Landslide Susceptibility Evaluation Based on Potential Disaster Identification and Ensemble Learning.

Catastrophic landslides have much more frequently occurred worldwide due to increasing extreme rainfall events and intensified human engineering activity. Landslide susceptibility evaluation (LSE) is a vital and effective technique for the prevention and control of disastrous landslides. Moreover, about 80% of disastrous landslides had not been discovered ahead and significantly impeded social and economic sustainability development. However, the present studies on LSE mainly focus on the known landslides, neglect the great threat posed by the potential landslides, and thus to some degree constrain the precision and rationality of LSE maps. Moreover, at present, potential landslides are generally identified by the characteristics of surface deformation, terrain, and/or geomorphology. The essential disaster-inducing mechanism is neglected, which has caused relatively low accuracies and relatively high false alarms. Therefore, this work suggests new synthetic criteria of potential landslide identification. The criteria involve surface deformation, disaster-controlling features, and disaster-triggering characteristics and improve the recognition accuracy and lower the false alarm. Furthermore, this work combines the known landslides and discovered potential landslides to improve the precision and rationality of LSE. This work selects Chaya County, a representative region significantly threatened by landslides, as the study area and employs multisource data (geological, topographical, geographical, hydrological, meteorological, seismic, and remote sensing data) to identify potential landslides and realize LSE based on the time-series InSAR technique and XGBoost algorithm. The LSE precision indices of AUC, Accuracy, TPR, F1-score, and Kappa coefficient reach 0.996, 97.98%, 98.77%, 0.98, and 0.96, respectively, and 16 potential landslides are newly discovered. Moreover, the development characteristics of potential landslides and the cause of high landslide susceptibility are illuminated. The proposed synthetic criteria of potential landslide identification and the LSE idea of combining known and potential landslides can be utilized to other disaster-serious regions in the world.

Natural Compounds for the Treatment of Psoriatic Arthritis: A Proposal Based on Multi-Targeted Osteoclastic Regulation and on a Preclinical Study.

BACKGROUND: Psoriatic arthritis (PsA) is a chronic inflammatory arthritis affecting approximately 2% to 3% of the population globally, and is characterized by both peripheral articular manifestations and axial skeletal involvement. Conventional therapies for PsA have not been fully satisfactory, though natural products (NPs) have been shown to be highly effective and represent important treatment options for psoriasis. PsA is a multigenic autoimmune disease with both environmental and genetic factors contributing to its pathogenesis. Accordingly, it is likely that the use of natural compounds with a multi-targeted approach will enable us to develop better therapies for PsA and related disorders. OBJECTIVE: PsA, either on joint damage or on bone erosion, has been shown to respond to anti-psoriatic pharmacotherapy (APP), APP-like NPs, and their natural compounds. This study aims to uncover specific natural compounds for improved PsA remedies. Specifically, by targeting bone erosion caused by increased osteoclastic bone resorption, we aim to predict the key signaling pathways affected by natural compounds. Further, the study will explore their anti-arthritis effects using an in silico, in vitro, and in vivo approach. Following the signaling pathway prediction, a preclinical efficacy study on animal models will be undertaken. Collectively, this work will discover lead compounds with improved therapeutic effects on PsA. METHODS: We hypothesize that 9 potential APP-like NPs will have therapeutic effects on arthritis via the modulation of osteoclast bone resorption and signaling pathways. For in silico identification, the Latin name of each NP will be identified using the Encyclopedia of Traditional Chinese Medicine (Encyclopedia of TCM). The biological targets of NPs will be predicted or screened using the Herbal Ingredients' Targets (HIT) database. With the designed search terms, DrugBank will be used to further filter the above biological targets. Protein ANnotation THrough Evolutionary Relationship (PANTHER) will be used to predict the pathways of the natural compound sources. Subsequently, an in vitro sample preparation including extraction, fractionation, isolation, purification, and bioassays with high-speed counter-current chromatography-high-performance liquid chromatography-diode array detection (HSCCC-HPLC-DAD) will be carried out for each identified natural source. In vitro investigations into the effect of NPs on osteoclast signaling pathways will be performed. The experimental methods include cell viability assays, osteoclastogenesis and resorption pit assays, quantitative reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR), western blot, and luciferase reporter gene assays. Finally, an in vivo preclinical efficacy on a collagen-induced arthritis rat model will be carried out using a treatment group (n=10), a control group (n=10), and a non-arthritis group (n=10). Main outcome measure assessments during intervention include daily macroscopic scores and a digital calipers measurement. Post-treatment tissue measurements will be analyzed by serological testing, radiographic imaging, and histopathological assessment. RESULTS: Studies are currently underway to evaluate the in silico data and the in vitro effects of compounds on osteoclastogenesis and bone resorption. The preclinical study is expected to start a year following completion of the in silico analysis. CONCLUSIONS: The in silico rapid approach is proposed as a more general method for adding value to the results of a systematic review of NPs. More importantly, the proposed study builds on a multi-targeted approach for the identification of natural compounds for future drug discovery. This innovative approach is likely to be more precise, efficient, and compatible to identify the novel natural compounds for effective treatment of PsA.

In silico database screening of potential targets and pathways of compounds contained in plants used for psoriasis vulgaris.

Reviews and meta-analyses of clinical trials identified plants used as traditional medicines (TMs) that show promise for psoriasis. These include Rehmannia glutinosa, Camptotheca acuminata, Indigo naturalis and Salvia miltiorrhiza. Compounds contained in these TMs have shown activities of relevance to psoriasis in experimental models. To further investigate the likely mechanisms of action of the multiple compounds in these TMs, we undertook a computer-based in silico investigation of the proteins known to be regulated by these compounds and their associated biological pathways. The proteins reportedly regulated by compounds in these four TMs were identified using the HIT (Herbal Ingredients' Targets) database. The resultant data were entered into the PANTHER (Protein ANnotation THrough Evolutionary Relationship) database to identify the pathways in which the proteins could be involved. The study identified 237 compounds in the TMs and these retrieved 287 proteins from HIT. These proteins identified 59 pathways in PANTHER with most proteins being located in the Apoptosis, Angiogenesis, Inflammation mediated by chemokine and cytokine, Gonadotropin releasing hormone receptor, and/or Interleukin signaling pathways. All four TMs contained compounds that had regulating effects on Apoptosis regulator BAX, Apoptosis regulator Bcl-2, Caspase-3, Tumor necrosis factor (TNF) or Prostaglandin G/H synthase 2 (COX2). The main proteins and pathways are primarily related to inflammation, proliferation and angiogenesis which are all processes involved in psoriasis. Experimental studies have reported that certain compounds from these TMs can regulate the expression of proteins involved in each of these pathways.

Topical herbal formulae in the management of psoriasis: systematic review with meta-analysis of clinical studies and investigation of the pharmacological actions of the main herbs.

This systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) examined the topical use of multi-herbal formulations for the management of psoriasis vulgaris. Studies were identified from PubMed, Cochrane library, EMBASE, and the Chinese databases CNKI and CQVIP. Methods were according to the Cochrane Handbook and meta-analyses used RevMan 5.1. Nine studies met the inclusion/exclusion criteria. The comparisons were with placebo and/or anti-psoriatic pharmacotherapy (APP) with two studies having three arms. The pooled meta-analysis data indicated the topical herbal formulae improved overall clinical efficacy (defined as 50% improvement or greater) when compared with: topical placebo (plus oral herbal co-intervention); topical APP alone; and topical APP (plus pharmaceutical co-intervention). Improvement was evident in Modified Psoriasis Area and Severity Index (PASI) score when topical herbal formula was compared to placebo (plus oral herbal co-intervention). No serious adverse events were reported. The most commonly used herbs were Sophora flavescens root and Lithospermum erythrorhizon root. Experimental studies reported that these herbs and/or their constituents have anti-inflammatory, anti-proliferative, anti-angiogenic, and tissue repair actions. These actions may at least partially explain the apparent benefits of the topical multi-herbal formulations in psoriasis.

Phytotherapy in the management of psoriasis: a review of the efficacy and safety of oral interventions and the pharmacological actions of the main plants.

This review provides assessments of the efficacy and safety of oral forms of phytotherapy in psoriasis management and discusses the pharmacological actions of the plants that have been frequently used in clinical trials. It employed the methods described in the Cochrane Handbook. Ten randomized controlled trials that compared a plant-based intervention with placebo or a pharmacotherapy in the treatment of psoriasis vulgaris and used Psoriasis Area Severity Index (PASI) as an outcome measure were included. Superiority to placebo was found in two out of three studies. In six out of seven studies, the effect of the phytotherapy was reported as comparable to the pharmacotherapy in the short term when assessed as PASI 50. The safety of the phytotherapies was discussed. The most commonly used plants were Oldenlandia diffusa, Rehmannia glutinosa and Salvia miltiorrhiza. Experimental studies on extracts and compounds derived from these plants have reported anti-inflammatory, anti-proliferative and other actions of relevance to psoriasis management. These properties may account for the apparent actions of some of the phytotherapies used in these clinical studies. These plants and their active constituents appear to warrant further research attention in the search for future medications for psoriasis.

Topical herbal medicine combined with pharmacotherapy for psoriasis: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

This systematic review examines the current state of the evidence for the efficacy and safety of herbal medicines (HMs) used topically in conjunction with anti-psoriatic pharmacotherapy (APP) in the treatment of psoriasis. Searches were conducted in September 2012 of PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, two Chinese databases (China National Knowledge Infrastructure and Chinese Scientific Journals Full Text Database) and of article reference lists. We included randomized controlled trials published in English, Chinese or Japanese that investigated topical HM combined with APP used systemically and/or topically compared to pharmacotherapy alone. Studies employing phototherapy were excluded. Two authors conducted searches, extracted data on study characteristics and outcomes, and assessed Risk of Bias. Disagreements were resolved by discussion with a third author. Eight studies met the inclusion criteria. All used multi-herb formulae, four in herbal baths, three in herbal ointments or creams, and one as herbal steam. The pooled data indicated a benefit for the add-on effect of herbal therapy to APP. Adding these topical HMs to conventional pharmacotherapy appeared to produce short-term additional clinical benefits. No serious adverse events were reported. Experimental studies suggest that some of the herbs possess anti-inflammatory, anti-pruritic, and/or anti-proliferative activities. However, these results need to be interpreted with caution due to methodological weaknesses and the lack of replicated studies. Studies that address the identified methodological deficiencies are required to further investigate the efficacy and safety of these HMs as adjunct therapies for psoriasis.

Oral herbal medicines for psoriasis: a review of clinical studies.

Various forms of complementary and alternative medicine are used in psoriasis. Among these, herbal medicines are frequently used as systemic and/or topical interventions either as a replacement for or in conjunction with conventional methods. The benefit of such use is unclear. This review is to provide an up-to-date review and discussion of the clinical evidence for the main kinds of herbal therapies for psoriasis. Searches of the biomedical databases PubMed (including MEDLINE), EMBASE and CINAHL were conducted in December 2011 which identified 32 clinical studies, all published in English. Twenty of these primarily tested topical herbal medicines and were thus excluded. The 12 studies that evaluated systemic use of herbal medicines were included in the review. Four were case series studies and the other 8 were controlled trials. In terms of interventions, 4 studies tested the systemic use of plant oils combined with marine oils and 8 studies tested multi-ingredient herbal formulations. The clinical evidence for plant and animal derived fatty acids is inconclusive and any benefit appears to be small. For the multi-herb formulations, benefits of oral herbal medicines were shown in several studies, however, a number of these studies are not controlled trials, a diversity of interventions are tested and there are methodological issues in the controlled studies. In conclusion, there is promising evidence in a number of the studies of multi-herb formulations. However, well-designed, adequately powered studies with proper control interventions are needed to further determine the benefits of these formulations. In addition, syndrome differentiation should be incorporated into trial design to ensure effective translation of findings from these studies into Chinese medicine clinical practice.