Data-driven anisotropic finite viscoelasticity using neural ordinary differential equations.

We develop a fully data-driven model of anisotropic finite viscoelasticity using neural ordinary differential equations as building blocks. We replace the Helmholtz free energy function and the dissipation potential with data-driven functions that a priori satisfy physics-based constraints such as objectivity and the second law of thermodynamics. Our approach enables modeling viscoelastic behavior of materials under arbitrary loads in three-dimensions even with large deformations and large deviations from the thermodynamic equilibrium. The data-driven nature of the governing potentials endows the model with much needed flexibility in modeling the viscoelastic behavior of a wide class of materials. We train the model using stress-strain data from biological and synthetic materials including humain brain tissue, blood clots, natural rubber and human myocardium and show that the data-driven method outperforms traditional, closed-form models of viscoelasticity.

How viscous is the beating heart?: Insights from a computational study.

Understanding tissue rheology is critical to accurately model the human heart. While the elastic properties of cardiac tissue have been extensively studied, its viscous properties remain an issue of ongoing debate. Here we adopt a viscoelastic version of the classical Holzapfel Ogden model to study the viscous timescales of human cardiac tissue. We perform a series of simulations and explore stress-relaxation curves, pressure-volume loops, strain profiles, and ventricular wall strains for varying viscosity parameters. We show that the time window for model calibration strongly influences the parameter identification. Using a four-chamber human heart model, we observe that, during the physiologically relevant time scales of the cardiac cycle, viscous relaxation has a negligible effect on the overall behavior of the heart. While viscosity could have important consequences in pathological conditions with compromised contraction or relaxation properties, we conclude that, for simulations within the physiological range of a human heart beat, we can reasonably approximate the human heart as hyperelastic.

Learning atrial fiber orientations and conductivity tensors from intracardiac maps using physics-informed neural networks.

Electroanatomical maps are a key tool in the diagnosis and treatment of atrial fibrillation. Current approaches focus on the activation times recorded. However, more information can be extracted from the available data. The fibers in cardiac tissue conduct the electrical wave faster, and their direction could be inferred from activation times. In this work, we employ a recently developed approach, called physics informed neural networks, to learn the fiber orientations from electroanatomical maps, taking into account the physics of the electrical wave propagation. In particular, we train the neural network to weakly satisfy the anisotropic eikonal equation and to predict the measured activation times. We use a local basis for the anisotropic conductivity tensor, which encodes the fiber orientation. The methodology is tested both in a synthetic example and for patient data. Our approach shows good agreement in both cases and it outperforms a state of the art method in the patient data. The results show a first step towards learning the fiber orientations from electroanatomical maps with physics-informed neural networks.

Visualizing the invisible: The effect of asymptomatic transmission on the outbreak dynamics of COVID-19.

Understanding the outbreak dynamics of the COVID-19 pandemic has important implications for successful containment and mitigation strategies. Recent studies suggest that the population prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies, a proxy for the number of asymptomatic cases, could be an order of magnitude larger than expected from the number of reported symptomatic cases. Knowing the precise prevalence and contagiousness of asymptomatic transmission is critical to estimate the overall dimension and pandemic potential of COVID-19. However, at this stage, the effect of the asymptomatic population, its size, and its outbreak dynamics remain largely unknown. Here we use reported symptomatic case data in conjunction with antibody seroprevalence studies, a mathematical epidemiology model, and a Bayesian framework to infer the epidemiological characteristics of COVID-19. Our model computes, in real time, the time-varying contact rate of the outbreak, and projects the temporal evolution and credible intervals of the effective reproduction number and the symptomatic, asymptomatic, and recovered populations. Our study quantifies the sensitivity of the outbreak dynamics of COVID-19 to three parameters: the effective reproduction number, the ratio between the symptomatic and asymptomatic populations, and the infectious periods of both groups For nine distinct locations, our model estimates the fraction of the population that has been infected and recovered by Jun 15, 2020 to 24.15% (95% CI: 20.48%-28.14%) for Heinsberg (NRW, Germany), 2.40% (95% CI: 2.09%-2.76%) for Ada County (ID, USA), 46.19% (95% CI: 45.81%-46.60%) for New York City (NY, USA), 11.26% (95% CI: 7.21%-16.03%) for Santa Clara County (CA, USA), 3.09% (95% CI: 2.27%-4.03%) for Denmark, 12.35% (95% CI: 10.03%-15.18%) for Geneva Canton (Switzerland), 5.24% (95% CI: 4.84%-5.70%) for the Netherlands, 1.53% (95% CI: 0.76%-2.62%) for Rio Grande do Sul (Brazil), and 5.32% (95% CI: 4.77%-5.93%) for Belgium. Our method traces the initial outbreak date in Santa Clara County back to January 20, 2020 (95% CI: December 29, 2019 - February 13, 2020). Our results could significantly change our understanding and management of the COVID-19 pandemic: A large asymptomatic population will make isolation, containment, and tracing of individual cases challenging. Instead, managing community transmission through increasing population awareness, promoting physical distancing, and encouraging behavioral changes could become more relevant.

Machine learning in drug development: Characterizing the effect of 30 drugs on the QT interval using Gaussian process regression, sensitivity analysis, and uncertainty quantification.

Prolonged QT intervals are a major risk factor for ventricular arrhythmias and a leading cause of sudden cardiac death. Various drugs are known to trigger QT interval prolongation and increase the proarrhythmic potential. Yet, how precisely the action of drugs on the cellular level translates into QT interval prolongation on the whole organ level remains insufficiently understood. Here we use machine learning techniques to systematically characterize the effect of 30 common drugs on the QT interval. We combine information from high fidelity three-dimensional human heart simulations with low fidelity one-dimensional cable simulations to build a surrogate model for the QT interval using multi-fidelity Gaussian process regression. Once trained and cross-validated, we apply our surrogate model to perform sensitivity analysis and uncertainty quantification. Our sensitivity analysis suggests that compounds that block the rapid delayed rectifier potassium current I Kr have the greatest prolonging effect of the QT interval, and that blocking the L-type calcium current I CaL and late sodium current I NaL shortens the QT interval. Our uncertainty quantification allows us to propagate the experimental variability from individual block-concentration measurements into the QT interval and reveals that QT interval uncertainty is mainly driven by the variability in I Kr block. In a final validation study, we demonstrate an excellent agreement between our predicted QT interval changes and the changes observed in a randomized clinical trial for the drugs dofetilide, quinidine, ranolazine, and verapamil. We anticipate that both the machine learning methods and the results of this study will have great potential in the efficient development of safer drugs.

The importance of mechano-electrical feedback and inertia in cardiac electromechanics.

In the past years, a number cardiac electromechanics models have been developed to better understand the excitation-contraction behavior of the heart. However, there is no agreement on whether inertial forces play a role in this system. In this study, we assess the influence of mass in electromechanical simulations, using a fully coupled finite element model. We include the effect of mechano-electrical feedback via stretch activated currents. We compare five different models: electrophysiology, electromechanics, electromechanics with mechano-electrical feedback, electromechanics with mass, and electromechanics with mass and mechano-electrical feedback. We simulate normal conduction to study conduction velocity and spiral waves to study fibrillation. During normal conduction, mass in conjunction with mechano-electrical feedback increased the conduction velocity by 8.12% in comparison to the plain electrophysiology case. During the generation of a spiral wave, mass and mechano-electrical feedback generated secondary wavefronts, which were not present in any other model. These secondary wavefronts were initiated in tensile stretch regions that induced electrical currents. We expect that this study will help the research community to better understand the importance of mechanoelectrical feedback and inertia in cardiac electromechanics.