The lung impedance monitoring in treatment of chronic heart failure (the LIMIT-CHF study).

AIMS: To assess the usefulness of intrathoracic impedance monitoring (IIM) alerts in guiding empirical treatment of chronic heart failure (CHF) patients to prevent heart failure (HF) hospitalizations and unplanned HF care. METHODS AND RESULTS: Chronic heart failure patients with OptiVol or CorVue capable implantable cardioverter-defibrillators were randomized to either the active group (IIM alarm turned on and diuretic dose increased by 50% for 1 week in the event of alarm sounding) or the control group (IIM alarm turned off). The primary endpoint was the number of HF hospitalizations per patient at 1 year. The NYHA class, 6MWT, B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP), and MLWHF questionnaire score were collected at baseline and follow-up. Eighty patients were included and 71 reached 1-year follow-up. There were 1.7 ± 1.5 alerts in the active group and 1.1 ± 1.0 in the control group, P = 0.07. In the active group, 61% of alerts led to a diuretic dose increase. There was a total of 11 HF hospitalizations in the active group vs. 6 in the control group without significant differences in the number of episodes per patient (0.3 ± 0.9 vs. 0.2 ± 0.4, P = 0.95). There were no unplanned HF visits in the active group vs. 0.1 ± 0.3 per patient in the control group, P = 0.08. The total MLWHF scores were significantly increased at the final follow-up in the control group, whereas a trend towards reduction was observed in the active group. CONCLUSION: In this study, an empirical HF treatment guided by IIM alerts did not reduce emergency treatment of HF. However, it seems to have a positive impact on quality of life. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATIONURL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT01320007.

Pre-discharge risk stratification in unselected STEMI: is there a role for ST2 or its natural ligand IL-33 when compared with contemporary risk markers?

BACKGROUND: Soluble ST2 is a marker of cellular stress and injury whose natural ligand is interleukin-33. We investigate, for the first time, the relationship of IL-33 and ST2 with death at 30-days, 1-year and beyond in unselected STEMI patients. We assess the incremental value they offer over GRACE score and NT-proBNP. Secondary endpoints were heart failure readmission and re-infarction. METHODS: ST2 and IL-33 were measured in 677 patients 3-5 days after admission. Median follow-up was 587 (134-2818) days during which 101 (15%) patients died. RESULTS: ST2 was higher in those who died when compared to event-free survivors (median [range] 1125 [123-15781] vs. 630 [59-11729] pg/ml, p<0.001) as was IL-33 (75 [5.4-17893] vs. 5.4 [5.4-16466] pg/mL, p=0.006). Multivariate Cox regression analysis reveals that elevated ST2 is associated with increased risk of mortality at 30-days (HR 9.34, p<0.001) and 1-year (HR 3.15, p=0.001). These relationships continued after further adjustment for GRACE-RS and NT-proBNP. Combining ST2 (c-statistic 0.82, p<0.001), GRACE-RS (0.82, p<0.001) and NT-proBNP (0.84, p<0.001) leads to a significant improvement in the c-statistic for 30-day mortality to 0.90 (p=0.01). IL-33 above 5.4 pg/ml was independently associated with increased mortality at 30-days (HR 4.16, p=0.007) and 1-year (HR 2.29, p=0.008) but, did not add incremental prognostic value over using GRACE-RS and NT-proBNP. The ratio IL-33/ST2 was not associated with events. CONCLUSIONS: Elevated ST2 and IL-33 were both associated with increased mortality. ST2 demonstrated incremental value over contemporary risk markers but, IL-33 did not. ST2 has a potential role in risk stratification using a multi-marker approach.

Interleukin 33 and ST2 in non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction: comparison with Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events Risk Scoring and NT-proBNP.

BACKGROUND: Soluble ST2 is a marker of biomechanical strain for which the natural ligand is interleukin 33 (IL-33). They have not been studied together in non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI). We investigated their relationship with death, heart failure (HF) readmission, and reinfarction combined (termed major adverse cardiac events [MACE]) and, separately, in unselected patients using Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events Risk Scoring (GRACE-RS) and n terminal pro B type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) as benchmark comparators. METHODS: ST2 and IL-33 were measured in 577 patients 3 to 5 days after admission. Mean follow-up was 532 (150-1059) days, during which 156 patients (27%) reached the primary end point. RESULTS: ST2 was higher in those who experienced MACE when compared with event-free survivors (median 782 pg/mL vs 596, P < .001), but there was no difference in IL-33 levels across any end point. Multivariate Cox regression analysis reveals that elevated ST2 is independently associated with increased risk of MACE during the long term (hazard ratio [HR] 2.01, P = .005). This relationship continues on further adjustment for either GRACE risk score or NT-proBNP individually but not on adjustment for both. ST2 also independently predicts reinfarction (HR 2.48, P = .03) and 30-day mortality (HR 4.43, P = .02, c-statistic 0.73, P < .001). Adding ST2 to GRACE or to NT-proBNP did not lead to significant improvements in the c-statistic for MACE for long-term follow-up (P = .27 and P = .57, respectively) or the net reclassification index. Neither IL-33 nor its ratio with ST2 was associated with study end points. CONCLUSIONS: Elevated ST2 predicts adverse outcome in non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction but does not significantly improve risk stratification for established markers. Interleukin 33 was not related to adverse events.

C-terminal provasopressin (copeptin) as a prognostic marker after acute non-ST elevation myocardial infarction: Leicester Acute Myocardial Infarction Peptide II (LAMP II) study.

Copeptin, the 39-amino-acid C-terminal portion of provasopressin, has been shown to be an independent predictor for adverse events following STEMI (ST elevation myocardial infarction). We hypothesized that plasma copeptin was an independent predictor for adverse outcomes following acute NSTEMI (non-STEMI) and evaluated whether copeptin added prognostic information to the GRACE (Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events) score compared with NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide). Plasma copeptin and NT-proBNP were measured in 754 consecutive patients admitted to the hospital with chest pain and diagnosed as having NSTEMI in this prospective observational study. The end point was all-cause mortality at 6 months. Upper median levels of copeptin were strongly associated with all-cause mortality at 6 months. Copeptin was a significant predictor of time to mortality {HR (hazard ratio), 5.98 [95% CI (confidence interval, 3.75-9.53]; P < 0.0005} in univariate analysis and remained a significant predictor in multivariate analysis [HR, 3.03 (05% CI, 1.32-6.98); P = 0.009]. There were no significant differences between the area under ROC (receiver operating characteristic) curves of copeptin, NT-proBNP and the GRACE score. Copeptin improved accuracy of risk classification when used in combination with the GRACE score as determined by net reclassification improvement, whereas NT-proBNP did not. The relative utility of the GRACE score was increased more by copeptin than by NT-proBNP over a wide range of risks. Plasma copeptin is elevated after NSTEMI, and higher levels are associated with worse outcomes. Copeptin used in conjunction with the GRACE score improves risk stratification enabling more accurate identification of high-risk individuals.

Prognostic value of mid-regional pro-adrenomedullin levels taken on admission and discharge in non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction: the LAMP (Leicester Acute Myocardial Infarction Peptide) II study.

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to assess the prognostic value of admission and discharge mid-regional pro-adrenomedullin (sAM) levels in non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (MI) and identify values to aid clinical decision making. N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and GRACE (Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events) score were used as comparators. BACKGROUND: sAM is a stable precursor of adrenomedullin. METHODS: We measured plasma sAM on admission and discharge in 745 non-ST-elevation MI patients (514 men, median age 70.0 +/- 12.7 years). The primary end point was a composite of death, heart failure, hospitalization, and recurrent acute MI over mean follow-up of 760 days (range 150 to 2,837 days), with each event assessed individually as secondary end points. RESULTS: During follow-up, 120 (16.1%) patients died, and there were 65 (8.7%) hospitalizations for heart failure and 77 (10.3%) recurrent acute MIs. Both admission and discharge levels were increased (median 0.81 nmol/l [range 0.06 to 5.75 nmol/l] and 0.76 nmol/l [range 0.25 to 6.95 nmol/l], respectively) compared with established normal ranges. Multivariate adjusted Cox regression models revealed that both were associated with the primary end point (hazard ratio: 9.75 on admission and 7.54 on discharge; both p < 0.001). Admission sAM was particularly associated with early (<30 days) mortality (c-statistic = 0.90, p < 0.001), and when compared with N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and GRACE score, it was the only independent predictor of this end point. Admission sAM >1.11 nmol/l identified those at highest risk of death (p < 0.001). Patients with above-median admission sAM may benefit from revascularization. CONCLUSIONS: sAM level is prognostic for death or heart failure. Admission levels are a strong predictor of early mortality and, when >1.11 nmol/l, complements the GRACE score to improve risk stratification.

Matrix metalloproteinase-2 predicts mortality in patients with acute coronary syndrome.

The aim of the present study was to investigate the predictive value of MMP (matrix metalloproteinase)-2, MMP-3 and MMP-9 levels in patients with acute coronary syndrome for death, readmission with HF (heart failure) or recurrent MI (myocardial infarction) and to compare them with established markers, NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide) and the GRACE (Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events) score. A single blood test was taken 4 days after admission in 1024 consecutive patients with acute MI with end points observed over 519 (134-1059) days [value is median (range)]. MMP-2 and MMP-3 were increased in patients who died (n=111) compared with survivors (P<0.006 and P=0.01 respectively), but were similar in patients with HF (n=106) or MI (n=138). MMP-9 levels were similar across study end points. Using Cox proportional hazards modelling, MMP-2 demonstrated an independent prediction of death [HR (hazard ratio) 6.60, P=0.001], along with NT-proBNP (HR 4.62, P<0.001) and the GRACE score (HR 1.03, P<0.001), but MMP-3, MMP-9 or log10-troponin I did not. For 1 year mortality, the areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves were 0.60 and 0.58 for MMP-2 and MMP-3 respectively, compared with 0.82 for NT-proBNP and 0.84 for the GRACE score (all P<0.001). Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that MMP-2 levels in the top quartile were associated with higher mortality rates (log rank 12.49, P=0.006). On univariate analysis, MMP-2 and MMP-3 had a weak association with HF readmission, which was lost after adjustment for clinical factors. None of the MMPs tested predicted MI. In conclusion, this is the first single centre study that identifies MMP2 as an independent predictor of all-cause mortality post-ACS (acute coronary syndrome); however, NT-proBNP and the GRACE score are superior for risk stratification in this cohort.

N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide complements the GRACE risk score in predicting early and late mortality following acute coronary syndrome.

The GRACE (Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events) risk score has been shown to offer predictive power with regard to death and AMI (acute myocardial infarction) in patients with ACS (acute coronary syndromes). NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide) has also been found to be useful in predicting mortality following ACS. In the present study, we sought to investigate the use of the GRACE score and NT-proBNP levels at predicting risk of early and late deaths following ACS. We studied 1033 patients (740 men, mean age 66.5+/-12.7 years) with AMI. Blood was drawn once within 24 h following the onset of chest pain. The plasma concentration of NT-proBNP was determined using an in-house non-competitive immunoassay. Patients were GRACE risk scored. The 30-day mortality was 3.7% and the 6-month mortality was 7.8%, and all were related to higher GRACE risk scores (P=0.001 for trend). Higher NT-proBNP levels were also related to increased mortality (P<0.0001). In a Cox proportional hazards model, independent predictors of 30-day and 6-month mortality included NT-proBNP levels and the GRACE risk score. The receiver-operating curve for the GRACE risk score was complemented by NT-proBNP levels for prediction of 30-day mortality [AUC (area under the curve), 0.85] and 6-month mortality (AUC, 0.81). NT-proBNP gives complementary information to the GRACE risk score for predicting early and late mortality. The inclusion of the NT-proBNP blood test is useful in risk-stratifying patients after ACS.

C-terminal provasopressin (copeptin) as a novel and prognostic marker in acute myocardial infarction: Leicester Acute Myocardial Infarction Peptide (LAMP) study.

BACKGROUND: The role of the vasopressin system after acute myocardial infarction is unclear. Copeptin, the C-terminal part of the vasopressin prohormone, is secreted stoichiometrically with vasopressin. We compared the prognostic value of copeptin and an established marker, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NTproBNP), after acute myocardial infarction. METHODS AND RESULTS: In this prospective single-hospital study, we recruited 980 consecutive post-acute myocardial infarction patients (718 men, median [range] age 66 [24 to 95] years), with follow-up over 342 (range 0 to 764) days. Plasma copeptin was highest on admission (n=132, P<0.001, day 1 versus days 2 to 5) and reached a plateau at days 3 to 5. In the 980 patients, copeptin (measured at days 3 to 5) was elevated in patients who died (n=101) or were readmitted with heart failure (n=49) compared with survivors (median [range] 18.5 [0.6 to 441.0] versus 6.5 [0.3 to 267.0] pmol/L, P<0.0005). With logistic regression analysis, copeptin (odds ratio, 4.14, P<0.0005) and NTproBNP (odds ratio, 2.26, P<0.003) were significant independent predictors of death or heart failure at 60 days. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves for copeptin (0.75) and NTproBNP (0.76) were similar. The logistic model with both markers yielded a larger area under the curve (0.84) than for NTproBNP (P<0.013) or copeptin (P<0.003) alone, respectively. Cox modeling predicted death or heart failure with both biomarkers (log copeptin [hazard ratio, 2.33], log NTproBNP [hazard ratio, 2.70]). In patients stratified by NTproBNP (above the median of approximately 900 pmol/L), copeptin above the median (approximately 7 pmol/L) was associated with poorer outcome (P<0.0005). Findings were similar for death and heart failure as individual end points. CONCLUSIONS: The vasopressin system is activated after acute myocardial infarction. Copeptin may predict adverse outcome, especially in those with an elevated NTproBNP (more than approximately 900 pmol/L).