Using landscape scenarios to improve local nitrogen management and planning.

Scenario-building is a widely used tool to initiate discussions on future land uses. In scenarios possible futures can be explored and peoples' ideas as well as societal trends can be visualized by the use of maps, pictures and figures. With focus on agricultural nitrogen management, and point of departure in the farmers' decisions-regarding fertilizer inputs, crop rotations, land use, and drainage, landscape scenarios are formulated based on local ideas for future nitrogen management and general prospects for local development. The key research question addressed in this paper is how landscape scenarios can guide farmers to improve nitrogen management in smaller catchments dominated by farming. Participatory modelling was used to develop landscape scenarios, depicting the change of nitrogen emission as a result of changes in landscape management and agricultural practices. In the development of the scenarios we used an ArcMap based tool combining statistical data, experimental knowledge, nitrate leaching modelling and input from local stakeholders on biophysical as well as land use and farm management issues. The scenarios presented are the result of a collaborative planning experiment within the frames of the dNmark research alliance on nitrogen. Three different types of scenarios are presented and discussed and their effects in terms of N reduction are estimated. The three scenarios were called: River valley set-aside, constructed wetlands, and land zonation. All the modelled scenarios are estimated to have a positive effect i.e. a reduction of the level of N leached to the root zone. Based on the experience gathered in the project, the feasibility of using scenarios for future environmental planning in the agricultural landscapes is discussed. Further, this is related to the current discussion in Denmark on geographically targeted nitrogen regulation. It is concluded that the co-creative approach to formulation of scenarios can be an effective way of increasing the knowledge and ownership of possible future solutions, however the cost associated with this planning approach is likely to substantially higher that more traditional planning approaches. Consequently, the estimated transactions costs should be weighed against the expected benefits in terms of more successful implementation.

The effect of confirmation calls on appointment-keeping behavior of patients in a children's hospital dental clinic.

PURPOSE: The objective of this prospective, randomized, controlled study was to evaluate whether confirmation calls made one or two working days before scheduled appointments reduce the percentage of broken appointments in a children's hospital dental clinic. METHODS: Patients were randomly assigned to three groups: 1) confirmation call made one working day before appointment, 2) confirmation call made two working days before appointment; and 3) control group (no confirmation call). Clinic staff made confirmation calls during normal office hours. Patient arrival was classified as 1) < or =15 minutes late; 2) > 15 minutes late; or 3) broken appointment. RESULTS: Three hundred and thirteen subjects were enrolled in the study: 77 subjects in group 1; 71 subjects in group 2; and 84 subjects in the control group. Eighty-one subjects (26%) could not be contacted by telephone. Overall, there was a 62% reduction in broken appointments among patients who received a confirmation call as compared to the control group. There was no significant difference between confirmation calls placed one or two working days prior to the appointment (P=0.51). Confirmation calls had no effect on punctuality. In comparing indigent care and private insurance, there was no significant difference in broken appointments. However, within the private insurance group, a confirmation call resulted in 93% of patients keeping their appointment as compared to 63% in the control group (P<0.001). No significant difference was noted in the indigent care group, with 79% of patients in the confirmation call group keeping their appointments as compared to 66% in the control group (P=. 093). CONCLUSIONS: Confirmation calls reduced the percentage of broken appointments in a pediatric dental clinic. There was no difference between calls placed one or two working days prior to the appointment. The greatest reduction in broken appointments was shown in the private insurance group.

Respiratory depression after epidural morphine in the postoperative period. Influence of posture.

Twelve females scheduled for elective lower abdominal surgery received 4 mg of morphine by lumbar epidural injection for postoperative pain relief. The patients were divided into two groups nursed postoperatively in a supine or 45 degree elevated position, respectively. Mouth occlusion pressure during CO2 stimulation was used for the determination of respiratory depression, following epidural morphine. No significant difference in occlusion pressure was found between the two groups. Within the groups a significant reduction of the occlusion pressure was found when compared with the value obtained immediately before the administration of epidural morphine. However, compared with the value obtained the day before surgery, no significant reduction of the occlusion pressure was observed. It is concluded that the 45 degree elevated position does not protect against the occurrence of respiratory depression following epidural morphine.