RESUMO
Prevalence of skin sores and scabies in remote Australian Aboriginal communities remains unacceptably high, with Group A Streptococcus (GAS) the dominant pathogen. We aim to better understand the drivers of GAS transmission using mathematical models. To estimate the force of infection, we quantified the age of first skin sores and scabies infection by pooling historical data from three studies conducted across five remote Aboriginal communities for children born between 2001 and 2005. We estimated the age of the first infection using the Kaplan-Meier estimator; parametric exponential mixture model; and Cox proportional hazards. For skin sores, the mean age of the first infection was approximately 10 months and the median was 7 months, with some heterogeneity in median observed by the community. For scabies, the mean age of the first infection was approximately 9 months and the median was 8 months, with significant heterogeneity by the community and an enhanced risk for children born between October and December. The young age of the first infection with skin sores and scabies reflects the high disease burden in these communities.
Assuntos
Havaiano Nativo ou Outro Ilhéu do Pacífico , Saúde da População Rural , Escabiose/transmissão , Úlcera Cutânea/microbiologia , Infecções Estreptocócicas/transmissão , Streptococcus pyogenes , Fatores Etários , Pré-Escolar , Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Estimativa de Kaplan-Meier , Masculino , Modelos Biológicos , Northern Territory/epidemiologia , Prevalência , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Estudos Retrospectivos , Escabiose/etnologia , Úlcera Cutânea/etnologia , Infecções Estreptocócicas/etnologiaRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: To describe and validate a new deprivation index, based on the percentage of prescribed items exempt from the prescription charge under the low income scheme, at both family health services authority and practice level. DESIGN: Comparison of the index with three other deprivation indices and correlation of index values with the use of drugs given for conditions with known social class gradients. SETTING: All 90 family health services authorities and 7619/9289 practices in England. RESULTS: The ranking of family health services authorities on the new index correlated highly with rankings on the other indices. Values in relation to the use of drugs given for conditions with known social class gradients were in the predicted direction at both family health services authority level and practice level; correlation was highly significant at the authority level, but less significant at practice level. CONCLUSIONS: The new index provides a good measure of deprivation at family health services authority level, and at practice level the results are sufficiently encouraging to warrant further research. It provides the best available instrument for relating deprivation to the use of drugs in any population that can be defined by prescribing data, but an attempt to use it in determining allocation of resources would at this stage be premature.