A perfectly imperfect engine: Utilizing the digital twin paradigm in pulmonary hypertension.

Pulmonary hypertension (PH) is a severe medical condition with a number of treatment options, the majority of which are introduced without consideration of the underlying mechanisms driving it within an individual and thus a lack of tailored approach to treatment. The one exception is a patient presenting with apparent pulmonary arterial hypertension and shown to have vaso-responsive disease, whose clinical course and prognosis is significantly improved by high dose calcium channel blockers. PH is however characterized by a relative abundance of available data from patient cohorts, ranging from molecular data characterizing gene and protein expression in different tissues to physiological data at the organ level and clinical information. Integrating available data with mechanistic information at the different scales into computational models suggests an approach to a more personalized treatment of the disease using model-based optimization of interventions for individual patients. That is, constructing digital twins of the disease, customized to a patient, promises to be a key technology for personalized medicine, with the aim of optimizing use of existing treatments and developing novel interventions, such as new drugs. This article presents a perspective on this approach in the context of a review of existing computational models for different aspects of the disease, and it lays out a roadmap for a path to realizing it.

Application of REVEAL Lite 2 and COMPERA 2.0 risk scores to patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension switching to riociguat in the REPLACE study.

In Riociguat rEplacing PDE5i therapy evaLuated Against Continued PDE5i thErapy (REPLACE) (NCT02891850), improvements in risk status were observed in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) at intermediate risk switching to riociguat versus continuing phosphodiesterase-5 inhibitors (PDE5i). This post hoc study applied the Registry to Evaluate Early and Long-Term PAH Disease Management (REVEAL) Lite 2 and Comparative Prospective Registry of Newly Initiated Therapies for Pulmonary (COMPERA) 2.0 risk-assessment tools to REPLACE to investigate the impact of baseline risk status on clinical improvement. The proportions of riociguat- and PDE5i-treated patients achieving the primary end-point at REVEAL Lite 2 low, intermediate, and high baseline risk reflected the overall population. Proportions of riociguat-treated patients achieving the primary end-point were comparable between the COMPERA 2.0 intermediate-low risk (39%) and intermediate-high risk (43%) groups. Our findings show that patients in REPLACE achieved clinical improvement by switching from PDE5i to riociguat across all COMPERA 2.0 and most REVEAL Lite 2 baseline risk strata.

The British Transplantation Society guidelines on cardiothoracic organ transplantation from deceased donors after circulatory death.

Maximising organ utilisation from donation after circulatory death (DCD) donors could help meet some of the shortfall in organ supply, but it represents a major challenge, particularly as organ donors and transplant recipients become older and more medically complex over time. Success is dependent upon establishing common practices and accepted protocols that allow the safe sharing of DCD organs and maximise the use of the DCD donor pool. The British Transplantation Society 'Guideline on transplantation from deceased donors after circulatory death' has recently been updated. This manuscript summarises the relevant recommendations from chapters specifically related to transplantation of cardiothoracic organs.

ISHLT consensus statement: Perioperative management of patients with pulmonary hypertension and right heart failure undergoing surgery.

Pulmonary hypertension (PH) is a risk factor for morbidity and mortality in patients undergoing surgery and anesthesia. This document represents the first international consensus statement for the perioperative management of patients with pulmonary hypertension and right heart failure. It includes recommendations for managing patients with PH being considered for surgery, including preoperative risk assessment, planning, intra- and postoperative monitoring and management strategies that can improve outcomes in this vulnerable population. This is a comprehensive document that includes common perioperative patient populations and surgical procedures with unique considerations.

Prevalence, incidence, and survival of pulmonary arterial hypertension: A systematic review for the global burden of disease 2020 study.

Pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is characterized by increased resistance in the pulmonary arterioles as a result of remodeled blood vessels. We sought all available epidemiologic data on population-based prevalence, incidence, and 1-year survival of PAH as part of the Global Burden of Disease Study. We performed a systematic review searching Global Index Medicus (GIM) for keywords related to PAH between 1980 and 2021 and identified population-representative sources of prevalence, incidence, and mortality for clinically diagnosed PAH. Of 6772 articles identified we found 65 with population-level data: 17 for prevalence, 17 for incidence, and 58 reporting case fatality. Reported prevalence ranged from 0.37 cases/100,000 persons in a referral center of French children to 15 cases/100,000 persons in an Australian study. Reported incidence ranged from 0.008 cases/100,000 person-years in Finland, to 1.4 cases/100,000 person-years in a retrospective chart review at a clinic in Utah, United States. Reported 1-year survival ranged from 67% to 99%. All studies with sex-specific estimates of prevalence or incidence reported higher levels in females than males. Studies varied in their size, study design, diagnostic criteria, and sampling procedures. Reported PAH prevalence, incidence, and mortality varied by location and study. Prevalence ranged from 0.4 to 1.4 per 100,000 persons. Harmonization of methods for PAH registries would improve efforts at disease surveillance. Results of this search contribute to ongoing efforts to quantify the global burden of PAH.

Application of the REVEAL risk score calculator 2.0 in the CHEST study.

BACKGROUND: Currently there are no risk assessment recommendations for chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH). The Registry to Evaluate Early and Long-Term PAH Disease Management (REVEAL) risk score (RRS), developed for risk assessment in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension, has previously predicted outcomes in CTEPH. RRS 2.0 was developed to refine the RRS. METHODS: This post hoc analysis of the CHEST study (n = 237), which assessed riociguat in patients with inoperable and persistent/recurrent CTEPH, evaluated RRS 2.0 and its relationship with survival and clinical worsening-free survival (CWFS). RESULTS: At CHEST-1 Week 16, RRS 2.0 significantly improved and more patients moved into the low-risk stratum with riociguat versus placebo; these improvements were maintained at CHEST-2 Week 12. RRS 2.0 at CHEST-1 baseline and Week 16, and change in RRS 2.0 from CHEST-1 baseline to Week 16 were significant predictors of survival and CWFS in CHEST-2. CONCLUSIONS: Our data suggest that RRS 2.0 may have utility in predicting outcomes and monitoring treatment response in patients with inoperable or persistent/recurrent CTEPH.

Autoimmunity Is a Significant Feature of Idiopathic Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension.

Rationale: Autoimmunity is believed to play a role in idiopathic pulmonary arterial hypertension (IPAH). It is not clear whether this is causative or a bystander of disease and if it carries any prognostic or treatment significance. Objectives: To study autoimmunity in IPAH using a large cross-sectional cohort. Methods: Assessment of the circulating immune cell phenotype was undertaken using flow cytometry, and the profile of serum immunoglobulins was generated using a standardized multiplex array of 19 clinically validated autoantibodies in 473 cases and 946 control subjects. Additional glutathione S-transferase fusion array and ELISA data were used to identify a serum autoantibody to BMPR2 (bone morphogenetic protein receptor type 2). Clustering analyses and clinical correlations were used to determine associations between immunogenicity and clinical outcomes. Measurements and Main Results: Flow cytometric immune profiling demonstrates that IPAH is associated with an altered humoral immune response in addition to raised IgG3. Multiplexed autoantibodies were significantly raised in IPAH, and clustering demonstrated three distinct clusters: "high autoantibody," "low autoantibody," and a small "intermediate" cluster exhibiting high concentrations of ribonucleic protein complex. The high-autoantibody cluster had worse hemodynamics but improved survival. A small subset of patients demonstrated immunoglobulin reactivity to BMPR2. Conclusions: This study establishes aberrant immune regulation and presence of autoantibodies as key features in the profile of a significant proportion of patients with IPAH and is associated with clinical outcomes.

Mendelian randomisation and experimental medicine approaches to interleukin-6 as a drug target in pulmonary arterial hypertension.

BACKGROUND: Inflammation and dysregulated immunity are important in the development of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). Compelling preclinical data supports the therapeutic blockade of interleukin-6 (IL-6) signalling. METHODS: We conducted a phase 2 open-label study of intravenous tocilizumab (8 mg·kg-1) over 6 months in patients with group 1 PAH. Co-primary end-points were safety, defined by incidence and severity of adverse events, and change in pulmonary vascular resistance. Separately, a mendelian randomisation study was undertaken on 11 744 individuals with European ancestry including 2085 patients with idiopathic/heritable disease for the IL-6 receptor (IL6R) variant (rs7529229), known to associate with circulating IL-6R levels. RESULTS: We recruited 29 patients (male/female 10/19; mean±sd age 54.9±11.4 years). Of these, 19 had heritable/idiopathic PAH and 10 had connective tissue disease-associated PAH. Six were withdrawn prior to drug administration; 23 patients received at least one dose of tocilizumab. Tocilizumab was discontinued in four patients owing to serious adverse events. There were no deaths. Despite evidence of target engagement in plasma IL-6 and C-reactive protein levels, both intention-to-treat and modified intention-to-treat analyses demonstrated no change in pulmonary vascular resistance. Inflammatory markers did not predict treatment response. Mendelian randomisation did not support an effect of the lead IL6R variant on risk of PAH (OR 0.99, p=0.88). CONCLUSION: Adverse events were consistent with the known safety profile of tocilizumab. Tocilizumab did not show any consistent treatment effect.

Biological heterogeneity in idiopathic pulmonary arterial hypertension identified through unsupervised transcriptomic profiling of whole blood.

Idiopathic pulmonary arterial hypertension (IPAH) is a rare but fatal disease diagnosed by right heart catheterisation and the exclusion of other forms of pulmonary arterial hypertension, producing a heterogeneous population with varied treatment response. Here we show unsupervised machine learning identification of three major patient subgroups that account for 92% of the cohort, each with unique whole blood transcriptomic and clinical feature signatures. These subgroups are associated with poor, moderate, and good prognosis. The poor prognosis subgroup is associated with upregulation of the ALAS2 and downregulation of several immunoglobulin genes, while the good prognosis subgroup is defined by upregulation of the bone morphogenetic protein signalling regulator NOG, and the C/C variant of HLA-DPA1/DPB1 (independently associated with survival). These findings independently validated provide evidence for the existence of 3 major subgroups (endophenotypes) within the IPAH classification, could improve risk stratification and provide molecular insights into the pathogenesis of IPAH.

Switching to riociguat versus maintenance therapy with phosphodiesterase-5 inhibitors in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension (REPLACE): a multicentre, open-label, randomised controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Riociguat and phosphodiesterase-5 inhibitors (PDE5i), approved for the treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH), act on the same pathway via different mechanisms. Riociguat might be an alternative option for patients with PAH who do not respond sufficiently to treatment with PDE5i, but comparisons of the potential benefits of riociguat and PDE5i in these patients are needed. The aim of this trial was to assess the effects of switching to riociguat from PDE5i therapy versus continued PDE5i therapy in patients with PAH at intermediate risk of 1-year mortality. METHODS: Riociguat rEplacing PDE5i therapy evaLuated Against Continued PDE5i thErapy (REPLACE) was an open-label, randomised controlled trial in 81 hospital-based pulmonary hypertension centres in 22 countries. The study enrolled patients aged 18-75 years with symptomatic PAH at intermediate risk of 1-year mortality (based on the European Society for Cardiology-European Respiratory Society guideline thresholds for WHO functional class and 6-min walk distance [6MWD]) who were receiving treatment with a PDE5i with or without an endothelin receptor antagonist for at least 6 weeks before randomisation. Patients were excluded if they had been previously treated with riociguat, had used prostacyclin analogues or prostacyclin receptor agonists within 30 days before randomisation, had clinically significant restrictive or obstructive parenchymal lung disease, or had left heart disease. Patients were randomly assigned (1:1) to remain on PDE5i treatment (oral sildenafil [≥60 mg per day] or oral tadalafil [20-40 mg per day]; the PDE5i group) or to switch to oral riociguat (up to 2·5 mg three times per day; the riociguat group), using an interactive voice and web response system, stratified by cause of PAH. The primary endpoint was clinical improvement by week 24, defined as an absence of clinical worsening and prespecified improvements in at least two of three variables (6MWD, WHO functional class, and N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide), analysed using last observation carried forward in all randomly assigned patients with observed values at baseline and week 24 who received at least one dose of study medication (the full analysis set). Secondary endpoints included clinical worsening events. The trial has been completed and is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02891850. FINDINGS: Between Jan 11, 2017, and July 31, 2019, 293 patients were screened, of which 226 patients were randomly assigned to the riociguat group (n=111) or to the PDE5i group (n=115). 211 patients completed the study and 14 patients discontinued (seven in each group). One patient assigned to the PDE5i group did not receive treatment, so 225 patients were included in the safety analysis, and one further patient in the PDE5i group had missing components of the composite primary endpoint at baseline, so 224 patients were included in the full analysis set. The primary endpoint was met by 45 (41%) of 111 patients in the riociguat group and 23 (20%) of 113 patients in the PDE5i group; odds ratio [OR] 2·78 (95% CI 1·53-5·06; p=0·0007). Clinical worsening events occurred in one (1%) of 111 patients in the riociguat group (hospitalisation due to worsening PAH) and 10 (9%) of 114 patients in the PDE5i group (hospitalisation due to worsening PAH [n=9]; disease progression [n=1]; OR 0·10 [0·01-0·73]; p=0·0047). The most frequently occurring adverse events were hypotension (15 [14%]), headache (14 [13%]), and dyspepsia (10 [9%]) in the riociguat group, and headache (eight [7%]), cough (seven [6%]), and upper respiratory tract infection (seven [6%]) in the PDE5i group. Serious adverse events were reported in eight (7%) of 111 patients in the riociguat group and 19 (17%) of 114 patients in the PDE5i group. During the study, four patients died in the PDE5i group, one of them during the safety follow-up period. INTERPRETATION: Switching to riociguat from PDE5i treatment, both of which act via the nitric oxide-soluble guanylate cyclase-cyclic guanosine monophosphate pathway, could be a strategic option for treatment escalation in patients with PAH at intermediate risk of 1-year mortality. FUNDING: Bayer AG, Merck Sharp & Dohme.

Application of the REVEAL risk score calculator 2.0 in the PATENT study.

BACKGROUND: Regular risk assessment is recommended in pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) management to improve patient outcomes. The REVEAL risk score (RRS) predicts survival in patients with PAH, including those from the PATENT study, which assessed riociguat, a soluble guanylate cyclase stimulator approved for PAH treatment. An updated version, RRS 2.0, has been developed to further refine risk prediction. METHODS: This post hoc analysis of PATENT-1 and its open-label extension PATENT-2 (n = 396) assessed RRS 2.0 score and risk stratum and their association with survival and clinical worsening-free survival (CWFS). RESULTS: At PATENT-1 Week 12, riociguat improved RRS 2.0 versus placebo (least-squares mean difference versus placebo: -1.0 [95% confidence interval - 1.4 to -0.6; p < 0.0001]) and more patients improved risk stratum with riociguat (57%) versus placebo (42%). These improvements were maintained at PATENT-2 Week 12. RRS 2.0 score and risk strata at PATENT-1 baseline and Week 12 were significantly associated with survival and CWFS in PATENT-2 (p < 0.0001); change in RRS 2.0 score from PATENT-1 baseline to Week 12 was also significantly associated with outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: These data suggest that RRS 2.0 has clinical utility in predicting long-term outcomes and monitoring treatment response in patients with PAH.

Clinical trial design in phase 2 and 3 trials for pulmonary hypertension.

This article on clinical trial design incorporates the broad experience of members of the Pulmonary Vascular Research Institute's (PVRI) Innovative Drug Development Initiative (IDDI) as an open debate platform for academia, the pharmaceutical industry and regulatory experts surrounding the future design of clinical trials in pulmonary hypertension. It is increasingly clear that the design of phase 2 and 3 trials in pulmonary hypertension will have to diversify from the traditional randomised double-blind design, given the anticipated need to trial novel therapeutic approaches in the immediate future. This article reviews a wide range of differing approaches and places these into context within the field of pulmonary hypertension.

Novel composite clinical endpoints and risk scores used in clinical trials in pulmonary arterial hypertension.

This manuscript on endpoints incorporates the broad experience of members of Pulmonary Vascular Research Institute's Innovative Drug Development Initiative as an open debate platform for academia, the pharmaceutical industry and regulatory experts surrounding the future design of clinical trials in pulmonary hypertension. It reviews our current understanding of endpoints used in phase 2 and 3 trials for pulmonary hypertension and discusses in detail the value of newer approaches. These include the roles of composite endpoints and how these can be developed and validated. The newer concept of risk analysis is also discussed, including how such risk scores might be utilised as endpoints in clinical trials.

Assessment of the REPLACE study composite endpoint in riociguat-treated patients in the PATENT study.

The goal of treatment in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension is to achieve a low risk status, indicating a favorable long-term outcome. The REPLACE study investigated the efficacy of switching to riociguat in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension and an insufficient response to phosphodiesterase-5 inhibitors. In this post hoc analysis, we applied the REPLACE composite endpoint of clinical improvement to the placebo-controlled PATENT-1 study of riociguat in pulmonary arterial hypertension and its long-term extension, PATENT-2. Clinical improvement was defined as ≥2 of the following in patients who completed the study without clinical worsening: ≥10% or ≥30 m improvement in 6-minute walking distance; World Health Organization functional class I or II; ≥30% decrease in N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide. At PATENT-1 Week 12, patients treated with riociguat were more likely to achieve the composite endpoint vs. placebo (P < 0.0001), with similar results in pretreated (P = 0.0189) and treatment-naïve (P < 0.0001) patients. Achievement of the composite endpoint at Week 12 was associated with a 45% reduction in relative risk of death and a 19% reduction in relative risk of clinical worsening in PATENT-2. Overall, these data suggest that use of the REPLACE composite endpoint in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension is a valid assessment of response to treatment.

Whole-Blood RNA Profiles Associated with Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension and Clinical Outcome.

Rationale: Idiopathic and heritable pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) are rare but comprise a genetically heterogeneous patient group. RNA sequencing linked to the underlying genetic architecture can be used to better understand the underlying pathology by identifying key signaling pathways and stratify patients more robustly according to clinical risk.Objectives: To use a three-stage design of RNA discovery, RNA validation and model construction, and model validation to define a set of PAH-associated RNAs and a single summarizing RNA model score. To define genes most likely to be involved in disease development, we performed Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis.Methods: RNA sequencing was performed on whole-blood samples from 359 patients with idiopathic, heritable, and drug-induced PAH and 72 age- and sex-matched healthy volunteers. The score was evaluated against disease severity markers including survival analysis using all-cause mortality from diagnosis. MR used known expression quantitative trait loci and summary statistics from a PAH genome-wide association study.Measurements and Main Results: We identified 507 genes with differential RNA expression in patients with PAH compared with control subjects. A model of 25 RNAs distinguished PAH with 87% accuracy (area under the curve 95% confidence interval: 0.791-0.945) in model validation. The RNA model score was associated with disease severity and long-term survival (P = 4.66 × 10-6) in PAH. MR detected an association between SMAD5 levels and PAH disease susceptibility (odds ratio, 0.317; 95% confidence interval, 0.129-0.776; P = 0.012).Conclusions: A whole-blood RNA signature of PAH, which includes RNAs relevant to disease pathogenesis, associates with disease severity and identifies patients with poor clinical outcomes. Genetic variants associated with lower SMAD5 expression may increase susceptibility to PAH.

Identifying potential parameters associated with response to switching from a PDE5i to riociguat in RESPITE.

BACKGROUND: RESPITE evaluated patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension and an inadequate response to phosphodiesterase type 5 inhibitors (PDE5i) who switched to riociguat. This post hoc analysis assessed response to this switch in parameters associated with clinical improvement. METHODS: RESPITE was a 24-week, uncontrolled pilot study (n = 61). Differences in functional, hemodynamic, and cardiac function parameters, REVEAL risk score (RRS), and biomarkers were compared between responders (free from clinical worsening, World Health Organization functional class I/II, and ≥30 m improvement in 6-min walking distance at Week 24) and non-responders. RESULTS: Of 51 patients (84%) completing RESPITE, 16 (31%) met the responder endpoint. At baseline, there were significant differences between responders and non-responders in N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), growth/differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15), and RRS, whereas there were no differences in hemodynamics or cardiac function. At Week 24, responders had significant improvements in pulmonary arterial compliance, pulmonary vascular resistance, and mean pulmonary arterial pressure, while non-responders showed no significant change. Cardiac efficiency and stroke volume index significantly improved irrespective of responder status. CONCLUSIONS: NT-proBNP, GDF-15, and RRS were identified as potential predictors of response in patients switching from PDE5i to riociguat. Further prospective controlled studies are needed to confirm the association of these parameters with response.