Machine Learning Identifies Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease in Patients With Diabetes Mellitus.

CONTEXT: The presence of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) in patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) is associated with a high risk of cardiovascular disease, but is often underdiagnosed. OBJECTIVE: To develop machine learning (ML) models for risk assessment of MASLD occurrence in patients with DM. METHODS: Feature selection determined the discriminative parameters, utilized to classify DM patients as those with and without MASLD. The performance of the multiple logistic regression model was quantified by sensitivity, specificity, and percentage of correctly classified patients, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Decision curve analysis (DCA) assessed the model's net benefit for alternative treatments. RESULTS: We studied 2000 patients with DM (mean age 58.85 ± 17.37 years; 48% women). Eight parameters: age, body mass index, type of DM, alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase, platelet count, hyperuricaemia, and treatment with metformin were identified as discriminative. The experiments for 1735 patients show that 744/991 (75.08%) and 586/744 (78.76%) patients with/without MASLD were correctly identified (sensitivity/specificity: 0.75/0.79). The area under ROC (AUC) was 0.84 (95% CI, 0.82-0.86), while DCA showed a higher clinical utility of the model, ranging from 30% to 84% threshold probability. Results for 265 test patients confirm the model's generalizability (sensitivity/specificity: 0.80/0.74; AUC: 0.81 [95% CI, 0.76-0.87]), whereas unsupervised clustering identified high-risk patients. CONCLUSION: A ML approach demonstrated high performance in identifying MASLD in patients with DM. This approach may facilitate better risk stratification and cardiovascular risk prevention strategies for high-risk patients with DM at risk of MASLD.

Machine learning identification of risk factors for heart failure in patients with diabetes mellitus with metabolic dysfunction associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD): the Silesia Diabetes-Heart Project.

BACKGROUND: Diabetes mellitus (DM), heart failure (HF) and metabolic dysfunction associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) are overlapping diseases of increasing prevalence. Because there are still high numbers of patients with HF who are undiagnosed and untreated, there is a need for improving efforts to better identify HF in patients with DM with or without MASLD. This study aims to develop machine learning (ML) models for assessing the risk of the HF occurrence in patients with DM with and without MASLD. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: In the Silesia Diabetes-Heart Project (NCT05626413), patients with DM with and without MASLD were analyzed to identify the most important HF risk factors with the use of a ML approach. The multiple logistic regression (MLR) classifier exploiting the most discriminative patient's parameters selected by the χ2 test following the Monte Carlo strategy was implemented. The classification capabilities of the ML models were quantified using sensitivity, specificity, and the percentage of correctly classified (CC) high- and low-risk patients. RESULTS: We studied 2000 patients with DM (mean age 58.85 ± SD 17.37 years; 48% women). In the feature selection process, we identified 5 parameters: age, type of DM, atrial fibrillation (AF), hyperuricemia and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). In the case of MASLD( +) patients, the same criterion was met by 3 features: AF, hyperuricemia and eGFR, and for MASLD(-) patients, by 2 features: age and eGFR. Amongst all patients, sensitivity and specificity were 0.81 and 0.70, respectively, with the area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) of 0.84 (95% CI 0.82-0.86). CONCLUSION: A ML approach demonstrated high performance in identifying HF in patients with DM independently of their MASLD status, as well as both in patients with and without MASLD based on easy-to-obtain patient parameters.

Clinical Trial: Probiotics in Metformin Intolerant Patients with Type 2 Diabetes (ProGasMet).

BACKGROUND: For decades, metformin has been the drug of first choice in the management of type 2 diabetes. However, approximately 2-13% of patients do not tolerate metformin due to gastrointestinal (GI) side effects. Since metformin influences the gut microbiota, we hypothesized that a multi-strain probiotics supplementation would mitigate the gastrointestinal symptoms associated with metformin usage. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, single-center, cross-over trial (ProGasMet study) assessed the efficacy of a multi-strain probiotic in 37 patients with metformin intolerance. Patients were randomly allocated (1:1) to receive probiotic (PRO-PLA) or placebo (PLA-PRO) at baseline and, after 12 weeks (period 1), they crossed-over to the other treatment arm (period 2). The primary outcome was the reduction of GI adverse events of metformin. RESULTS: 37 out of 82 eligible patients were enrolled in the final analysis of whom 35 completed the 32 weeks study period and 2 patients resigned at visit 5. Regardless of the treatment arm allocation, while on probiotic supplementation, there was a significant reduction of incidence (for the probiotic period in PRO-PLA/PLA-PRO: P = 0.017/P = 0.054), quantity and severity of nausea (P = 0.016/P = 0.024), frequency (P = 0.009/P = 0.015) and severity (P = 0.019/P = 0.005) of abdominal bloating/pain as well as significant improvement in self-assessed tolerability of metformin (P < 0.01/P = 0.005). Moreover, there was significant reduction of incidence of diarrhea while on probiotic supplementation in PRO-PLA treatment arm (P = 0.036). CONCLUSION: A multi-strain probiotic diminishes the incidence of gastrointestinal adverse effects in patients with type 2 diabetes and metformin intolerance.

Machine Learning Predicts Cardiovascular Events in Patients With Diabetes: The Silesia Diabetes-Heart Project.

We aimed to develop a machine learning (ML) model for predicting cardiovascular (CV) events in patients with diabetes (DM). This was a prospective, observational study where clinical data of patients with diabetes hospitalized in the diabetology center in Poland (years 2015-2020) were analyzed using ML. The occurrence of new CV events following discharge was collected in the follow-up time for up to 5 years and 9 months. An end-to-end ML technique which exploits the neighborhood component analysis for elaborating discriminative predictors, followed by a hybrid sampling/boosting classification algorithm, multiple logistic regression (MLR), or unsupervised hierarchical clustering was proposed. In 1735 patients with diabetes (53% female), there were 150 (8.65%) ones with a new CV event in the follow-up. Twelve most discriminative patients' parameters included coronary artery disease, heart failure, peripheral artery disease, stroke, diabetic foot disease, chronic kidney disease, eosinophil count, serum potassium level, and being treated with clopidogrel, heparin, proton pump inhibitor, and loop diuretic. Utilizing those variables resulted in the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) ranging from 0.62 (95% Confidence Interval [CI] 0.56-0.68, P < 0.01) to 0.72 (95% CI 0.66-0.77, P < 0.01) across 5 nonoverlapping test folds, whereas MLR correctly determined 111/150 (74.00%) high-risk patients, and 989/1585 (62.40%) low-risk patients, resulting in 1100/1735 (63.40%) correctly classified patients (AUC: 0.72, 95% CI 0.66-0.77). ML algorithms can identify patients with diabetes at a high risk of new CV events based on a small number of interpretable and easy-to-obtain patients' parameters.

Risk factors for cardiovascular disease in patients with metabolic-associated fatty liver disease: a machine learning approach.

BACKGROUND: Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease is associated with an increased cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk, although the exact mechanism(s) are less clear. Moreover, the relationship between newly redefined metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) and CVD risk has been poorly investigated. Data-driven machine learning (ML) techniques may be beneficial in discovering the most important risk factors for CVD in patients with MAFLD. METHODS: In this observational study, the patients with MAFLD underwent subclinical atherosclerosis assessment and blood biochemical analysis. Patients were split into two groups based on the presence of CVD (defined as at least one of the following: coronary artery disease; myocardial infarction; coronary bypass grafting; stroke; carotid stenosis; lower extremities artery stenosis). The ML techniques were utilized to construct a model which could identify individuals with the highest risk of CVD. We exploited the multiple logistic regression classifier operating on the most discriminative patient's parameters selected by univariate feature ranking or extracted using principal component analysis (PCA). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and area under the ROC curve (AUC) were calculated for the investigated classifiers, and the optimal cut-point values were extracted from the ROC curves using the Youden index, the closest to (0, 1) criteria and the Index of Union methods. RESULTS: In 191 patients with MAFLD (mean age: 58, SD: 12 years; 46% female), there were 47 (25%) patients who had the history of CVD. The most important clinical variables included hypercholesterolemia, the plaque scores, and duration of diabetes. The five, ten and fifteen most discriminative parameters extracted using univariate feature ranking and utilized to fit the ML models resulted in AUC of 0.84 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.77-0.90, p < 0.0001), 0.86 (95% CI 0.80-0.91, p < 0.0001) and 0.87 (95% CI 0.82-0.92, p < 0.0001), whereas the classifier fitted over 10 principal components extracted using PCA followed by the parallel analysis obtained AUC of 0.86 (95% CI 0.81-0.91, p < 0.0001). The best model operating on 5 most discriminative features correctly identified 114/144 (79.17%) low-risk and 40/47 (85.11%) high-risk patients. CONCLUSION: A ML approach demonstrated high performance in identifying MAFLD patients with prevalent CVD based on the easy-to-obtain patient parameters.

Influence of SGLT2 Inhibitor Treatment on Urine Antioxidant Status in Type 2 Diabetic Patients: A Pilot Study.

Sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) have been recognized as potent antioxidant agents. Since SGLT2i are nephroprotective drugs, we aimed to examine the urine antioxidant status in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). One hundred and one subjects participated in this study, including 37 T2DM patients treated with SGLT2i, 31 T2DM patients not using SGLT2i, and 33 healthy individuals serving as a control group. Total antioxidant capacity (TAC), superoxide dismutase (SOD), manganese superoxide dismutase (MnSOD), free thiol groups (R-SH, sulfhydryl groups), and catalase (CAT) activity, as well as glucose concentration, were assessed in the urine of all participants. Urine SOD and MnSOD activity were significantly higher among T2DM patients treated with SGLT2i than T2DM patients without SGLT2i treatment (p = 0.009 and p = 0.003, respectively) and to the healthy controls (p = 0.002 and p = 0.001, respectively). TAC was significantly lower in patients with T2DM treated with SGLT2i when compared to those not treated and healthy subjects (p = 0.036 and p = 0.019, respectively). It could be hypothesized that the mechanism by which SGLT2i provides nephroprotective effects involves improvement of the SOD antioxidant activity. However, lower TAC might impose higher OS (oxidative stress), and elevation of SOD activity might be a compensatory mechanism.

Fat, Sugar or Gut Microbiota in Reducing Cardiometabolic Risk: Does Diet Type Really Matter?

The incidence of cardiometabolic diseases, such as obesity, diabetes, and cardiovascular diseases, is constantly rising. Successful lifestyle changes may limit their incidence, which is why researchers focus on the role of nutrition in this context. The outcomes of studies carried out in past decades have influenced dietary guidelines, which primarily recommend reducing saturated fat as a therapeutic approach for cardiovascular disease prevention, while limiting the role of sugar due to its harmful effects. On the other hand, a low-carbohydrate diet (LCD) as a method of treatment remains controversial. A number of studies on the effect of LCDs on patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus proved that it is a safe and effective method of dietary management. As for the risk of cardiovascular diseases, the source of carbohydrates and fats corresponds with the mortality rate and protective effect of plant-derived components. Additionally, some recent studies have focused on the gut microbiota in relation to cardiometabolic diseases and diet as one of the leading factors affecting microbiota composition. Unfortunately, there is still no precise answer to the question of which a single nutrient plays the most important role in reducing cardiometabolic risk, and this review article presents the current state of the knowledge in this field.

Metabolic-Associated Fatty Liver Disease (MAFLD), Diabetes, and Cardiovascular Disease: Associations with Fructose Metabolism and Gut Microbiota.

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is an increasingly common condition associated with type 2 diabetes (T2DM) and cardiovascular disease (CVD). Since systemic metabolic dysfunction underlies NAFLD, the current nomenclature has been revised, and the term metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) has been proposed. The new definition emphasizes the bidirectional relationships and increases awareness in looking for fatty liver disease among patients with T2DM and CVD or its risk factors, as well as looking for these diseases among patients with NAFLD. The most recommended treatment method of NAFLD is lifestyle changes, including dietary fructose limitation, although other treatment methods of NAFLD have recently emerged and are being studied. Given the focus on the liver-gut axis targeting, bacteria may also be a future aim of NAFLD treatment given the microbiome signatures discriminating healthy individuals from those with NAFLD. In this review article, we will provide an overview of the associations of fructose consumption, gut microbiota, diabetes, and CVD in patients with NAFLD.