Prospective evaluation of logistic regression models for the diagnosis of ovarian cancer.

OBJECTIVE: To test the accuracy of three logistic regression models in diagnosing malignancy in women with adnexal masses. METHODS: This was a prospective collaborative study. Women were recruited from three hospitals and all assessments were performed at the Gynaecology Ultrasound Unit, King's College Hospital. One hundred women with known adnexal masses were examined preoperatively. The demographic, biochemical, and sonographic data recorded for each patient included age, menopausal status, CA 125 levels, ultrasound morphology, and Doppler blood flow analysis. The diagnosis of malignancy was made for each woman using three logistic regression models previously described by Alcazar et al, Tailor et al, and Timmerman et al. Variables used in these models were then combined to form a new model. The results were compared with the final histopathologic diagnosis. RESULTS: Sixty-seven women had benign tumors and 33 had ovarian cancer. Women with malignant tumors were older than those with benign masses. There were significant differences in CA 125 levels, presence of papillary proliferations, and ascites between the two groups. The sensitivities and specificities achieved respectively by the models were as follows: 45% and 93% with Tailor et al's model, 9% and 99% with Alcazar et al's model, and 73% and 91% with Timmerman et al's model. There was no significant improvement over the performance of Timmerman et al's model and the new combined model. CONCLUSION: All models performed less well than originally reported. Combining the models did not lead to a significant improvement in performance. Larger sample sizes that incorporate all types of ovarian tumors are necessary to design more accurate diagnostic models.

T cell non-Hodgkin's lymphoma presenting in the first trimester of pregnancy.

This case report details of the presentation of a young woman in the first trimester of her pregnancy with lethargy, weakness, vomiting, pyrexia and lymphadenopathy. Extensive investigation revealed an advanced T cell lymphoma and only the second reported case in pregnancy to our knowledge. We discuss her management and subsequent chemotherapy in the context of a short review of the literature spanning the last decade.

Duodenal ulcer hemorrhage in the puerperium.

Hemorrhage from a peptic ulcer during pregnancy is a rare complication that occurs most frequently near term or in the puerperium. A case of massive hematemesis from a duodenal ulcer on the third puerperal day is described. Emergency surgery with vagotomy and pyloroplasty was performed. The mother had no symptoms of peptic ulceration until the onset of mild abdominal pain 4 days before delivery.

Detection of abnormal cervical smears. A comparative study.

The inefficiency of the Ayres Spatula in detecting abnormality in cervical cytology has been demonstrated recently in a number of trials. In a randomized single-blind trial we have compared the Multispatula with the Ayres Spatula in a group of 158 women who previously had abnormal smears and had been referred to colposcopy clinics in the Lewisham and North Southwark Health Authority of London. The quality of the smears, as assessed by the presence or absence of endocervical cells, revealed that the Multispatula (87.3% pick-up) produced significantly better smears (p less than 0.005) compared with the Ayres Spatula (54.4% pick-up). In 149 smears collected with the Multispatula, atypia was confirmed. However, in only 129 smears taken with the Ayres Spatula were abnormal smears detected (p decreases less than 0.005). We concluded that the Multispatula produces a better quality smear which results in a decreased false negative rate in comparison with the Ayres Spatula.

Diabetic pregnancy following renal transplantation.

Renal transplantation for diabetic nephropathy prolongs survival and the return of fertility makes pregnancy possible. We describe a successful pregnancy in a 38-year-old diabetic renal transplant recipient despite blindness, gangrenous toes, cardiac impairment, and both sensory and autonomic neuropathy. Renal function remained stable throughout the pregnancy which was complicated by supine hypertension, postural hypotension and increasing proteinuria. Fetal distress and increasing proteinuria precipitated delivery by Caesarean section at 29 weeks of a female infant weighting 1.1 kg. Following delivery, hypertension improved, gangrene resolved, proteinuria decreased, and renal function remained stable. Pregnancy in long-standing diabetic patients with renal transplants, although hazardous, may be successful yet the maternal morbidity and mortality makes them inadvisable.