Mean Platelet Volume, Red Cell Distribution Width to Platelet Count Ratio, Globulin Platelet Index, and 16 Other Indirect Noninvasive Fibrosis Scores: How Much Do Routine Blood Tests Tell About Liver Fibrosis in Chronic Hepatitis C?

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Many indirect noninvasive scores to predict liver fibrosis are calculated from routine blood investigations. Only limited studies have compared their efficacy head to head. We aimed to compare these scores with liver biopsy fibrosis stages in patients with chronic hepatitis C. MATERIALS AND METHODS: From blood investigations of 1602 patients with chronic hepatitis C who underwent a liver biopsy before initiation of antiviral treatment, 19 simple noninvasive scores were calculated. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves and diagnostic accuracy of each of these scores were calculated (with reference to the Scheuer staging) and compared. RESULTS: The mean age of the patients was 41.8±9.6 years (1365 men). The most common genotype was genotype 4 (65.6%). Significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis were seen in 65.1%, 25.6, and 6.6% of patients, respectively. All the scores except the aspartate transaminase (AST) alanine transaminase ratio, Pohl score, mean platelet volume, fibro-alpha, and red cell distribution width to platelet count ratio index showed high predictive accuracy for the stages of fibrosis. King's score (cutoff, 17.5) showed the highest predictive accuracy for significant and advanced fibrosis. King's score, Göteborg university cirrhosis index, APRI (the AST/platelet count ratio index), and Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) had the highest predictive accuracy for cirrhosis, with the APRI (cutoff, 2) and FIB-4 (cutoff, 3.25) showing the highest diagnostic accuracy.We derived the study score 8.5 - 0.2(albumin, g/dL) +0.01(AST, IU/L) -0.02(platelet count, 10(9)/L), which at a cutoff of >4.7 had a predictive accuracy of 0.868 (95% confidence interval, 0.833-0.904) for cirrhosis. CONCLUSIONS: King's score for significant and advanced fibrosis and the APRI or FIB-4 score for cirrhosis could be the best simple indirect noninvasive scores.

Clinical Application of AIMS65 Scores to Predict Outcomes in Patients with Upper Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: To evaluate the ability of the recently proposed albumin, international normalized ratio (INR), mental status, systolic blood pressure, age >65 years (AIMS65) score to predict mortality in patients with acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB). METHODS: AIMS65 scores were calculated in 251 consecutive patients presenting with acute UGIB by allotting 1 point each for albumin level <30 g/L, INR >1.5, alteration in mental status, systolic blood pressure ≤90 mm Hg, and age ≥65 years. Risk stratification was done during the initial 12 hours of hospital admission. RESULTS: Intensive care unit (ICU) admission, endoscopic therapy, or surgery were required in 51 patients (20.3%), 64 (25.5%), and 12 (4.8%), respectively. The predictive accuracy of AIMS65 scores ≥2 was high for blood transfusion (area under the receiver operator characteristic curve [AUROC], 0.59), ICU admission (AUROC, 0.61), and mortality (AUROC, 0.74). The overall mortality was 10.3% (n=26), and was 3%, 7.8%, 20%, 36%, and 40% for AIMS65 scores of 0, 1, 2, 3, and 4, respectively; these values were significantly higher in those with scores ≥2 (30.9%) than in those with scores <2 (4.5%, p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: AIMS65 is a simple, accurate, non-endoscopic risk score that can be applied early (within 12 hours of hospital admission) in patients with acute UGIB. AIMS65 scores ≥2 predict high in-hospital mortality.

Screening for hepatitis C in average and high-risk populations of Qatar using rapid point-of-care testing.

BACKGROUND: Screening for hepatitis C has been found to be beneficial in high-risk individuals and 'baby boomers'. OBJECTIVE: Our aim was to screen for hepatitis C in average and high-risk individuals and compare the disease characteristics and response to treatment among the screened group (SG) and non-screened group (NSG). METHOD: Community-based screening for hepatitis C was done in the average and high-risk populations of Qatar. Screening was done using rapid point-of-care testing. All patients with stage 1 fibrosis on liver biopsy were treated with pegylated interferon and ribavirin. RESULTS: In total, 13,704 people were screened and 272 (2%, 95% CI (1.8-2.2%) had positive antibodies to hepatitis C. During the same period, 237 non-screened patients (NSG) with hepatitis C were referred for treatment. Alanine and aspartate aminotransferases (ALT, AST) and overall fibrosis were significantly lower in the SG as compared with the NSG (p = 0.04, 0.04 and 0.01, respectively). The response to treatment was similar in the SG as compared with the NSG (sustained viral response 61.7 % versus 69.1%, p = 0.55). Average-risk patients had significantly lower ALT levels (p = 0.04) but had similar response to treatment as the high-risk individuals (sustained viral response 63.2 % versus 61%, p = 0.87). CONCLUSION: Screening detects hepatitis C with lesser fibrosis but does not result in better response to pegylated interferon and ribavirin as compared with non-screened patients.

Emerging role for colorectal cancer screening in Asian countries.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is one of the leading causes of cancer related mortality globally. Though Asia has traditionally been considered a relatively low incidence area for colorectal cancer, the incidence is reportedly increasing. The Asia Pacific Working Group for Colorectal Cancer has recommended screening of individuals at average risk starting from 50 years of age. Based on these recommendations we conducted a pilot study to assess the need and feasibility of a colorectal cancer screening program in the state of Qatar. METHODS AND RESULTS: We screened 1385 individuals by fecal immunochemical testing for occult blood, at the primary health center level and positive cases were referred for colonoscopy. Among those who tested positive for fecal occult blood, we picked up five patients with cancers and seven with neoplastic polyps. CONCLUSION: Our results compare with the yield of screening programs in western countries thus suggesting an emerging role for colorectal cancer screening in Asian countries.

Liver biopsy for parenchymal liver disease - is routine real time image guidance unnecessary?

Liver biopsy even today remains the standard of care for grading and staging chronic hepatitis despite advances in noninvasive markers of liver fibrosis. Literature suggests an expanding role for real-time image guided liver biopsy and declining trend for blind liver biopsies. In our center, where we perform around 400 liver biopsies per year, we performed a prospective clinical audit of our practice of blind outpatient percutaneous liver biopsies. Patients requiring histological grading and staging of chronic hepatitis routinely undergo blind outpatient percutaneous liver biopsies in our endoscopy unit unless there is a definite indication for real-time image guidance. All procedures were assessed for safety, and all specimens were evaluated by a specimen quality grading score for adequacy for grading and staging of chronic hepatitis. Of the 446 patients referred for histological grading and staging of chronic hepatitis C by liver biopsy, only 42 patients (9.5 %) required real-time ultrasound for liver biopsy. The remaining 404 patients underwent blind outpatient percutaneous liver biopsies which were found to be extremely safe with no major complications, yielding adequate liver tissue with high specimen quality score allowing optimal grading and staging of chronic hepatitis.

The predictive value of IL28B rs12979860, rs11881222 and rs8099917 polymorphisms and IP-10 in the therapeutic response of Egyptian genotype 4 patients.

UNLABELLED: Interleukin-28B (IL28B) polymorphisms have previously been reported to be strongly associated with spontaneous and treatment-induced HCV viral clearance. AIM: To assess the impact of four different IL28B polymorphisms and their haplotype combination and interferon-c inducible protein 10 (IP-10) in response to treatment in Egyptian genotype 4 patients. METHOD: 159 HCV-genotype 4 patients were included. All patients were treated with Peginterferon alph2a/Ribavirin for 48 wk. The following polymorphisms rs12979860, rs11881222, rs8103142 and rs8099917 and rs80803142 of Il-28 were known to be associated with the sustained virological response. They were genotyped using the TaqMan assay. IP-10 was assessed by Eliza. RESULTS: The data indicated that all SNPs are within the Hardy-Weinberg Equilibrium (HWE) except for rs8103142 (p=6.255(-9)), therefore it was excluded from the study since it deviates from HWE-P. The CC, AA and TT genotypes of rs12979860, rs11881222 and rs8099917 were the more frequent genotypes among the responders at RVR, EVR, ETR and SVR, respectively. The frequency of CC, CT, and TT genotype was 46.4%, 38.1% and 15.5% among responders of RVR, and was 46.9%, 45.9% and 7.2 among responders of SVR for rs12979860, respectively. The relapse rate was 18.0% and 16.0 % during EVR and ETR, while the response rate was 52.8%, 58.5%, 59.7% and 61.6% after 4, 12, 48 and 72 weeks of treatment. The transient virological response (TVR) was 6.9% among HCV patients. The results showed that the odds ratio and 95% CI of HCV genotype 4 patients to have a better sustained response to treatment (SVR) was 2.92, (1.83-4.68, p=2.01(-5)), 2.89 (1.79-4.70, p=2.53(-5)), and 2.73 (0.21-0.65, p=0.0007) for those with the major allele "C" of rs12979860, the "A" allele of rs11881222, and the "T" allele of rs8099917, respectively. Furthermore, the positive predictive value (PPV) of the major homozygous alleles for SVR with better response to therapy was in the following order: 78.69%, 68.42%, and 32.14% with a positive likelihood ratio of 1.95, 1.25, and 0.86 for rs12979860, rs11881222 and rs8099917, respectively. The haplotype formed between the 3 studied SNPs (rs12979860, rs11881222 and rs8099917) showed that two haplotypes (TGG and TGT) increased the probability of a poor response to therapy, but the CAT haplotype had the opposite effect. Multinomial logistic regression analysis revealed that the viral load and rs12979860 are the only significant actors involved in the efficacy of the treatment response among the cohort study. In addition, patients with SVR had significantly lower values of IP-10 than non-responder patients (NR), with a P-value<=0.001. CONCLUSIONS: In genotype 4 cases, the IL28B SNPs rs12979860 rs8099917, and rs11881222 are the strongest predictors of a response, while IP-10 is a strong negative biomarker of a response. Accounting for this factor is important in the individualization of treatment and enhances the degree of predictiveness of the IL28 polymorphism in the final treatment outcome. The frequent distribution of C, A and T alleles of IL28 polymorphism are higher among TVR, which may reflect sensitivity to prolonged course.