Trends in the prevalence and social determinants of stunting in India, 2005-2021: findings from three rounds of the National Family Health Survey.

Objectives: To assess social determinants of stunting and the shifts in contributions of socio-demographic factors to national prevalence trends in India between 2005 and 2021. Methods: We leveraged data from three rounds of the National Family Health Survey (NFHS-3: 2005-2006, NFHS-4: 2015-2016, NFHS-5: 2019-2021) for 443 038 children under 5 years. Adjusted logistic regression models and a Kitigawa-Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition were deployed to examine how wealth, residence, belonging to a marginalised social group, maternal education and child sex contributed to changes in stunting prevalence. Results: The decrease in stunting prevalence was notably slower between NFHS-4 and NFHS-5 (annual average rate of reduction (AARR): 1.33%) than between NFHS-3 and NFHS-4 (AARR: 2.20%). The protective effect of high wealth diminished from 2015 onwards but persisted for high maternal education. However, an intersection of higher household wealth and maternal education mitigated stunting to a greater extent than either factor in isolation. Residence only predicted stunting in 2005-2006 with an urban disadvantage (adjusted OR: 1.18; 95% CI: 1.07 to 1.29). Children from marginalised social groups displayed increased likelihoods of stunting, from 6-16% in 2005-2006 to 11-21% in 2015-2016 and 2020-2021. Being male was associated with 6% and 7% increased odds of stunting in 2015-2016 and 2019-2021, respectively. Increased household wealth (45%) and maternal education (14%) contributed to decreased stunting prevalence between 2005 and 2021. Conclusions: Stunting prevalence in India has decreased across social groups. However, social disparities in stunting persist and are exacerbated by intersections of low household wealth, maternal education and being from a marginalised social group. Increased survival must be accompanied by needs-based interventions to support children and mitigate mutually reinforcing sources of inequality.

Transitioning to an obese India: Demographic and structural determinants of the rapid rise in overweight incidence.

India, which has long suffered from undernutrition, has seen a rapid rise in overweight incidence in the last decade and a half. These changes are characterized by significant within-country differences in overweight incidence that vary by gender and regional development levels. In this paper, we provide an integrative framework, linking the income-gradient hypothesis of obesity with biological, obesogenic, and environmental factors to provide an explanation on the emergence of within-country differences in overweight patterns. We utilize measured body mass index (BMI), along with individual- and household-level data of over 800,000 men and women surveyed in the National Family Health Surveys of 2005-06 and 2015-16 to identify correlates of within-country differences in overweight incidence. A decomposition analysis reveals that among women, in addition to increasing access to obesogenic technologies, biological factors are associated with overweight incidence. Among men, obesogenic factors related to technology use and health behaviors are associated with the rise in overweight incidence, but biological factors are not. At lower levels of regional development, overweight incidence is associated with greater access to obesogenic technology such as motorized transport, which reduces physical activity among men at higher rates than women. At higher levels of economic development, obesogenic behaviors, such as watching more television and reducing smoking, are associated with overweight incidence. Our results corroborate the call by public health experts for group-specific policies to stem the rise of overweight incidence in developing countries.

Effects of short birth spacing on birth-order differences in child stunting: Evidence from India.

Do firstborn children have a height advantage? Empirical findings have found mostly that, yes, second or higher-order children often lag behind firstborns in height outcomes, especially in developing countries. However, empirical investigations of birth-order effects on child height overlook the potential impact that birth spacing can have. We provide an explanation for the negative birth-order effect on stunting outcomes for young Indian children and show it is driven by short preceding-birth spacing. We find that firstborn children are taller than children of higher birth order: The height-for-age gap for third (or higher)-order children is twice the gap for children second in birth order. However, this pattern is observed when spacing between later-born children and their immediate elder siblings is fewer than 3 y. Interestingly, the firstborn height advantage disappears when later-born children are born at least 3 y after their elder siblings. Thus, our findings indicate that spacing length between children explains differences in height, over birth order. Although India's family planning policy has resulted in a substantial reduction in total fertility, its achievement in spacing subsequent births has been less impressive. In showing that spacing can alleviate or aggravate birth-order effects on attained height, our study fills an evidence gap: Reducing fertility alone may not be sufficient in overcoming negative birth-order effects. To reduce the detrimental effects of birth order on child stunting, policy responses-and therefore research priorities-require a stronger focus on increasing the time period between births.