The changing epidemiology of adult liver transplantation in the United States in 2013-2022: The dominance of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease and alcohol-associated liver disease.

BACKGROUND: The high prevalence of obesity in the United States drives the burden of NASH, recently renamed as metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH). We assessed the most recent trends in liver transplantation in the United States. METHODS: The Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (SRTR 2013-2022) was used to select adult (18 years or above) candidates who underwent liver transplant. RESULTS: There were 116,292 candidates who underwent liver transplant with known etiology of chronic liver disease. In candidates without HCC, the most common etiology was alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD), increasing from 23% (2013) to 48% (2022), followed by NASH/MASH, which increased from 19% to 27%; the rates of viral hepatitis decreased (chronic hepatitis C: 28%-4%; chronic hepatitis B: 1.8%-1.1%) (all trend p<0.01). The proportion of HCC decreased from 25% (2013-2016) to 17% (2021-2022). Among HCC cohort, the proportion of chronic hepatitis C decreased from 60% (2013) to 27% (2022), NASH/MASH increased from 10% to 31%, alcohol-associated liver disease increased from 9% to 24% (trend p<0.0001), and chronic hepatitis B remained stable between 5% and 7% (trend p=0.62). The rapid increase in the proportion of NASH/MASH in HCC continued during the most recent study years [20% (2018), 28% (2020), 31% (2022)]; the trend remained significant after adjustment for age, sex, ethnicity, obesity, and type 2 diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: Liver transplant etiologies in the United States have changed over the last decade. Alcohol-associated liver disease and NASH/MASH remain the 2 most common indications for transplantation among those without HCC, and NASH/MASH is the most common in patients with HCC.

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease is associated with greater risk of 30-day hospital readmission in the United States (U.S.).

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: Data about 30-day readmission for patients with chronic liver disease (CLD) and their contribution to CLD healthcare burden are sparse. Patterns, diagnoses, timing and predictors of 30-day readmissions for CLD from 2010-2017 were assessed. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Nationwide Readmission Database (NRD) is an all-payer, all-ages, longitudinal administrative database, representing 35 million discharges in the US population yearly. We identified unique patients discharged with CLD including hepatitis B (HBV) and C (HCV), alcoholic liver disease (ALD) and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) from 2010 through 2017. Survey-weight adjusted multivariable analyses were used. RESULTS: From 2010 to 2017, the 30-day readmission rate for CLD decreased from 18.4% to 17.8% (p=.008), while increasing for NAFLD from 17.0% to 19. 9% (p<.001). Of 125,019 patients discharged with CLD (mean age 57.4 years, male 59.0%) in 2017, the most common liver disease was HCV (29.2%), followed by ALD (23.5%), NAFLD (17.5%), and HBV (4.3%). Readmission rates were 20.5% for ALD, 19.9% for NAFLD, 16.8% for HCV and 16.7% for HBV. Compared to other liver diseases, patients with NAFLD had significantly higher risk of 30-day readmission in clinical comorbidities adjusted model (Hazard ratio [HR]=1.08 [95% confidence interval 1.03-1.13]). In addition to ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, higher number of coexisting comorbidities, comorbidities associated with higher risk of 30-day readmission included cirrhosis for NALFD and HCV; acute kidney injury for NAFLD, HCV and ALD; HCC for HCV, and peritonitis for ALD. Cirrhosis and cirrhosis-related complications were the most common reasons for 30-day readmission, followed by sepsis. However, a large proportion of patients (43.7% for NAFLD; 28.4% for HCV, 39.0% for HBV, and 29.1% for ALD) were readmitted for extrahepatic reasons. Approximately 20% of those discharged with CLD were readmitted within 30 days but the majority of readmissions occurred within 15 days of discharge (62.8% for NAFLD, 63.7% for HCV, 74.3% for HBV, and 72.9% for ALD). Among readmitted patients, patients with NAFLD or HCV readmitted ≤30-day had significantly higher costs and risk of in-hospital mortality (NAFLD +5.69% change [95% confidence interval, 2.54%-8.93%] and odds ratio (OR)=1.58 [1.28-1.95]; HCV +9.85% change [95%CI:6.96%-12.82%] and OR=1.31, 1.08-1.59). CONCLUSIONS: Early readmissions for CLD are prevalent causing economic and clinical burden to the US healthcare system, especially NAFLD readmissions. Closer surveillance and attention to both liver and extrahepatic medical conditions immediately after CLD discharge is encouraged.

Global burden of NAFLD and chronic liver disease among adolescents and young adults.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The causes of chronic liver disease (CLD) among adults have changed. Data are lacking on trends among youth. We determined the trends and changes in the global burden of CLD among adolescents and young adults using Global Burden of Disease (GBD) data (2009-2019). APPROACH AND RESULTS: The GBD study estimation methods were used to assess CLD prevalence, incidence, and deaths (21 GBD regions). Annual percent change (APC) calculation by joinpoint regression modeling. Age groups were 15-19, 20-24, and 25-29 years old. Globally in 2019, the 15-29 group accounted for 17.2% (0.29 billion) of CLD prevalent cases, 11.2% (n = 232,072) CLD incident cases, and 3.8% (n = 55,515) CLD deaths. Between 2009 and 2019, CLD prevalence rate increased annually among 25-29 (APC = +0.41%, p < 0.001); remained stable among 20-24 (APC = +0.02%, p = 0.582); and decreased among 15-19 (APC = -2.13%, p < 0.001). CLD prevalence increases were driven by the proportion with NAFLD (15-19: 40.8% to 52.9%, p < 0.001); 20-24: 57.6% to 62.7%, p < 0.001); and 25-29: 66.9% to 70.1%, p < 0.001); the proportion with HBV decreased across all age groups. NAFLD prevalence worsening trend (APC ≥ 0%) was global. Overall CLD death rate decreased annually in all age groups, driven by the decrease in the proportion with HBV [aged 15-19 (from 5.90% to 5.20%, p < 0.001); aged 20-24 (from 18.62% to 16.37%, p < 0.001); and aged 25-29 (from 28.69% to 25.28%, p < 0.001)]; from 2015 to 2019, CLD death rate for HCV (APC = +1.46%) and NAFLD (APC = +2.26%) increased. CONCLUSIONS: Over the past decade, the causes of CLD among 15-29-year-olds have shifted: viral hepatitis remains the most common cause of CLD deaths, but the global burden of HBV incidence is decreasing, whereas NAFLD is the main driver for increased CLD incidence.