Validation of a Machine Learning Algorithm, EVendo, for Predicting Esophageal Varices in Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Treatment with atezolizumab and bevacizumab has become standard of care for advanced unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) but carries an increased gastrointestinal bleeding risk. Therefore, patients are often required to undergo esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) to rule out esophageal varices (EV) prior to initiating therapy, which can delay care and lead to unnecessary procedural risks and health care costs. In 2019, the EVendo score was created and validated as a noninvasive tool to accurately screen out patients who were at low risk for having EV that required treatment. We sought to validate whether the EVendo score could be used to accurately predict the presence of EV and varices needing treatment (VNT) in patients with HCC. METHODS: This was a retrospective multicenter cohort study of patients with HCC from 9/2004 to 12/2021. We included patients who underwent EGDs within 1 year after their HCC diagnosis. We collected clinical parameters needed to calculate an EVendo score at the time of EGD and compared the EVendo model prediction to the gold standard endoscopic report in predicting presence of VNT. RESULTS: 112 with HCC were recruited to this study, with 117 qualifying EGDs. VNT occurred in 39 (33.3%) patients. The EVendo score had a sensitivity of 97.4% and a negative predictive value of 96.9%, supporting the validity in applying EVendo in predicting VNT in HCC. CONCLUSION: In this study, we validated the use of the EVendo score in ruling out VNT in patients with HCC. The application of the EVendo score could safely defer about 30% of EGDs for EV screening in HCC patients. Although additional validation cohorts are needed, this suggests that EVendo score can potentially be applied in patients with HCC to avoid unnecessary EGDs, which can ultimately mitigate healthcare costs and delays in initiating HCC treatment with atezolizumab and bevacizumab.

Visceral Adipose Tissue Volumetrics Inform Odds of Treatment Response and Risk of Subsequent Surgery in IBD Patients Starting Antitumor Necrosis Factor Therapy.

BACKGROUND: Data describing the effect of obesity on antitumor necrosis factor (anti-TNF) treatment response are inconsistent. Visceral adipose tissue (VAT) is a superior marker of adiposity to body mass index. However, its effect on treatment response is unclear. We aimed to evaluate the effect of VAT on anti-TNF treatment response. METHODS: Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) patients starting anti-TNF agents between January 1, 2009, and July 31, 2019, were included. 3-dimensional measurements of VAT volume and visceral fat index (visceral:subcutaneous adipose tissue ratio; VFI) were obtained from computed tomography (CT) scans. Subjects were categorized by predefined volume cutoffs (<1500cm3, 1500-2999cm3, ≥3000cm3) and VFI (<0.33, 0.33-0.66, ≥0.67). Primary outcomes included a composite treatment response end point at 6 and 12 months. Secondary outcomes were surgery at 6 and 12 months. Multivariable logistic regression was used to calculate adjusted odds ratio (aOR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). RESULTS: The final cohort included 176 patients. No significant differences in treatment response at 6 months was observed. At 12 months, compared with volume <1500cm3, patients with volume 1500-2999cm3 had higher odds of response (aOR, 3.52; 95% CI, 1.16-10.71; P = .023), whereas volume ≥3000cm3 did not. Compared with VFI<0.33, VFI ≥0.67 had higher odds of surgery at 6 (aOR, 48.22; 95% CI, 4.73-491.57; P = .023) and 12 months (aOR, 20.94; 95% CI, 3.14-139.67; P = .004). Post hoc analysis suggested VAT may affect drug pharmacokinetics. CONCLUSIONS: We found VAT volume is associated with anti-TNF treatment response in a nondose dependent manner, and VFI may inform risk of surgery after anti-TNF initiation. If confirmed by prospective studies, VAT volumetrics are potentially useful biomarkers to inform IBD treatment decisions.

Visceral adipose tissue volume is associated with anti-TNF treatment response in a nondose response manner. Additionally, high visceral fat index is associated with significantly increased risk of early surgery after anti-TNF initiation.

Patient Perception and Clinical Impact of Direct-to-Consumer Advertising in Inflammatory Bowel Disease.

INTRODUCTION: With an increasing number of available therapies for inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), little is known about patients' attitudes regarding IBD-related direct-to-consumer advertising (IBD-DTCA) and its impact on treatment decisions in clinical practice. METHODS: We administered a 58-item, mailed questionnaire to patients with IBD receiving Gastroenterology subspecialty care at a large academic health system. The survey assessed patient awareness and perception of IBD-DTCA and its effect on IBD treatment discussions and decisions. We used bivariate analysis to evaluate patient-level factors associated with awareness and favorable perception of IBD-DTCA. RESULTS: We achieved a response rate of 15.2% (n = 226 of 1486). Most patients (93.3%) reported awareness of IBD-DTCA, with adalimumab receiving the most exposure. A majority of respondents reported IBD-DTCA made them more aware of treatments they otherwise would not know about (53.6%), provided information in a balanced manner (63.5%), and taught them about new potential risks and side effects (64.5%). Patients without a college degree and those with a household income less than $75 k per year perceived IBD-DTCA more favorably. However, IBD-DTCA rarely changed IBD management, with only 7.6% of respondents having a discussion with their provider about the advertised drug and only two (0.9%) being initiated on the advertised drug. CONCLUSION: IBD patients were aware of IBD-DTCA and perceived it favorably; however, IBD-DTCA rarely led to patient-provider discussions or changes in treatment regimen.