Spatio-temporal dynamics and human-land synergistic relationship of urban expansion in Chinese megacities.

Megacities play important roles in countries' politics, economy, culture, etc. Exploring the law of urban expansion of megacities has important reference for sustainable urbanization. Here, the spatiotemporal dynamics of urban expansion were quantified analyzed in 21 Chinese megacities from 2000 to 2020 with quantitative measurement indicators and explored the human-land synergistic relationship used the decoupling model. Results are as follows: (1) China's megacities experienced significant expansion, and urban expansion characterized as rapid initially but slowed down thereafter. (2) Urban expansion in megacities was characterized as having significant spatial differences, and rapidly expanding megacity centers moved from eastern to midwestern China. (3) Urban spatial expansion of megacities was mainly an enclave type in 2000-2010 and marginal type in 2010-2020. (4) The main type of human-land synergistic relationship in megacities were weak decoupling, there is a significant increase in expansive coupling and expansive negative decoupling in 2010-2020; (5) Lastly, human-land synergy relationship in most megacities was uncoordinated based on the per capita urban land area and decoupling type. The findings of this study can deepen the understanding of the characteristics and quality of urbanization evolution, and provides reference for high-quality development planning and decision-making in megacities.

Trade-Off and Projecting Effects of Land Use Change on Ecosystem Services under Different Policies Scenarios: A Case Study in Central China.

Predicting the spatio-temporal evolution characteristics and trade-off/synergy relationships of ecosystem service value (ESV) under different policy scenarios is of great significance for realizing regional sustainable development. This study established a framework and used the geographical simulation and optimization systems-future land use simulation (GeoSOS-FLUS) model and bivariate local autocorrelation analysis to stimulate and predict the impact of land use change on the ESV of Anyang City from 1995 to 2025. We also explored the trade-offs and synergy among ecosystem services under three policy scenarios (natural evolution, cultivated land protection, and ecological protection) in 2025. Results show that (1) the land use change in Anyang from 1995 to 2025 was significant, and the degree of land use change under the cultivated land and ecological protection scenarios was more moderate than that under the natural evolution scenario; (2) The total ESV decreased between 1995 and 2015, amounting to losses of 1126 million yuan, and the decline from 2015 to 2025 under the natural evolution scenario was more significant than those under the cultivated land protection and ecological protection scenarios; and (3) an obvious synergy was observed between various ecosystem services in Anyang City under different scenarios in 2025, and the most significant synergy was observed under the natural evolution scenario. In terms of spatial distribution, the agglomeration of "high-high" synergy in the west and "low-low" synergy in the central region was significant. Local areas showed "high-low" and "low-high" trade-off relationships scattered between their built land and woodland or cultivated land. The proposed framework can provide certain scientific support for regulating land use and ecosystem services in rapidly urbanized areas.