Association between metabolic syndrome severity score and cardiovascular disease: results from a longitudinal cohort study on Chinese adults.

Objective: This study aimed to quantify the severity of metabolic syndrome(MetS) and investigate its association with cardiovascular disease(CVD) risk on Chinese adults. Methods: 13,500 participants from the Zhejiang Adult Chronic Disease Study were followed up between 2010 and 2021. A continuous MetS severity score derived from the five components of MetS was used to quantify MetS severity, and the association between MetS severity and the risk of incident CVD was assessed using Cox proportional hazard and restricted cubic spline regression. Results: Both the presence and severity of MetS were strongly associated with CVD risk. MetS was related to an increased risk of CVD (hazard ratio(HR):1.700, 95% confidence interval(CI): 1.380-2.094). Compared with the hazard ratio for CVD in the lowest quartile of the MetS severity score, that in the second, third, and highest quartiles were 1.812 (1.329-2.470), 1.746 (1.265-2.410), and 2.817 (2.015-3.938), respectively. A linear and positive dose-response relationship was observed between the MetS severity and CVD risk (P for non-linearity = 0.437). Similar results were found in various sensitivity analyses. Conclusion: The MetS severity score was significantly associated with CVD risk. Assessing MetS severity and further ensuring intervention measures according to the different severities of MetS may be more useful in preventing CVD.

Evaluation of graphical models for multi-group metabolomics data.

Gaussian graphical model is a strong tool for identifying interactions from metabolomics data based on conditional correlation. However, data may be collected from different stages or subgroups of subjects with heterogeneity or hierarchical structure. There are different integrating strategies of graphical models for multi-group data proposed by data scientists. It is challenging to select the methods for metabolism data analysis. This study aimed to evaluate the performance of several different integrating graphical models for multi-group data and provide support for the choice of strategy for similar characteristic data. We compared the performance of seven methods in estimating graph structures through simulation study. We also applied all the methods in breast cancer metabolomics data grouped by stages to illustrate the real data application. The method of Shaddox et al. achieved the highest average area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and area under the precision-recall curve across most scenarios, and it was the only approach with all indicators ranked at the top. Nevertheless, it also cost the most time in all settings. Stochastic search structure learning tends to result in estimates that focus on the precision of identified edges, while BEAM, hierarchical Bayesian approach and birth-death Markov chain Monte Carlo may identify more potential edges. In the real metabolomics data analysis from three stages of breast cancer patients, results were in line with that in simulation study.