The Lake Erie HABs Grab: A binational collaboration to characterize the western basin cyanobacterial harmful algal blooms at an unprecedented high-resolution spatial scale.

Monitoring of cyanobacterial bloom biomass in large lakes at high resolution is made possible by remote sensing. However, monitoring cyanobacterial toxins is only feasible with grab samples, which, with only sporadic sampling, results in uncertainties in the spatial distribution of toxins. To address this issue, we conducted two intensive "HABs Grabs" of microcystin (MC)-producing Microcystis blooms in the western basin of Lake Erie. These were one-day sampling events during August of 2018 and 2019 in which 100 and 172 grab samples were collected, respectively, within a six-hour window covering up to 2,270 km2 and analyzed using consistent methods to estimate the total mass of MC. The samples were analyzed for 57 parameters, including toxins, nutrients, chlorophyll, and genomics. There were an estimated 11,513 kg and 30,691 kg of MCs in the western basin during the 2018 and 2019 HABs Grabs, respectively. The bloom boundary poses substantial issues for spatial assessments because MC concentration varied by nearly two orders of magnitude over very short distances. The MC to chlorophyll ratio (MC:chl) varied by a factor up to 5.3 throughout the basin, which creates challenges for using MC:chl to predict MC concentrations. Many of the biomass metrics strongly correlated (r > 0.70) with each other except chlorophyll fluorescence and phycocyanin concentration. While MC and chlorophyll correlated well with total phosphorus and nitrogen concentrations, MC:chl correlated with dissolved inorganic nitrogen. More frequent MC data collection can overcome these issues, and models need to account for the MC:chl spatial heterogeneity when forecasting MCs.

A novel method for organic matter removal from samples containing microplastics.

Sludge and biosolids from wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs), identified as important pathways through which microplastics (MPs) can enter the wider environment, contain high organic content, which can obstruct MP quantification/identification. Time- and cost-effective removal of organics is a significant barrier to MP analysis. This study aims to alleviate these obstacles using a widely available store-bought septic tank cleaner, comprised of enzymes and bacteria. The cleaner was added to sludge samples, obtained from a local WWTP. Digestion was tested across a range of cleaner concentrations and heat treatments, and compared to a control digestion without cleaner. Organic content of samples digested with cleaner was reduced by 93%, representing a 22% greater reduction compared to control samples. Virgin plastic pellets, of a variety of polymers, were subjected to the digestion process and underwent no physical or chemical changes, demonstrating this method does not degrade MPs. As all enzymes were added in a single step, the time required for enzymatic digestion using the cleaner was only two days. Compared to existing methods, which take up to several weeks, this novel enzymatic digestion method offers a viable means of extracting MPs from organic materials without either the long processing times required of chemical (solely Fenton's) methods or high cost of laboratory grade enzyme approaches.

The impacts of biofouling on automated phosphorus analysers during long-term deployment.

In-situ nutrient analysers are a promising tool for improving the temporal resolution of data and filling knowledge gaps in drivers of harmful algal blooms. There are significant challenges however regarding instrument biofouling and data drift, which remain largely unquantified and unresolved. In this study the effects of biofouling on data consistency and accuracy is quantified on automated wet chemical analysers during long-term monitoring. In 2019 three fractions of phosphorus (P); total phosphorus (TP), total dissolved phosphorus (TDP) and soluble reactive phosphorus (SRP), were measured in-situ at four sites in Southern Ontario, Canada. The analysers were exposed to a wide range of P concentrations and biofouling extremes over an 8-month period. They were calibrated using chemical standards both in the field and the lab, and validated with fortnightly grab samples, and the representativeness of real-time data under a range of biofouling conditions were analysed. Results show that analysers biofouling during long-term deployment can desensitize instrument measurements, with greatest impacts on instruments operating in highly turbid environments. Temporal changes in calibration curves suggest that equilibrium P concentrations (EPC0) of sediments accumulating inside filters can elicit a rapid exchange of dissolved P (SRP, TDP) with the water sample. Data drift increases the further from the EPC0 an instrument is required to analyse, and thus this study demonstrates that for in-situ P monitoring, unless filters are frequently replaced or renovated, in-situ probes should ideally be dedicated to a specific waterbody type defined by similar EPC0 values. It is recommended that in order to ensure accuracy in in-situ monitoring of TP, TDP and SRP during long-term deployment, preliminary site trials should be conducted to ascertain sediment EPC0; the extent of biofouling should be monitored; and/or frequent grab samples taken for post-deployment validation. The findings apply to any in-situ phosphorus monitoring techniques for SRP or TDP.

Transfer and transport of microplastics from biosolids to agricultural soils and the wider environment.

Between April to November of 2017, microplastics (MPs) were analysed in biosolids from two separate suppliers, and in the soils of three agricultural fields to which they were applied, in Ontario, Canada. Soils of a control site with no history of biosolid application were also examined. High MP concentrations of between 8.7 × 103 MP kg-1 and 1.4 × 104 MP kg-1 were found in biosolids samples. Lower MP concentrations observed in Provider 2 biosolids may be due to storage, settling and supernatant removal prior to applications. Annual MP additions to agricultural soils across Ontario were estimated at between 4.1 × 1011 and 1.3 × 1012 particles. All fields receiving biosolids had higher soil pre-treatment MP concentrations than the control. The field with the greatest number of previous biosolid treatments had the highest pre-treatment soil MP concentrations; suggesting some MP retention in soils between applications. Immediately following biosolids applications, two fields demonstrated significant increases in soil MP concentrations, with preferential retention of MP fibers over fragments observed, while a reduction in soil MP concentrations were observed in the third. Surprisingly, only one field demonstrated a net gain in soil MPs over the course of the study. At all three fields, >99% of MPs applied in biosolids in 2017 were unaccounted for. The study suggests that despite adhering to applicable legislation, biosolids applications at all sites likely result in high rates of MP export. This study is the first to track MP transport through soils following their application in biosolids, and contributes to filling current knowledge gaps regarding export of MPs to aquatic systems from the terrestrial environment.

Modeling future flows of the Volta River system: Impacts of climate change and socio-economic changes.

As the scientific consensus concerning global climate change has increased in recent decades, research on potential impacts of climate change on water resources has been given high importance. However in Sub-Saharan Africa, few studies have fully evaluated the potential implications of climate change to their water resource systems. The Volta River is one of the major rivers in Africa covering six riparian countries (mainly Ghana and Burkina Faso). It is a principal water source for approximately 24 million people in the region. The catchment is primarily agricultural providing food supplies to rural areas, demonstrating the classic water, food, energy nexus. In this study an Integrated Catchment Model (INCA) was applied to the whole Volta River system to simulate flow in the rivers and at the outlet of the artificial Lake Volta. High-resolution climate scenarios downscaled from three different Global Climate Models (CNRM-CM5, HadGEM2-ES and CanESM2), have been used to drive the INCA model and to assess changes in flow by 2050s and 2090s under the high climate forcing scenario RCP8.5. Results show that peak flows during the monsoon months could increase into the future. The duration of high flow could become longer compared to the recent condition. In addition, we considered three different socio-economic scenarios. As an example, under the combined impact from climate change from downscaling CNRM-CM5 and medium+ (high economic growth) socio-economic changes, the extreme high flows (Q5) of the Black Volta River are projected to increase 11% and 36% at 2050s and 2090s, respectively. Lake Volta outflow would increase +1% and +5% at 2050s and 2090s, respectively, under the same scenario. The effects of changing socio-economic conditions on flow are minor compared to the climate change impact. These results will provide valuable information assisting future water resource development and adaptive strategies in the Volta Basin.

Long-Term Climatic and Anthropogenic Impacts on Streamwater Salinity in New York State: INCA Simulations Offer Cautious Optimism.

The long-term application of road salts has led to a rise in surface water chloride (Cl-) concentrations. While models have been used to assess the potential future impacts of continued deicing practices, prior approaches have not incorporated changes in climate that are projected to impact hydrogeology in the 21st century. We use an INtegrated CAtchment (INCA) model to simulate Cl- concentrations in the Tioughnioga River watershed. The model was run over a baseline period (1961-1990) and climate simulations from a range of GCMs run over three 30-year intervals (2010-2039; 2040-2069; 2070-2099). Model projections suggest that Cl- concentrations in the two river branches will continue to rise for several decades, before beginning to decline around 2040-2069, with all GCM scenarios indicating reductions in snowfall and associated salt applications over the 21st century. The delay in stream response is most likely attributed to climate change and continued contribution of Cl- from aquifers. By 2100, surface water Cl- concentrations will decrease to below 1960s values. Catchments dominated by urban lands will experience a decrease in average surface water Cl-, although moderate compared to more rural catchments.

The significance of shifts in precipitation patterns: modelling the impacts of climate change and glacier retreat on extreme flood events in Denali National Park, Alaska.

In glacier-fed systems climate change may have various effects over a range of time scales, including increasing river discharge, flood frequency and magnitude. This study uses a combination of empirical monitoring and modelling to project the impacts of climate change on the glacial-fed Middle Fork Toklat River, Denali National Park, Alaska. We use a regional calibration of the model HBV to account for a paucity of long term observed flow data, validating a local application using glacial mass balance data and summer flow records. Two Global Climate Models (HADCM3 and CGCM2) and two IPCC scenarios (A2 and B2) are used to ascertain potential changes in meteorological conditions, river discharge, flood frequency and flood magnitude. Using remote sensing methods this study refines existing estimates of glacial recession rates, finding that since 2000, rates have increased from 24 m per year to 68.5m per year, with associated increases in ablation zone ice loss. GCM projections indicate that over the 21(st) century these rates will increase still further, most extensively under the CGCM2 model, and A2 scenarios. Due to greater winter precipitation and ice and snow accumulation, glaciers release increasing meltwater quantities throughout the 21(st) century. Despite increases in glacial melt, results indicate that it is predominantly precipitation that affects river discharge. Three of the four IPCC scenarios project increases in flood frequency and magnitude, events which were primarily associated with changing precipitation patterns, rather than extreme temperature increases or meltwater release. Results suggest that although increasing temperatures will significantly increase glacial melt and winter baseflow, meltwater alone does not pose a significant flood hazard to the Toklat River catchment. Projected changes in precipitation are the primary concern, both through changing snow volumes available for melt, and more directly through increasing catchment runoff.