Repeat hepatic resection versus radiofrequency ablation for recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma: retrospective multicentre study.

BACKGROUND: The therapeutic value of repeat hepatic resection (rHR) or radiofrequency ablation (RFA) for recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is unknown. This study aimed to investigate the safety and efficacy of rHR or RFA. METHODS: This was a retrospective multicentre study of patients with recurrent HCC within the Milan criteria who underwent rHR or RFA at nine university hospitals in China and Italy between January 2003 and January 2018. Survival after rHR or RFA was examined in unadjusted analyses and after propensity score matching (1 : 1). RESULTS: Of 847 patients included, 307 and 540 underwent rHR and RFA respectively. Median overall survival was 73.5 and 67.0 months after rHR and RFA respectively (hazard ratio 1.01 (95 per cent c.i. 0.81 to 1.26)). Median recurrence-free survival was longer after rHR versus RFA (23.6 versus 15.2 months; hazard ratio 0.76 (95 per cent c.i. 0.65 to 0.89)). These results were confirmed after propensity score matching. RFA was associated with lower morbidity of grade 3 and above (0.6 versus 6.2 per cent; P < 0.001) and shorter hospital stay (8.0 versus 3.0 days, P < 0.001) than rHR. CONCLUSION: rHR was associated with longer recurrence-free survival but not overall survival compared with RFA.

Impact of primary cancer features on behaviour of colorectal liver metastases and survival after hepatectomy.

Background: Markers of tumour biology may be valuable prognostic indicators after hepatic resection of colorectal cancer liver metastases (CRLMs). Identification of the aggressiveness of these metastases might inform the appropriateness of hepatic surgery. Methods: Patients undergoing liver resection for CRLMs between January 2001 and July 2013 in four tertiary hospitals were reviewed. A mathematical model to estimate CRLM doubling times was constructed for patients with metachronous metastases. Tumour doubling time was investigated in relation to the features of colorectal cancer, including KRAS status. The hazard rate for recurrence and death following hepatectomy was explored through the Kernel-smoothed estimator. Results: Of 1063 patients undergoing liver resection for CRLMs, 361 with metachronous metastases undergoing single-stage hepatectomy were analysed. The mean doubling time in patients not receiving chemotherapy between surgery for colorectal cancer and CRLM was 71·4 days. Tumour doubling time was shorter in patients with more advanced primary tumour stages, with mutant KRAS and in those who did not receive chemotherapy. For fast-growing CRLMs (doubling time less than 48 days), the risk of recurrence was highest within the first postoperative year, and was about 7 per cent per month. Conclusion: Primary features of colorectal cancer were linked to aggressiveness of CRLMs as measured by doubling time.

Multicentre validation of a clinical prognostic score integrating the systemic inflammatory response to the host for patients treated with curative-intent for colorectal liver metastases: The Liverpool score.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to create a new prognostic score integrating the systemic inflammatory response to predict survival in patients treated with curative intent for colorectal liver metastases (CLM). METHODS: We identified independent prognostic factors in patients who underwent liver surgery for CLM in a tertiary centre in the United Kingdom (UK) between 2010 and 2015. A pre- and a postoperative score (Liverpool score) were created by combining these factors to stratify patients into different risk groups. These new scores were validated in an international cohort of 219 patients from China and France. RESULTS: Multivariate cox regression analysis of the 364 patients of the UK cohort identified 6 preoperative and 1 postoperative prognostic factors for overall survival (OS): American society of anaesthesiologists (ASA) score, location and node status of the primary tumour, number and size of CLM, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and resection margin. Both pre- and postoperative scores can be calculated with an online calculator at https://jscalc.io/calc/PXatrmjfrEFpYy2t. Using the pre-operative model on the UK cohort, median OS was 61.22 (50.23, not reached) months in the low-risk group (n = 162) and 30.36 (23.68, 35.95) months in the high-risk group (n = 162, p < 0.0001). The same difference was observed in the validation cohort. The Liverpool score outperformed previously published scoring system with a c-index of 0.619 pre-operatively and of 0.637 post-operatively. CONCLUSION: We developed a new prognostic score based on clinicopathologic characteristics including the site of the primary tumour location and on measurement of the systemic inflammatory response which could help to tailor patients' management.

Hepatobiliary Scintigraphy in the Preoperative Evaluation of Potential Living Liver Donors.

BACKGROUND: Graft selection strategy in living donor liver transplantation (LDLT) is usually multifactorial, but special attention is paid to the determination of donor liver volumes to minimize any risk of posthepatectomy liver failure (PHLF). Hepatobiliary scintigraphy (HBS) with single-photon-emission computed tomography allows for the measurement of total and future liver remnant function (FLR-F) and has been shown to predict the risk of PHLF more accurately than liver volumetry. METHODS: Since November 2016, HBS has been performed at our Institution in every candidate to major hepatectomy, including potential living liver donors. RESULTS: Thirty-seven consecutive patients were submitted to HBS, of whom 7 were potential living liver donors. After completed hepatectomy (n = 27), the median FLR-F of patients who developed PHLF (n = 9) was 1.72%/min/m2 (range 1.40-2.78) compared to that of patients who did not (n = 18), which was 4.02%/min/m2 (range 1.15-12.08). Three donors underwent operations (1 right hepatectomy and 2 left hepatectomies). In the only donor who developed PHLF, the FLR accounted for the 37% of the total liver volume, whereas the FLR represented only the 31% of the total liver function (TL-F = 11.29%/min) with a resulting FLR-F of 2.05%/min/m2. CONCLUSIONS: The present study suggests that a non-invasive low-cost exam such as HBS may be a promising tool to predict PHLF not only in neoplastic patients but also to evaluate potential living donors. Larger studies are needed to draw any conclusion regarding the benefits of HBS in the living liver donor workup.

Average treatment effect of hepatic resection versus locoregional therapies for hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: When comparing the efficacy of surgical and non-surgical therapies for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), a major limitation is the causal inference problem. This concerns the impossibility of seeing both outcomes of two different treatments for the same individual at the same time because one is inevitably missing. This aspect can be addressed methodologically by estimating the so-called average treatment effect (ATE). METHODS: To estimate the ATE of hepatic resection over locoregional therapies for HCC, data from patients treated in two tertiary care settings between August 2000 and December 2014 were used to obtain counterfactual outcomes using an inverse probability weight survival adjustment. RESULTS: A total of 1585 patients were enrolled: 815 underwent hepatic resection, 337 radiofrequency ablation (RFA) and 433 transarterial chemoembolization (TACE). The option of operating on all patients who had tumour ablation returned an ATE of +9·8 months for resection (effect size 0·111; adjusted P = 0·064). The option of operating on all patients who had TACE returned an ATE of +27·9 months (effect size 0·383; adjusted P < 0·001). The ATE of surgery was negligible in patients undergoing ablation for very early HCCs (effect size 0·027; adjusted P = 0·627), independently of albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade; or in patients with ALBI liver function grade 2 (effect size 0·083; adjusted P = 0·213), independently of tumour stage. In all other instances, the ATE of surgery was notably greater. Operating on patients who had TACE with multinodular HCC beyond the Milan criteria resulted in a mild ATE (effect size 0·140; adjusted P = 0·037). CONCLUSION: ATE estimation suggests that hepatic resection is a better treatment option than ablation and TACE in patients with HCC.

Systematic review: benefits and harms of transarterial embolisation for treating hepatocellular adenoma.

BACKGROUND: Transarterial embolisation (TAE) is a standard treatment for bleeding hepatocellular adenoma (HCA) and, occasionally, symptomatic HCA involving large tumours. Whether TAE is similarly safe and effective as an elective treatment for bleeding and nonbleeding HCA remains unclear. AIM: To investigate the benefits and harms of TAE for bleeding and nonbleeding HCA. METHODS: PubMed, Scopus, Embase and Cochrane Library databases were systematically searched for studies that examined post-TAE tumour reduction in patients with bleeding or nonbleeding HCA and that were published between January 2000 and January 2017. RESULTS: Systematic review of 21 case series involving 1468 patients with HCA in the systematic review identified 140 (9.5%) patients with 189 lesions who received TAE. Of these 140 patients, 66.4% had bleeding HCA and 33.6% had nonbleeding HCA. Intended elective TAE was performed in 27.1% of patients (38.6% of HCA lesions). Adenomatosis was observed in 6.1% of patients, and the rate of ß-catenin expression was 4.5%. No malignant transformation was observed among the 189 tumours during a median follow-up time of 40 months. The complete response rate among 70 patients was 10.6%, and the partial response rate was 71.7%. No mortality or severe adverse side effects were reported during the hospitalisation period. CONCLUSIONS: The available evidence suggests that TAE can be considered safe for elective managment of HCA as well as for management of bleeding HCA. Elective TAE can be regarded as a reasonable alternative to surgery. High-quality prospective studies with long-term follow-up are needed to corroborate and strengthen available evidence.

Impact of preoperative infection on outcome after liver transplantation.

BACKGROUND: Bacterial infection in patients with liver failure can lead to a dramatic clinical deterioration. The indications for liver transplantation and outcome in these patients is still controversial. METHODS: All adult patients who underwent liver transplantation between 1 January 2010 and 31 December 2015 were selected from an institutional database. Characteristics of the donors and recipients, and clinical, biochemical and surgical parameters were retrieved from the database. Post-transplant survival rates and complications, including grade III-IV complications according to the Dindo-Clavien classification, were compared between patients with an infection 1 month before transplantation and patients without an infection. RESULTS: Eighty-four patients with an infection had statistically significant higher Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD), D-MELD and Balance of Risk (BAR) scores and a higher rate of acute-on-chronic liver failure compared with findings in 343 patients with no infection. The rate of infection after liver transplantation was higher in patients who had an infection before the operation: 48 per cent versus 30·6 per cent in those with no infection before transplantation (P = 0·003). The percentage of patients with a postoperative complication (42 versus 40·5 per cent respectively; P = 0·849) and the 90-day mortality rate (8 versus 6·4 per cent; P = 0·531) was no different between the groups. Multivariable analysis showed that a BAR score greater than 18 and acute-on-chronic liver failure were independent predictors of 90-day mortality. CONCLUSION: Bacterial infection 1 month before liver transplantation is related to a higher rate of infection after transplantation, but does not lead to a worse outcome.

Liver transplantation for "very early" intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma: International retrospective study supporting a prospective assessment.

UNLABELLED: The presence of an intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA) in a cirrhotic liver is a contraindication for liver transplantation in most centers worldwide. Recent investigations have shown that "very early" iCCA (single tumors ≤2 cm) may have acceptable results after liver transplantation. This study further evaluates this finding in a larger international multicenter cohort. The study group was composed of those patients who were transplanted for hepatocellular carcinoma or decompensated cirrhosis and found to have an iCCA at explant pathology. Patients were divided into those with "very early" iCCA and those with "advanced" disease (single tumor >2 cm or multifocal disease). Between January 2000 and December 2013, 81 patients were found to have an iCCA at explant; 33 had separate nodules of iCCA and hepatocellular carcinoma, and 48 had only iCCA (study group). Within the study group, 15/48 (31%) constituted the "very early" iCCA group and 33/48 (69%) the "advanced" group. There were no significant differences between groups in preoperative characteristics. At explant, the median size of the largest tumor was larger in the "advanced" group (3.1 [2.5-4.4] versus 1.6 [1.5-1.8]). After a median follow-up of 35 (13.5-76.4) months, the 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year cumulative risks of recurrence were, respectively, 7%, 18%, and 18% in the very early iCCA group versus 30%, 47%, and 61% in the advanced iCCA group, P = 0.01. The 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year actuarial survival rates were, respectively, 93%, 84%, and 65% in the very early iCCA group versus 79%, 50%, and 45% in the advanced iCCA group, P = 0.02. CONCLUSION: Patients with cirrhosis and very early iCCA may become candidates for liver transplantation; a prospective multicenter clinical trial is needed to further confirm these results. (Hepatology 2016;64:1178-1188).

Years of life that could be saved from prevention of hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) causes premature death and loss of life expectancy worldwide. Its primary and secondary prevention can result in a significant number of years of life saved. AIM: To assess how many years of life are lost after HCC diagnosis. METHODS: Data from 5346 patients with first HCC diagnosis were used to estimate lifespan and number of years of life lost after tumour onset, using a semi-parametric extrapolation having as reference an age-, sex- and year-of-onset-matched population derived from national life tables. RESULTS: Between 1986 and 2014, HCC lead to an average of 11.5 years-of-life lost for each patient. The youngest age-quartile group (18-61 years) had the highest number of years-of-life lost, representing approximately 41% of the overall benefit obtainable from prevention. Advancements in HCC management have progressively reduced the number of years-of-life lost from 12.6 years in 1986-1999, to 10.7 in 2000-2006 and 7.4 years in 2007-2014. Currently, an HCC diagnosis when a single tumour <2 cm results in 3.7 years-of-life lost while the diagnosis when a single tumour ≥ 2 cm or 2/3 nodules still within the Milan criteria, results in 5.0 years-of-life lost, representing the loss of only approximately 5.5% and 7.2%, respectively, of the entire lifespan from birth. CONCLUSIONS: Hepatocellular carcinoma occurrence results in the loss of a considerable number of years-of-life, especially for younger patients. In recent years, the increased possibility of effectively treating this tumour has improved life expectancy, thus reducing years-of-life lost.

Effect of age on survival in patients undergoing resection of hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: The benefit of surgical intervention for cancer should be estimated in relation to the life expectancy of the general population. The aim of this study was to provide a measure of relative survival after hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). METHODS: Consecutive patients with liver cirrhosis and HCC who underwent hepatectomy were divided into age quartiles for analysis. Short- and mid-term survival rates were used to estimate survival until death for all patients, in relation to age and other co-variables. Years of life lost (YLL) were estimated using a reference cohort, derived from the general population matched for sex, age and year of diagnosis. RESULTS: Some 919 patients were included in the study. The following age quartiles were identified: less than 60 years (229 patients), 60-66 years (230), 67-70 years (231) and over 70 years (229). Postoperative mortality rates were similar between age quartiles, as were survival rates up to 3 years (P = 0·404). A statistically significant reduction in 5-10-year survival rates was observed with ageing (P = 0·001). Relative survival calculation showed that the youngest age quartile (less than 60 years) experienced the longest entire postoperative lifespan (15·6 years) but also the greatest number of YLL (11·0 years). Patients aged over 70 years had the shortest entire postoperative lifespan (6·4 years) but also the smallest number of YLL (3·7 years). CONCLUSION: Although survival after liver resection for HCC is shortest in elderly patients, relative survival estimates suggest that hepatectomy can be of benefit in these patients, with a small loss of the entire individual lifespan.

A new approach to the use of α-fetoprotein as surveillance test for hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND: Surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is recommended in patients with cirrhosis. As α-fetoprotein (AFP) is considered a poor surveillance test, we tested the performance of its changes over time. METHODS: Eighty patients were diagnosed with HCC (cases) during semiannual surveillance with ultrasonography and AFP measurement were recruited and matched for age, gender, etiology and Child-Pugh class with 160 contemporary cancer-free controls undergoing the same surveillance training group (TG). As a validation group (VG) we considered 36 subsequent patients diagnosed with HCC, matched 1 : 3 with contemporary cancer-free controls. α-Fetoprotein values at the time of HCC diagnosis (T0) and its changes over the 12 (Δ12) and 6 months (Δ6) before cancer detection were considered. RESULTS: In both TG and VG, >80% of HCCs were found at an early stage. In TG, AFP significantly increased over time only in cases. T0 AFP and a positive Δ6 were independently associated with HCC diagnosis (odds ratio: 1.031 and 2.402, respectively). The area under the curve of T0 AFP was 0.76 and its best cutoff (BC) was 10 ng ml(-1) (sensitivity 66.3%, specificity 80.6%). The combination of AFP >10 ng ml(-1) or a positive Δ6 composite α-fetoprotein index (CAI) increased the sensitivity to 80% with a negative predictive value (NPV) of 86.2%. Negative predictive value rose to 99%, considering a cancer prevalence of 3%. In the VG, the AFP-BC was again 10 ng ml(-1) (sensitivity 66.7%, specificity 88.9%), and CAI sensitivity was 80.6% with a NPV value of 90.5%. CONCLUSIONS: CAI achieves adequate sensitivity and NPV as a surveillance test for the early detection of HCC in cirrhosis.

Effect of age on native kidney function after adult intestinal transplants on long-term follow-up.

BACKGROUND: Kidney function usually deteriorates after intestinal transplant, with prevalence of renal failure almost 20% after 5 years. We report our results on adults from single institution over >10 years. METHODS: Forty-six patients were transplanted with 22 survivors; we divided them in 2 groups: Group 1, recipients with creatinine>1.2 mg/dL (normal, 0.50-1.2) and Group 2, normal creatinine. Group 1 included 12 patients (9 males) with a mean age of 42.8 years; all lived at home, with normal creatinine at transplant (apart from 1 patient with a creatinine of 1.6 mg/dL), and were mainly transplanted for short bowel syndrome. One underwent retransplantation. Immunosuppression was based on alemtuzumab (8 recipients) plus tacrolimus (FK). Group 2 included 10 patients (6 males) with a mean age of 34.7 years; all lived at home, had normal creatinine at transplantation, and were mainly transplanted for short bowel syndrome. Immunosuppression was mainly based on alemtuzumab (8 recipients) plus FK. RESULTS: There were no relevant differences between the 2 groups regarding number of recipients, sex, baseline creatinine at transplant, reason for transplantation, retransplantation, immunosuppression, antifungal or antiviral therapy, hospitalization, total parenteral nutrition (or fluids), or stoma. The only relevant difference was age (P=.04); patients with deteriorated kidney function or altered creatinine were found to be older.

Randomised controlled trial of doxorubicin-eluting beads vs conventional chemoembolisation for hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Transcatheter arterial chemoembolisation (TACE) is the treatment of choice for intermediate stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Doxorubicin-loaded drug-eluting beads (DEB)-TACE is expected to improve the performance of conventional TACE (cTACE). The aim of this study was to compare DEB-TACE with cTACE in terms of time-to-tumour progression (TTP), adverse events (AEs), and 2-year survival. METHODS: Patients were randomised one-to-one to undergo cTACE or DEB-TACE and followed-up for at least 2 years or until death. Transcatheter arterial chemoembolisation was repeated 'on-demand'. RESULTS: We enrolled 177 patients: 89 underwent DEB-TACE and 88 cTACE. The median number of procedures was 2 in each arm, and the in-hospital stay was 3 and 4 days, respectively (P=0.323). No differences were found in local and overall tumour response. The median TTP was 9 months in both arms. The AE incidence and severity did not differ between the arms, except for post-procedural pain, more frequent and severe after cTACE (P<0.001). The 1- and 2-year survival rates were 86.2% and 56.8% after DEB-TACE and 83.5% and 55.4% after cTACE (P=0.949). Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG), serum albumin, and tumour number independently predicted survival (P<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: The DEB-TACE and the cTACE are equally effective and safe, with the only advantage of DEB-TACE being less post-procedural abdominal pain.

Is resectable hepatocellular carcinoma a contraindication to liver transplantation? A novel decision model based on "number of patients needed to transplant" as measure of transplant benefit.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Number-needed-to-treat is used in assessing the effectiveness of a health-care intervention, and reports the number of patients who need to be treated to prevent one additional bad outcome. Although largely used in medical literature, there are no studies measuring the benefit of liver transplantation (LT) over hepatic resection (HR) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in terms of "Number of patients needed to transplant (NTT)." EXCLUSION CRITERIA: Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) Classes B-C, very large (>10 cm) and multi-nodular (>2 nodules) tumours, macroscopic vascular invasion and extra-hepatic metastases. STUDY POPULATION: 1028 HCC cirrhotic patients from one Eastern (n=441) and two Western (n=587) surgical units. Patient survival observed after HR by proportional hazard regression model was compared to that predicted after LT by the Metroticket calculator. The benefit obtainable from LT compared to resection was analysed in relationship with number of nodules (modelled as ordinal variable: single vs. oligonodular), size of largest nodule (modelled as a continuous variable), presence of microscopic vascular invasion (MVI), and time horizon from surgery (5-year vs. 10-year). RESULTS: 330 patients were beyond the Milan criteria (32%) and 597 (58%) had MVI. The prevalence of MVI was 52% in patients within Milan criteria and 71% in those beyond (p<0.0001). In the 5-year transplant benefit analysis, nodule size and HCC number were positive predictors of transplant benefit, while MVI had a strong negative impact on NTT. Transplantation performed as an effective therapy (NTT <5) only in oligonodular HCC with largest diameter >3cm (beyond conventional LT criteria) when MVI was absent. The 10-year scenario increased drastically the transplant benefit in all subgroups of resectable patients, and LT became an effective therapy (NTT <5) for all patients without MVI whenever tumor extension and for oligonodular HCC with MVI within conventional LT criteria. CONCLUSIONS: Based on NTT analysis, the adopted time horizon (5-year vs. 10-year scenario) is the main factor influencing the benefit of LT in patients with resectable HCC and Child A cirrhosis.

Assessment of perioperative transfusion requirement for cirrhotic patients undergoing elective hepatectomy.

BACKGROUND: The possibility of outlining a risk profile for perioperative blood transfusion of cirrhotic patients submitted to hepatic resection can help to rationalize transfusion policy. METHODS: Data from 323 hepatic resections, performed in cirrhotic patients, were reviewed. Bootstrap and a leave-one-out logistic regressions were applied to test the accuracy of available risk scores for peri-operative transfusion identified from PubMed search of the last 20 years, to refine them, and to provide internal validation for present results. RESULTS: One-hundred-six patients (32.8%) required blood transfusions during either intra- and/or postoperative. The predictive accuracy of three identified risk scores was poor with the area under receiver operating characteristics (AUROC) curves <0.70 in all cases. Tumor diameter, hemoglobin and presence of coronary artery disease were confirmed, in the present cohort, as predictors of blood transfusion together with serum albumin and bilirubin. The leave-one-out logistic regression results in an AUROC of 0.80, and of 0.79 for internal validation, significantly higher than that of the three scores tested (P<0.001). A Maximal Surgical Blood Order Schedule stratification was proposed. CONCLUSION: The risk profile for transfusion of cirrhotic patients undergoing hepatectomy can be better assessed with a model that combines already known clinical factors and hepatic function indexes.

The use of social networking to explore knowledge and attitudes toward organ donation in Italy.

BACKGROUND: Currently, online social media have become increasingly popular and can provide the opportunity to provide and acquire information regarding knowledge and attitudes toward organ donation and transplantation. To evaluate participants' knowledge about organ donation, information sources and donation principles, an on-line survey was distributed through social network in Italy. METHODS: 10584 persons were invited to respond to the questionnaire, the response rate was 22.8% and a total of 2258 complete responses were analyzed. RESULTS: The majority of participants were in favour of organ donation (94.9%), but this proportion decreased when asking for consent to donation of a family member's organs (75.2%; P<0.001). Internet represented a considerable proportion of information sources (37.2%), that were much less frequently represented by family doctors (5.6%) and school education (18.6%). Conversely, 68.5% of participants think that family doctors should provide information regarding donation and 81.9% think schools should also provide such education (P<0.001). A good knowledge about donation principles was the main factor associated with a positive attitude toward donation (P<0.001). CONCLUSION: Efforts must be aimed at involving schools and family doctors in education about donation; the use of social networks can represent a way of improving such knowledge.

Balancing donor and recipient risk factors in liver transplantation: the value of D-MELD with particular reference to HCV recipients.

Donor-recipient match is a matter of debate in liver transplantation. D-MELD (donor age × recipient biochemical model for end-stage liver disease [MELD]) and other factors were analyzed on a national Italian database recording 5946 liver transplants. Primary endpoint was to determine factors predictive of 3-year patient survival. D-MELD cutoff predictive of 5-year patient survival <50% (5yrsPS<50%) was investigated. A prognosis calculator was implemented (http://www.D-MELD.com). Differences among D-MELD deciles allowed their regrouping into three D-MELD classes (A < 338, B 338-1628, C >1628). At 3 years, the odds ratio (OR) for death was 2.03 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.44-2.85) in D-MELD class C versus B. The OR was 0.40 (95% CI, 0.24-0.66) in class A versus class B. Other predictors were hepatitis C virus (HCV; OR = 1.42; 95% CI, 1.11-1.81), hepatitis B virus (HBV; OR = 0.69; 95% CI, 0.51-0.93), retransplant (OR = 1.82; 95% CI, 1.16-2.87) and low-volume center (OR = 1.48; 95% CI, 1.11-1.99). Cox regressions up to 90 months confirmed results. The hazard ratio was 1.97 (95% CI, 1.59-2.43) for D-MELD class C versus class B and 0.42 (95% CI, 0.29-0.60) for D-MELD class A versus class B. Recipient age, HCV, HBV and retransplant were also significant. The 5yrsPS<50% cutoff was identified only in HCV patients (D-MELD ≥ 1750). The innovative approach offered by D-MELD and covariates is helpful in predicting outcome after liver transplantation, especially in HCV recipients.

Can the dropout risk of candidates with hepatocellular carcinoma predict survival after liver transplantation?

In the last US national conference on liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), a continuous priority score, that incorporates model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), alpha-fetoprotein and tumor size, was recommended to ensure a more equitable liver allocation. However, prioritizing highest alpha-fetoprotein levels or largest tumors may select lesions at a higher risk for recurrence; similarly, patients with higher degree of liver failure could have lower postoperative survival. Data from 300 adult HCC recipients were reviewed and the proposed HCC-MELD equation was applied to verify if it can predict post-transplantation survival. The 5-year survival and recurrence rates after transplantation were 72.8 and 13.5%, respectively. Cox regression analysis confirmed HCC-MELD as predictive of both postoperative survival and recurrence (p < 0.001). The 5-year predicted survival and recurrence rates were plotted against the HCC-MELD-based dropout probability: the higher the dropout probability while on waiting list, the lower the predicted survival after transplantation, that is worsened by hepatitis C positivity; similarly, the higher the predicted HCC recurrence rate after transplantation. The HCC priority score could predict the postoperative survival of HCC recipients and could be useful in selecting patients with greater possibilities of survival, resulting in higher post-transplantation survival rates of HCC populations.

Safety of hepatic resection in overweight and obese patients with cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND: The simultaneous incremental increase in incidence of both obesity and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) will soon lead to more overweight and obese patients with cirrhosis needing surgery. At present, little is known about postoperative mortality and morbidity in such patients. This study investigated outcomes after hepatectomy in relation to obesity in a homogeneous cohort of patients with cirrhosis. METHODS: Perioperative data from 235 patients with cirrhosis who had hepatectomy for HCC were related to the presence of normal bodyweight (body mass index (BMI) 18.5-24.9 kg/m(2)), overweight (BMI 25.0-29.9 kg/m(2)) and obesity (BMI at least 30 kg/m(2)). Complications after surgery were graded according to the expanded Accordion Severity Classification of Postoperative Complications (T92). RESULTS: One hundred and one patients (43.0 per cent) were of normal bodyweight, 88 (37.4 per cent) were overweight and 46 (19.6 per cent) were obese; none was underweight. Overweight and obese groups showed a male preponderance (P = 0.024), and metabolic disorders were frequently the cause of cirrhosis in these patients (P < 0.001 and P = 0.014 for non-B non-C hepatitis and alcoholic cirrhosis respectively). Liver function tests, tumour stage and extent of hepatectomy did not significantly differ between BMI groups. The intraoperative course and postoperative mortality were unaffected by BMI. Overweight and obese patients had significantly more mild respiratory complications (P = 0.044). Severe complications and organ system (including liver) failure were not significantly affected by BMI. CONCLUSION: Hepatic resection can be performed safely in overweight and obese patients with cirrhosis, although morbidity is increased in these patients.