Routine transabdominal cervical length screening in mid-pregnancy for the prevention of preterm birth: Is it good enough to use as a screening test?

BACKGROUND: Preterm birth (PTB) is a major pregnancy complication. There is evidence that a short cervical length in mid-pregnancy may predict women at increased risk of PTB. AIMS: To evaluate the utility of population-based, transabdominal cervical length (TACL) measurement screening in mid-pregnancy for PTB prediction in women. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A transabdominal approach was initially performed, with a transvaginal (TVCL) approach offered when the TACL was <35 mm, could not be accurately measured, or the pregnancy had risk factors for PTB. TACL was compared to the directly related TVCL, when both were performed at the same assessment. Women with risk factors of PTB were included when they had both TACL and TVCL measurements performed at the same visit. RESULTS: Data were provided for 9355 singleton pregnancies from 13 participating imaging centres. A transabdominal approach was used in 9006 (96.3%), including 682 (7.3%) TVCL combined with TACL. There were 349 (3.7%) women who had TVCL only. The median TACL was longer (40 mm) than the TVCL (38 mm). In 682 paired TACL and TVCL measurements, TACL <35 mm correctly identified 96.2% of pregnancies with TVCL <25 mm, compared with 65.4% of cases when using a TACL <30 mm. A TVCL <25 mm occurred in 59 (0.6%) women. A TACL <35 mm was associated with birth <37 weeks of gestation in 12.1% of women and birth <32 weeks of gestation in 3.9%. CONCLUSIONS: Universal TACL is a feasible option for population screening of cervical length in a low-risk population, progressing to TVCL if the TACL is <35 mm or the cervix cannot be transabdominally accurately measured.

Ascertainment of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander status for assessment of perinatal health outcomes: Reported versus derived maternal ethnicity in Western Australian pregnancy data.

BACKGROUND: Under-identification of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander (hereafter referred to as Aboriginal) people can result in inaccurate estimation of health outcomes. Data linkage has improved identification of Aboriginal people in administrative datasets. AIM: To compare three methods of ascertainment of Aboriginal status using only pregnancy data from the Western Australian Midwives Notification System (MNS), to the linked Indigenous Status Flag (ISF) derived by the Department of Health. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This retrospective population-based cohort study utilised logistic regression to determine which demographic characteristics were associated with under-identification, and the effect of ascertainment method on perinatal adverse outcomes. RESULTS: All methods identified a core group of 19 017 (83.0%) Aboriginal women and the ISF identified 2298 (10.0%) women who were not identified using any other method. Under-ascertainment was lowest when a woman's Aboriginal status was determined by ever being recorded as Aboriginal in the MNS data, and highest when taken as it had been recorded for the birth in question. Maternal age <20 years, smoking during pregnancy, pre-existing diabetes, a history of singleton preterm birth and being in the lowest 20% of Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas score were all associated with a higher chance of being identified by the methods using only the MNS. These methods were less likely to identify nulliparous women, and those with maternal age ≥35 years. The method of ascertainment of Aboriginality did not make a significant difference to the adjusted predicted marginal probabilities of adverse perinatal outcomes. CONCLUSION: Unlinked pregnancy data can be used for epidemiological research in Aboriginal obstetric populations.

Characterisation of Mid-Gestation Amniotic Fluid Cytokine and Bacterial DNA Profiles in Relation to Pregnancy Outcome in a Small Australian Cohort.

A well-established association exists between intrauterine bacteria and preterm birth. This study aimed to explore this further through documenting bacterial and cytokine profiles in Australian mid-gestation amniotic fluid samples from preterm and term births. Samples were collected during amniocenteses. DNA was extracted and the full-length 16S rRNA gene was amplified and sequenced. Levels of the cytokines IL-1ß, IL-6, IL-10, TNF-α and MCP-1 were determined using the Milliplex MAGPIX system. Bacterial DNA profiles were low in diversity and richness, with no significant differences observed between term and preterm samples. No differences in the relative abundance of individual OTUs between samples were identified. IL-1ß and TNF-α levels were significantly higher in samples containing reads mapping to Sphingomonas sp.; however, this result should be interpreted with caution as similar reads were also identified in extraction controls. IL-6 levels were significantly increased in samples with reads that mapped to Pelomonas sp., whilst TNF-α levels were elevated in fluid samples from pregnancies that subsequently delivered preterm. Bacterial DNA unlikely to have originated from extraction controls was identified in 20/31 (64.5%) mid-gestation amniotic fluid samples. Bacterial DNA profiles, however, were not predictive of preterm birth, and although cytokine levels were elevated in the presence of certain genera, the biological relevance of this remains unknown.

Maternal complications associated with second trimester medical abortion using mifepristone priming and subsequent misoprostol.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the frequency of maternal adverse events associated with second trimester medical abortion using sequential mifepristone and misoprostol. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective analysis of medical abortions 13 to 28 weeks gestation using sequential mifepristone and misoprostol in a single center from January 2008 to December 2018. The main outcomes evaluated were the nature and incidence of adverse procedural events and the impact of gestation upon these outcomes. RESULTS: During the study period, 1393 people underwent a medical abortion with sequential mifepristone and misoprostol. The median maternal age was 31 years (IQR 27-36 years) and 21.8% had at least one prior cesarean delivery. The median gestational age at abortion commencement was 19 weeks (IQR 17-21). The main adverse maternal events were complete or partial placental retention greater than 60 minutes triggering removal in the operating room (19%), maternal hemorrhage>1000 cc (4.3%), blood transfusion (1.7%), hospital readmission (1.4%), uterine rupture (0.29%) and hysterectomy (0.07%). There were significant reductions in placental retention rates with increasing gestational age (23.3% at 13-16 weeks gestation declining to 10.1% at>23 weeks gestation, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Serious adverse maternal events associated with second trimester medical abortion with sequential mifepristone-misoprostol are uncommon. IMPLICATIONS: Second trimester medical abortion with mifepristone and misoprostol is generally safe, however, on occasions serious complications may occur. All health care units providing a medical abortion service require the facilities and expertise to deal with these adverse events in a timely manner.

Registry randomised trials: a methodological perspective.

Registry randomised clinical trials (RRCTs) have the potential to provide pragmatic answers to important clinical questions. RRCTs can be embedded into large population-based registries or smaller single site registries to provide timely answers at a reduced cost compared with traditional randomised controlled trials. RRCTs can take a number of forms in addition to the traditional individual-level randomised trial, including parallel group trials, platform or adaptive trials, cluster randomised trials and cluster randomised stepped-wedge trials. From an implementation perspective, initially it is advantageous to embed RRCT into well-established registries as these have typically already overcome any issues with end point validation and adjudication. With advances in data linkage and data quality, RRCTs can play an important role in answering clinical questions in a pragmatic, cost-effective way.

Mifepristone priming and subsequent misoprostol for second trimester medical abortion in women with previous caesarean delivery.

AIMS: To assess clinical outcomes and complications in women with ≥1 prior caesarean delivery (CS) during mid-pregnancy medical abortion with misoprostol following mifepristone priming. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Retrospective analysis of abortions at 13-28 weeks gestation using sequential mifepristone and misoprostol at a single centre from 1/2008-12/2018. Procedural outcomes were compared between cases with no prior CS, one prior and ≥2 prior CS. RESULTS: There were 1399 consecutive women who underwent a medical abortion, with 304 (21.7%) having ≥1 prior lower segment CS (241 one, 49 two, 12 three, one four) and one a prior classical CS. Median gestation was 19 weeks (interquartile range (IQR) 17-21) among nulliparas, multiparas with no prior CS and multiparas with prior CS, P = 0.505. Compared with nulliparas (median procedural duration 10.8 h, IQR 7.5-16.5; adjusted hazards ratio (aHR) = 1.20 95%CI 1.04-1.40, P = 0.015), multiparas with prior CS had a shorter procedural duration (9.5 h, IQR 6.5-13.5) while multiparas with no CS had the shortest duration (7.0 h, IQR 5.0-9.8; aHR = 2.28 95%CI 2.01-2.58, P < 0.001). Complications were more frequent with prior CS: estimated blood loss (medians: 100 cc no CS vs 150 cc ≥1 CS, P = 0.002), blood loss >1000 cc (3.6% no CS vs 7.2% ≥1 CS; odds ratio (OR) = 2.11 95%CI 1.23-3.62, P = 0.007) and placental retention (17.3% no CS vs 25.3% ≥1 CS; adjusted OR = 1.44 95%CI 1.05-1.99, P = 0.024). Uterine rupture occurred in 4/304 women with ≥1 prior CS (1.3%). CONCLUSIONS: Mifepristone-misoprostol abortion in women with prior CS is generally safe but associated with an increased risk of procedural complications. Lowering of the misoprostol dosage with prior CS may reduce uterine rupture, although this hypothesis requires ongoing research.

The Western Australian preterm birth prevention initiative: a whole of state singleton pregnancy cohort study showing the need to embrace alternative models of care for Aboriginal women.

BACKGROUND: Preterm birth (PTB) is the greatest cause of mortality and morbidity in children up to five years of age globally. The Western Australian (WA) PTB Prevention Initiative, the world's first whole-of-population whole-of-state program aimed at PTB prevention, was implemented across WA in 2014. METHODS: We conducted a prospective population-based cohort study using pregnancy data for singleton births in WA from 2009 to 2019. Logistic regression using the last full year before the Initiative (2013) as the reference, and run charts were used to examine changes in PTB rates compared to pre-Initiative levels, by gestational age group, hospital type, low and high risk of PTB in mid-pregnancy, and onset of labour (spontaneous/medically initiated). Analyses were stratified by Aboriginal and non-Aboriginal maternal ethnicity. RESULTS: Amongst non-Aboriginal women, there was initially a reduction in the PTB rate across the state, and in recent years it returned to pre-Initiative levels. Amongst Aboriginal women there was a small, non- significant reduction in the state-wide PTB rate in the first three years of the Initiative, followed by a rise in recent years. For non-Aboriginal women, the reduction in the rate of PTB at the tertiary centre was sustained and improved further for women of all risk levels and onsets of labour. This reduction was not observed for Aboriginal women giving birth at the tertiary centre, amongst whom there was an increase in the PTB rate overall and in all subgroups, with the exception of medically initiated PTB. Amongst Aboriginal women the PTB rate has also increased across the state. At non-tertiary hospitals there was a large increase in PTB amongst both Aboriginal and non-Aboriginal women, largely driven by medically initiated late PTB. Maternal risk factors cannot account for this increase. CONCLUSIONS: The reduction in PTB rates amongst non-Aboriginal women at the state's tertiary hospital demonstrates that with the right strategies, PTB can be reduced. A sustained collaborative model is required to realise this success in non-tertiary hospitals. The series of interventions was of limited use in Aboriginal women, and future efforts will need to be directed at strategies more likely to be successful, such as midwifery continuity of care models, with Aboriginal representation in the healthcare workforce.

Longitudinal effects of prenatal exposure to plastic-derived chemicals and their metabolites on asthma and lung function from childhood into adulthood.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Environmental exposure to phthalates and bisphenol A (BPA), chemicals used in the production of plastics, may increase risk for asthma and allergies. However, little is known about the long-term effects of early life exposure to these compounds. We investigated if prenatal exposure to these compounds was associated with asthma, allergy and lung function outcomes from early childhood into adulthood in a cohort study. METHODS: Maternal serum samples collected from 846 pregnant women in the Raine Study were assayed for BPA and phthalate metabolites. The children of these women were followed up at 5, 13 and 22 years where spirometry and respiratory questionnaires were conducted to determine asthma and allergy status. Lung function trajectories were derived from longitudinal spirometry measurements. Multinomial logistic regression and weighted quantile sum regression was used to test associations of individual and chemical mixtures with asthma phenotypes and lung function trajectories. RESULTS: Effects of prenatal BPA and phthalates on asthma phenotypes were seen in male offspring, where BPA was associated with increased risk for persistent asthma, while mono-iso-butyl phthalate and mono-iso-decyl phthalate was associated with increased risk for adult asthma. Prenatal BPA had no effect on lung function trajectories, but prenatal phthalate exposure was associated with improved lung function. CONCLUSION: Prenatal BPA exposure was associated with increased likelihood of persistent asthma in males, while prenatal phthalate exposure was associated with increased likelihood of adult asthma in males. Results suggest that prenatal exposure to prenatal BPA and phthalates affect asthma risk, particularly in males, however lung function was not adversely affected.

Associations between Prenatal Exposure to Phthalates and Features of the Metabolic Syndrome in Males from Childhood into Adulthood.

Phthalate metabolites are detectable within the majority of the population. Evidence suggests that a prenatal exposure to phthalates may be associated with the subsequent risks of obesity and elevated blood pressure. We hypothesised that a prenatal exposure to phthalates would lead to an increase in adverse cardiometabolic parameters through childhood and adulthood. The maternal serum phthalate measurements from the stored samples taken from Gen1 mothers at 18 and 34 weeks gestation were examined in relation to the cardiometabolic measures in 387 male offspring from the Raine Study. Data from the Gen2 follow-ups between 3 and 27 years were used. The primary outcomes were analysed longitudinally using linear mixed models for the repeated measures. Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) was assessed at 17 years using logistic regression. A consistent positive relationship was observed between a prenatal exposure to mono-carboxy-iso-octyl phthalate (MCiOP) through adolescence into adulthood with systolic blood pressure. There were no other consistent cardiovascular associations. Mid-levels of prenatal exposures to Mono-n-butyl phthalate (MnBP) were associated with a greater incidence of NAFLD. Detectable Mono-3-carboxypropyl phthalate (MCPP) was associated with a lower serum HDL-C through late childhood into adulthood, while a higher prenatal exposure to mono-iso-butyl phthalate (MiBP), was associated with a higher LDL-C at 22 years of age. A mid-level prenatal exposure to mono-2-ethylhexyl phthalate (MEHP) metabolites was associated with higher insulin in adulthood, while a higher prenatal exposure to the sum of the Di-(2-ethyl-hexyl) phthalate (DEHP) and Di-iso-nonyl phthalate (DiNP) metabolites was associated with higher fasting serum glucose in adulthood. In conclusion, our study demonstrated that higher prenatal phthalate exposures to some phthalate metabolites was associated with some adverse metabolic profiles through adolescence into adulthood, although the consistent themes were limited to a few metabolites and the outcomes of systolic blood pressure, fasting insulin and glucose.

Asthma and allergies in a cohort of adolescents conceived with ART.

RESEARCH QUESTION: Are asthma and allergies more common in adolescents conceived with assisted reproductive technologies (ART) compared with adolescents conceived without? DESIGN: The Growing Up Healthy Study (GUHS) is a prospective cohort study including ART-conceived offspring born between 1991 and 2001 in Perth, Australia. Their long-term health outcomes, including asthma and allergy parameters, were compared with those of their counterparts conceived without ART from the Raine Study Generation 2 (Gen2), born in 1989-1991. At age 14, 152 GUHS and 1845 Gen2 participants completed the following assessments: the International Studies of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC) questionnaire, spirometry, methacholine challenge testing and skin prick testing (SPT). RESULTS: No differences were detected in the prevalence of current asthma (7.7% versus 10.8%, adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 0.82 (95% CI 0.44-1.52), P = 0.530). Spirometry-measured lung volumes were larger in the ART adolescents. Bronchial hyperresponsiveness was less prevalent in the ART cohort (8.8 versus 18.6%, P = 0.006). Current allergic rhinoconjunctivitis (ARC) rates were significantly higher in the ART cohort (32.4% versus 25.2%, aOR 1.52 [95% CI 1.03-2.26], P = 0.036), with no cohort differences in atopic dermatitis. Food allergies were more prevalent in the ART cohort (20.7 versus 10.9%, aOR 1.89 [95% CI 1.17-3.06], P = 0.010) with more adolescents having a positive SPT (68.0% versus 45.4%, aOR 3.03 [95% 1.99-4.63], P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: This study reports no differences in asthma prevalence, slightly altered lung function, an increase in ARC, food allergies and positive SPT in the ART-conceived adolescents. These findings are important to families and healthcare providers and may open up possibilities for targeted screening and treatment. Further studies are required to confirm these findings.

Consistency in the transabdominal ultrasound measurement of cervical length in mid-pregnancy.

Purpose: The Western Australian Preterm Birth Prevention Initiative recommends a transabdominal cervical length (TACL) measurement at the mid-pregnancy ultrasound to screen low-risk women for preterm birth risk. In view of this recommendation, we assessed the inter-observer consistency of TACL screening in mid-pregnancy. Methods: Routinely collected mid-pregnancy TACL ultrasound images were graded from 0 to 4 according to the anatomical landmarks identified by a single expert. A random selection of 10 images of each grade were disseminated in an electronic survey to determine inter- and intra-observer variations in the classification of the cervical image. Results: A total of 244 participants graded 50 TACL images. Six participants repeated the grading. Overall agreement to the exact initial grade for all images was 49.6%, highest for images at both ends of the spectrum (83% Grade 0 and 70.4% for Grade 4). Overall agreement to the initial diagnostic Grades 3 and 4 was 75.3% (95% CI 74.5-76.0%) and was higher when the maternal bladder was empty. There was moderate inter-rater agreement (κ = 0.42) for Grades 3 and 4 (diagnostic) or Grades 1 and 2 (non-diagnostic). The intra-rater agreement was fair to good (κ = 0.59, 95% CI 0.49-0.70) for those who repeated the assessment (including the expert grader). Conclusions: Sonographic CL screening is considered an important tool for the identification of women at high risk of preterm birth. Image classification of TACL performed poorly compared with previous studies assessing transvaginal cervical length. Improved reliability and measurement consistency may be achieved through high levels of quality assurance, ongoing training and image audit.

Health, social and economic implications of adolescent risk behaviours/states: protocol for Raine Study Gen2 cohort data linkage study.

Background: Risk-taking behaviours are a major contributor to youth morbidity and mortality. Vulnerability to these negative outcomes is constructed from individual behaviour including risk-taking, and from social context, ecological determinants, early life experience, developmental capacity and mental health, contributing to a state of higher risk. However, although risk-taking is part of normal adolescent development, there is no systematic way to distinguish young people with a high probability of serious adverse outcomes, hindering the capacity to screen and intervene. This study aims to explore the association between risk behaviours/states in adolescence and negative health, social and economic outcomes through young adulthood. Methods: The Raine Study is a prospective cohort study which recruited pregnant women in 1989-91, in Perth, Western Australia. The offspring cohort (N = 2,868) was followed up at regular intervals from 1 to 27 years of age. These data will be linked to State government health and welfare administrative data. We will empirically examine relationships across multiple domains of risk (for example, substance use, sexual behaviour, driving) with health and social outcomes (for instance, road-crash injury, educational underachievement). Microsimulation models will measure the impact of risk-taking on educational attainment and labour force outcomes. Discussion: Comprehensive preventive child health programmes and policy prioritise a healthy start to life. This is the first linkage study focusing on adolescence to adopt a multi-domain approach, and to integrate health economic modelling. This approach captures a more complete picture of health and social impacts of risk behaviour/​states in adolescence and young adulthood.

Composition of early life leukocyte populations in preterm infants with and without late-onset sepsis.

BACKGROUND: Composition of leukocyte populations in the first month of life remains incompletely characterised, particularly in preterm infants who go on to develop late-onset sepsis (LOS). AIM: To characterise and compare leukocyte populations in preterm infants with and without LOS during the first month of life. STUDY DESIGN: Single-centre prospective observational cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: Infants born <30 weeks gestational age (GA). OUTCOME MEASURES: Peripheral blood samples were collected at 1, 7, 14, 21 and 28 days of life. Leukocyte populations were characterised using 5-fluorophore-6-marker flow cytometry. Absolute leukocyte counts and frequency of total CD45+ leukocytes of each population were adjusted for GA, birth weight z-scores, sex and total leukocyte count. RESULTS: Of 119 preterm infants enrolled, 43 (36%) had confirmed or clinical LOS, with a median onset at 13 days (range 6-26). Compared to infants without LOS, the adjusted counts and frequency of neutrophils, basophils and non-cytotoxic T lymphocytes were generally lower and immature granulocytes were higher over the first month of life in infants who developed LOS. Specific time point comparisons identified lower adjusted neutrophil counts on the first day of life in those infants who developed LOS more than a week later, compared to those without LOS, albeit levels were within the normal age-adjusted range. Non-cytotoxic T lymphocyte counts and/or frequencies were lower in infants following LOS on days 21 and 28 when compared to those who did not develop LOS. CONCLUSION: Changes in non-cytotoxic T lymphocytes occurred following LOS suggesting sepsis-induced immune suppression.

The perceptions of obstetric care providers about cervical length screening for preterm birth prevention.

BACKGROUND: Routine cervical length (CL) measurement at the mid-pregnancy ultrasound is a central recommendation of the Western Australian Preterm Birth Prevention Initiative (Initiative). AIM: To evaluate the perceptions and changes in practice of Western Australian obstetric care providers regarding routine CL screening for preterm birth (PTB) prevention following the Initiative introduction. METHODS: Two self-administered questionnaires were completed by providers from a range of practices. The first was during site visits with the Initiative Outreach team in 2015-2016. The questionnaire was re-issued in 2021 via online dissemination. Participant demographic data and opinions on CL screening for PTB prevention were collected. RESULTS: Two hundred and fourteen providers participated in 2015-2016 and 109 in 2021. In both surveys, providers were more likely to discuss transvaginal CL screening with high-risk women (48.1%, 76.1%; P < 0.001) compared with low-risk (7.5%, 18.3%; P = 0.002) and the importance of CL screening (13.5%, 40.4%; P < 0.001), in 2015-2016 and 2021, respectively. Responses relating to CL screening, including what constitutes a short cervix on ultrasound were varied. A transabdominal CL <35 mm was classified as short by 46.2% and 37.6% and <25 mm on transvaginal ultrasound by 49.1% and 64.2%, in the respective surveys. Most providers ceased progesterone (68.6%, 75.2%) at >28 weeks gestation. CONCLUSIONS: Providers focused on women with overt PTB risk factors, rather than a universal CL screening approach. Although there was improvement between the surveys, the definition of what constitutes a short cervix on ultrasound and how to treat and monitor women with a short CL remained varied.

Effect of single versus multistrain probiotic in extremely preterm infants: a randomised trial.

OBJECTIVE: Evidence indicates that multistrain probiotics benefit preterm infants more than single-strain (SS) probiotics. We assessed the effects of SS versus triple-strain (TS) probiotic supplementation (PS) in extremely preterm (EP) infants. DESIGN: EP infants (gestational age (GA) <28 weeks) were randomly allocated to TS or SS probiotic, assuring blinding. Reference (REF) group was EP infants in the placebo arm of our previous probiotic trial. PS was commenced with feeds and continued until 37 weeks' corrected GA. Primary outcome was time to full feed (TFF: 150 mL/kg/day). Secondary outcomes included short-chain fatty acids and faecal microbiota collected at T1 (first week) and T2 (after 3 weeks of PS) using 16S ribosomal RNA gene sequencing. RESULTS: 173 EP (SS: 86, TS: 87) neonates with similar GA and birth weight (BW) were randomised. Median TFF was comparable (11 (IQR 8-16) vs 10 (IQR 8-16) days, p=0.92). Faecal propionate (SS, p<0.001, and TS, p=0.0009) and butyrate levels (TS, p=0.029) were significantly raised in T2 versus T1 samples. Secondary clinical outcomes were comparable. At T2, alpha diversity was comparable (p>0.05) between groups, whereas beta-diversity analysis revealed significant differences between PS and REF groups (both p=0.001). Actinobacteria were higher (both p<0.01), and Proteobacteria, Firmicutes and Bacteroidetes were lower in PS versus REF. Gammaproteobacteria, Clostridia and Negativicutes were lower in both PS versus REF. CONCLUSION: TFF in EP infants was similar between SS and TS probiotics. Both probiotics were effective in reducing dysbiosis (higher bifidobacteria and lower Gammaproteobacteria). Long-term significance of increased propionate and butyrate needs further studies. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ACTRN 12615000940572.

Mental health and behavioural factors involved in road traffic crashes by young adults: analysis of the Raine Study.

BACKGROUND: Road traffic crashes (RTC) are a leading cause of mortality and morbidity in young people. Severe mental health and behavioural conditions increase the likelihood of RTC, as do a range of driving-risk activities. METHOD: We used data from the Raine Study, a prebirth cohort from Perth, Australia, to assess the relationship between measures of common mental health or behavioural conditions (Child Behavior Checklist Internalising and Externalising scores) at age 17 and subsequent RTC by 27 years, controlling for substance use and driving-risk activities. RESULTS: By 27 years of age, of 937 participants, 386 (41.2%) reported zero crashes and 551 (58.8%) reported ≥1 crashes. In the baseline Poisson model, increased Externalising scores (eg, aggression and delinquency) were associated with increased RTC (incidence rate ratio (IRR)=1.02, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.02): increased Internalising scores (eg, anxiety and depression) were associated with fewer RTC (IRR=0.99, 95% CI 0.98 to 1.00). In the fully adjusted model, the mental health measures were not significant (Externalising IRR=1.01, 95% CI 0.99 to 1.02: Internalising IRR=0.99, 95% CI 0.99 to 1.00). Risky driver activities, such as falling asleep while driving (IRR=1.34), more frequent use of a hands-free telephone (IRR=1.35) and more frequent hostility towards other drivers (IRR=1.30) increased the rate of RTC. CONCLUSION: Measures of mental health scores at age 17 were not predictive of subsequent RTC, after adjusting for measures of driving-risk activities. We need to better understand the determinants of externalising and risky driving behaviours if we are to address the increased risk of RTC.

The health and educational costs of preterm birth to 18 years of age in Australia.

BACKGROUND: Preterm birth is the greatest cause of death up to five years of age and an important contributor to lifelong disability. There is increasing evidence that a meaningful proportion of early births may be prevented, but widespread introduction of effective preventive strategies will require financial support. AIMS: This study estimated the economic cost to the Australian government of preterm birth, up to 18 years of age. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A decision-analytic model was developed to estimate the costs of preterm birth in Australia for a hypothetical cohort of 314 814 children, the number of live births in 2016. Costs to Australia's eight jurisdictions included medical expenditures and additional costs to educational services. RESULTS: The total cost of preterm birth to the Australian government associated with the annual cohort was estimated at $1.413 billion (95% CI 1047-1781). Two-thirds of the costs were borne by healthcare services during the newborn period and one-quarter of the costs by educational services providing special assistance. For each child, the costs were highest for those born at the earliest survivable gestational age, but the larger numbers of children born at later gestational ages contributed heavily to the overall economic burden. CONCLUSION: Preterm birth leaves many people with lifelong disabilities and generates a significant economic burden to society. The costs extend beyond those to the healthcare system and include additional educational needs. Assessments of economic costs should inform economic evaluations of interventions aimed at the prevention or treatment of preterm birth.

Time to regain birth weight - a marker to predict the severity of retinopathy of prematurity?

BACKGROUND: Poor weight gain in the first few weeks of life has been studied as a predictor of retinopathy of prematurity (ROP). Our aim was to assess whether time taken to regain birthweight (BW) be used as an additional marker to identify infants with type 1 ROP. METHODS: In this retrospective study, preterm infants (< 27 weeks gestational age at birth) born during the period from 1/1/2010-31/12/2015 at a tertiary neonatal intensive care unit in Australia were included. Twenty-seven preterm infants with Type 1 ROP were identified. Controls (No ROP or ROP other than type 1) were matched with cases on gestational age at birth and BW (1:4 ratio). Data were collected from the database and medical records. RESULTS: The median (IQR) gestational age for Type 1 ROP and control groups were 24 (24-26) and 25 (24-26) weeks respectively and median (IQR) BW for Type 1 ROP and control groups were 675 (635-810) and 773 (666-884) grams respectively. Preterm infants with Type 1 ROP were more likely to be small for gestational age (SGA) (18.5% vs 3.7%, p = 0.015) and had increased weeks on oxygen therapy (median 11.9 vs 9.1, p = 0.028). Time to regain BW was longer in preterm infants with type 1 ROP than controls but did not reach statistical significance (median 9 vs 7 days, OR 1.08, 95% CI 1.00-1.17, p = 0.059) adjusted for SGA and duration of oxygen therapy. The area under the curve from the time to regain BW model with adjustment for SGA and duration of oxygen therapy was 0.73 (95% CI 0.62-0.83). CONCLUSION: We hypothesize that time to regain BW has potential to aid prediction of Type 1 ROP and this warrants further investigation in a larger prospective study.

Asthma and allergies in offspring conceived by ART: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Currently, 1 in 25 children born in Australia are conceived through ARTs such as IVF and ICSI. Worldwide over 8 million children have been born after ART. There is evidence that these children are at an increased risk of congenital malformations, preterm birth, low birth weight and neonatal morbidity. However, studies on long-term health outcomes of offspring conceived after ART are lacking. Atopic disorders, such as asthma, atopic dermatitis and various allergies are increasingly common within society, and concerns have been raised that ART increases the risk of atopy amongst offspring. OBJECTIVE AND RATIONALE: The aim of this study was to systematically summarise and quantify the risk of atopic disorders in offspring conceived with ART compared to those conceived without ART. SEARCH METHODS: A systematic review was conducted according to the PRISMA guidelines. Several systematic searches were performed in the following international databases: Medline, Embase, Cinahl, PsychINFO, AMED, Global Health and ISI Web of Science. Search terms utilised were all terms pertaining to ART, IVF, ICSI, asthma, atopic dermatitis and allergies. The search period was 1978-2021. Included observational studies stated a primary outcome of asthma or allergies in offspring conceived after ART, with a comparison group conceived without ART. Individual studies were scored on quality and risk of bias, using the Newcastle-Ottawa scale (NOS). OUTCOMES: There were 26 studies which met the inclusion criteria; of these, 24 studies investigated asthma in offspring conceived after ART. While 10 studies, including the two largest population-based studies, reported a significantly increased risk of asthma in offspring conceived after ART (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) range: 1.20-2.38), 14 smaller cohort studies found no difference (aOR range 0.70-1.27). In the meta-analysis of the 14 highest-quality studies (NOS ≥ 7), a modest yet significantly increased risk of asthma was demonstrated in offspring conceived after ART [risk ratio (RR) 1.28 (1.08-1.51)]. Although heterogeneity in these 14 studies was high (I2 = 85%), the removal of outliers and high weight studies significantly reduced heterogeneity (I2 = 0% and I2 = 34% respectively) while still demonstrating a significantly increased risk [RR 1.19 (1.10-1.28) and RR 1.31 (1.03-1.65), respectively]. The increased asthma risk was also observed in most subgroup and sensitivity analyses. The allergy rates were not increased in offspring conceived after ART in 9 of 12 studies (aOR range 0.60-1.30). In summary, the findings of this systematic review and meta-analysis suggest a trend towards a significantly increased risk of asthma, but not allergies, in offspring conceived after ART. There was no evidence of publication bias in the asthma studies and minimal evidence of publication bias in the allergy studies (both P > 0.05). WIDER IMPLICATIONS: Asthma brings considerable burden to the quality of life of individuals and to society. Hence, it is of great importance to untangle potential causal pathways. Although ART use is common, knowledge about its long-term health effects is required to provide evidence-based advice to couples considering ART, and to be vigilant for any potential adverse health effects on offspring conceived after ART.

Associations between Prenatal Exposure to Phthalates and Timing of Menarche and Growth and Adiposity into Adulthood: A Twenty-Years Birth Cohort Study.

Phthalates are ubiquitous environmental chemicals with endocrine disrupting properties and potentially obesogenic effects. We hypothesised that antenatal phthalate exposure may influence growth and adiposity patterns in girls through childhood into adolescence. Among 1342 Raine Study singleton females, 462 had maternal serum and at least one outcome available up to 20 years of age. Individuals' maternal serum collected at 18 and 34 weeks gestation was pooled and analyzed for concentrations of 32 metabolites of 15 phthalate diesters. Cox regression and linear models were used to determine associations between maternal phthalate levels and age at menarche, change in height and weight z-scores between birth and two years, height from birth to 20 years, BMI from two to 20 years, deviation from mid-parental height at age 20 and DEXA scan measures at age 20. Weak negative associations were detected with some phthalate metabolites and change in height and weight z-score during infancy. Weak positive associations between some of the high molecular weight phthalate metabolites and height z-score were detected during childhood. While still within the normal range, age at menarche was slightly delayed in girls with higher prenatal exposure to the higher molecular weight phthalate metabolites. We derived some associations between prenatal phthalate exposure with early growth patterns and age at menarche.