to be a reasonable indicator of systemic blood flow. However, the relationship depends on constant vascular tone and volume, both of which routinely vary during anesthesia and surgery. We therefore tested the hypothesis that there is no clinically meaningful correlation between mean arterial pressure and cardiac index in major abdominal surgery patients. METHODS: In this prospective observational study, we assessed the relationship between mean arterial pressure and cardiac index in 100 patients having major abdominal surgery under general anesthesia. RESULTS: The pooled within-patient correlation coefficient calculated using meta-analysis methods was r = 0.34 (95% confidence interval, 0.28-0.40). Linear regression using a linear mixed effects model of cardiac index on mean arterial pressure revealed that cardiac index increases by 0.014 L·min-1·m-2 for each 1 mm Hg increase in mean arterial pressure. The 95% Wald confidence interval of this slope was 0.011 to 0.018 L·min-1·m-2·mm Hg-1 and thus within predefined equivalence margins of -0.03 and 0.03 L·min-1·m-2·mm Hg-1, thereby demonstrating lack of clinically meaningful association between mean arterial pressure and cardiac index. CONCLUSIONS: There is no clinically meaningful correlation between mean arterial pressure and cardiac index in patients having major abdominal surgery. Intraoperative blood pressure is thus a poor surrogate for cardiac index.