Cross-sectional data accurately model longitudinal growth in the craniofacial skeleton.

Dense, longitudinal sampling represents the ideal for studying biological growth. However, longitudinal samples are not typically possible, due to limits of time, prohibitive cost, or health concerns of repeat radiologic imaging. In contrast, cross-sectional samples have few such drawbacks, but it is not known how well estimates of growth milestones can be obtained from cross-sectional samples. The Craniofacial Growth Consortium Study (CGCS) contains longitudinal growth data for approximately 2000 individuals. Single samples from the CGCS for individuals representing cross-sectional data were used to test the ability to predict growth parameters in linear trait measurements separately by sex. Testing across a range of cross-sectional sample sizes from 5 to the full sample, we found that means from repeated samples were able to approximate growth rates determined from the full longitudinal CGCS sample, with mean absolute differences below 1 mm at cross-sectional sample sizes greater than ~ 200 individuals. Our results show that growth parameters and milestones can be accurately estimated from cross-sectional data compared to population-level estimates from complete longitudinal data, underscoring the utility of such datasets in growth modeling. This method can be applied to other forms of growth (e.g., stature) and to cases in which repeated radiographs are not feasible (e.g., cone-beam CT).

"It's not time for us to sit down yet": how group exercise programs can motivate physical activity and overcome barriers in inactive older adults.

PURPOSE: Physical activity and exercise are critical for older adults' physical and mental health. The purpose of this qualitative study was to richly capture the motivators of and barriers to engaging in physical activity in previously inactive older adults who participated in a three-arm randomized controlled trial (RCT) of eight-week group exercise interventions. METHODS: We conducted a qualitative content analysis of individual interviews with fifteen participants-five from each study arm: strength training, walking, and inactive control. Participants included nine females and six males ranging from 60 to 86 years of age. RESULTS: Key motivators of physical activity included perceived improvements in physical and mental health, positive social influences, observed health deterioration in others, and the desire to spend time with and take care of family members. Barriers to physical activity included existing health conditions, fear of getting hurt, negative social influences, perceived lack of time and motivation, inconvenient times and locations, and monetary cost. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings add to the body of literature identifying factors that motivate and stand in the way of older adults' engagement in physical activity. These factors influence older adults' self-efficacy and should be incorporated into the design of new and existing programs to encourage initiation and maintenance of physical activity.

Physeal fusion status and lesion size are more important than patient age for healing of juvenile osteochodritis dessicans lesions of the distal femur.

PURPOSE: The purpose of the study was to evaluate the effect of skeletal age and lesion size, location, and grade on the success of nonoperative treatment for juvenile osteochondritis dissecans (OCD). It is hypothesized that skeletal maturity, including a combination of maturation phenotypes, correlates with nonoperative lesion healing. METHODS: The clinical and radiographic data on 52 patients aged 7-20 years treated for OCD of the distal femur between 2010 and 2019 were retrospectively reviewed. Knee radiographs were assessed for number of lesions present and lesion location, size, and stage. Assessments of skeletal maturation were performed on all antero-posterior knee radiographs using the Roche, Wainer, and Thissen (RWT) method. Patients were categorized as healed if they demonstrated no pain on clinical examination. The relationship between skeletal maturity and nonoperative lesion healing was determined using Spearman rank correlations on available variables. RESULTS: Neither chronological nor skeletal age was associated with surgical status (Rho = 0.03, n.s., and Rho = 0.13, n.s., respectively) or the healing status of nonoperatively treated OCD lesions (Rho = 0.44, n.s., and Rho = 0.03, n.s., respectively). Epiphyseal fusion status of the distal femoral physis was moderately correlated with nonoperative healing, but was not statistically significant (lateral femoral physis: Rho = 0.43, p = 0.05; medial femoral physis: Rho = 0.43, n.s.). Lesion length correlated with surgical status (Rho = - 0.38, p = 0.009). CONCLUSION: The extent of fusion of the distal femoral physis (multi-stage grading) may be more strongly correlated with nonoperative healing than other markers of skeletal maturity or chronological age. Clinicians can use this as an additional radiographic sign when considering nonoperative treatment for juvenile OCD lesions in the distal femur. OCD lesion length and physeal fusion status appear to be more important for healing than patient age.

Effects of pubertal growth variation on knee mechanics during walking in female and male adolescents.

INTRODUCTION: Puberty substantially alters the body's mechanical properties, neuromuscular control, and sex differences therein, likely contributing to increased, sex-biased knee injury risk during adolescence. Female adolescents have higher risk for knee injuries than male adolescents of similar age engaging in similar physical activities, and much research has investigated sex differences in mechanical risk factors. However, few studies address the considerable variation in pubertal growth (timing, pace), knee mechanics, and injury susceptibility within sexes, or the impact of such growth variation on mechanical injury risk. OBJECTIVES: The present study tested for effects of variation in pubertal growth on established mechanical knee injury risk factors, examining relationships between and within sexes. METHODS: Pubertal growth indices describing variation in the timing and rate of pubertal growth were developed using principal component analysis and auxological data from serial stature measurements. Linear mixed models were applied to evaluate relationships between these indices and knee mechanics during walking in a sample of adolescents. RESULTS: Later developing female adolescents with slower pubertal growth had higher extension moments throughout stance, whereas earlier developers had higher valgus knee angles and moments. In male adolescents, faster and later growth were related to higher extension moments throughout gait. In both sexes, faster growers had higher internal rotation moments at foot-strike. CONCLUSIONS: Pubertal growth variation has important effects on mechanical knee injury risk in adolescence, affecting females and males differently. Earlier developing females exhibit greater injury risk via frontal plane factors, whereas later/faster developing males have elevated risk via sagittal plane mechanisms.

Older adults who resistance train improve physical function and adopt long-term exercise habits despite COVID-19 restrictions.

Exercise interventions targeting older adults often focus on acute changes, but lasting improvements require the adoption of long-term, independent exercise habits. This study aimed to assess the influence of eight-weeks of resistance training (SSSH) on clinically relevant fall-risk indicators in older adults and to evaluate if SSSH participation altered independent exercise engagement 12 months later. Sixty adults aged 50 yrs+ were randomised into SSSH, Walk, or Control groups and completed questionnaires and muscle strength and flexibility tests pre/post 8 weeks. SSSH and Walk met 2x/wk for 60 min. Twelve months later 24 participants also completed a follow-up survey amid COVID-19 restrictions. Eight-week group changes were analysed using one-way ANOVA with Bonferroni post hoc analyses, and survey responses were compared using paired t-tests with a Bonferroni correction. SSSH demonstrated greater absolute changes over 8 weeks in sleep quality, activity engagement, 30-second-sit-to-stand and upper-body flexibility than Walk or Controls (p < 0.05). Twelve months later, SSSH participants reported significantly increasing independent resistance (+68), aerobic (+125) and flexibility (+26) training minutes per week (all p < 0.01). In conclusion, SSSH reduced fall risk in 8 weeks and sparked older adults to begin and sustain positive exercise habits 12 months later, despite COVID-19 restrictions.

Genetic influences on dentognathic morphology in the Jirel population of Nepal.

Patterns of genetic variation and covariation impact the evolution of the craniofacial complex and contribute to clinically significant malocclusions in modern human populations. Previous quantitative genetic studies have estimated the heritabilities and genetic correlations of skeletal and dental traits in humans and nonhuman primates, but none have estimated these quantitative genetic parameters across the dentognathic complex. A large and powerful pedigree from the Jirel population of Nepal was leveraged to estimate heritabilities and genetic correlations in 62 maxillary and mandibular arch dimensions, incisor and canine lengths, and post-canine tooth crown areas (N ≥ 739). Quantitative genetic parameter estimation was performed using maximum likelihood-based variance decomposition. Residual heritability estimates were significant for all traits, ranging from 0.269 to 0.898. Genetic correlations were positive for all trait pairs. Principal components analyses of the phenotypic and genetic correlation matrices indicate an overall size effect across all measurements on the first principal component. Additional principal components demonstrate positive relationships between post-canine tooth crown areas and arch lengths and negative relationships between post-canine tooth crown areas and arch widths, and between arch lengths and arch widths. Based on these findings, morphological variation in the human dentognathic complex may be constrained by genetic relationships between dental dimensions and arch lengths, with weaker genetic correlations between these traits and arch widths allowing for variation in arch shape. The patterns identified are expected to have impacted the evolution of the dentognathic complex and its genetic architecture as well as the prevalence of dental crowding in modern human populations.

Craniofacial growth and morphology among intersecting clinical categories.

Differential patterns of craniofacial growth are important sources of variation that can result in skeletal malocclusion. Understanding the timing of growth milestones and morphological change associated with adult skeletal malocclusions is critical for developing individualized orthodontic growth modification strategies. To identify patterns in the timing and geometry of growth, we used Bayesian modeling of cephalometrics and geometric morphometric analyses with a dense, longitudinal sample consisting of 15,407 cephalograms from 1,913 individuals between 2 and 31 years of age. Individuals were classified into vertical facial types (hyper-, normo-, hypo-divergent) and anteroposterior (A-P) skeletal classes (Class I, Class II, Class III) based on adult mandibular plane angle and ANB angle, respectively. These classifications yielded eight facial type-skeletal class categories with sufficient sample sizes to be included in the study. Four linear cephalometrics representing facial heights and maxillary and mandibular lengths were fit to standard double logistic models generating type-class category-specific estimates for age, size, and rate of growth at growth milestones. Mean landmark configurations were compared among type-class categories at four time points between 6 and 20 years of age. Overall, morphology and growth patterns were more similar within vertical facial types than within A-P classes and variation among A-P classes typically nested within variation among vertical types. Further, type-class-associated variation in the rate and magnitude of growth in specific regions identified here may serve as targets for clinical treatment of complex vertical and A-P skeletal malocclusion and provide a clearer picture of the development of variation in craniofacial form.

Estimating Craniofacial Growth Cessation: Comparison of Asymptote- and Rate-Based Methods.

OBJECTIVE: To identify differences between asymptote- and rate-based methods for estimating age and size at growth cessation in linear craniofacial measurements. DESIGN: This is a retrospective, longitudinal study. Five linear measurements were collected from lateral cephalograms as part of the Craniofacial Growth Consortium Study (CGCS). Four estimates of growth cessation, including 2 asymptote- (GCasym, GCerr) and 2 rate-based (GCabs, GC10%) methods, from double logistic models of craniofacial growth were compared. PARTICIPANTS: Cephalometric data from participants in 6 historic longitudinal growth studies were included in the CGCS. At least 1749 individuals (870 females, 879 males), unaffected by craniofacial anomalies, were included in all analyses. Individuals were represented by a median of 11 images between 2.5 and 31.3 years of age. RESULTS: GCasym consistently occurred before GCerr and GCabs consistently occurred before GC10% within the rate-based approaches. The ordering of the asymptote-based methods compared to the rate-based methods was not consistent across measurements or between males and females. Across the 5 measurements, age at growth cessation ranged from 13.56 (females, nasion-basion, GCasym) to 24.39 (males, sella-gonion, GCerr). CONCLUSIONS: Adolescent growth cessation is an important milestone for treatment planning. Based on our findings, we recommend careful consideration of specific definitions of growth cessation in both clinical and research settings since the most appropriate estimation method may differ according to patients' needs. The different methods presented here provide useful estimates of growth cessation that can be applied to raw data and to a variety of statistical models of craniofacial growth.

Tibial Bone Quality in Former Bariatric Surgery Patients with Osteoarthritis.

Downstream effects of bariatric weight-loss surgery have been associated with bone resorption, potentially jeopardizing total knee arthroplasty (TKA) implant fixation/ingrowth. PURPOSE: This case-control study sought to determine if TKA patients with history of bariatric surgery exhibit altered microanatomy of subchondral bone quality in the tibial plateau compared to controls. MATERIALS AND METHODS: With IRB approval, 41 bone samples were evaluated from 12 former bariatric surgery patients and 10 sex-, age-, weight-, height-, and BMI-matched controls. Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System (PROMIS) surveys were completed prior to TKA. Tibial plateau osteochondral tissues were recovered during the TKA procedure, and samples from the medial and lateral plateaus were dissected into 1 × 2 cm sections, scanned using microcomputed tomography (µCT), and plastic-embedded for histologic sectioning/staining of undecalcified bone. Paired t tests with Bonferroni correction were performed to assess group differences. RESULTS: Female bariatric surgery patients had reduced osteoid/total area and greater osteoclast number asymmetry than female controls (p < 0.03). No differences were noted in µCT or histologic bone parameters between bariatric and control patients when the sexes were combined. Bariatric patients self-reported worse preoperative PROMIS pain interference and physical function scores than controls (p < 0.04). CONCLUSIONS: Similarities of subchondral bone between former bariatric surgery patients and matched controls indicate OA disease progression dominates the bone landscape in both patient groups.

Geometric morphometric analysis of growth patterns among facial types.

INTRODUCTION: Extreme patterns of vertical facial divergence are of great importance to clinicians because of their association with dental malocclusion and functional problems of the orofacial complex. Understanding the growth patterns associated with vertical facial divergence is critical for clinicians to provide optimal treatment. This study evaluates and compares growth patterns from childhood to adulthood among 3 classifications of vertical facial divergence using longitudinal, lateral cephalograms from the Craniofacial Growth Consortium Study. METHODS: Participants (183 females, 188 males) were classified into 1 of 3 facial types on the basis of their adult mandibular plane angle (MPA): hyperdivergent (MPA >39°; n = 40), normodivergent (28° ≤ MPA ≤ 39°; n = 216), and hypodivergent (MPA <28°; n = 115). Each individual had 5 cephalograms between ages 6 and 20 years. A set of 36 cephalometric landmarks were digitized on each cephalogram. Landmark configurations were superimposed to align 5 homologous landmarks of the anterior cranial base and scaled to unit centroid size. Growth trajectories were calculated using multivariate regression for each facial type and sex combination. RESULTS: Divergent growth trajectories were identified among facial types, finding more similarities in normodivergent and hypodivergent growth patterns than either share with the hyperdivergent group. Through the use of geometric morphometric methods, new patterns of facial growth related to vertical facial divergence were identified. Hyperdivergent growth exhibits a downward rotation of the maxillomandibular complex relative to the anterior cranial base, in addition to the increased relative growth of the lower anterior face. Conversely, normodivergent and hypodivergent groups exhibit stable positioning of the maxilla relative to the anterior cranial base, with the forward rotation of the mandible. Furthermore, the hyperdivergent maxilla and mandible become relatively shorter and posteriorly positioned with age compared with the other groups. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates how hyperdivergent growth, particularly restricted growth and positioning of the maxilla, results in a higher potential risk for Class II malocclusion. Future work will investigate growth patterns within each classification of facial divergence.

Resistance Training Reduces Age- and Geography-Related Physical Function Discrepancies in Older Adults.

Comorbidities affecting physical function increase with advanced-age and rural living. This study investigated the degree of benefit from resistance training (RT) in older adults based on age (50-89 years), location (urban vs. rural), and program duration (10 vs. 8-weeks). 260 participants completed pre- and post-program dynamic and static tasks and flexibility testing. Paired and independent t-tests and one-way and repeated measures ANOVAs were used to test group improvements. All ages improved performance (all p ≤ .002) but those in their 50's improved flexibility the most and those in their 60's improved 30STS more and tandem balance less than those in their 80's. Both rural and urban participants improved in all areas (all p ≤ .002), but rural participants reported greater improvements in tandem balance. Both 10- and 8-week classes improved performance (all p ≤ .001), but 8-week participants improved dynamic tasks and tandem balance more. RT can reduce functional discrepancies in older adults and rural residents.

Systematic Isolation of Key Parameters for Estimating Skeletal Maturity on Knee Radiographs.

BACKGROUND: The ability to estimate skeletal maturity using a knee radiograph would be useful in anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) injuries and limb-length discrepancy in immature patients. Currently, a quick, accurate, and reproducible method is lacking. METHODS: Serial knee radiographs made 3 years before to 2 years following the chronologic age associated with 90% of final height (an enhanced skeletal maturity gold standard compared with peak height velocity) were analyzed in 78 children. The Pyle and Hoerr (PH) knee method was simplified by developing discrete stages for the distal part of the femur, the proximal part of the tibia, the proximal part of the fibula, and the patella. The Roche-Wainer-Thissen (RWT) knee method was simplified from the 36 original parameters to 14 parameters by removing parameters that were poorly defined, were not relevant to the peripubertal age range, were poorly correlated with 90% final height, or were poorly reliable on a 20-radiograph pilot analysis. We also compared the recently described central peak value (CPV) of the distal part of the femur. The Greulich and Pyle (GP) left-hand bone age was included for comparison. RESULTS: In this study, 326 left knee radiographs from 41 girls (age range, 7 to 15 years) and 37 boys (age range, 9 to 17 years) were included. Stepwise linear regression showed higher correlation in predicting years from 90% final height using the modified RWT and demographic characteristics (R2 = 0.921) compared with demographic characteristics alone (R2 = 0.840), CPV and demographic characteristics (R2 = 0.866), GP and demographic characteristics (R2 = 0.899), and PH and demographic characteristics (R2 = 0.902). Seven parameters were excluded from the RWT and demographic characteristics model using stepwise linear regression and generalized estimating equations analysis, leaving 7 parameters (2 femoral, 4 tibial, and 1 fibular) in the final model. Compared with RWT and demographic characteristics (R2 = 0.921), there were minimal incremental increases by adding CPV (R2 = 0.921), GP (R2 = 0.925), or PH (R2 = 0.931). CONCLUSIONS: This large analysis of knee skeletal maturity systems isolated 7 discrete radiographic knee parameters that theoretically outperform the GP bone age in estimating skeletal maturity. CLINICAL RELEVANCE: We present a modified knee skeletal maturity system that can potentially preclude the need for additional imaging of the hand and wrist in reliably estimating skeletal maturity.

Efficacy of an 8-Week Resistance Training Program in Older Adults: A Randomized Controlled Trial.

Older adults are challenged with aging-related declines in skeletal muscle mass and function. Although exercise interventions of longer duration typically yield larger changes, shorter-term interventions may kick-start positive effects, allowing participants to begin engaging in more activity. This study aimed to determine whether 8 weeks of a resistance training program (Stay Strong, Stay Healthy [SSSH]) improved dynamic muscle strength, balance, flexibility, and sleep. Inactive adults aged ≥60 years were randomized into SSSH (n = 15), walking (WALK; n = 17), or control (CON; n = 14) groups. The SSSH and WALK groups met 2 times per week for 60 min. The participants completed pre/post general health, activity, and sleep questionnaires; DXA scans; and functional tasks. One-way repeated-measures multivariate analysis of variance was used to determine interactions and decomposed using repeated-measures analysis of variance. SSSH improved sit-to-stand performance, back scratch distance, and sleep quality and reported more auxiliary physical activity than WALK or CON (p < .05). Resistance training interventions in sedentary older adults can improve physical function and encourage additional activity in 8 weeks.

The More the Merrier: Integrating Multiple Models of Skeletal Maturity Improves the Accuracy of Growth Prediction.

BACKGROUND: Multiple systems using radiographic skeletal markers to measure development have been described, including the Greulich and Pyle Atlas (GP), the Fels Method (Fels), and the Sanders Hand Classification (Sanders). The purpose of this study was to quantitatively assess whether the integration of skeletal maturity assessment methods and demographic variables improves the accuracy of pediatric growth predictions over the use of skeletal markers or chronologic age alone. METHODS: The Brush Inquiry contains prospectively collected longitudinal data on children who lived in Cleveland, Ohio between 1926 and 1942. A total of 16 boys and 29 girls were selected for study. All had age, height, and an anteroposterior radiograph of the hand at each of 3 visits. Those visits occurred at 85%, 90%, and 95% of final height. We determined the growth completed at each visit by dividing the height observed by the final height at skeletal maturity. Boys and girls were analyzed separately using chronologic age, height, GP, Fels, and Sanders. The residual difference between the height predicted and actual height, as well as the SD of the prediction error of the cohort at each time point was calculated. To account for multiple visits from each subject, all linear models were produced using the generalized estimating equations (GEEs) procedure. RESULTS: For boys, age, GP, and Fels performed similarly in predicting growth remaining at all 3 time points. For girls, age, GP, and Fels performed similarly in predicting growth remaining at the 85% and 95% time points; however, the Fels Method demonstrated improved performance at the 90% time point compared with chronologic age (P = 0.0076) and GP alone (P = 0.0155). For both boys and girls, the most accurate multivariate GEE model with the lowest SD of prediction error integrated Fels, age, GP, Sanders, and height. CONCLUSIONS: The most accurate multivariate GEE model of growth prediction for both boys and girls integrated Fels, age, GP, Sanders, and height. When calculating the amount of growth remaining, it is prudent to integrate multiple systems for greater predictive accuracy. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III.

Bayesian approach to longitudinal craniofacial growth: The Craniofacial Growth Consortium Study.

Early in the 20th century, a series of studies were initiated across North America to investigate and characterize childhood growth. The Craniofacial Growth Consortium Study (CGCS) combines craniofacial records from six of those growth studies (15,407 lateral cephalograms from 1,913 individuals; 956 females, 957 males, primarily European descent). Standard cephalometric points collected from the six studies in the CGCS allows direct comparison of craniofacial growth patterns across six North American locations. Three assessors collected all cephalometric points and the coordinates were averaged for each point. Twelve measures were calculated from the averaged coordinates. We implemented a multilevel double logistic equation to estimate growth trajectories fitting each trait separately by sex. Using Bayesian inference, we fit three models for each trait with different random effects structures to compare differences in growth patterns among studies. The models successfully identified important growth milestones (e.g., age at peak growth velocity, age at cessation of growth) for most traits. In a small number of cases, these milestones could not be determined due to truncated age ranges for some studies and slow, steady growth in some measurements. Results demonstrate great similarity among the six growth studies regarding craniofacial growth milestone estimates and the overall shape of the growth curve. These similarities suggest minor variation among studies resulting from differences in protocol, sample, or possible geographic variation. The analyses presented support combining the studies into the CGCS without substantial concerns of bias. The CGCS, therefore, provides an unparalleled opportunity to examine craniofacial growth from childhood into adulthood.

Anterior Vertebral Body Tethering for Adolescent Scoliosis with Growth Remaining: A Retrospective Review of 2 to 5-Year Postoperative Results.

BACKGROUND: Anterior vertebral body tethering (VBT) is an early treatment option for progressive scoliosis in pediatric patients, allowing for continued deformity correction during normal growth. We report postoperative radiographic and clinical outcomes for patients treated with VBT. METHODS: This clinical and radiographic retrospective review of 31 consecutive patients included an analysis of preoperative, perioperative, and postoperative details, including the Lenke classification; Cobb angle measurements of the proximal thoracic, main thoracic, and lumbar curves; the sagittal profile; and skeletal maturity. Successful outcomes were defined by a residual curve of ≤30° in skeletally mature patients who did not undergo a posterior spinal fusion (PSF). RESULTS: Of the 31 patients treated, 29 met the inclusion criteria, and 2 were lost to follow-up. The mean patient age (and standard deviation) at the time of the surgical procedure was 12.7 ± 1.5 years (range, 10.2 to 16.7 years), with most patients classified as Risser grade 0 or 1 (52%) and Sanders stage 3 (32%). A mean of 7.2 ± 1.4 vertebral levels were instrumented, with a minimum preoperative Cobb angle of 42°. At the latest follow-up, 27 patients had reached skeletal maturity (Sanders stage ≥7) and 20 patients exhibited a curve magnitude ≤30°, for a success rate of 74%. A suspected broken tether occurred at ≥1 level in 14 patients (48%). Two patients underwent PSF and 4 had tether revision. The overall revision rate was 21% (6 of 29). CONCLUSIONS: This study shows the success and revision rates as well as the impact of a suspected broken tether on the procedural success of VBT. Despite our patient population being slightly more mature at the time of the surgical procedure compared with previous studies, we had a higher success rate and a lower revision rate. A PSF was avoided in 93% of patients, indicating that VBT may be a reliable treatment option for adolescent scoliosis in skeletally immature individuals. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Therapeutic Level IV. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

Estimating peak height velocity in individuals: a comparison of statistical methods.

BACKGROUND: Estimates pertaining to the timing of the adolescent growth spurt (e.g. peak height velocity; PHV), including age at peak height velocity (aPHV), play a critical role in the diagnosis, treatment, and management of skeletal growth and/or developmental disorders. Yet, distinct statistical methodologies often result in large estimate discrepancies. AIM: The aim of the present study was to assess the advantages and disadvantages of three modelling methodologies for height as well as to determine how estimates derived from these methodologies may differ, particularly those that may be useful in paediatric clinical practice. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: Height data from 686 individuals of the Fels Longitudinal Study were modelled using 5th order polynomials, natural cubic splines, and SuperImposition by Translation and Rotation (SITAR) to determine aPHV and PHV for all individuals together (i.e. population average) by sex and separately for each individual. Estimates within and between methodologies were calculated and compared. RESULTS: In general, mean aPHV was earlier, and PHV was greater for individuals when compared to estimates from population average models. Significant differences between mean aPHV and PHV for individuals were observed in all three methodologies, with SITAR exhibiting the latest aPHV and largest PHV estimates. CONCLUSION: Each statistical methodology has a number of advantages when used for specific purposes. For modelling growth in individuals, as one would in paediatric clinical practice, we recommend the use of the 5th order polynomial methodology due to its parameter flexibility.

Evidence of the non-linear nature of skeletal maturation.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to assess longitudinal trajectories of skeletal maturation to determine if children exhibit periods of rapid maturation during normal childhood and adolescence. DESIGN: Retrospective longitudinal study. PATIENTS: 345 participants, with an average of 25 assessments per participant, between 3 and 20 years of age from the Fels Longitudinal Study. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: s : Chronological age (ie, timing) and rate (ie, tempo) of skeletal maturation, as assessed by the Fels Method, at each maturational milestone, as well as the duration of time spent between any two milestones, were calculated for each participant-specific maturational trajectory and compared between three unique, non-linear maturational trajectory types. RESULTS: More than 81% of participants exhibited a rapid period of skeletal maturation during childhood and/or adolescence, most of whom were characterised by a single maturational spurt during adolescence. Participants with only a single adolescent spurt in skeletal maturation reach adolescent onset and peak approximately 2.8 and 4.2 years earlier, respectively, in boys (p<0.001) and girls (p<0.001), than when compared with participants with both childhood and adolescent spurts. Differences in the timing and tempo of maturational milestones were driven primarily by trajectory type. CONCLUSIONS: Rapid changes in skeletal maturation occur during normal childhood and/or adolescence, indicating the presence of a maturational spurt: a developmental phenomenon that has remained largely uncharacterised. This work highlights patterned changes in the timing, tempo and duration of longitudinal skeletal maturation while simultaneously shifting the paradigm that skeletal maturation progresses linearly.