An epidemiological study of acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding in Crete, Greece.

OBJECTIVES: Information about the epidemiology of acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) in southern Europe is very limited and especially in Greece non-existent. Our study sought to determine the current epidemiology of acute UGIB (incidence, mortality and case fatality) in the prefecture of Heraklion-Crete. DESIGN/METHODS: From February 1998 to February 1999, we prospectively obtained data on all patients with acute UGIB in the prefecture of Heraklion-Crete. All patients who were permanent residents of the prefecture of Heraklion, aged 16 years and over with acute UGIB were included in the study. RESULTS: During this period, 353 cases of acute UGIB were included in the study. The overall incidence of acute UGIB is 160/100,000 adults per year with a male-to-female ratio of 1.7 and a mean age 66.2 +/- 17.1 years. The incidence rises from 30 in those aged under 30 years to 609 in those aged over 75 years. The overall population mortality was 9/100,000 adults per year. Overall case fatality during hospitalization was 5.6%. All deaths occurred in patients older than 60 years. One or more comorbid illnesses were noted in 61% of cases. Recent intake of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) was reported in 49% of the cases. The most common recorded diagnoses were erosive disease in 108 (30.5%) patients, duodenal ulcer in 97 (27.4%) and gastric ulcer in 75 (21.2%). Rebleeding occurred in 41 patients (12%). Twelve patients (3.3%) had surgery during hospitalization. CONCLUSIONS: The overall annual incidence of acute UGIB in the prefecture of Heraklion-Crete is one of the highest reported in Europe and increases appreciably with age. Both population mortality and case fatality are slightly lower compared to those reported in most previous studies.

p53 protein accumulation and colonic adenoma recurrence.

OBJECTIVES: The prognostic value of p53 protein accumulation in colonic adenomas is still controversial. The aim of the present study was to determine whether the evaluation of p53 protein accumulation in newly diagnosed colonic adenomas could predict the development of metachronous adenomas. DESIGN/METHODS: Fifty-five patients who underwent prior endoscopic polypectomy for colonic adenomas were colonoscopically re-evaluated at 24-38 months after index colonoscopy. In cases with more than one adenoma, the one with the greatest diameter and the most serious histology was taken into account. p53 protein expression was immunohistochemically examined using specific monoclonal antibody. RESULTS: p53 protein was detected in 41.8% of the 55 index adenomas. Recurrent adenomas were present in 21 patients (38.2%). Metachronous adenomas were present in 56.5% of patients with p53-positive index adenomas and in 25% of those with p53-negative index adenomas (odds ratio 3.90, P = 0.018). Among patients with 1 or 2 index adenomas, metachronous adenomas were found in 50% of those with p53-positive index adenomas and in 22.6% of those with p53-negative index adenomas (odds ratio 3.43, P= 0.042). Multivariate stepwise logistic regression analysis revealed that number of index adenomas per patient (1 or 2 versus > 2) and p53 expression (positive versus negative) in index adenomas contain independent prognostic information for adenoma recurrence (chi2 = 8.2, P= 0.004 and chi2 = 4.08, P = 0.04 respectively). Patients aged < 60 years developed recurrent adenomas relatively more frequently if they had a p53-positive index adenoma (P= 0.068). In the subgroup of patients aged < 60 years with 1 or 2 index adenomas, the recurrence of adenomas was more frequent in those with a p53-positive index adenoma but the difference did not reach statistical significance (P= 0.13). CONCLUSIONS: Our data suggest that p53 expression in index adenomas is associated with recurrent colonic adenomas.

Proliferative patterns of rectal mucosa as predictors of advanced colonic neoplasms in routinely processed rectal biopsies.

OBJECTIVES: We sought to determine whether the evaluation of rectal cell proliferation in routinely processed rectal biopsies of apparently normal mucosa can predict the presence of advanced colonic neoplasms. METHODS: Fifty consecutive patients, who did not meet any of the following exclusion criteria, underwent total colonoscopy. Patients with nonadvanced adenomas, inflammatory bowel disease, hereditary predisposition to colonic cancer, or a history of colonic neoplasms were excluded. Patients with neoplasms in the distal 40 cm of the large bowel were also excluded. An adenoma was considered advanced if it had a diameter > 1 cm, or villous or severe dysplasia histology were present. In 26 of the 50 patients (Group A: 16 men, 10 women; mean age, 65 yr) advanced colonic neoplasms (advanced adenomas or cancer) were detected; in the remaining 24 (Group B: 13 men, 11 women; mean age, 66 yr) the large bowel was free of neoplasms. In all patients the proliferative patterns of apparently normal rectal mucosa were evaluated using the monoclonal antibody MIB-1 to assess the expression of Ki-67 antigen in routinely processed tissues. Proliferation index for the entire crypt, as well as proliferation indices for each of the five equal compartments, into which the crypt had been divided longitudinally, were calculated for each patient. RESULTS: The mean proliferation indices were similar between the two groups compared. The mean proliferation index for the upper crypt compartments (4 + 5) in the Group A patients was significantly higher than for those of the Group B patients (p < 0.01). Multivariate stepwise logistic regression analysis revealed that among gender, age, and proliferative parameters, the pattern of cell proliferation in the upper rectal crypt (4 + 5) compartment was the only predictor of advanced colonic neoplasms (beta = 11.01, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Our data suggest that the evaluation of the upward expansion of the rectal crypt proliferative zone in routinely processed rectal biopsies of apparently normal mucosa appears to predict the presence of advanced colonic neoplasms. These preliminary results should be confirmed in larger studies.