A new family of distributions using a trigonometric function: Properties and applications in the healthcare sector.

Probability distributions play a pivotal and significant role in modeling real-life data in every field. For this activity, a series of probability distributions have been introduced and exercised in applied sectors. This paper also contributes a new method for modeling continuous data sets. The proposed family is called the exponent power sine-G family of distributions. Based on the exponent power sine-G method, a new model, namely, the exponent power sine-Weibull model is studied. Several mathematical properties such as quantile function, identifiability property, and rth moment are derived. For the exponent power sine-G method, the maximum likelihood estimators are obtained. Simulation studies are also presented. Finally, the optimality of the exponent power sine-Weibull model is shown by taking two applications from the healthcare sector. Based on seven evaluating criteria, it is demonstrated that the proposed model is the best competing distribution for analyzing healthcare phenomena.

Adjustment of model misspecification in estimation of population total under ranked set sampling through balancing.

In the model-based approach, researchers assume that the underlying structure, which generates the population of interest, is correctly specified. However, when the working model differs from the underlying true population model, the estimation process becomes quite unreliable due to misspecification bias. Selecting a sample by applying the balancing conditions on some functions of the covariates can reduce such bias. This study aims at suggesting an estimator of population total by applying the balancing conditions on the basis functions of the auxiliary character(s) for the situations where the working model is different from the underlying true model under a ranked set sampling without replacement scheme. Special cases of the misspecified basis function model, i.e. homogeneous, linear, and proportional, are considered and balancing conditions are introduced in each case. Both simulation and bootstrapped studies show that the total estimators under proposed sampling mechanism keep up the superiority over simple random sampling in terms of efficiency and maintaining robustness against model failure.

A new flexible Weibull extension model: Different estimation methods and modeling an extreme value data.

The word extreme events refer to unnatural or undesirable events. Due to the general destructive effects on society and scientific problems in various applied fields, the study of extreme events is an important subject for researchers. Many real-life phenomena exhibit clusters of extreme observations that cannot be adequately predicted and modeled by the traditional distributions. Therefore, we need new flexible probability distributions that are useful in modeling extreme-value data in various fields such as the financial sector, telecommunications, hydrology, engineering, and meteorology. In this piece of research work, a new flexible probability distribution is introduced, which is attained by joining together the flexible Weibull distribution with the weighted T-X strategy. The new model is named a new flexible Weibull extension distribution. The distributional properties of the new model are derived. Furthermore, some frequently implemented estimation approaches are considered to obtain the estimators of the new flexible Weibull extension model. Finally, we demonstrate the utility of the new flexible Weibull extension distribution by analyzing an extreme value data set.

On the Implementation of the Artificial Neural Network Approach for Forecasting Different Healthcare Events.

The rising number of confirmed cases and deaths in Pakistan caused by the coronavirus have caused problems in all areas of the country, not just healthcare. For accurate policy making, it is very important to have accurate and efficient predictions of confirmed cases and death counts. In this article, we use a coronavirus dataset that includes the number of deaths, confirmed cases, and recovered cases to test an artificial neural network model and compare it to different univariate time series models. In contrast to the artificial neural network model, we consider five univariate time series models to predict confirmed cases, deaths count, and recovered cases. The considered models are applied to Pakistan's daily records of confirmed cases, deaths, and recovered cases from 10 March 2020 to 3 July 2020. Two statistical measures are considered to assess the performances of the models. In addition, a statistical test, namely, the Diebold and Mariano test, is implemented to check the accuracy of the mean errors. The results (mean error and statistical test) show that the artificial neural network model is better suited to predict death and recovered coronavirus cases. In addition, the moving average model outperforms all other confirmed case models, while the autoregressive moving average is the second-best model.

A new improved generalized class of estimators for population distribution function using auxiliary variable under simple random sampling.

This article aims to suggest a new improved generalized class of estimators for finite population distribution function of the study and the auxiliary variables as well as mean of the usual auxiliary variable under simple random sampling. The numerical expressions for the bias and mean squared error (MSE) are derived up to first degree of approximation. From our generalized class of estimators, we obtained two improved estimators. The gain in second proposed estimator is more as compared to first estimator. Three real data sets and a simulation are accompanied to measure the performances of our generalized class of estimators. The MSE of our proposed estimators is minimum and consequently percentage relative efficiency is higher as compared to their existing counterparts. From the numerical outcomes it has been shown that the proposed estimators perform well as compared to all considered estimators in this study.

Mathematical search technique for detecting moving novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) based on minimizing the weight function.

The study of search plans has found considerable interest between searchers due to its interesting applications in our real life like searching for located and moving targets. This paper develops a method for detecting moving targets. We propose a novel strategy based on weight function W ( Z ) , W ( Z ) = λ H ( Z ) + ( 1 - λ ) L ( Z ) , where H ( Z ) , L ( Z ) are the total probabilities of un-detecting, and total effort respectively, is searching for moving novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cells among finite set of different states. The total search effort will be presented in a more flexible way, so it will be presented as a random variable with a given distribution. The objective is searching for COVID-19 which hidden in one of n cells in each fixed number of time intervals m and the detection functions are supposed to be known to the searcher or robot. We look in depth for the optimal distribution of the total effort which minimizes the probability of undetected the target over the set of possible different states. The effectiveness of this model is illustrated by presenting a numerical example.