Climate change leads to increasing population density and impacts of a key island invader.

The considerable threats of invasive rodents to island biodiversity are likely to be compounded by climate change. Forecasts for such interactions have been most pronounced for the Southern Ocean islands where ameliorating conditions are expected to decrease thermal and resource restrictions on rodents. Firm evidence for changing rodent populations in response to climate change, and demonstrations of associated impacts on the terrestrial environment, are nonetheless entirely absent for the region. Using data collected over three decades on sub-Antarctic Marion Island, we tested empirically whether mouse populations have changed through time and whether these changes can be associated significantly with changing abiotic conditions. Changes in invertebrate populations, which have previously been attributed to mouse predation, but with little explicit demographic analysis, were also examined to determine whether they can be associated with changing mouse populations. The total number of mice on the island at annual peak density increased by 430.0% between 1979-1980 and 2008-2011. This increase was due to an advanced breeding season, which was robustly related to the number of precipitation-free days during the non-breeding season. Mice directly reduced invertebrate densities, with biomass losses of up to two orders of magnitude in some habitats. Such invertebrate declines are expected to have significant consequences for ecosystem processes over the long term. Our results demonstrate that as climate change continues to create ameliorating conditions for invasive rodents on sub-Antarctic islands, the severity of their impacts will increase. They also emphasize the importance of rodent eradication for the restoration of invaded islands.

Foraging behaviour of Lesser Sheathbills Chionis minor exploiting invertebrates on a sub-Antarctic island.

During winter (May through October) many Lesser Sheathbills Chionis minor at Marion Island in the sub-Antarctic were obliged to leave their preferred foraging habitat in penguin colonies to forage for invertebrates on the island's coastal plain. The study describes factors affecting feeding success, time budgets and predation risk of the sheathbills which exploited these small, patchily dispersed prey. The birds appeared to select prey ≧1 mm in diameter, and ignore smaller, common invertebrates.Sheathbills were highly selective of foraging habitat. During 17 censuses made through the winter, 97% of the 1,504 birdsightings were at only eight of the 19 available vegetation types. Multiple regression analysis revealed that prey density was the most important criterion in habitat preference, followed by plant canopy height and distance of the habitat from the sea. These variables accounted for 78% of the variance of habitat use. Focal-animal observations in a sample of habitats showed that feeding success was correlated with prey density and distance from the sea. Tall vegetation impeded the locomotion and foraging of sheathbills. The sheathbills reduced predation risk from skuas Catharacta lonnbergi and travelling time by foraging near the shore. The spatial distribution of prey within vegetation types was apparently unimportant in habitat selection.During winter 83% of the sheathbills in the study foraged communally and 98% roosted communally. Flocks occurred only on good quality habitat and flocking probably facilitated habitat selection. Feeding success increased initially with increasing flock size but decreased in flocks greater than 15 birds, which was attributed to localized prey deletions. The sheathbills spent 88% of the daytime foraging; and feeding, looking around and walking comprised 99% of foraging time. Feeding time increased with increasing flock size, looking around decreased but walking was unaffected. Aggression was rare, was unaffected by flock size and did not significantly affect feeding. A probability model showed that sheathbills could greatly reduce predation risk by flocking but the benefits would not improve much in flocks greater than eight birds.The habitat selection, time budgets and feeding success of adults, subadults and juveniles were very similar.The exploitation of terrestrial invertebrates by sheathbills was interpreted as an expansion of the population's trophic niche to tap an underexploited resource on a species-poor island.