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1.
J Appl Physiol (1985) ; 134(3): 710-721, 2023 03 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36759166

RESUMO

Biomass fuels (wood) are commonly used indoors in underventilated environments for cooking in the developing world, but the impact on lung physiology is poorly understood. Quantitative computed tomography (qCT) can provide sensitive metrics to compare the lungs of women cooking with wood vs. liquified petroleum gas (LPG). We prospectively assessed (qCT and spirometry) 23 primary female cooks (18 biomass, 5 LPG) with no history of cardiopulmonary disease in Thanjavur, India. CT was obtained at coached total lung capacity (TLC) and residual volume (RV). qCT assessment included texture-derived ground glass opacity [GGO: Adaptive Multiple Feature Method (AMFM)], air-trapping (expiratory voxels ≤ -856HU) and image registration-based assessment [Disease Probability Measure (DPM)] of emphysema, functional small airways disease (%AirTrapDPM), and regional lung mechanics. In addition, within-kitchen exposure assessments included particulate matter <2.5 µm(PM2.5), black carbon, ß-(1, 3)-d-glucan (surrogate for fungi), and endotoxin. Air-trapping went undetected at RV via the threshold-based measure (voxels ≤ -856HU), possibly due to density shifts in the presence of inflammation. However, DPM, utilizing image-matching, demonstrated significant air-trapping in biomass vs. LPG cooks (P = 0.049). A subset of biomass cooks (6/18), identified using k-means clustering, had markedly altered DPM-metrics: greater air-trapping (P < 0.001), lower TLC-RV volume change (P < 0.001), a lower mean anisotropic deformation index (ADI; P < 0.001), and elevated % GGO (P < 0.02). Across all subjects, a texture measure of bronchovascular bundles was correlated to the log-transformed ß-(1, 3)-d-glucan concentration (P = 0.026, R = 0.46), and black carbon (P = 0.04, R = 0.44). This pilot study identified environmental links with qCT-based lung pathologies and a cluster of biomass cooks (33%) with significant small airways disease.NEW & NOTEWORTHY Quantitative computed tomography has identified a cluster of women (33%) cooking with biomass fuels (wood) with image-based markers of functional small airways disease and associated alterations in regional lung mechanics. Texture and image registration-based metrics of lung function may allow for early detection of potential inflammatory processes that may arise in response to inhaled biomass smoke, and help identify phenotypes of chronic lung disease prevalent in nonsmoking women in the developing world.


Assuntos
Poluição do Ar em Ambientes Fechados , Doença Pulmonar Obstrutiva Crônica , Feminino , Humanos , Projetos Piloto , Poluição do Ar em Ambientes Fechados/efeitos adversos , Poluição do Ar em Ambientes Fechados/análise , Biomassa , Pulmão/diagnóstico por imagem , Material Particulado/análise , Culinária , Carbono
2.
Biometrics ; 79(2): 964-974, 2023 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35426119

RESUMO

Multivariate time-series (MTS) data are prevalent in diverse domains and often high dimensional. We propose new random projection ensemble classifiers with high-dimensional MTS. The method first applies dimension reduction in the time domain via randomly projecting the time-series variables into some low-dimensional space, followed by measuring the disparity via some novel base classifier between the data and the candidate generating processes in the projected space. Our contributions are twofold: (i) We derive optimal weighted majority voting schemes for pooling information from the base classifiers for multiclass classification and (ii) we introduce new base frequency-domain classifiers based on Whittle likelihood (WL), Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence, eigen-distance (ED), and Chernoff (CH) divergence. Both simulations for binary and multiclass problems, and an Electroencephalogram (EEG) application demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed methods in constructing accurate classifiers with high-dimensional MTS.


Assuntos
Algoritmos , Fatores de Tempo
3.
Commun Biol ; 4(1): 1200, 2021 10 20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34671066

RESUMO

Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) is characterized by progressively enlarging cysts. Here we elucidate the interplay between oxidative stress, mitochondrial dysfunction, and metabolic derangement using two mouse models of PKD1 mutation, PKD1RC/null and PKD1RC/RC. Mouse kidneys with PKD1 mutation have decreased mitochondrial complexes activity. Targeted proteomics analysis shows a significant decrease in proteins involved in the TCA cycle, fatty acid oxidation (FAO), respiratory complexes, and endogenous antioxidants. Overexpressing mitochondrial-targeted catalase (mCAT) using adeno-associated virus reduces mitochondrial ROS, oxidative damage, ameliorates the progression of PKD and partially restores expression of proteins involved in FAO and the TCA cycle. In human ADPKD cells, inducing mitochondrial ROS increased ERK1/2 phosphorylation and decreased AMPK phosphorylation, whereas the converse was observed with increased scavenging of ROS in the mitochondria. Treatment with the mitochondrial protective peptide, SS31, recapitulates the beneficial effects of mCAT, supporting its potential application as a novel therapeutic for ADPKD.


Assuntos
Antioxidantes/metabolismo , Mitocôndrias/metabolismo , Rim Policístico Autossômico Dominante/metabolismo , Animais , Linhagem Celular , Modelos Animais de Doenças , Humanos , Rim Policístico Autossômico Dominante/fisiopatologia
4.
Aging Cell ; 19(6): e13154, 2020 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32400101

RESUMO

This study investigated the direct roles of hydrogen peroxide (H2 O2 ) in kidney aging using transgenic mice overexpressing glutathione peroxidase-1 (GPX1 TG). We demonstrated that kidneys in old mice recapitulated kidneys in elderly humans and were characterized by glomerulosclerosis, tubular atrophy, interstitial fibrosis, and loss of cortical mass. Scavenging H2 O2 by GPX1 TG significantly reduced mitochondrial and total cellular reactive oxygen species (ROS) and mitigated oxidative damage, thus improving these pathologies. The potential mechanisms by which ROS are increased in the aged kidney include a decreased abundance of an anti-aging hormone, Klotho, in kidney tissue, and decreased expression of nuclear respiratory factor 2 (Nrf2), a master regulator of the stress response. Decreased Klotho or Nrf2 was not improved in the kidneys of old GPX1 TG mice, even though mitochondrial morphology was better preserved. Using laser capture microdissection followed by label-free shotgun proteomics analysis, we show that the glomerular proteome in old mice was characterized by decreased abundance of cytoskeletal proteins (critical for maintaining normal glomerular function) and heat shock proteins, leading to increased accumulation of apolipoprotein E and inflammatory molecules. Targeted proteomic analysis of kidney tubules from old mice showed decreased abundance of fatty acid oxidation enzymes and antioxidant proteins, as well as increased abundance of glycolytic enzymes and molecular chaperones. GPX1 TG partially attenuated the remodeling of glomerular and tubule proteomes in aged kidneys. In summary, mitochondria from GPX1 TG mice are protected and kidney aging is ameliorated via its antioxidant activities, independent and downstream of Nrf2 or Klotho signaling.


Assuntos
Glutationa Peroxidase/biossíntese , Rim/metabolismo , Proteoma/metabolismo , Espécies Reativas de Oxigênio/metabolismo , Fatores Etários , Animais , Glutationa Peroxidase/genética , Glutationa Peroxidase/metabolismo , Rim/enzimologia , Rim/patologia , Camundongos , Camundongos Transgênicos , Estresse Oxidativo/fisiologia , Proteômica , Glutationa Peroxidase GPX1
5.
Stat Med ; 36(10): 1638-1654, 2017 05 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28132419

RESUMO

Methacholine challenge tests are used to measure changes in pulmonary function that indicate symptoms of asthma. In addition to pulmonary function tests, which measure global changes in pulmonary function, computed tomography images taken at full inspiration before and after administration of methacholine provide local air volume changes (hyper-inflation post methacholine) at individual acinar units, indicating local airway hyperresponsiveness. Some of the acini may have extreme air volume changes relative to the global average, indicating hyperresponsiveness, and those extreme values may occur in clusters. We propose a Gaussian mixture model with a spatial smoothness penalty to improve prediction of hyperresponsive locations that occur in spatial clusters. A simulation study provides evidence that the spatial smoothness penalty improves prediction under different data-generating mechanisms. We apply this method to computed tomography data from Seoul National University Hospital on five healthy and ten asthmatic subjects. Copyright © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.


Assuntos
Asma/diagnóstico por imagem , Asma/fisiopatologia , Testes de Função Respiratória/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Bioestatística , Hiper-Reatividade Brônquica , Testes de Provocação Brônquica/estatística & dados numéricos , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Simulação por Computador , Feminino , Humanos , Funções Verossimilhança , Masculino , Cloreto de Metacolina , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos Estatísticos , Distribuição Normal , Tomografia Computadorizada por Raios X/estatística & dados numéricos
6.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 114(1): 113-118, 2017 01 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27940911

RESUMO

Dengue, a viral infection transmitted between people by mosquitoes, is one of the most rapidly spreading diseases in the world. Here, we report the analyses covering 11 y (2005-2015) from the city of Guangzhou in southern China. Using the first 8 y of data to develop an ecologically based model for the dengue system, we reliably predict the following 3 y of dengue dynamics-years with exceptionally extensive dengue outbreaks. We demonstrate that climate conditions, through the effects of rainfall and temperature on mosquito abundance and dengue transmission rate, play key roles in explaining the temporal dynamics of dengue incidence in the human population. Our study thus contributes to a better understanding of dengue dynamics and provides a predictive tool for preventive dengue reduction strategies.


Assuntos
Aedes/virologia , Mudança Climática , Dengue/epidemiologia , Dengue/transmissão , Insetos Vetores/virologia , Animais , China/epidemiologia , Clima , Vírus da Dengue/patogenicidade , Surtos de Doenças , Humanos , Modelos Teóricos , Chuva , Temperatura
7.
J Environ Qual ; 45(4): 1351-8, 2016 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27380084

RESUMO

Excessive phosphorus (P) in rivers is prompting states to develop strategies to reduce P concentrations and export. The goal of this study was to assess the current condition by analyzing trends in total P (TP) concentrations at 40 river monitoring sites in Iowa for the period 1998 to 2013. We used monthly river monitoring data collected by the State of Iowa at ambient sites located beyond the influence of point sources or cities. Study objectives were to assess the presence of any linear trends in the TP concentration data using a time-series method that accounted for temporal correlation in the data and discharge and to combine the trend information from individual sites into an assessment of the statewide rate of change in river TP concentrations. Results indicated that annual TP concentrations were significantly decreasing at 12 sites ( < 0.05), with concentrations ranging from 7.5% (Maple River) to 2.6% (Boyer River) and averaging 4.1% for the 12 sites. No statistically significant change was measured at 28 sites ( > 0.05), although all but four of these sites had decreasing concentrations. As a population of sampled rivers across Iowa, TP concentrations were declining at an annual rate of approximately 2.6%. The decreasing trends are consistent with reported reductions in sediment concentrations measured in the Raccoon River and with decreasing trends detected in other midwestern rivers. We attribute the decreasing TP trends primarily to improvements in conservation and land management. Although reducing nonpoint source TP concentrations in Iowa rivers will be a tremendous challenge for the agricultural community, progress is being made toward meeting this goal with existing programs.


Assuntos
Fósforo/análise , Poluentes Químicos da Água/análise , Monitoramento Ambiental , Iowa , Rios
8.
Med Phys ; 43(5): 2598, 2016 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27147369

RESUMO

PURPOSE: A test object (phantom) is an important tool to evaluate comparability and stability of CT scanners used in multicenter and longitudinal studies. However, there are many sources of error that can interfere with the test object-derived quantitative measurements. Here the authors investigated three major possible sources of operator error in the use of a test object employed to assess pulmonary density-related as well as airway-related metrics. METHODS: Two kinds of experiments were carried out to assess measurement variability caused by imperfect scanning status. The first one consisted of three experiments. A COPDGene test object was scanned using a dual source multidetector computed tomographic scanner (Siemens Somatom Flash) with the Subpopulations and Intermediate Outcome Measures in COPD Study (SPIROMICS) inspiration protocol (120 kV, 110 mAs, pitch = 1, slice thickness = 0.75 mm, slice spacing = 0.5 mm) to evaluate the effects of tilt angle, water bottle offset, and air bubble size. After analysis of these results, a guideline was reached in order to achieve more reliable results for this test object. Next the authors applied the above findings to 2272 test object scans collected over 4 years as part of the SPIROMICS study. The authors compared changes of the data consistency before and after excluding the scans that failed to pass the guideline. RESULTS: This study established the following limits for the test object: tilt index ≤0.3, water bottle offset limits of [-6.6 mm, 7.4 mm], and no air bubble within the water bottle, where tilt index is a measure incorporating two tilt angles around x- and y-axis. With 95% confidence, the density measurement variation for all five interested materials in the test object (acrylic, water, lung, inside air, and outside air) resulting from all three error sources can be limited to ±0.9 HU (summed in quadrature), when all the requirements are satisfied. The authors applied these criteria to 2272 SPIROMICS scans and demonstrated a significant reduction in measurement variation associated with the test object. CONCLUSIONS: Three operator errors were identified which significantly affected the usability of the acquired scan images of the test object used for monitoring scanner stability in a multicenter study. The authors' results demonstrated that at the time of test object scan receipt at a radiology core laboratory, quality control procedures should include an assessment of tilt index, water bottle offset, and air bubble size within the water bottle. Application of this methodology to 2272 SPIROMICS scans indicated that their findings were not limited to the scanner make and model used for the initial test but was generalizable to both Siemens and GE scanners which comprise the scanner types used within the SPIROMICS study.


Assuntos
Tomografia Computadorizada Multidetectores/métodos , Reconhecimento Automatizado de Padrão/métodos , Ar , Interpretação Estatística de Dados , Estudos Longitudinais , Modelos Anatômicos , Tomografia Computadorizada Multidetectores/instrumentação , Imagens de Fantasmas , Controle de Qualidade , Água
9.
J Stat Theory Pract ; 10(1): 100-120, 2016.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26997938

RESUMO

A reduced-rank regression with sparse singular value decomposition (RSSVD) approach was proposed by Chen et al. for conducting variable selection in a reduced-rank model. To jointly model the multivariate response, the method efficiently constructs a prespecified number of latent variables as some sparse linear combinations of the predictors. Here, we generalize the method to also perform rank reduction, and enable its usage in reduced-rank vector autoregressive (VAR) modeling to perform automatic rank determination and order selection. We show that in the context of stationary time-series data, the generalized approach correctly identifies both the model rank and the sparse dependence structure between the multivariate response and the predictors, with probability one asymptotically. We demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed method by simulations and analyzing a macro-economical multivariate time series using a reduced-rank VAR model.

10.
Acad Radiol ; 23(3): 304-14, 2016 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26776294

RESUMO

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES: We evaluated the role of automated quantitative computed tomography (CT) scan interpretation algorithm in detecting interstitial lung disease (ILD) and/or emphysema in a sample of elderly subjects with mild lung disease. We hypothesized that the quantification and distributions of CT attenuation values on lung CT, over a subset of Hounsfield units (HUs) range (-1000 HU, 0 HU), can differentiate early or mild disease from normal lung. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We compared the results of quantitative spiral rapid end-exhalation (functional residual capacity, FRC) and end-inhalation (total lung capacity, TLC) CT scan analyses of 52 subjects with radiographic evidence of mild fibrotic lung disease to the results of 17 normal subjects. Several CT value distributions were explored, including (1) that from the peripheral lung taken at TLC (with peels at 15 or 65 mm), (2) the ratio of (1) to that from the core of lung, and (3) the ratio of (2) to its FRC counterpart. We developed a fused-lasso logistic regression model that can automatically identify sub-intervals of -1000 HU and 0 HU over which a CT value distribution provides optimal discrimination between abnormal and normal scans. RESULTS: The fused-lasso logistic regression model based on (2) with 15-mm peel identified the relative frequency of CT values of over -1000 HU and -900 and those over -450 HU and -200 HU as a means of discriminating abnormal versus normal lung, resulting in a zero out-sample false-positive rate, and 15% false-negative rate of that was lowered to 12% by pooling information. CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrated the potential usefulness of this novel quantitative imaging analysis method in discriminating ILD and/or emphysema from normal lungs.


Assuntos
Doenças Pulmonares Intersticiais/diagnóstico por imagem , Pulmão/diagnóstico por imagem , Radiografia Torácica/estatística & dados numéricos , Tomografia Computadorizada por Raios X/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Algoritmos , Expiração , Reações Falso-Negativas , Reações Falso-Positivas , Feminino , Capacidade Residual Funcional/fisiologia , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Enfisema Pulmonar/diagnóstico por imagem , Fibrose Pulmonar/diagnóstico por imagem , Interpretação de Imagem Radiográfica Assistida por Computador/normas , Capacidade Pulmonar Total/fisiologia
11.
Ann Appl Stat ; 10(4): 1880-1906, 2016 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28280520

RESUMO

The human lung airway is a complex inverted tree-like structure. Detailed airway measurements can be extracted from MDCT-scanned lung images, such as segmental wall thickness, airway diameter, parent-child branch angles, etc. The wealth of lung airway data provides a unique opportunity for advancing our understanding of the fundamental structure-function relationships within the lung. An important problem is to construct and identify important lung airway features in normal subjects and connect these to standardized pulmonary function test results such as FEV1%. Among other things, the problem is complicated by the fact that a particular airway feature may be an important (relevant) predictor only when it pertains to segments of certain generations. Thus, the key is an efficient, consistent method for simultaneously conducting group selection (lung airway feature types) and within-group variable selection (airway generations), i.e., bi-level selection. Here we streamline a comprehensive procedure to process the lung airway data via imputation, normalization, transformation and groupwise principal component analysis, and then adopt a new composite penalized regression approach for conducting bi-level feature selection. As a prototype of composite penalization, the proposed composite bridge regression method is shown to admit an efficient algorithm, enjoy bi-level oracle properties, and outperform several existing methods. We analyze the MDCT lung image data from a cohort of 132 subjects with normal lung function. Our results show that, lung function in terms of FEV1% is promoted by having a less dense and more homogeneous lung comprising an airway whose segments enjoy more heterogeneity in wall thicknesses, larger mean diameters, lumen areas and branch angles. These data hold the potential of defining more accurately the "normal" subject population with borderline atypical lung functions that are clearly influenced by many genetic and environmental factors.

12.
Proc Biol Sci ; 282(1807): 20141958, 2015 May 22.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25904659

RESUMO

Climate change is expected to have profound ecological effects, yet shifts in competitive abilities among species are rarely studied in this context. Blue tits (Cyanistes caeruleus) and great tits (Parus major) compete for food and roosting sites, yet coexist across much of their range. Climate change might thus change the competitive relationships and coexistence between these two species. Analysing four of the highest-quality, long-term datasets available on these species across Europe, we extend the textbook example of coexistence between competing species to include the dynamic effects of long-term climate variation. Using threshold time-series statistical modelling, we demonstrate that long-term climate variation affects species demography through different influences on density-dependent and density-independent processes. The competitive interaction between blue tits and great tits has shifted in one of the studied sites, creating conditions that alter the relative equilibrium densities between the two species, potentially disrupting long-term coexistence. Our analyses show that long-term climate change can, but does not always, generate local differences in the equilibrium conditions of spatially structured species assemblages. We demonstrate how long-term data can be used to better understand whether (and how), for instance, climate change might change the relationships between coexisting species. However, the studied populations are rather robust against competitive exclusion.


Assuntos
Comportamento Competitivo , Passeriformes/fisiologia , Animais , Mudança Climática , Ecossistema , Europa (Continente) , Modelos Estatísticos , Densidade Demográfica , Dinâmica Populacional
13.
Invest Radiol ; 50(1): 40-5, 2015 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25198834

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the impact of ultralow radiation dose single-energy computed tomographic (CT) acquisitions with Sn prefiltration and third-generation iterative reconstruction on density-based quantitative measures of growing interest in phenotyping pulmonary disease. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The effects of both decreasing dose and different body habitus on the accuracy of the mean CT attenuation measurements and the level of image noise (SD) were evaluated using the COPDGene 2 test object, containing 8 different materials of interest ranging from air to acrylic and including various density foams. A third-generation dual-source multidetector CT scanner (Siemens SOMATOM FORCE; Siemens Healthcare AG, Erlangen, Germany) running advanced modeled iterative reconstruction (ADMIRE) software (Siemens Healthcare AG) was used.We used normal and very large body habitus rings at dose levels varying from 1.5 to 0.15 mGy using a spectral-shaped (0.6-mm Sn) tube output of 100 kV(p). Three CT scans were obtained at each dose level using both rings. Regions of interest for each material in the test object scans were automatically extracted. The Hounsfield unit values of each material using weighted filtered back projection (WFBP) at 1.5 mGy was used as the reference value to evaluate shifts in CT attenuation at lower dose levels using either WFBP or ADMIRE. Statistical analysis included basic statistics, Welch t tests, multivariable covariant model using the F test to assess the significance of the explanatory (independent) variables on the response (dependent) variable, and CT mean attenuation, in the multivariable covariant model including reconstruction method. RESULTS: Multivariable regression analysis of the mean CT attenuation values showed a significant difference with decreasing dose between ADMIRE and WFBP. The ADMIRE has reduced noise and more stable CT attenuation compared with WFBP. There was a strong effect on the mean CT attenuation values of the scanned materials for ring size (P < 0.0001) and dose level (P < 0.0001). The number of voxels in the region of interest for the particular material studied did not demonstrate a significant effect (P > 0.05). The SD was lower with ADMIRE compared with WFBP at all dose levels and ring sizes (P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: The third-generation dual-source CT scanners using third-generation iterative reconstruction methods can acquire accurate quantitative CT images with acceptable image noise at very low-dose levels (0.15 mGy). This opens up new diagnostic and research opportunities in CT phenotyping of the lung for developing new treatments and increased understanding of pulmonary disease.


Assuntos
Processamento de Imagem Assistida por Computador/métodos , Pulmão/diagnóstico por imagem , Tomografia Computadorizada Multidetectores/métodos , Doença Pulmonar Obstrutiva Crônica/diagnóstico por imagem , Intensificação de Imagem Radiográfica/métodos , Interpretação de Imagem Radiográfica Assistida por Computador/métodos , Software , Humanos , Imagens de Fantasmas , Doses de Radiação
14.
Epidemics ; 7: 7-12, 2014 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24928664

RESUMO

We developed a two-strain susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model that provides a framework for inferring the cross-immunity between two strains of a bacterial species in the host population with discretely sampled co-infection time-series data. Moreover, the model accounts for seasonality in host reproduction. We illustrate an approach using a dataset describing co-infections by several strains of bacteria circulating within a population of cotton rats (Sigmodon hispidus). Bartonella strains were clustered into three genetically close groups, between which the divergence is correspondent to the accepted level of separate bacterial species. The proposed approach revealed no cross-immunity between genetic clusters while limited cross-immunity might exist between subgroups within the clusters.


Assuntos
Infecções por Bartonella/microbiologia , Bartonella/genética , Coinfecção/imunologia , Imunidade/genética , Doenças dos Roedores/microbiologia , Animais , Bartonella/imunologia , Infecções por Bartonella/epidemiologia , Infecções por Bartonella/imunologia , Coinfecção/genética , Coinfecção/microbiologia , Intervalos de Confiança , Modelos Animais de Doenças , Vetores de Doenças , Imunidade/imunologia , Análise dos Mínimos Quadrados , Ratos , Doenças dos Roedores/epidemiologia , Doenças dos Roedores/imunologia , Sigmodontinae
15.
PLoS One ; 9(5): e95316, 2014.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24835251

RESUMO

For many organisms, the reconstruction of source-sink dynamics is hampered by limited knowledge of the spatial assemblage of either the source or sink components or lack of information on the strength of the linkage for any source-sink pair. In the case of marine species with a pelagic dispersal phase, these problems may be mitigated through the use of particle drift simulations based on an ocean circulation model. However, when simulated particle trajectories do not intersect sampling sites, the corroboration of model drift simulations with field data is hampered. Here, we apply a new statistical approach for reconstructing source-sink dynamics that overcomes the aforementioned problems. Our research is motivated by the need for understanding observed changes in jellyfish distributions in the eastern Bering Sea since 1990. By contrasting the source-sink dynamics reconstructed with data from the pre-1990 period with that from the post-1990 period, it appears that changes in jellyfish distribution resulted from the combined effects of higher jellyfish productivity and longer dispersal of jellyfish resulting from a shift in the ocean circulation starting in 1991. A sensitivity analysis suggests that the source-sink reconstruction is robust to typical systematic and random errors in the ocean circulation model driving the particle drift simulations. The jellyfish analysis illustrates that new insights can be gained by studying structural changes in source-sink dynamics. The proposed approach is applicable for the spatial source-sink reconstruction of other species and even abiotic processes, such as sediment transport.


Assuntos
Distribuição Animal/fisiologia , Ecossistema , Modelos Teóricos , Cifozoários/fisiologia , Movimentos da Água , Alaska , Animais , Biomassa , Oceanos e Mares , Dinâmica Populacional , Análise de Regressão , Fatores de Tempo
16.
Environ Monit Assess ; 185(6): 4605-17, 2013 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23054269

RESUMO

Nitrate-nitrogen concentrations in rivers represent challenges for water supplies that use surface water sources. Nitrate concentrations are often modeled using time-series approaches, but previous efforts have typically relied on monthly time steps. In this study, we developed a dynamic regression model of daily nitrate concentrations in the Raccoon River, Iowa, that incorporated contemporaneous and lags of precipitation and discharge occurring at several locations around the basin. Results suggested that 95 % of the variation in daily nitrate concentrations measured at the outlet of a large agricultural watershed can be explained by time-series patterns of precipitation and discharge occurring in the basin. Discharge was found to be a more important regression variable than precipitation in our model but both regression parameters were strongly correlated with nitrate concentrations. The time-series model was consistent with known patterns of nitrate behavior in the watershed, successfully identifying contemporaneous dilution mechanisms from higher relief and urban areas of the basin while incorporating the delayed contribution of nitrate from tile-drained regions in a lagged response. The first difference of the model errors were modeled as an AR(16) process and suggest that daily nitrate concentration changes remain temporally correlated for more than 2 weeks although temporal correlation was stronger in the first few days before tapering off. Consequently, daily nitrate concentrations are non-stationary, i.e. of strong memory. Using time-series models to reliably forecast daily nitrate concentrations in a river based on patterns of precipitation and discharge occurring in its basin may be of great interest to water suppliers.


Assuntos
Monitoramento Ambiental/métodos , Modelos Químicos , Nitratos/análise , Nitrogênio/análise , Rios/química , Poluentes Químicos da Água/análise , Poluição Química da Água/estatística & dados numéricos , Agricultura , Iowa , Modelos Logísticos
17.
J Environ Qual ; 42(6): 1822-8, 2013 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25602422

RESUMO

Nitrate-nitrogen (NO-N) concentrations threaten water supplies and contribute to impairments of surface water resources. In this study, we analyzed concentration trends at 60 ambient river monitoring sites in Iowa for the years 1998 to 2012 to assess the presence of linear trends in the NO-N concentration data using a time-series method that accounted for temporal correlation and combined the trend information from individual sites into an assessment of the state-wide rate of change in river NO-N concentrations. Forty-six of the sites had sufficient records for trend analysis. Study results indicated that 37 out of 46 sites (80%) did not have statistically significant trends over the monitoring period ( > 0.1). Six monitoring sites in western Iowa had statistically significant increasing trends ( < 0.05), and three additional sites located in western and southern Iowa showed nominally significant increasing trends ( < 0.1). The rate of statistically significant increases ranged from 0.15 to 0.33 mg L yr. Aggregated across the state, the overall trend of NO-N concentrations in Iowa rivers is increasing, with an average and median rate of 0.05 and 0.03 mg L yr, respectively. Increasing concentration is likely associated with increasing trends in fertilizer sales and animal production, but better tracking is needed to establish a definitive relation. Reducing NO-N concentrations using conservation practices is a major focus of the recently proposed Iowa Nutrient Reduction Strategy, and our study provides an important milestone preceding implementation of the strategy.

18.
Biometrika ; 100(4): 901-920, 2013 Dec 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25045172

RESUMO

We propose an adaptive nuclear norm penalization approach for low-rank matrix approximation, and use it to develop a new reduced rank estimation method for high-dimensional multivariate regression. The adaptive nuclear norm is defined as the weighted sum of the singular values of the matrix, and it is generally non-convex under the natural restriction that the weight decreases with the singular value. However, we show that the proposed non-convex penalized regression method has a global optimal solution obtained from an adaptively soft-thresholded singular value decomposition. The method is computationally efficient, and the resulting solution path is continuous. The rank consistency of and prediction/estimation performance bounds for the estimator are established for a high-dimensional asymptotic regime. Simulation studies and an application in genetics demonstrate its efficacy.

19.
Proc Biol Sci ; 279(1743): 3635-42, 2012 Sep 22.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22719038

RESUMO

Density-independent and density-dependent variables both affect the spatial distributions of species. However, their effects are often separately addressed using different analytical techniques. We apply a spatially explicit regression framework that incorporates localized, interactive and threshold effects of both density-independent (water temperature) and density-dependent (population abundance) variables, to study the spatial distribution of a well-monitored flatfish population in the eastern Bering Sea. Results indicate that when population biomass was beyond a threshold a further increase in biomass-promoted habitat expansion in a non-additive fashion with water temperature. In contrast, during years of low population size, habitat occupancy was affected positively only by water temperature. These results reveal the spatial signature of intraspecific abundance distribution relationships as well as the non-additive and non-stationary responses of species spatial dynamics. Furthermore, these results underscore the importance of implementing analytical techniques that can simultaneously account for density-dependent and density-independent sources of variability when studying geographical distribution patterns.


Assuntos
Demografia , Meio Ambiente , Linguado/fisiologia , Alaska , Animais , Modelos Biológicos , Dinâmica Populacional , Análise de Regressão , Temperatura
20.
Infect Genet Evol ; 12(5): 894-904, 2012 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22449771

RESUMO

The application of new molecular approaches has permitted the differentiation of numerous strains belonging to the genus Bartonella and identification of new Bartonella species. However, the molecular typing of these organisms should be coupled with studies aimed at defining the biological properties of the newly described species. The long-history of co-adaptation between bartonella(1) bacteria and their mammalian hosts and possibly arthropod vectors provides a unique opportunity for applying this information for the sub-genus taxonomy. There can be a varying level of association between the bacteria and their hosts, ranging from animal species to animal genus to animal community. The commonality is that any level of association provides a certain degree of isolation for a given bartonella population that can mimic 'biological isolation'. Such an association defines a specific ecological niche and determines some specific characteristics, including sequence types that can be used as markers for demarcation of bacterial species. Usage of a combination of genetic markers and ecological information can delineate a number of species complexes that might combine several genospecies, named strains, and unique genotypes. The identification of such species complexes can be presented as (1) separate phylogenetic lineages distantly related to other species (e.g. Bartonella bacilliformis); (2) clusters of genetically similar strains associated with a specific mammalian group (e.g. Bartonella elizabethae species complex); and (3) clusters of genetically similar strains that combine a number of ecotypes (e.g. Bartonella vinsonii species complex).


Assuntos
Infecções por Bartonella/microbiologia , Bartonella/classificação , Evolução Biológica , Animais , Bartonella/genética , Bartonella/patogenicidade , Ecossistema , Variação Genética , Interações Hospedeiro-Patógeno , Humanos , Filogenia
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