Parametric analysis of the transmission dynamics during indigenous aggregated outbreaks caused by five SARS-CoV-2 strains in Nanjing, China.

Background: SARS-CoV-2 strains have been of great concern due to their high infectivity and antibody evasion. Methods: In this study, data were collected on indigenous aggregated outbreaks in Nanjing from January 2020 to December 2022, caused by five strains including the original strain, the Delta variant, and the Omicron variant (BA.2, BA.5.2, and BF.7). The basic epidemiological characteristics of infected individuals were described and then parametric analysis of transmission dynamics was performed, including the calculation of incubation period, serial interval (SI), the basic reproductive number (R0), and the household secondary attack rate (HSAR). Finally, we compared the trends of transmission dynamic parameters of different strains. Results: The incubation period for the original strain, the Delta variant, Omicron BA.2, Omicron BA.5.2, and Omicron BF.7 were 6 d (95% CI: 3.5-7.5 d), 5 d (95% CI: 4.0-6.0 d), 3 d (95% CI: 3.0-4.0 d), 3 d (95% CI: 3.0-3.0 d), and 2 d (95% CI: 2.0-3.0 d), respectively; Also, the SI of the five strains were 5.69 d, 4.79 d, 2.7 d, 2.12 d, and 2.43 d, respectively. Notably, the incubation period and SI of the five had both a progressive shortening trend (p < 0.001); Moreover, R0 of the five were 2.39 (95% CI: 1.30-4.29), 3.73 (95% CI: 2.66-5.15), 5.28 (95% CI: 3.52-8.10), 5.54 (95% CI: 2.69-11.17), 7.39 (95% CI: 2.97-18.76), with an increasing trend gradually (p < 0.01); HSAR of the five were 25.5% (95% CI: 20.1-31.7%), 27.4% (95% CI: 22.0-33.4%), 42.9% (95% CI: 34.3-51.8%), 53.1% (95% CI: 45.0-60.9%), 41.4% (95% CI, 25.5-59.3%), also with an increasing trend (p < 0.001). Conclusion: Compared to the original strain, the incubation period and SI decreased while R0 and HSAR increased, suggesting that transmission in the population was faster and the scope of the population was wider. Overall, it's crucial to keep implementing comprehensive measures like monitoring and alert systems, herd immunization plans, and outbreak control.

Repeated COVID-19 Relapse of an Imported Patient Infected with SARS-CoV-2 Delta Variant of Concern.

BACKGROUND: Repeated re-positive of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) B.1.617.2 (Delta) variants of concern (VOC) in recovered coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients have not been reported yet. METHODS: We reported a rare case of repeated COVID-19 relapse during the post-discharge surveillance. RESULTS: This case had long-term viral shedding for 79 days. CONCLUSIONS: This case highlights that longer observation and isolation periods need be considered for patients with SARS-CoV-2 delta VOC infection.

Impact of vaccination on kinetics of neutralizing antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 by serum live neutralization test based on a prospective cohort.

How much the vaccine contributes to the induction and development of neutralizing antibodies (NAbs) of breakthrough cases relative to those unvaccinated-infected cases is not fully understood. We conducted a prospective cohort study and collected serum samples from 576 individuals who were diagnosed with SARS-CoV-2 Delta strain infection, including 245 breakthrough cases and 331 unvaccinated-infected cases. NAbs were analysed by live virus microneutralization test and transformation of NAb titre. NAbs titres against SARS-CoV-2 ancestral and Delta variant in breakthrough cases were 7.8-fold and 4.0-fold higher than in unvaccinated-infected cases, respectively. NAbs titres in breakthrough cases peaked at the second week after onset/infection. However, the NAbs titres in the unvaccinated-infected cases reached their highest levels during the third week. Compared to those with higher levels of NAbs, those with lower levels of NAbs had no difference in viral clearance duration time (P>0.05), did exhibit higher viral load at the beginning of infection/maximum viral load of infection. NAb levels were statistically higher in the moderate cases than in the mild cases (P<0.0001). Notably, in breakthrough cases, NAb levels were highest longer than 4 months after vaccination (Delta strain: 53,118.2 U/mL), and lowest in breakthrough cases shorter than 1 month (Delta strain: 7551.2 U/mL). Cross-neutralization against the ancestral strain and the current circulating isolate (Omicron BA.5) was significantly lower than against the Delta variant in both breakthrough cases and unvaccinated-infected cases. Our study demonstrated that vaccination could induce immune responses more rapidly and greater which could be effective in controlling SARS-CoV-2.

Dynamic characteristics of a COVID-19 outbreak in Nanjing, Jiangsu province, China.

Objectives: Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) lineage B.1.617.2 (also named the Delta variant) was declared as a variant of concern by the World Health Organization (WHO). This study aimed to describe the outbreak that occurred in Nanjing city triggered by the Delta variant through the epidemiological parameters and to understand the evolving epidemiology of the Delta variant. Methods: We collected the data of all COVID-19 cases during the outbreak from 20 July 2021 to 24 August 2021 and estimated the distribution of serial interval, basic and time-dependent reproduction numbers (R0 and Rt), and household secondary attack rate (SAR). We also analyzed the cycle threshold (Ct) values of infections. Results: A total of 235 cases have been confirmed. The mean value of serial interval was estimated to be 4.79 days with the Weibull distribution. The R0 was 3.73 [95% confidence interval (CI), 2.66-5.15] as estimated by the exponential growth (EG) method. The Rt decreased from 4.36 on 20 July 2021 to below 1 on 1 August 2021 as estimated by the Bayesian approach. We estimated the household SAR as 27.35% (95% CI, 22.04-33.39%), and the median Ct value of open reading frame 1ab (ORF1ab) genes and nucleocapsid protein (N) genes as 25.25 [interquartile range (IQR), 20.53-29.50] and 23.85 (IQR, 18.70-28.70), respectively. Conclusions: The Delta variant is more aggressive and transmissible than the original virus types, so continuous non-pharmaceutical interventions are still needed.

Epidemiological and etiological characteristics of mild hand, foot and mouth disease in children under 7 years old, Nanjing, China, 2010-2019.

BACKGROUND: Mild hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) cases make up a relatively high proportion of HFMD while have often been overlooked. This study aimed to investigate the epidemiological and etiological characteristics of mild HFMD in Nanjing. METHODS: Data on mild HFMD cases, during 2010-2019 in Nanjing, were collected from the China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention. This study mainly focused on mild cases aged < 7 years. Descriptive analysis was used to summarize epidemiological and etiological characteristics of mild cases. Flexible spatial scan statistic was used to detect spatial clusters of mild cases. RESULTS: A total of 175,339 mild cases aged < 7 years were reported, accounting for 94.4% of all mild cases. There was a higher average annual incidence of mild HFMD in children aged < 7 years (4,428 cases/100,000) compared with children aged ≥ 7 years (14 cases/100,000, P < 0.001), and especially children aged 1-year-old (7,908 cases/100,000). Mild cases showed semi-annual peaks of activity, including a major peak (April to July) and a minor peak (September to November). The average annual incidence was higher in males (5,040 cases/100,000) than females (3,755 cases/100,000). Based on the cumulative reported cases, the most likely cluster was detected, including Yuhuatai District, Jiangning District, Jiangbei new Area, and Pukou District. The annual distribution of enterovirus serotypes showed a significant difference. During 2010-2016, Enterovirus 71 (EV71), Coxsackievirus A16 (Cox A16), and other non-EV71/Cox A16 EVs, accounted for 29.1%, 34.6%, 36.3% of all the enterovirus test positive cases, respectively. Moreover, during 2017-2019, Cox A6, Cox A16, EV71, and other non-EV71/Cox A16/Cox A6 EVs, accounted for 47.3%, 32.5%, 10.7%, 9.5%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Children under 7 years old are at higher risk of mild HFMD. Regions with high risk are mainly concentrated in the areas surrounding central urban areas. Cox A16 and Cox A6 became the dominant serotypes and they alternated or were co-epidemic. Our findings could provide valuable information for improving the regional surveillance, prevention and control strategies of HFMD.

The latent period of coronavirus disease 2019 with SARS-CoV-2 B.1.617.2 Delta variant of concern in the postvaccination era.

INTRODUCTION: Emerging variants of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) have resulted in new challenges for epidemic prevention and control worldwide. However, little is known about the latent period of coronavirus disease by the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant of concern (VOC) in the postvaccination era. METHODS: The epidemiology and clinical data of cases with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 Delta VOC infection were retrospective collected. Dates of the first positive PCR test were collected to estimate the distribution of latent period. RESULTS: Of the 40 patients, 16 were male (40%). The median age of patients was 47.5 years. The median latent period of patients was 6.0 days (interquartile range [IQR], 4.0-9.0 days) and the longest latent period was 13.0 days after exposure. The latent periods were longer in male patients compared to female patients (median, 8.5 days vs. 5.0 days, p = .041). The median latent period was comparable among fully vaccinated cases (6.5 days), no vaccinated cases (7.5 days), and partially vaccinated cases (5.5 days). CONCLUSIONS: The median latent period of SARS-CoV-2 Delta VOC infection was 6.0 days. The latent period between vaccinated and non-vaccinated patients was not significantly different. The 14-day quarantine program is sufficient to prevent the transmission of COVID-19 by Delta VOC in the postvaccination era.

An HLA class II locus, previously identified by a genome-wide association study, is also associated with susceptibility to pulmonary tuberculosis in a Chinese population.

OBJECTIVE: Genome-wide association study (GWAS) in Icelanders identified HLA class II sequence variants on chromosome 6p21 as tuberculosis (TB) susceptibility loci. To evaluate the role of these loci in other populations with different ancestry, we conducted a case-control study in Chinese population. METHODS: We genotyped two genetic variants (rs9272461 and rs9271300) on the reported chromosome 6p21 in 739 pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) cases and 749 healthy controls from Chinese Han population using TaqMan allelic discrimination assay. Logistic regression was applied to evaluate the association between genetic variants and PTB risk and to estimate corresponding odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CIs). RESULTS: We found that rs9272461 was significantly associated with the risk of PTB in various genetic models (dominant OR = 0.75, 95%CI: 0.61-0.92; recessive OR = 0.64, 95%CI: 0.46-0.90, and additive OR = 0.78, 95%CI: 0.67-0.90). Moreover, in the stratified analysis in additive model, the association was also significant in the old (age ≥ 48 years) (OR = 0.76, 95%CI: 0.62-0.93; P = .008), men (OR = 0.71, 95%CI: 0.59-0.85; P < .001), and new PTB cases (OR = 0.76, 95%CI: 0.65-0.90; P = .001). The association results were similar between the microbiologically negative (OR = 0.78, 95%CI: 0.64-0.94; P = .008) and positive cases (OR = 0.77, 95%CI: 0.64-0.93; P = .008). We did not observe significant association for rs9271300 neither in the overall analysis (additive model: OR = 0.98, 95%CI: 0.85-1.13; P = .776) nor in the stratified analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate that the HLA class II locus also affects the susceptibility to PTB in Chinese population. Further validation studies and function experiments are required to confirm the roles of the discovered variant.

Genetic variants at 18q11.2 and 8q24 identified by genome-wide association studies were not associated with pulmonary tuberculosis risk in Chinese population.

OBJECTIVE: Genome-wide association study (GWAS) recently identified several susceptibility loci in ASAP1 gene on chromosome 8q24 for tuberculosis (TB) in a Russian population, but no relevant studies have been performed to validate these findings. In addition, previous GWAS in Ghana and Gambia found that the variant rs4331426 at 18q11.2 was a susceptibility locus for TB. However, the follow-up studies reported conflicting results. Herein, we investigated the contribution of genetic variants at 8q24 and 18q11.2 to TB in Chinese population. METHODS: We genotyped four genetic variants at 8q24 (rs10956514 and rs11774633) and 18q11.2 (rs4331426 and rs6507226) in a case-control study with 355 newly bacteriologically confirmed pulmonary TB cases and 395 healthy controls using TaqMan allelic discrimination assay. Subsequently, we conducted a meta-analysis including 4 reported studies in Chinese populations and our case-control study with a total of 3118 cases and 3226 controls to further evaluate the relationship between rs4331426 at 18q11.2 and TB risk. RESULTS: We did not find significant association between genetic variants at 8q24 and risk of TB (rs10956514: OR=0.89, 95%CI: 0.72-1.09, P=0.253; rs11774633: OR=0.86, 95%CI: 0.69-1.08, P=0.206). We did not observe significant association for genetic variants at 18q11.2 (rs4331426: OR=0.62, 95%CI: 0.34-1.14, P=0.122; and rs6507226: OR=0.98, 95%CI: 0.80-1.20, P=0.853). Moreover, the pooled results from the Meta-analysis further supported that rs4331426 at 18q11.2 was not associated with TB risk in Chinese population (OR=0.90, 95% CI: 0.63-1.29). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate that TB risk-associated loci at 8q24 and 18q11.2 identified by GWAS from the other populations may not contribute to TB susceptibility in Chinese population.