Decreasing incidence and mortality of lung cancer in Hungary between 2011 and 2021 revealed by robust estimates reconciling multiple data sources.

Objective: Hungary has repeatedly been shown to have the highest cancer-related mortality and incidence in Europe. Despite lung cancer being the most abundant malignant diagnosis in Hungary, numerous concerns have been raised recently regarding the bias inherent to reported incidence estimates. Re-analysis of reimbursement claims has been suggested previously by our group as an alternative approach, offering revised figures of lung cancer incidence between 2011 and 2016. Leveraging on this methodology, we aimed at updating Hungarian lung cancer incidence estimates with an additional 5 years (2017-2021), including years affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. Additionally, we also attempted to improve the robustness of estimates by taking additional characteristics of the patient pathway into account. Methods: Lung cancer patients between 2011 and 2021 were identified based on reimbursement-associated ICD-10 codes, histology codes and time patterns. Multiple query architectures were tested for sensitivity and compared to official estimates of the Hungarian National Cancer Registry (HNCR). Epidemiological trends were estimated by Poisson-regression, corrected for age and sex. Results: A total of 89,948 lung cancer patients diagnosed in Hungary between 2011 and 2021 have been identified by our study. In 2019 alone, 7,887 patients were diagnosed according to our optimized query. ESP2013 standardized rate was estimated between 92.5/100,000 (2011) and 78.4/100,000 (2019). In 2019, standardized incidence was 106.8/100,000 for men and 59.7/100,000 for women. Up until the COVID-19 pandemic, lung cancer incidence was decreasing by 3.18% (2.1%-4.3%) yearly in men, while there was no significant decrease in women. Young age groups (40-49 and 50-59) featured the largest improvement, but women aged 60-79 are at an increasing risk for developing lung cancer. The COVID-19 pandemic resulted in a statistically significant decrease in lung cancer incidence, especially in the 50-59 age group (both sexes). Conclusion: Our results show that using an optimized approach, re-analysis of reimbursement claims yields robust estimates of lung cancer incidence. According to this approach, the incidence rate of male lung cancer is declining in Hungary, in concordance with the trend observed for lung cancer mortality. Among women aged 60-79, the incidence of lung cancer has risen, requiring more attention in the near future.

Drugs Becoming Generics-The Impact of Genericization on the Market Performance of Antihypertensive Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients.

To explore long-term changes in intra and inter-class choices between generic compounds, this paper investigates the market trends of two antihypertensive drug classes that have closely related pharmacological mechanisms-angiotensin convertase enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs) and angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs). We analysed the development of ACEI and ARB markets between 2001 and 2016 in nine European countries, covering the genericization transition periods of both therapeutic groups. The analysis was undertaken on the level of the active pharmaceutical ingredients (API) and focused on international and country-specific diffusion patterns. Comparison of ARB and ACEI therapies shows that although ARBs became off-patent during the observed period, and have a clinical advantage in terms of the adverse event profile over ACEIs, the increasing dominance of ARBs cannot be identified. One explanation is that ACEI therapies became generics earlier, relocating competition to the level of brands, while competition among ARBs remained at the level of the APIs. As for intra-class drug preferences, it was observed that the long-term trends show that ramipril outperformed its ACEI competitors, even though the kinetics and the rank order of preferred active compounds were inconsistent among markets. The diffusion of clinically preferable therapies seems to be ultimately supported by generic entries. In Eastern European countries, the emergence of generic markets has not only improved access to ACE inhibitors and ARBs, but has been a prerequisite for changing preferences. In contrast, genericization resulted in the relative anchoring of prior, branded era-based preferences in some Western European countries, which may be attributed to the role of the cessation of promotion and the fixity of prescription behaviour.