An electrocardiogram-based AI algorithm for early detection of pulmonary hypertension.

BACKGROUND: Early diagnosis of pulmonary hypertension (PH) is critical for effective treatment and management. We aimed to develop and externally validate an artificial intelligence algorithm that could serve as a PH screening tool, based on analysis of a standard 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG). METHODS: The PH Early Detection Algorithm (PH-EDA) is a convolutional neural network developed using retrospective ECG voltage-time data, with patients classified as "PH-likely" or "PH-unlikely" (controls) based on right heart catheterisation or echocardiography. In total, 39 823 PH-likely patients and 219 404 control patients from Mayo Clinic were randomly split into training (48%), validation (12%), and test (40%) sets. ECGs taken within 1 month of PH diagnosis (diagnostic dataset) were used to train the PH-EDA at Mayo Clinic. Performance was tested on diagnostic ECGs within the test sets from Mayo Clinic (n=16 175/87 998 PH-likely/controls) and Vanderbilt University Medical Center (VUMC; n=6045/24 256 PH-likely/controls). Performance was also tested on ECGs taken 6-18 months (pre-emptive dataset), and up to 5 years prior to a PH diagnosis at both sites. RESULTS: Performance testing yielded an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.92 and 0.88 in the diagnostic test set at Mayo Clinic and VUMC, respectively, and 0.86 and 0.81, respectively, in the pre-emptive test set. The AUC remained a minimum of 0.79 at Mayo Clinic and 0.73 at VUMC up to 5 years before diagnosis. CONCLUSION: The PH-EDA can detect PH at diagnosis and 6-18 months prior, demonstrating the potential to accelerate diagnosis and management of this debilitating disease.

Advancing Transthyretin Amyloidosis Drug Development in an Evolving Treatment Landscape: Amyloidosis Forum Meeting Proceedings.

INTRODUCTION: Hereditary transthyretin amyloidosis (ATTRv, also referred to as hATTR; ORPHA 271861) and wild-type ATTR amyloidosis (ATTRwt; ORPHA 330001) are rare, progressive, systemic protein misfolding disorders with heterogeneous clinical presentations. ATTRv and ATTRwt amyloidosis are characterized by the deposition of amyloid fibrils in multiple organs including the heart, nerves, eyes, and soft tissues. The management of ATTR amyloidosis is complex because of its multisystemic nature and progression despite available treatment options. Morbidity is high and there are many unmet medical needs for patients. While contemporary ATTR amyloidosis cohorts are diagnosed earlier, have lower risk disease and lower mortality compared with the previous era, these advances coupled with the emergence of effective disease-modifying therapies have confounded the design of future prospective clinical trials and interpretation of historical control data. MAIN BODY: The Amyloidosis Forum is a public-private partnership between the US Food and Drug Administration Center for Drug Evaluation and Research and the nonprofit Amyloidosis Research Consortium ( www.arci.org ). This article summarizes proceedings from the 21 June 2023 Amyloidosis Forum on advancing drug development in ATTR amyloidosis in an evolving treatment landscape. The Forum focused on elements of clinical trial design to address these challenges and discussed their strengths and weaknesses from multiple stakeholder perspectives (i.e., patient, sponsor, statistician, clinician, and regulatory authorities). CONCLUSION: Given rapid evolution of natural history in ATTR amyloidosis, the utility of historical control data is limited. Leveraging contemporary real-world data is essential for clinical trial design. Evidence generation from clinical trials should address clinically relevant questions. Key factors in successful trial design must be informed by up-to-date data on natural history, prognostic factors, clinically meaningful thresholds, and sharing available clinical trial data. The Amyloidosis Forum includes the community of patients with ATTR amyloidosis, the physicians who treat them, and the sponsors and regulators who collectively stand ready to support further studies in order to develop novel effective therapies.

Pathway for Development and Validation of Multi-domain Endpoints for Amyloid Light Chain (AL) Amyloidosis.

Immunoglobin light chain (AL) amyloidosis is a rare disease in which a plasma cell dyscrasia leads to deposition of insoluble amyloid fibrils in multiple organs. To facilitate development of new therapies for this heterogenous disease, a public-private partnership was formed between the nonprofit Amyloidosis Research Consortium and the US Food and Drug Administration Center for Drug Evaluation and Research. In 2020, the Amyloidosis Forum launched an initiative to identify clinical trial endpoints and analytic strategies across affected organ systems and life impacts via specialized working groups. This review summarizes the proceedings of the Statistical Group and proposes a pathway for development and validation of multi-domain endpoints (MDEs) for potential use in AL amyloidosis clinical trials. Specifically, drawing on candidate domain-specific endpoints recommended by each organ-specific working group, different approaches to constructing MDEs were considered. Future studies were identified to assess the validity, meaningfulness and performance of MDEs through use of natural history and clinical trial data. Ultimately, for drug development, the context of use in a regulatory evaluation, the specific patient population, and the investigational therapeutic mechanism should drive selection of appropriate endpoints. MDEs for AL amyloidosis, once developed and validated, will provide important options for advancing patient-focused drug development in this multi-system disease.

Statistical power considerations in the use of win ratio in cardiovascular outcome trials.

BACKGROUND: In cardiovascular outcome trials, the win ratio (WR) method models the composite endpoint under a hierarchical structure to account for clinical priorities. It also can be applied to both survival and nonsurvival outcomes. METHODS: In this article, we assess the performance of the WR method via extensive simulation studies and real data analyses and discuss power considerations of the method with respect to hierarchical order, variable type, magnitude of treatment effect, and event rates when applied to clinical studies. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION: In the hierarchy of the WR method, the first-ordered component (e.g., death) plays a dominant role in statistical power, especially when that component has a large treatment effect and a high event rate. This is in contrast with the score test of the Cox proportional hazards model in which the power is more likely affected by the nonfatal events that are usually observed earlier. Furthermore, when adding an additional component to the composite endpoint, the performance of the WR method varies depending on the treatment effect, event rate, and hierarchical position of the component. If the additional component has a relatively smaller or no treatment effect, the statistical power will decrease; if the additional component has a relatively larger treatment effect and higher event rate, the statistical power will increase. When adding a nonsurvival continuous outcome (e.g., 6-min walk distance) with even a tiny treatment effect, the statistical power could dramatically increase.

Proposed Cardiac End Points for Clinical Trials in Immunoglobulin Light Chain Amyloidosis: Report From the Amyloidosis Forum Cardiac Working Group.

Immunoglobulin light chain amyloidosis is a rare, multisystemic, phenotypically heterogenous disease affecting cardiovascular, renal, neurological, and gastrointestinal systems to varying degrees. Its underlying cause is a plasma cell dyscrasia characterized by misfolding of monoclonal immunoglobulin light chains which leads to aggregation and deposition of insoluble amyloid fibrils in target organs. Prognosis is primarily dependent on extent of cardiac involvement and depth of hematologic response to treatment. To facilitate development of new therapies, a public-private partnership was formed between the nonprofit Amyloidosis Research Consortium and the US Food and Drug Administration Center for Drug Evaluation and Research. In 2020, the Amyloidosis Forum launched an initiative to identify novel/composite end points and analytic strategies to expedite clinical trials for development of new therapies for the primary hematologic disorder and organ system manifestations. Specialized working groups identified organ-specific end points; additional working groups reviewed health-related quality of life measures and statistical approaches to data analysis. Each working group comprised amyloidosis experts, patient representatives, statisticians, and representatives from the Food and Drug Administration, the UK Medicines and Healthcare Products Regulatory Agency, and pharmaceutical companies. This review summarizes the proceedings and recommendations of the Cardiac Working Group. Using a modified Delphi method, the group identified, reviewed, and prioritized cardiac end points relevant to immunoglobulin light chain amyloidosis in the context of an antiplasma cell therapy. Prioritized cardiovascular end points included overall survival, hospitalization, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide level, 6-minute walk test, Kansas City Cardiac Questionnaire, and cardiac deterioration progression-free survival. These recommended components will be further explored through evaluation of clinical trial datasets and formal guidance from regulatory authorities.

Long-term electrocardiographic safety monitoring in clinical drug development: A report from the Cardiac Safety Research Consortium.

This white paper, prepared by members of the Cardiac Safety Research Consortium (CSRC), discusses important issues regarding scientific and clinical aspects of long-term electrocardiographic safety monitoring during clinical drug development. To promote multistakeholder discussion of this topic, a Cardiac Safety Research Consortium-sponsored Think Tank was held on 2 December 2015 at the American College of Cardiology's Heart House in Washington, DC. The goal of the Think Tank was to explore how and under what circumstances new and evolving ambulatory monitoring technologies could be used to improve and streamline drug development. This paper provides a detailed summary of discussions at the Think Tank: it does not represent regulatory guidance.

Exploring New Endpoints for Patients With Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction.

The epidemiological, clinical, and societal implications of the heart failure (HF) epidemic cannot be overemphasized. Approximately half of all HF patients have HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). HFpEF is largely a syndrome of the elderly, and with aging of the population, the proportion of patients with HFpEF is expected to grow. Currently, there is no drug known to improve mortality or hospitalization risk for these patients. Besides mortality and hospitalization, it is imperative to realize that patients with HFpEF have significant impairment in their functional capacity and their quality of life on a daily basis, underscoring the need for these parameters to ideally be incorporated within a regulatory pathway for drug approval. Although attempts should continue to explore therapies to reduce the risk of mortality or hospitalization for these patients, efforts should also be directed to improve other patient-centric concerns, such as functional capacity and quality of life. To initiate a dialogue about the compelling need for and the challenges in developing such alternative endpoints for patients with HFpEF, the US Food and Drug Administration on November 12, 2015, facilitated a meeting represented by clinicians, academia, industry, and regulatory agencies. This document summarizes the discussion from this meeting.

Developing New Treatments for Heart Failure: Focus on the Heart.

Compared with heart failure (HF) care 20 to 30 years ago, there has been tremendous advancement in therapy for ambulatory HF with reduced ejection fraction with the use of agents that block maladaptive neurohormonal pathways. However, during the past decade, with few notable exceptions, the frequency of successful drug development programs has fallen as most novel therapies have failed to offer incremental benefit or raised safety concerns (ie, hypotension). Moreover, no therapy has been approved specifically for HF with preserved ejection fraction or for worsening chronic HF (including acutely decompensated HF). Across the spectrum of HF, preliminary results from many phase II trials have been promising but are frequently followed by unsuccessful phase III studies, highlighting a disconnect in the translational process between basic science discovery, early drug development, and definitive clinical testing in pivotal trials. A major unmet need in HF drug development is the ability to identify homogeneous subsets of patients whose underlying disease is driven by a specific mechanism that can be targeted using a new therapeutic agent. Drug development strategies should increasingly consider therapies that facilitate reverse remodeling by directly targeting the heart itself rather than strictly focusing on agents that unload the heart or target systemic neurohormones. Advancements in cardiac imaging may allow for more focused and direct assessment of drug effects on the heart early in the drug development process. To better understand and address the array of challenges facing current HF drug development, so that future efforts may have a better chance for success, the Food and Drug Administration facilitated a meeting on February 17, 2015, which was attended by clinicians, researchers, regulators, and industry representatives. The following discussion summarizes the key takeaway dialogue from this meeting.

Improving cardiovascular clinical trials conduct in the United States: recommendation from clinicians, researchers, sponsors, and regulators.

Advances in medical therapies leading to improved patient outcomes are in large part related to successful conduct of clinical trials that offer critical information regarding the efficacy and safety of novel interventions. The conduct of clinical trials in the United States, however, continues to face increasing challenges with recruitment and retention. These trends are paralleled by an increasing shift toward more multinational trials where most participants are enrolled in countries outside the United States, bringing into question the generalizability of the results to the American population. This manuscript presents the perspectives and recommendations from clinicians, researchers, sponsors, and regulators who attended a meeting facilitated by the Food and Drug Administration to improve upon the current clinical trial trends in the United States.

Site selection for heart failure clinical trials in the USA.

There are more than 1 million primary hospitalizations for heart failure (HF) annually in the USA alone, and post-discharge outcomes remain persistently poor despite available therapies and quality improvement initiatives. Recent international randomized clinical trials in hospitalized HF have repeatedly failed to improve this post-discharge event rate. A potential reason for this persistent lack of clinical trial success that has not previously received significant attention relates to site selection and the generally low level of patient enrollment from the USA. Only ~5 % of US hospitals participate in clinical trials, and in four recent randomized trials of hospitalized HF, only one-third of patients were enrolled in North America. This poor participation among US centers has necessitated disproportionate enrollment from non-US sites. Regional variations in HF patient characteristics and clinical outcomes are well documented, and a lack of US patient representation in clinical trials limits the generalizability of results and presents obstacles for US regulatory agency approval. There are multiple impediments to successful US enrollment including a lack of incentive for investigators and institutions, the relative value unit-based compensation system, poor institutional framework for identification of appropriate patients, and increasing liability to conduct trials. In this manuscript, we specifically identify barriers to successful hospitalized HF clinical trial participation in the USA and suggest possible solutions.

High- and low-dose oral delayed-release mesalamine in children with mild-to-moderately active ulcerative colitis.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of the study was to assess the safety and efficacy of high- and low-dose oral, delayed-release mesalamine in a randomized, double-blind, active control study of children with mild-to-moderately active ulcerative colitis. METHODS: Patients ages 5 to 17 years, with a Pediatric Ulcerative Colitis Activity Index (PUCAI) score of ≥ 10 to ≤ 55 and a truncated Mayo Score of ≥ 1 for both rectal bleeding and stool frequency, were enrolled. They received body weight-dependent doses of oral, delayed-release mesalamine for 6 weeks in a low- (27-71 mg · g(-1) · day(-1)) or high-dose group (53-118 mg · g(-1) · day(-1)). The primary endpoint was treatment success, defined as the proportion of patients who achieved remission (PUCAI score <10) or partial response (PUCAI score ≥ 10 with a decrease from baseline by ≥ 20 points). Secondary endpoints included truncated Mayo Score and global assessment of change of disease activity. RESULTS: The modified intent-to-treat population included 81 of 83 patients enrolled. Treatment success by PUCAI was achieved by 23 of 41 (56%) and 22 of 40 (55%) patients in the mesalamine low- and high-dose groups, respectively (P = 0.924). Truncated Mayo Score (low-dose 30 [73%] and high-dose 28 [70%] patients) and other efficacy results did not differ between the groups. The type and severity of adverse events were consistent with those reported in previous studies of adults with ulcerative colitis and did not differ between groups. CONCLUSIONS: Both low- and high-dose oral, delayed-release mesalamine doses were equally effective as short-term treatment of mild-to-moderately active ulcerative colitis in children, without a specific benefit or risk to using either dose.

Designing effective drug and device development programs for hospitalized heart failure: a proposal for pretrial registries.

Recent international phase III clinical trials of novel therapies for hospitalized heart failure (HHF) have failed to improve the unacceptably high postdischarge event rate. These large studies have demonstrated notable geographic and site-specific variation in patient profiles and enrollment. Possible contributors to the lack of success in HHF outcome trials include challenges in selecting clinical sites capable of (1) providing adequate numbers of appropriately selected patients and (2) properly executing the study protocol. We propose a "pretrial registry" as a novel tool for improving the efficiency and quality of international HHF trials by focusing on the selection and cultivation of high-quality sites. A pretrial registry may help assess a site's ability to achieve adequate enrollment of the target patient population, integrate protocol requirements into clinical workflow, and accomplish appropriate follow-up. Although such a process would be associated with additional upfront resource investment, this appropriation may be modest in comparison with the downstream costs associated with maintenance of poorly performing sites, failed clinical trials, and the global health and economic burden of HHF. This review is based on discussions between scientists, clinical trialists, and regulatory representatives regarding methods for improving international HHF trials that took place at the United States Food and Drug Administration on January 12th, 2012.

Developing therapies for heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: current state and future directions.

The burden of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is considerable and is projected to worsen. To date, there are no approved therapies available for reducing mortality or hospitalizations for these patients. The pathophysiology of HFpEF is complex and includes alterations in cardiac structure and function, systemic and pulmonary vascular abnormalities, end-organ involvement, and comorbidities. There remain major gaps in our understanding of HFpEF pathophysiology. To facilitate a discussion of how to proceed effectively in future with development of therapies for HFpEF, a meeting was facilitated by the Food and Drug Administration and included representatives from academia, industry, and regulatory agencies. This document summarizes the proceedings from this meeting.

Once-daily dosing of delayed-release oral mesalamine (400-mg tablet) is as effective as twice-daily dosing for maintenance of remission of ulcerative colitis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The practice of dosing mesalamines in divided doses for the treatment of ulcerative colitis (UC) began with sulfasalazine and was driven by sulfapyridine toxicity. This convention and the assumption that dosing multiple times a day is necessary to treat UC had not been challenged until recently. This study was conducted to determine the efficacy and safety of once-daily dosing of delayed-release mesalamine (Asacol 400-mg tablets) compared with twice-daily dosing for maintaining remission in UC patients. METHODS: A multicenter, randomized, investigator-blinded, 12-month, active-control trial was conducted to assess the noninferiority of delayed-release mesalamine 1.6-2.4 g/day administered once daily compared with twice daily in patients with mild-to-moderate UC currently in clinical remission. The primary end point was maintenance of clinical remission at month 6. RESULTS: A total of 1023 patients were randomized and dosed. The primary objective of noninferiority was met. At month 6, 90.5% of patients receiving once-daily dosing had maintained clinical remission, compared with 91.8% of patients receiving twice-daily dosing (95% confidence interval for twice daily - once daily, -2.3 to 4.9). At month 12, 85.4% of patients receiving once-daily dosing had maintained clinical remission, compared with 85.4% of patients receiving twice-daily dosing (95% confidence interval for twice daily - once daily, -4.6 to 4.7). Both regimens had low rates of withdrawals as a result of adverse events and serious adverse events. CONCLUSIONS: Once-daily dosing of delayed-release mesalamine at doses of 1.6-2.4 g/day was shown to be as effective as twice-daily dosing for maintenance of clinical remission in patients with UC.

Azimilide reduces emergency department visits and hospitalizations in patients with an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator in a placebo-controlled clinical trial.

OBJECTIVES: The goal of this study was to determine whether azimilide, as compared with placebo, will reduce the number of emergency department (ED) visits and hospitalizations caused by arrhythmias or cardiac events in patients with an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD). BACKGROUND: Patients with an ICD may require ED visits and hospitalizations because of arrhythmias, which trigger ICD therapies. The effect of adjunctive antiarrhythmic therapy on these outcomes is not known. METHODS: A total of 633 patients with an ICD were randomized in the SHIELD (SHock Inhibition Evaluation with AzimiLiDe) trial, a blinded, placebo-controlled randomized trial of the investigational class III antiarrhythmic azimilide (75 and 125 mg/day), and, prospectively, cardiac and arrhythmic ED visits and hospitalization data were collected over 1 year. RESULTS: All patients had symptomatic sustained ventricular tachycardia (72%) or ventricular fibrillation (28%) before study entry. Overall, 44% (n = 276) experienced at least 1 cardiac ED visit or hospitalization. Among 214 patients assigned to placebo, 38.3% had at least 1 arrhythmic-related ED visit or hospitalization compared with 21.8% of 220 patients assigned to 75-mg azimilide (p < 0.001) and 27.6% of 199 patients assigned to 125 mg azimilide (p < 0.05). Symptomatic ventricular tachycardia treated by antitachycardia pacing, shocks, and shocks plus symptomatic arrhythmias were significant predictors of cardiac-related ED visits or hospitalizations (relative risk: 2.0, 3.0, and 3.1, respectively). In a stepwise logistic regression model, the presence of congestive heart failure (New York Heart Association functional class II/III) was the only additional independent predictor of cardiac ED visits or hospitalizations. CONCLUSIONS: Azimilide significantly reduces the number of ED visits and hospitalizations in patients with an ICD at high risk of arrhythmias.

The effect of isoproterenol on the class III effect of azimilide in humans.

BACKGROUND: Many class III antiarrhythmic agents lose efficacy under beta-adrenergic stimulation and at high heart rates (reverse rate dependence). This effect is thought to be due to selective blockade of the rapidly (I(Kr)), but not the slowly (I(Ks)), activating component of the delayed inward rectifier potassium current. Azimilide is an investigational class III antiarrhythmic agent that blocks both IKr and IKs. METHODS: We investigated the electrophysiologic effect of azimilide with and without beta-adrenergic stimulation in humans. Right ventricular effective refractory period at cycle lengths of 600 and 400 milliseconds and monophasic right ventricular action potential duration at 90% repolarization at cycle lengths of 250, 300, 400, 500 and 600 milliseconds were measured in 13 patients at baseline. Isoproterenol was then infused to increase the heart rate to 125% of baseline, and the pacing protocol was repeated. Patients then received, in a single-blind randomized manner, azimilide dihydrochloride (4.5 mg/kg intravenous loading dose followed by 0.625 mg/kg/h) plus either isoproterenol at the previous dose, or saline. After measurements were taken, treatment groups were crossed over, the azimilide infusion was continued and the procedure repeated. RESULTS: Azimilide significantly (P < 0.05) prolonged monophasic action potential duration compared to baseline at all cycle lengths except for the 250 millisecond cycle length. In the presence of isoproterenol, azimilide maintained its class III effect, prolonging the action potential duration at 90% repolarization by a mean of 8.7 +/- 3.9 milliseconds, (3.7 +/- 1.7%), whereas isoproterenol alone shortened the action potential duration at 90% repolarization by -2.6 +/- 3.2 milliseconds (-1.2 +/- 1.4%) (P = 0.0051). Isoproterenol alone shortened the right ventricular effective refractory period by -13.6 +/- 3.4 milliseconds, whereas with isoproterenol in the presence of azimilide, the right ventricular effective refractory period was essentially unaffected (-1.4 +/- 3.4 milliseconds, P = 0.0085). CONCLUSIONS: Azimilide maintained its class III effect in the presence of isoproterenol and at increased heart rates, suggesting that IKs block may be of particular benefit in these circumstances.