Outcomes of SARS-CoV-2 and seasonal viruses among 2 million adults hospitalized for severe acute respiratory infection during the COVID-19 pandemic in Brazil.

BACKGROUND: The outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound impact on the circulation of seasonal respiratory viruses. This study aimed to compare the outcomes of SARS-CoV-2 and seasonal viruses in adults hospitalized with severe acute respiratory infection (SARI) during the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: This population-based cohort study included patients aged > 18 years hospitalized for SARI in Brazil between February 2020 and February 2023. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. A competing risk analysis was used to account for competing events. RESULTS: In total, 2,159,171 patients were included in the study. SARS-CoV-2 was the predominant virus (98.7%). The cumulative incidence of in-hospital mortality was 33.1%, 31.5%, 21.0%, 18.7%, and 18.6%, for patients positive for SARS-CoV-2, adenovirus, RSV, influenza, and other viruses, respectively. SARS-CoV-2 accounted for 99.3% of the deaths. Older age, male sex, comorbidities, hospitalization in the northern region, and oxygen saturation <95% were the common risk factors for death among all viruses. CONCLUSIONS: In this large cohort study, individuals infected with SARS-CoV-2 or adenovirus had the highest risk of mortality. Irrespective of the virus type, older age, male sex, comorbidities, hospitalization in vulnerable regions, and low oxygen saturation were associated with an increased risk of fatality.

Outcomes of SARS-CoV-2 and Seasonal Viruses Among Children Hospitalized in Brazil.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Understanding how severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) interacts with other respiratory viruses is crucial for developing effective public health strategies in the postpandemic era. This study aimed to compare the outcomes of SARS-CoV-2 and seasonal viruses in children and adolescents hospitalized with severe acute respiratory infection (SARI). METHODS: This population-based, retrospective cohort study included children and adolescents hospitalized with SARI from February 2020 to February 2023 in Brazil. The main exposure of interest was viral etiology. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. Competing risk analysis was used to account for time dependency and competing events. RESULTS: A total of 235 829 patients had available results of the viral tests, with SARS-CoV-2 predominance. According to the competing-risk survival analysis, the estimated probability of a fatal outcome at 30 days of hospitalization according to the viral strain was 6.5%, 3.4%, 2.9%, 2.3%, 2.1%, and 1.8%, for SARS-CoV-2, coinfection, adenovirus, influenza, other viruses, and respiratory syncytial virus, respectively. Individuals with a positive test for SARS-CoV-2 had hazard of death 3 times higher than subjects with a negative test (hazard ratio, 3.3; 95% confidence interval, 3.1-3.5). After adjustment by the competing-risk multivariable analysis, admission in Northeast and North regions, oxygen saturation <95%, and the presence of comorbidities were risk factors for death in all viral strains. CONCLUSIONS: SARS-CoV-2 infection had the highest hazard of in-hospital mortality in this pediatric cohort hospitalized with SARI. Regardless of viral etiology, the presence of underlying medical conditions was a risk factor for death.

Postnatal urinary tract dilatation classification: improvement of the accuracy in predicting kidney injury.

BACKGROUND: The grading of urinary tract dilatation (UTD) on postnatal sonography is a fundamental step to establish rational management for infants with antenatal hydronephrosis (ANH). The aim of this study was to compare the prediction accuracy of UTD grading systems for relevant clinical outcomes. In addition, we propose a refinement of the UTD classification by adding quantitative measurements and evaluate its impact on accuracy. METHODS: Between 1989 and 2019, 447 infants diagnosed with isolated AHN were prospectively followed. The events of interest were surgical interventions and kidney injury. Comparison of performance of the grading systems and the impact on the accuracy of a modified UTD classification (including the size of the kidney parenchyma) was assessed by the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC). RESULTS: Of 447 infants, 131 (29%) underwent surgical intervention and 26 (5.8%) had developed kidney injury. The median follow-up time was 9 years (IQ range, 7-12 years). The performance for detecting the need for surgical intervention was excellent for all grading systems (AUC > 0.90). However, for predicting kidney injury, the modified UTD classification exhibited significant improvement in accuracy (AUC = 0.913, 95%CI, 0.883-0.937) as compared with UTD classification (AUC = 0.887, 95%CI, 0.854-0.915) (P = 0.027). CONCLUSIONS: Our study confirms that the hydronephrosis grading systems provide excellent accuracy in discriminating patients who need surgical intervention among infants with AHN. Our findings suggest that the inclusion of kidney parenchymal thickness to UTD classification might increase the accuracy for predicting infants who may develop kidney injury. A higher resolution version of the Graphical abstract is available as Supplementary information.

Evaluation of Urinary Tract Dilation Classification System for Prediction of Long-Term Outcomes in Isolated Antenatal Hydronephrosis: A Cohort Study.

PURPOSE: The aim of this study was to evaluate the performance of the new classification of urinary tract dilatation (UTD) to predict long-term clinical outcomes in infants with isolated antenatal hydronephrosis (ANH). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Between 1989 and 2019, 447 infants diagnosed with isolated severe ANH and were prospectively followed. The main predictive variable for the analysis was the new UTD classification system. The events of interest were surgical interventions, urinary tract infections, chronic kidney disease stage II or higher, hypertension and proteinuria. The primary end-point was time until the occurrence of a composite event of renal injury, including proteinuria, hypertension and chronic kidney disease. RESULTS: Among 447 infants with ANH included in the analysis, 255 (57%) had UTD P1, 93 (20.8%) UTD P2 and 99 (22.2%) UTD P3. Median followup time was 9 years (IQR 7-12 years). Of 447 patients included in the analysis, 11 (2.5%) had hypertension, 13 (2.9%) exhibited persistent mild proteinuria, 14 (3%) developed chronic kidney disease Stage 2 and 26 (5.8%) had the composite outcome of renal injury. By survival analysis, the UTD system predicted accurately all events of interest. According to the Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, the probability of renal injury at 20 years of age was estimated at about 0%, 14% and 56% for patients assigned to UTD P1, UTD P2 and UTD P3, respectively (p <0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings provide insights that the new UTD classification has a good performance for discriminating not only mid-term, but also long-term clinical outcomes, including renal injury.

A clinical predictive model of renal injury in children with isolated antenatal hydronephrosis.

BACKGROUND: Antenatal hydronephrosis (ANH) affects ∼1-5% of pregnancies. The aim of this study was to develop a clinical prediction model of renal injury in a large cohort of infants with isolated ANH. METHODS: This is a longitudinal cohort study of 447 infants with ANH admitted since birth between 1989 and 2015 at a tertiary care center. The primary endpoint was time until the occurrence of a composite event of renal injury, which includes proteinuria, hypertension and chronic kidney disease (CKD). A predictive model was developed using a Cox proportional hazards model and evaluated by C-statistics. RESULTS: Renal pelvic dilatation (RPD) was classified into two groups [Grades 1-2 (n = 255) versus Grades 3-4 (n = 192)]. The median follow-up time was 6.4 years (interquartile range 2.8-12.5). Thirteen patients (2.9%) developed proteinuria, 6 (1.3%) hypertension and 14 (3.1%) CKD Stage 2. All events occurred in patients with RPD Grades 3-4. After adjustment, three covariables remained as predictors of the composite event: creatinine {hazard ratio [HR] 1.27, [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.05-1.56]}, renal parenchyma thickness at birth [HR 0.78(95% CI 0.625-0.991)] and recurrent urinary tract infections [HR 4.52 (95% CI 1.49-13.6)]. The probability of renal injury at 15 years of age was estimated as 0, 15 and 24% for patients assigned to the low-risk, medium-risk and high-risk groups, respectively (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Our findings indicate an uneventful clinical course for patients with Society for Fetal Urology (SFU) Grades 1-2 ANH. Conversely, for infants with SFU Grades 3-4 ANH, our prediction model enabled the identification of a subgroup of patients with increased risk of renal injury over time.

A Predictive Model of Postnatal Surgical Intervention in Children With Prenatally Detected Congenital Anomalies of the Kidney and Urinary Tract.

The aim of this study was to identify predictive factors and develop a model to assess individualized risk of postnatal surgical intervention in patients with antenatal hydronephrosis. This is a retrospective cohort study of 694 infants with prenatally detected congenital anomalies of kidney and urinary tract with a median follow-up time of 37 months. The main event of interest was postnatal surgical intervention. A predictive model was developed using Cox model with internal validation by bootstrap technique. Of 694 patients, 164 (24%) infants underwent surgical intervention in a median age of 7.8 months. Predictors of the surgical intervention in the model were: baseline glomerular filtration rate, associated hydronephrosis, presence of renal damage and the severity of renal pelvic dilatation. The optimism corrected c statistic for the model was 0.84 (95%CI, 0.82-0.87). The predictive model may contribute to identify infants at high risk for surgical intervention. Further studies are necessary to validate the model in patients from other settings.

A clinical predictive model of renal injury in children with congenital solitary functioning kidney.

BACKGROUND: Solitary functioning kidney (SFK) is an important condition in the spectrum of congenital anomalies of the kidney and urinary tract. The aim of this study was to describe the risk factors for renal injury in a cohort of patients with congenital SFK. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, 162 patients with SFK were systematically followed up (median, 8.5 years). The primary endpoint was time until the occurrence of a composite event of renal injury, which includes proteinuria, hypertension, and chronic kidney disease (CKD). A predictive model was developed using Cox proportional hazards model and evaluated by c statistics. RESULTS: Among 162 children with SFK included in the analysis, 132 (81.5%) presented multicystic dysplastic kidney, 20 (12.3%) renal hypodysplasia, and 10 (6.2%) unilateral renal agenesis. Of 162 patients included in the analysis, 10 (6.2%) presented persistent proteinuria, 11 (6.8%) had hypertension, 9 (5.6%) developed CKD stage ≥ 3, and 18 (11%) developed the composite outcome. After adjustment by the Cox model, three variables remained as independent predictors of the composite event: creatinine (HR, 3.93; P < 0.001), recurrent urinary tract infection (UTI) (HR, 5.05; P = 0.002), and contralateral renal length at admission (HR, 0.974; P = 0.002). The probability of the composite event at 10 years of age was estimated as 3%, 11%, and 56% for patients assigned to the low-risk, medium-risk, and high-risk groups, respectively (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Our findings have shown an overall low risk of renal injury for most of infants with congenital SFK. Nevertheless, our prediction model enabled the identification of a subgroup of patients with an increased risk of renal injury over time.

A predictive model of chronic kidney disease in patients with congenital anomalies of the kidney and urinary tract.

BACKGROUND: The antenatal detection of congenital anomalies of the kidney and urinary tract (CAKUT) has permitted early management of these conditions. The aim of this study was to identify predictive factors associated with chronic kidney disease (CKD) in CAKUT. We also propose a risk score of CKD. METHODS: In this cohort study, 822 patients with prenatally detected CAKUT were followed up for a median time of 43 months. The primary outcome was CKD stage III or higher. A predictive model was developed using the Cox proportional hazards model and evaluated by using c statistics. RESULTS: Chronic kidney disease occurred in 49 of the 822 (6 %) children with prenatally detected CAKUT. The most accurate model included bilateral hydronephrosis, oligohydramnios, estimated glomerular filtration rate and postnatal diagnosis. The accuracy of the score was 0.95 [95 % confidence interval (CI) 0.89-0.99] and 0.92 (95 % CI 0.86-0.95) after a follow-up of 2 and 10 years, respectively. Based on survival curves, we estimated that at 10 years of age, the probability of survival without CKD stage III was approximately 98 and 58 % for the patients assigned to the low-risk and high-risk groups, respectively (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Our predictive model of CKD may contribute to an early identification of a subgroup of patients at high risk for renal impairment. It should be pointed out, however, that this model requires external validation in a different cohort.

Diagnostic accuracy of renal pelvic dilatation for detecting surgically managed ureteropelvic junction obstruction.

PURPOSE: In this study we evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of renal pelvic dilatation for detecting infants with prenatal hydronephrosis who will need surgical intervention for ureteropelvic junction obstruction during followup. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Between 1999 and 2010, 371 newborns diagnosed with isolated prenatal hydronephrosis were prospectively followed. The main event of interest was the need for pyeloplasty. Diagnostic odds ratio, sensitivity, specificity and diagnostic accuracy (assessed by AUC) of fetal renal pelvic dilatation and postnatal renal pelvic dilatation were evaluated. RESULTS: A total of 312 patients were included in the analysis and 25 (7.5%) infants underwent pyeloplasty. The diagnostic performance for detecting the need for pyeloplasty was excellent for all ultrasonography measurements. The AUC was 0.96 (95% CI 0.92-0.98) for fetal renal pelvic dilatation, 0.97 (95% CI 0.95-0.98) for postnatal renal pelvic dilatation and 0.95 (95% CI 0.92-0.97) for the Society for Fetal Urology grading system. A cutoff of 18 mm for fetal renal pelvic dilatation and a cutoff of 16 mm for postnatal renal pelvic dilatation had the best diagnostic odds ratio to identify infants who needed pyeloplasty. Considering a diagnosis to be positive only if fetal renal pelvic dilatation was greater than 18 mm and postnatal dilatation was greater than 16 mm, sensitivity was 100% and specificity was 86% (95% CI 80.7-89.9). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that the combination of fetal and postnatal renal pelvic dilatation is able to increase the diagnostic accuracy for detecting infants who need a more comprehensive postnatal investigation for upper urinary tract obstruction.

Behavioral disorders and low quality of life in children and adolescents with chronic kidney disease.

Recent years has seen an increasing interest in the quality of life (QOL) of children with chronic kidney disease (CKD). The objective of this cross-sectional study was to investigate the prevalence of behavioral disorders and to assess the health-related QOL (HRQOL) in 136 patients with CKD. To estimate the prevalence of behavior disorders and analyze HRQOL, we used the Strengths and Difficulties Questionnaire (SDQ) and Pediatric Inventory of Quality of Life (PedsQL) Core Scales as assessment tools for both the patients and caregivers. When compared to healthy controls, the CKD group had significantly lower scores in almost all PedsQL domains. After adjustment, only absence of religion/other religions remained significantly associated with a lower global HRQOL score [odds ratio (OR) 6.2, P=0.009]. Among the parents, two factors remained significantly associated with a lower global HRQOL score: patients' age >10 years (OR 5.4, P=0.033) and absence of religion/other religions (OR 3.2, P=0.038). The CKD group demonstrated a higher proportion of behavioral and emotional disorders in all SDQ domains. There was a negative correlation between the presence of behavior and emotional disorders and HRQOL score (r= -0.552, P<0.001). Our findings suggest the importance of evaluating behavioral and social repercussions of CKD in order to improve the life quality of this pediatric population.

Risk factors for recurrent urinary tract infections in a cohort of patients with primary vesicoureteral reflux.

BACKGROUND: Knowledge of risk of urinary tract infection (UTI) recurrence in vesicoureteral reflux (VUR) can help clinicians make therapeutic decisions. The aim of this retrospective cohort study was to identify risk factors associated with recurrent urinary tract infection in children with VUR. In addition, a risk score that might predict the chance of UTI recurrence was also proposed. METHODS: Between 1970 and 2007, 740 patients were diagnosed with VUR and were systematically followed up at a single tertiary Renal Unit. Recurrent UTI was defined as more than 1 episode during follow-up. A binary logistic regression model was applied to identify variables independently associated with recurrent UTIs. RESULTS: During follow-up, information was obtained on 58,856 person-months. Recurrent UTIs occurred in 120 (16.2%) patients. The overall incidence rate of UTI was 8.4 episodes per 1000 person-months (95% CI, 7.7, 9.2). After adjustment by multivariable analysis, 5 variables were independent predictors of recurrent UTI: UTI as clinical presentation, age < 6 months, female gender, dysfunctional elimination syndrome, and severe grade of reflux. The risk for recurrent UTI was classified as low in 24% of children, medium in 42%, and high in 34%. UTI incidence rates per 1000 person-months were 4.3 (95% CI, 3.2, 5.6), 7.9 (95% CI, 6.7, 9.1), and 11.3 (95% CI, 9.9, 12.8) for low-, medium-, and high-risk groups, respectively. CONCLUSION: The prediction model of recurrent UTI allows an early recognition of patients at risk for long-term morbidity and might contribute to the formulation of therapeutic strategies.

Predictive factors for vesicoureteral reflux and prenatally diagnosed renal pelvic dilatation.

PURPOSE: We sought to identify predictive factors for primary vesicoureteral reflux among infants with prenatally detected renal pelvic dilatation. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 250 neonates were diagnosed with isolated renal pelvic dilatation between 1999 and 2008, and followed prospectively. The main event of interest was presence of moderate to severe reflux (grade III to V). Diagnostic odds ratio, sensitivity, specificity, and diagnostic accuracy (assessed by AUC) of fetal and postnatal renal pelvic dilatation were determined. Severity of dilatation was classified by Society for Fetal Urology grade. Binary logistic regression was performed to identify variables significantly associated with vesicoureteral reflux. RESULTS: A total of 23 patients (9.2%) had primary vesicoureteral reflux, of whom 16 had grade III to V disease. Diagnostic accuracy was 0.70 (95% CI 0.63 to 0.75) for fetal and 0.65 (95% CI 0.59 to 0.71) for postnatal renal pelvic dilatation. Combined results of fetal and postnatal renal pelvic dilatation were also assessed. When both tests less than 10 mm were considered negative indicators of moderate to severe vesicoureteral reflux sensitivity increased to 97% and diagnostic odds ratio to 19.1. After adjustment by logistic regression only Society for Fetal Urology grade greater than I and ureteral dilatation were variables independently associated with grade III to V reflux. CONCLUSIONS: Fetal and postnatal renal pelvic dilatation was a poor predictor of vesicoureteral reflux. Nevertheless, diagnostic accuracy regarding clinically significant vesicoureteral reflux improved when fetal and postnatal renal pelvic dilatation less than 10 mm was considered a negative indicator of reflux.