Evaluating the cost-effectiveness of diagnosing and treating phantom cows in seasonal-calving dairy herds.

The objective of this study was to explore the cost-effectiveness of using a progesterone-based synchrony program to manage phantom cows on seasonal-calving dairy farms. Phantom cows were defined as cows that had been artificially inseminated ≤14 d after mating start date (MSD), were not subsequently detected in estrus, and were diagnosed nonpregnant at a pregnancy diagnosis conducted approximately 49 d after MSD. Decision-tree analysis was applied to data from a previous randomized controlled trial in which phantom cows (n = 378) from spring-calving dairy farms were randomly allocated to an untreated control group or were immediately treated with a 10-d progesterone-based synchrony program with fixed-time artificial insemination. The net economic return of treating all cows presented by the farmer for pregnancy diagnosis that were diagnosed nonpregnant was compared with no intervention. The net return was calculated per cow present at MSD because the decision trees followed all cows present at MSD through to mating end date to account for farmers inadvertently presenting ineligible cows for pregnancy diagnosis and possible treatment. Probabilities, costs, and benefits of reproductive outcomes were based on published data and expert opinion. The effects of key variables on the economic return were tested by sensitivity analysis. Phantom cow intervention delivered a net return of NZ$4.451 (at the time of the study, NZ$1 = US$0.6629) per cow present at MSD. The sensitivity of pregnancy diagnosis, the proportion of ineligible cows presented by the farmer for pregnancy diagnosis, and the prevalence of phantom cows were highly influential on the net economic return from phantom cow intervention. These findings suggest that treatment of phantom cows in seasonal-calving dairy farms using a progesterone-based synchrony program is economically viable based on the current model assumptions. Accurate cow selection and pregnancy diagnosis are essential to success, and veterinarians and animal health advisors can improve the net economic return of intervention by selecting farms likely to have a higher prevalence of phantom cows based on the presence of observable risk factors.

Effect of treatment of phantom cows with a progesterone-based synchrony programme.

Aim: To determine the effect of a progesterone-based synchrony programme on the daily hazard of conception and the probability of being pregnant at the end of the seasonal mating period in cows not observed in oestrus within 35-49 days of insemination and that were diagnosed non-pregnant (phantom cows) on seasonally calving New Zealand dairy farms. Secondary aims were to determine the prevalence of phantom cows and estimate the proportion of phantom cows with a functional corpus luteum (CL) at enrolment. Methods: Phantom cows from 14 New Zealand commercial dairy farms were enrolled in a randomised, controlled trial. Cows that were artificially inseminated ≤14 days after mating start date and were not subsequently detected in oestrus, were presented for pregnancy diagnosis approximately 49 days after mating start date. Non-pregnant cows were diagnosed as phantom cows and randomly allocated to treatment and control groups. A milk sample was collected for progesterone assay to determine the presence of a functional CL. Treatment consisted of an injection of buserelin and insertion of an intravaginal device containing progesterone on Day 0, injections of dinoprost and equine chorionic gonadotrophin, and removal of the intravaginal device on Day 7, injection of buserelin on Day 9, and fixed time artificial insemination on Day 10. Treatment group cows were then mixed with bulls for the remainder of the seasonal mating period. Cows allocated to the control group were mated naturally by bulls. Statistical models were constructed to determine the effect of treatment on the daily hazard of conception and the probability of being pregnant at the end of the seasonal mating period. Results: A total of 378/4,214 (9.0%) cows presented for pregnancy diagnosis were diagnosed as phantom cows. A functional CL was diagnosed in 257/362 (71.0%) phantom cows. Median predicted enrolment to conception intervals were 33 (95% CI = 30-45) and 30 (95% CI = 28-33) days, for cows in the control and treatment groups, respectively. The odds of being pregnant at the end of mating were 1.70 (95% CI = 1.34-2.17) times greater for treated phantom cows than untreated phantom cows. Estimated marginal mean proportion pregnant at mating end date were 59.5 (95% CI = 47.9-70.1)% and 71.5 (95% CI = 62.6-79.0)% for control and treatment group cows, respectively. Conclusions: Treatment with a progesterone-based synchrony programme significantly increased the probability of phantom cows being pregnant at the end of the seasonal mating period.

Investigation of the association between the interval from internal teat sealant administration to calving and early lactation clinical mastitis in New Zealand dairy heifers.

AIMS: To examine the association between the interval from internal teat sealant (ITS) administration to calving and the incidence of farmer-recorded clinical mastitis in the first 30 days of lactation in pasture-based dairy heifers. METHODS: Heifers that were administered an ITS by a single veterinary business in the South Island of New Zealand over the winter of 2014 were enrolled in a cross-sectional observational study. ITS was administered to all heifers on each participating farm on a single calendar day. The dates of calving and farmer-diagnosed clinical mastitis were recorded by farm staff. The interval from ITS administration to calving was categorised into four approximately evenly sized groups: <35, 35-48, 49-69 and >69 days. The quartile of the farm's calving period in which each heifer calved was also investigated as a potential confounding variable. A hierarchical logistic regression model was constructed to determine the association between the interval from ITS administration to calving with the odds of clinical mastitis in the first 30 days of lactation. RESULTS: Analysis was performed on 7,126 eligible heifers from 31 farms, with ITS administered between 9 May and 11 July 2014. The mean interval from ITS administration to calving was 52.9 (SD 24.4, min 1, max 137) days. Clinical mastitis was diagnosed in 420/7,126 (5.9 (95% CI=5.4-6.5)%) heifers between calving and day 30 of lactation. In the final multivariable model, which included calving period quartile, interval from ITS administration to calving was not associated with the odds of clinical mastitis (p=0.516). Compared to an interval from ITS administration to calving of <35 days, the adjusted OR of clinical mastitis for intervals of 35-48, 49-69 and >69 days were 0.83 (95% CI=0.59-1.17), 0.71 (95% CI=0.45-1.11) and 0.68 (95% CI=0.36-1.29), respectively. CONCLUSIONS AND CLINICAL RELEVANCE: Within the range of intervals from ITS administration to calving observed in this study, there was no association with the odds of clinical mastitis in the first 30 days of lactation in dairy heifers. This study suggests that veterinary clinics may be able to extend their ITS administration service and treat dairy heifers earlier than the current recommendation of approximately 4 weeks before the planned start of calving.