Developing a Simpler Prognosticating Tool: Comparing the Combined Assessment of Risk Encountered in Surgery Score with Deyo-Charlson Comorbidity Index and The American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status Score in Predicting 2 years Mortality after Hip Fracture Surgery.

Background: The use of risk stratification tools in identifying high-risk hip fracture patients plays an important role during treatment. The aim of this study was to compare our locally derived Combined Assessment of Risk Encountered in Surgery (CARES) score with the the American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status (ASA-PS) score and the Deyo-Charlson Comorbidity Index (D-CCI) in predicting 2-year mortality after hip fracture surgery. Methods and Material: A retrospective study was conducted on surgically treated hip fracture patients in a large tertiary hospital from Jan 2013 through Dec 2015. Age, gender, time to surgery, ASA-PS score, D-CCI, and CARES score were obtained. Univariate and multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to assess statistical significance of scores and risk factors, and area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) was used to compare ASA-PS, D-CCI, and CARES as predictors of mortality at 2 years. Results: 763 surgically treated hip fracture patients were included in this study. The 2-year mortality rate was 13.1% (n = 100), and the mean ± SD CARES score of surviving and demised patients was 21.2 ± 5.98 and 25.9 ± 5.59, respectively. Using AUC, CARES was shown to be a better predictor of 2-year mortality than ASA-PS, but we found no statistical difference between CARES and D-CCI. A CARES score of 23, attributable primarily to pre-surgical morbidities and poor health of the patient, was identified as the statistical threshold for "high" risk of 2-year mortality. Conclusion: The CARES score is a viable risk predictor for 2-year mortality following hip fracture surgery and is comparable to the D-CCI in predictive capability. Our results support the use of a simpler yet clinically relevant CARES in prognosticating mortality following hip fracture surgery, particularly when information on the pre-existing comorbidities of the patient is not immediately available.

Hip fractures in elderly patients with non-dialysis dependent chronic kidney disease: Outcomes in a Southeast Asian population.

ABSTRACT: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) causes bone and mineral disorders and alterations in vitamin D metabolism that contribute to greater skeletal fragility. Hip fracture in elderly is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. The aim of this study was to investigate the outcome of elderly patients with non-dialysis dependent CKD and hip fracture undergoing surgery.Retrospective study with IRB approval of patients above 65 years of age, with hip fractures admitted between June 2014 to June 2016 in a Southeast Asian cohort. Data collected included demographic variables and the haematological and biochemical parameters HBA1c, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), serum calcium, phosphorous, and 25(OH) Vitamin D. Co-morbidities investigated were ischemic heart disease, congestive heart failure, peripheral vascular disease, malignancy, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, cerebro vascular accident, hypertension and hyperlipidaemia. All patients were followed up from index date to either death or June 1, 2018.Of the 883 patients, 725 underwent surgery and 334 had CKD. Death rates for CKD patients with hip fractures and those with normal renal function did not differ significantly [8.08% vs 6.54%, (HR= 1.33, 95% CI: 0.95, 1.86; P = .102)], whilst median hospital length of stay was significantly higher in CKD patients [10.5 vs 9.03 days (P = .003)]. Significant risk factors associated with higher risk of mortality in the elderly with hip fracture were male gender, age ≥80 years and serum albumin < 30 g/L (all, P < .0001).In summary, in elderly, non-dialysis dependent CKD patient with hip fracture we found that male gender, age ≥80 years, low serum albumin and eGFR < 30 mL/min/1.73 m2 were associated with higher risk of death. The hospital stay in the CKD group was also longer. Additional studies are needed to validate our findings.