J-chronic total occlusion score predictive capacity for percutaneous coronary intervention success of chronic total occlusion: Results from a European single center cohort with progressive experience over time.

BACKGROUND: Several scoring systems have been described to assess the level of difficulty and to predict the probability of success of percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) of chronic total occlusion (CTO). The J-CTO score was initially developed to correlate CTO complexity with guidewire time crossing through the lesion within 30 min. Moreover, almost all scoring systems represent procedures performed by seasoned operators. Herein, this study sought to evaluate the predictive capacity of J-CTO for PCI success in a European single-center cohort with growing experience in the approach of CTO. METHODS: Five hundred twenty-six procedures were performed between 2007 and 2020 mainly by a single operator. The predictive power of J-CTO score was assessed by area under the receiver-operator characteristic curve (ROC) in the entire cohort and additionally in two separate periods. The goodnessof- fit of the model was evaluated by the Hosmer and Lemeshow statistic. RESULTS: Successful procedure in first-attempt PCI was 79.5% and the overall success including 47 repeated procedures was achieved in 85.8%. The retrograde approach was attempted in 14.4%. The score was inversely associated with procedural success with lower success rate in more difficult CTOs (p < 0.001). ROC curve for the entire cohort, and first block (case 1-200) and second block (case 201-526) was 0.696, 0.661 and 0.748, respectively. The model showed good calibration for the entire cohort (X2 = 1.7; p = 0.43). CONCLUSIONS: J-CTO score showed an acceptable predictive power for procedural success in this cohort although its discriminatory power is better as the level of experience is improved.

New scoring system for predicting percutaneous coronary intervention of chronic total occlusion success: Impact of operator's experience.

BACKGROUND: Several scoring systems have been developed in order to predict percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) result of chronic total occlusion (CTO). The scores principally include anatomic and clinical variables. Operator experience is a decisive factor for achieving successful result. We sought to assess the real impact of operator growing experience on CTO-PCI success. METHODS: The angiographic and clinical variables of CTO-PCIs performed in our center between May 2007 and April 2021 were collected, and variables with potential association with procedural result were thoroughly reviewed. The influence of operator experience based on the number of previous CTO-PCIs was statistically assessed. A scoring system with combination of anatomic variables and operator experience was devised. RESULTS: A total of 540 PCIs in 457 patients were performed in our institution. The scoring model was developed from the derivation set (2/3 of the cohort). The final variables in logistic regression model were CTO length ≥ 20 mm, blunt stump, vessel tortuosity > 45o and operator experience < 100 PCIs. The model showed good performance in the derivation set (area under curve [AUC]: 0.768; confidence interval [CI]: 0706-0.830; p < 0.001) with no significant shrinkage in the validation set (AUC: 0.704; CI: 0.613-0.796; p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: This new score (E-CTO score) adequately predict the probability of CTO-PCI failure. The model includes a variable representing operator experience along with other anatomic variables.