The development and external validation of an overall survival nomogram in medically inoperable centrally located early-stage non-small cell lung carcinoma.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Current nomograms predicting survival prognosis after stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) are based on peripherally located tumors. However, patients with a central lung tumor tend to be older, the tumor is often larger and fraction-schedules are risk-adapted. Therefore, we developed and externally validated a nomogram to predict overall survival (OS) in patients having centrally located early-stage NSCLC treated with SBRT. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients who underwent SBRT for centrally located NSCLC were identified and baseline characteristics were obtained. A nomogram was built to predict 6-month, 1-, 2- and 3-year OS using Cox proportional hazards model. The model building procedure was validated using bootstrap sampling. To determine generalizability, external validation was performed on a cohort of patients with central NSCLC treated with SBRT from another center. Discriminatory ability was measured with the concordance index (C-index) and calibration plots were used to compare Kaplan-Meier-estimated and nomogram-predicted OS. RESULTS: The nomogram was built on data of 220 patients and consisted of the following variables: PTV, age, WHO performance status, tumor lobe location and ultracentral location. The C-index of the nomogram (corrected for optimism) was moderate at 0.64 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.59-0.69). Calibration plots showed favorable predictive accuracy. The external validation showed acceptable validity with a C-index of 0.62 (95% CI 0.61-0.64). DISCUSSION: We developed and externally validated the first nomogram to estimate the OS-probability in patients with centrally located NSCLC treated with SBRT. This nomogram is based on 5 patient and tumor characteristics and gives an individualized survival prediction.

Esophagus toxicity after stereotactic and hypofractionated radiotherapy for central lung tumors: Normal tissue complication probability modeling.

PURPOSE: To correlate esophagus toxicity and dose-volume histogram (DVH) parameters in order to assess risks, and derive a Normal Tissue Complication Probability (NTCP) model. METHODS AND MATERIALS: Patients with a central lung tumor from 2 centers, who underwent stereotactic or hypofractionated radiotherapy (≤12 fractions), were analyzed. Doses were recalculated to an equivalent dose of 2 Gy with an α/ß ratio of 10 (EQD210). The esophagus was manually delineated and DVH-parameters (Dmax,EQD2, D1cc,EQD2, D2cc,EQD2, D5cc,EQD2) were analyzed and used for NTCP modeling based on logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: Two-hundred-and-thirty-one patients with 252 tumors were eligible. No acute or late grade 3-5 esophageal toxicity was reported. Acute grade 1-2 esophagus toxicity was recorded in 38 patients (17%). All DVH-parameters were significantly higher in patients with toxicity. NTCP models showed a 50% probability of acute grade 1-2 toxicity at a Dmax of 67 Gy EQD210 and D1cc of 42 Gy EQD210. No difference in overall survival was observed between patients with and without toxicity (p = 0.428). CONCLUSION: As no grade 3-5 esophageal toxicity was observed in our cohort, a Dmax of 56 Gy EQD210 and a D5cc of 35.5 Gy EQD210 could be delivered without high risks of severe toxicity. The NTCP models of this study might be used as practical guidelines for the treatment of central lung tumors with stereotactic radiotherapy.

Normal Tissue Complication Probability Modeling of Pulmonary Toxicity After Stereotactic and Hypofractionated Radiation Therapy for Central Lung Tumors.

PURPOSE: To evaluate clinical pulmonary and radiographic bronchial toxicity after stereotactic ablative radiation therapy and hypofractionated radiation therapy for central lung tumors, and perform normal tissue complication probability modeling and multivariable analyses to identify predictors for toxicity. METHODS AND MATERIALS: A pooled analysis was performed of patients with a central lung tumor treated using ≤12 fractions at 2 centers between 2006 and 2015. Airways were manually contoured on planning computed tomography scans, and doses were recalculated to an equivalent dose of 2 Gy per fraction with an α/ß ratio of 3. Grade ≥3 (≥G3) clinical pulmonary toxicity was evaluated by 2 or more physicians. Radiographic toxicity was defined as a stenosis or an occlusion with or without atelectasis using follow-up computed tomography scans. Logistic regression analyses were used for statistical analyses. RESULTS: A total of 585 bronchial structures were studied in 195 patients who were mainly treated using 5 or 8 fractions (60%). Median patient survival was 27.9 months (95% confidence interval 22.3-33.6 months). Clinical ≥G3 toxicity was observed in 24 patients (12%) and radiographic bronchial toxicity in 55 patients (28%), both mainly manifesting ≤12 months after treatment. All analyzed dosimetric parameters correlated with clinical and lobar bronchial radiographic toxicity, with V130Gy,EQD having the highest odds ratio. Normal tissue complication probability modeling showed a volume dependency for the development of both clinical and radiographic toxicity. On multivariate analyses, significant predictors for ≥G3 toxicity were a planning target volume overlapping the trachea or main stem bronchus (P = .005), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (P = .034), and the total V130Gy,EQD (P = .012). Radiographic bronchial toxicity did not significantly correlate with clinical toxicity (P = .663). CONCLUSIONS: We identified patient and dosimetric factors associated with clinical and radiographic toxicity after high-dose radiation therapy for central lung tumors. Additional data from prospective studies are needed to validate these findings.

Age and the effect of physical activity on breast cancer survival: A systematic review.

The effect of physical activity (PA) on cancer survival is still the topic of debate in oncology research focusing on survivorship, and has been investigated retrospectively in several large clinical trials. PA has been shown to improve quality of life, fitness and strength, and to reduce depression and fatigue. At present, there is a growing body of evidence on the effects of PA interventions for cancer survivors on health outcomes. PA and functional limitations are interrelated in the elderly. However the relationship between breast cancer survival and PA in older breast cancer patients has not yet been fully investigated. Our systematic review of the existing literature on this topic yielded seventeen studies. Most reports demonstrated an improved overall and breast cancer-specific survival. Furthermore, in studies that compared younger women with older or postmenopausal women, it was suggested that the beneficial effect of PA may be even greater in older women. Understanding the interaction between physical functioning and cancer survival in older breast cancer patients is key, and may contribute to successful treatment and survival. In this population of cancer survivors it is therefore imperative to embark on research focused on improving physical functioning in the context of comorbidities and functional limitations.