RESUMO
BackgroundInformation about the effectiveness of oral antivirals in preventing short- and long-term COVID-19-related outcomes during the Omicron surge is limited. We sought to determine the effectiveness of nirmatrelvir-ritonavir and molnupiravir for the outpatient treatment of COVID-19. MethodsWe conducted three retrospective target trial emulation studies comparing matched patient cohorts who received nirmatrelvir-ritonavir versus no treatment, molnupiravir versus no treatment, and nirmatrelvir-ritonavir versus molnupiravir in the Veterans Health Administration (VHA). Participants were Veterans in VHA care at risk for severe COVID-19 who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 in the outpatient setting during January and February 2022. Primary outcomes included all-cause 30-day hospitalization or death and 31-180-day incidence of acute or long-term care admission, death, or post-COVID-19 conditions. For 30-day outcomes, we calculated unadjusted risk rates, risk differences, and risk ratios. For 31-180-day outcomes, we used unadjusted time-to-event analyses. ResultsParticipants were 90% male with median age 67 years and 26% unvaccinated. Compared to matched untreated controls, nirmatrelvir-ritonavir-treated participants (N=1,587) had a lower 30-day risk of hospitalization (27.10/1000 versus 41.06/1000, risk difference [RD] - 13.97, 95% CI -23.85 to -4.09) and death (3.15/1000 versus 14.86/1000, RD -11.71, 95% CI - 16.07 to -7.35). Among persons who were alive at day 31, further significant reductions in 31-180-day incidence of hospitalization (sub-hazard ratio 1.07, 95% CI 0.83 to 1.37) or death (hazard ratio 0.61, 95% CI 0.35 to 1.08) were not observed. Molnupiravir-treated participants aged [≥]65 years (n=543) had a lower combined 30-day risk of hospitalization or death (55.25/1000 versus 82.35/1000, RD -27.10, 95% CI -50.63 to -3.58). A statistically significant difference in 30-day or 31-180-day risk of hospitalization or death was not observed between matched nirmatrelvir- or molnupiravir-treated participants. Incidence of most post-COVID conditions was similar across comparison groups. ConclusionsNirmatrelvir-ritonavir was highly effective in preventing 30-day hospitalization and death. Short-term benefit from molnupiravir was observed in older groups. Significant reductions in adverse outcomes from 31-180 days were not observed with either antiviral.
RESUMO
BackgroundOlder adults and persons with medical co-morbidities are at increased risk for severe COVID-19. Several pharmacotherapies demonstrated to reduce the risk of COVID-19-related hospitalization and death have been authorized for use. We describe factors associated with receipt of outpatient COVID-19 pharmacotherapies in the Veterans Health Administration. MethodsWe conducted a retrospective cohort study among Veterans with risk factors for severe COVID-19 who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 during January and February 2022. We compared receipt of any COVID-19 pharmacotherapy, including sotrovimab, nirmatrelvir plus ritonavir, molnupiravir, or remdesivir versus no antiviral or monoclonal antibody treatment according to demographic characteristics, place of residence, underlying medical conditions, and COVID-19 vaccination using multivariable logistic regression. ResultsDuring January and February 2022, 16,546 courses of sotrovimab, nirmatrelvir, and molnupiravir were allocated across the Veterans Health Administration. Among 111,717 Veterans testing positive for SARS-CoV-2, 4,233 (3.8%) received any COVID-19 pharmacotherapy, including 2,870 of 92,396 (3.1%) in January and 1,363 of 19,321 (7.1%) in February. Among a subset of 56,206 Veterans with documented COVID-19-related symptoms in the 30 days preceding positive SARS-CoV-2 test, 3,079 of 53,206 (5.5%) received any COVID-19 pharmacotherapy. Untreated Veterans had a median age of 60 years (interquartile range [IQR] 46-71 years) and median 3 underlying medical conditions (IQR 2-5). Veterans receiving any treatment were more likely to be older (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.66, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.52-1.80, 65-74 versus 50-64 years; aOR 1.67, 95% CI 1.53-1.84 [≥]75 versus 50-64 years) and have a higher number of underlying conditions (aOR 1.63, 95% CI 1.48-1.79, 3-4 versus 1-2 conditions; aOR 2.17, 95% CI 1.98-2.39, [≥]5 versus 1-2 conditions). Persons of Black versus White race (aOR 0.65, 95% CI 0.60-0.72) and well as persons of Hispanic ethnicity (aOR 0.88, 95% CI 0.77-0.99) were less likely to receive treatment. Conclusions and RelevanceAlthough supply of outpatient COVID-19 pharmacotherapies during January and February 2022 was limited, prescription of these pharmacotherapies was underutilized, consistent with early national patterns in dispensing. Racial and ethnic minorities were less likely to receive any pharmacotherapy.
