Which method delivers greater signal-to-noise ratio: Structural equation modelling or regression analysis with weighted composites?

Observational data typically contain measurement errors. Covariance-based structural equation modelling (CB-SEM) is capable of modelling measurement errors and yields consistent parameter estimates. In contrast, methods of regression analysis using weighted composites as well as a partial least squares approach to SEM facilitate the prediction and diagnosis of individuals/participants. But regression analysis with weighted composites has been known to yield attenuated regression coefficients when predictors contain errors. Contrary to the common belief that CB-SEM is the preferred method for the analysis of observational data, this article shows that regression analysis via weighted composites yields parameter estimates with much smaller standard errors, and thus corresponds to greater values of the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR). In particular, the SNR for the regression coefficient via the least squares (LS) method with equally weighted composites is mathematically greater than that by CB-SEM if the items for each factor are parallel, even when the SEM model is correctly specified and estimated by an efficient method. Analytical, numerical and empirical results also show that LS regression using weighted composites performs as well as or better than the normal maximum likelihood method for CB-SEM under many conditions even when the population distribution is multivariate normal. Results also show that the LS regression coefficients become more efficient when considering the sampling errors in the weights of composites than those that are conditional on weights.

Efficacy and Safety of CMAB008 Compared with Innovator Infliximab in Patients with Moderate-to-Severe Rheumatoid Arthritis Receiving Concomitant Methotrexate: A Randomized, Double-blind, Multi-center, Phase III Non-inferiority Study.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this work is to verify the non-inferior efficacy and safety of CMAB008 compared with innovator infliximab in rheumatoid arthritis patients combined with methotrexate. METHODS: We conducted a randomized, double-blinded, parallel, positive control design, multicenter study, with a stable dose of methotrexate. Patients were enrolled randomly with a ratio of 1:1 to receive intravenously CMAB008 3 mg/kg or innovator infliximab 3 mg/kg at weeks 0, 2, 6, 14, 22 and 30. The primary efficacy endpoint was American College of Rheumatology 20% improvement criteria (ACR20) response rate at week 30. The non-inferiority was established if the lower limit of the one-sided 97.5% confidence interval (CI) for the difference was more than - 15% and the equivalence was established if the two-sided 95% CI was within ± 15% in an exploratory equivalence analysis. The secondary endpoints included other efficacy assessment parameters, as well as immunogenicity, safety, and pharmacokinetics. RESULTS: In the full analysis population (FAS), 110 (57.6%) of 191 patients in the CMAB008 group and 120 (62.2%) of 193 patients in the innovator infliximab group reached the primary outcome of ACR20 at week 30. The differences of the rates were - 4.6% and the lower limit of one-sided 97.5% confidence interval was - 14.29%, not less than the lower limit of the non-inferiority margin (- 15%); so CMAB008 was non-inferior to innovator infliximab. Further, CMAB008 was equivalent to innovator infliximab both in FAS (difference - 4.6%, 95% CI - 14.29% to 5.12%) and PPS (difference - 3.3%, 95% CI - 13.18% to 6.62%). The efficacy, safety, immunogenicity, and pharmacokinetics are highly similar between CMAB008 and innovator infliximab. CONCLUSIONS: Non-inferior efficacy of CMAB008 to innovator infliximab is illustrated with similar early and lasting therapeutic effects, and the equivalence is further demonstrated. CMAB008 is well tolerated and has semblable safety compared with the innovator infliximab. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT03478111.

Chinese registry of rheumatoid arthritis (CREDIT) V: sex impacts rheumatoid arthritis in Chinese patients.

BACKGROUND: The impact of sex on the clinical manifestations of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) were diversely reported in the literature. The Chinese Registry of rhEumatoiD arthrITis provides a platform for the investigation of this issue in Chinese patients. METHODS: Demographic and clinical parameters were collected from all enrolled patients with RA and from patients with early RA (disease duration ≤6 months). The differences in data regarding disease activity, comorbidities, and medications for RA were compared between men and women. The proportions of patients who achieved remission and low disease activity were compared at enrollment and during 3-, 6-, and 12-month follow-up visits. RESULTS: A total of 11,564 patients were enrolled, 83.6% of whom were female. In all the enrolled patients and patients with early RA, C-reactive protein (CRP, 12.0 vs . 6.7 mg/L), pain visual analogue scale (4.8 vs . 4.5), patient's and physician's global assessment (4.9 vs . 4.5 and 4.9 vs . 4.5), 28-joint disease activity score using DAS28-CRP (4.3 vs . 4.0) simplified disease activity index (21.9 vs . 19.9), and clinical disease activity index (19.3 vs . 18.0) were significantly higher in men than in women. Additionally, the swollen joint count/tender joint count and DAS28 using erythrocyte sedimentation rate were higher in male patients than in female patients with early RA. More female patients with early RA reached the treatment target at baseline than male patients (23.4% vs . 18.2%, assessed by CDAI). At 3 months, 6 months, and 12 months, the proportion of remission and treatment target achievement was similar in both sexes. Coronary artery disease (CAD) and stroke were more frequent in men than in women. CONCLUSIONS: In Chinese patients with RA, men were found to have more active disease, as well as more cases of CAD and stroke. Therefore, sex should be carefully considered during the personalization of RA treatment.

China rheumatoid arthritis registry of patients with Chinese medicine (CERTAIN): Rationale, design, and baseline characteristics of the first 11,764 enrollees.

BACKGROUND: Chinese medicine (CM) has become a popular interventional treatment for rheumatoid arthritis (RA). However, limited knowledge about general characteristics and long-term clinical outcomes hampers the development of CM for RA. PURPOSE: The main objectives of the China Rheumatoid Arthritis Registry of Patients with Chinese Medicine (CERTAIN) were to describe the population of RA patients receiving CM treatment in multiple centers in China using different variables and compare these findings with internationally reported data. STUDY DESIGN: The CERTAIN is a prospective, multicenter, observational disease registry. METHODS: Adult RA patients who fulfilled the 2010 American College of Rheumatology/ European League Against Rheumatism classification criteria for RA and received CM treatment were recruited into the CERTAIN by rheumatologists from 145 hospitals across 30 provinces in China. Data on demographics, disease characteristics, comorbidities, treatments, and adverse events, with a 2-year follow-up, were collected and documented using a predefined protocol. RESULTS: In the 2 years since the study began in September 2019, 11,764 patients have been enrolled (enrolment is ongoing), and 13.10% of participants have completed the 6-month follow-up. We present the baseline characteristics of the first 11,764 enrollees. CONCLUSIONS: The CERTAIN is the first nationwide registry to document comprehensive data on CM treatment in patients with RA. The development of the CERTAIN resource is a significant step forward for Chinese RA patients, herbal medicine users, and research communities and will deepen our understanding of CM for RA. REGISTRATION: The study was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT05219214).

The Impact of Traditional Chinese Medicine QingreHuoxue Treatment and the Combination of Methotrexate and Hydroxychloroquine on the Radiological Progression of Active Rheumatoid Arthritis: A 52-Week Follow-Up of a Randomized Controlled Clinical Study.

Traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) has been used successfully to treat rheumatoid arthritis (RA). QingreHuoxue treatment (QingreHuoxue decoction [QRHXD]/QingreHuoxue external preparation [QRHXEP]) is a Chinese medicine treatment for RA. To date, very few studies have compared the long-term effects of QRHXD with those of conventional disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs on RA disease activity and radiological progression. QRHXD delayed the radiological progression and showed long-term clinical efficacy of RA. In clinical experiments, the clinical evidence of delaying the radiological progression of RA patients was obtained. A portion of the patients who participated in the "Traditional Chinese Medicine QingreHuoxue Treatment vs. the Combination of Methotrexate and Hydroxychloroquine for Active Rheumatoid Arthritis" study were followed up for 52 weeks, and intention-to-treat (ITT) and compliance protocol (PP) analyses were used to collect and compare the clinical indicators and imaging data between baseline and week 52. Two radiologists who were blind to treatment scored the images independently. Of the 468 subjects, 141 completed the 52-week follow-up. There were no significant differences among the three groups: the traditional Chinese medicine comprehensive treatment group, the Western medicine treatment group, and the integrated traditional Chinese and Western medicine treatment group. There were no differences in the total Sharp score, joint space stenosis score, and joint erosion score at baseline or 52 weeks. In the comparison of the estimated annual radiographic progression (EARP) and the actual annual Sharp total score changes among the three groups, the actual changes were much lower than the EARP at baseline. The radiological progress in all three groups was well controlled. Results of the ITT and PP data sets showed that the disease activity score 28 level of the three groups at 52 weeks was significantly lower than that at baseline. During the 52-week treatment period, the clearance of heat and promotion of blood circulation controlled disease activity and delayed the radiological progress of active RA.

Sirolimus versus tacrolimus for systemic lupus erythematosus treatment: results from a real-world CSTAR cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: The effectiveness and safety of sirolimus for SLE treatment have been shown in some uncontrolled studies. However, a comparison of sirolimus with other classic immunosuppressants has not been reported. We conducted the study to compare the effectiveness and safety of sirolimus versus tacrolimus for SLE treatment. METHODS: A real-world cohort study was conducted. Patients with clinically active SLE who were prescribed sirolimus or tacrolimus were enrolled. Propensity score matching was used to ensure equivalent disease conditions and background medications. SLE disease activity indices, serological parameters, steroid doses, modification of other immunosuppressants, renal effectiveness and adverse events were compared between the two groups at 3-month, 6-month, 9-month and 12-month follow-up visits. RESULTS: Data from 52 patients in each of the sirolimus and tacrolimus groups were analysed. Indices regarding the effectiveness of sirolimus, including Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Disease Activity Index 2000 (SLEDAI-2K) scores, physician's global assessment (PhGA) scores, and proportion of patients with SLEDAI-2K reduction of ≥4 and PhGA increase of <0.3, were equivalent to those of tacrolimus at all follow-up timepoints (all p≥0.05). Greater improvements in complement levels were observed in the sirolimus group at 3 and 6 months. Higher percentages of patients with prednisone doses ≤7.5 mg/day were observed in the sirolimus group at all timepoints. Seventeen adverse events in the sirolimus group were recorded. None was severe or led to drug discontinuation. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, sirolimus was as effective as tacrolimus in the treatment of SLE. Sirolimus had better effects on serological improvement and glucocorticoid tapering. Sirolimus was well tolerated in patients with SLE.

Myocardial involvement in idiopathic inflammatory myopathies: a multi-center cross-sectional study in the CRDC-MYO Registry.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to investigate the associated factors of myocardial involvements (MIs) in patients with idiopathic inflammatory myopathies (IIMs). METHODS: In this multi-center cross-sectional study, 1946 patients with IIMs were enrolled from Chinese Rheumatism Data Center-Myositis Registry (CRDC-MYO). A total of 108 (5.5%) patients were identified with MIs, including congestive heart failure (n = 67, 62.0%), and severe arrhythmias (n = 61, 56.5%). The other 1838 IIM patients without IMs were set as the control group. Clinical features were collected including age, gender, comorbidities, clinical symptoms, clinical signs of both IIMs and MIs, lab findings including myositis-specific antibodies (MSAs) and myositis-associated antibodies (MAAs), echocardiogram, and radiological exams. Multivariate logistic analysis was used to explore independent associated factors of MIs in patients with IIMs. RESULTS: Several independent associated factors were identified in multi-variate logistic regression, including positivity for anti-mitochondrial antibody-subtype 2 (AMA-M2) (OR 5.194, 95% CI 2.509-10.753, P < 0.001), elevation of creatine kinase (CK) (OR 2.611, 95% CI 1.312-5.198, P = 0.006), elevation of C-reactive protein (CRP) (OR 2.150, 95% CI 1.211-3.818, P = 0.001), and pulmonary hypertension (OR 4.165, 95% CI 1.765-9.882, P = 0.009). AMA-M2 and pulmonary hypertension were the most consistent associated factors in the polymyositis subgroup and the dermatomyositis/clinically amyopathic dermatomyositis subgroup. CONCLUSIONS: MIs are rare but serious complication of IIMs could lead to congestive heart failure and severe arrhythmias. IIM patients with AMA-M2 positivity, elevation of CK and CRP, and pulmonary hypertension are more likely to develop MI complications. Key Points • This study investigated the independent associated factors for clinically significant myocardial involvements among idiopathic inflammatory myopathies in a large-scale, nation-wide multi-center cross-sectional study.

Traditional Chinese Medicine Qingre Huoxue Treatment vs. the Combination of Methotrexate and Hydroxychloroquine for Active Rheumatoid Arthritis: A Multicenter, Double-Blind, Randomized Controlled Trial.

Traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) has been used successfully to treat rheumatoid arthritis (RA). Qingre Huoxue treatment (Qingre Huoxue decoction (QRHXD)/Qingre Huoxue external preparation (QRHXEP)) is a therapeutic scheme of TCM for RA. To date, there have been few studies comparing the efficacy and safety of QRHXD and conventional synthetic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (csDMARDs) for the treatment of active RA. This was investigated in a multicenter, double-blind, randomized controlled trial involving 468 Chinese patients with active RA [disease activity score (DAS)-28 > 3.2] treated with QRHXD/QRHXEP (TCM group), methotrexate plus hydroxychloroquine [Western medicine (WM) group], or both [integrative medicine (IM) group]. Patients were followed up for 24 weeks. The primary outcome measure was the change in DAS-28 from baseline to 24 weeks. The secondary outcome measures were treatment response rate according to American College of Rheumatology 20, 50, and 70% improvement criteria (ACR-20/50/70) and the rate of treatment-related adverse events (TRAEs). The trial was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT02551575). DAS-28 decreased in all three groups after treatment (p < 0.0001); the score was lowest in the TCM group (p < 0.05), while no difference was observed between the WM and IM groups (p > 0.05). At week 24, ACR-20 response was 73.04% with TCM, 80.17% with WM, and 73.95% with IM (based on the full analysis set [FAS], p > 0.05); ACR-50 responses were 40.87, 47.93, and 51.26%, respectively, (FAS, p > 0.05); and ACR-70 responses were 20.87, 22.31, and 25.21%, respectively, (FAS, p > 0.05). Thus, treatment efficacy was similar across groups based on ACR criteria. On the other hand, the rate of TRAEs was significantly lower in the TCM group compared to the other groups (p < 0.05). Thus, QRHXD/QRHXEP was effective in alleviating the symptoms of active RA-albeit to a lesser degree than csDMARDs-with fewer side effects. Importantly, combination with QRHXD enhanced the efficacy of csDMARDs. These results provide evidence that QRHXD can be used as an adjunct to csDMARDs for the management of RA, especially in patients who experience TRAEs with standard drugs. Clinical Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov, identifier NCTNCT025515.

Guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of osteoarthritis in China (2019 edition).

Osteoarthritis (OA) is a degenerative disease of middle-aged and elderly people, contributed a higher burden of disease in China and the world. In 2017, under the support of the Rheumatology and Immunology Expert Committee of the Cross-Strait Medical and Health Exchange Association. The objective was to develop an evidence-based diagnosis and treatment guideline for OA in China based on emerging new evidence. The guideline was registered at International Practice Guidelines Registry Platform (IPGRP-2018CN028). The grading of recommendations assessment, development and evaluation (GRADE) approach was used to rate the quality of evidence and the strength of recommendations, and the RIGHT (Reporting Items for Practice Guidelines in Healthcare) checklist was followed to report the guideline. The guideline provides recommendations for the OA diagnosis, disease risks monitoring and evaluate, treatment purpose and physical, medical and surgical interventions. This guideline is intended to serve as a tool for Chinese clinicians for the best decisions-making on diagnosis and treatment of OA.

Alteration of tumor-associated macrophage subtypes mediated by KRT6A in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is severely affecting the health and lives of patients. Clarifying the composition and regulatory factors of tumor immune microenvironment (TIME) is helpful for the treatment of PDAC. We analyzed the unique TIMEs and gene expression patterns between PDAC and adjacent normal tissue (ANT) using Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) to find new immunotherapy targets. The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) datasets were used to elucidate the possible mechanism of which tumor-associated macrophages (TAMs) changed in PDAC. We found that the composition of TAMs subtypes, including M0, M1, and M2, was different between PDAC and ANT, which was validated in recently published single-cell RNA-seq data. Many immune cells interacted with each other to affect the TIME. There were many DEGs enriched in some pathways that could potentially change the immune cell composition. KRT6A was found to be a DEG between PDAC and ANT that overlapped with DEGs between the M0-high group and the M0-low group in TCGA datasets, and it might alter and regulate TAMs via a collection of genes including COL5A2, COL1A2, MIR3606, SPARC, and COL6A3. TAMs, which could be a target of immunotherapy, might be influenced by genes through KRT6A and indicate an undesirable prognosis in PDAC.

Chinese registry of rheumatoid arthritis (CREDIT): III. The transition of disease activity during follow-ups and predictors of achieving treatment target.

AIM: The Chinese Registry of Rheumatoid Arthritis (CREDIT) is the first nationwide multi-center prospective rheumatoid arthritis (RA) registration cohort in China. This study aimed at presenting disease activities transition during follow-ups and identifying predictors to treatment response. METHOD: Patients who had baseline, 3- and 6-month follow-up data from November 2016 to April 2018 were recruited. Then, we selected patients who did not reach remission (REM)/low disease activity (LDA) at baseline to investigate the predictors for treatment response. RESULTS: There were 979 patients included (83.00% female, mean age 51.8 and median duration 3.84 years). REM/LDA rate at baseline, 3-, and 6-month follow-up were 34.02%, 59.35% and 68.23%. Additionally, early RA has more chance to achieve targets than established RA (6 months: 59.79% vs 48.13%, P = .002). High baseline Disease Activity Score of 28 joints (DAS28) (early RA: odds ratio [OR] 1.319, P = .019; established RA: OR 1.337, P < .001), biologic disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (bDMARD)/targeted synthetic DMARD combined conventional DMARD therapy (early RA: OR 9.023, P = .046) and prednisolone usage (early RA: OR 2.526, P < .001) are positively associated with Clinical Disease Assessment Index (CDAI) decreasing at 3 months. Low baseline DAS28 (REM/LDA: early RA: OR 0.650, P < .001; established RA: OR 0.612, P < .001. REM: early RA: OR 0.743, P = .021; established RA: OR 0.674, P < .001), young age (REM: early RA: OR 0.977, P = .048) and decrease of CDAI at 3 months (REM/LDA: early RA: OR 7.185, P < .001; established RA: OR 8.752, P < .001. REM: early RA: OR 5.602, P < .001; established RA: OR 4.955, P < .001) predict REM/LDA at 6 months. CONCLUSION: Disease activity decreased during follow-ups. Disease duration, baseline disease activity, age, treatment strategies, and CDAI decreasing were associated with treatment response.

Satisfaction of Patients and Physicians with Treatments for Rheumatoid Arthritis: A Population-Based Survey in China.

PURPOSE: Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is a systemic inflammatory disease characterized by chronic destructive synovitis and possible multisystem involvement. This study aimed to survey the treatment satisfaction of physicians and patients with RA, and to explore the potential factors. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This cross-sectional study was conducted in 12 centers across China between March 2018 and April 2018. The Treatment Satisfaction Questionnaire for Medication version II was used to assess the treatment satisfaction of patients and physicians. Multivariable regression analysis was used to determine the factors independently associated with treatment satisfaction of patients. RESULTS: The patients' satisfaction (n=335) with biological disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (bDMARDs) was higher than physicians' satisfaction (n=146) regarding the side effects (95.0±14.3 vs 84.6±15.7, P<0.001) and convenience (74.6±21.2 vs 69.1±16.5, P=0.002). Among physicians, global satisfaction with bDMARDs was higher than that with conventional synthetic DMARDs (csDMARDs). The multivariable regression analysis showed that age was positively associated with satisfaction of patients, while college or above education and self-assessment of disease severity were inversely associated with satisfaction. Treatment satisfaction was associated positively with the quality of communication with the physician and inversely with treatment costs. CONCLUSION: For bDMARDs, the treatment satisfaction of patients with RA is generally higher than that of physicians'. Physicians' satisfaction with bDMARDs is higher than with csDMARDs. Age, education, disease severity, communication with the physician, and treatment costs are independently associated with the treatment satisfaction among patients. Physician-patient communication should be improved in clinical practice. Treatment costs should be taken into account when physicians make decisions.

Treatment satisfaction with rheumatoid arthritis in patients with different disease severity and financial burden: A subgroup analysis of a nationwide survey in China.

BACKGROUND: Despite the recent advances in treatments for rheumatoid arthritis (RA), there are still unmet needs in disease outcomes. This study aimed to analyze the satisfaction with drug therapies for RA according to the levels of disease severity (patient-assessed) and proportions of treatment cost to household income. METHODS: This was a subgroup study of a cross-sectional study in patients with RA and their physicians. The patients were subdivided into different subgroups based on their self-assessed severity of RA and on the proportions of treatment cost to household income (<10%, 10-30%, 31-50%, and >50%). The Treatment Satisfaction Questionnaire for Medication version II was used to assess patients' treatment satisfaction. RESULTS: When considering all medications, effectiveness, convenience, and global satisfaction scores were lower in the severe and moderate RA subgroups than those in the mild and extremely mild RA subgroups (all P < 0.001). Effectiveness, side effects, and convenience scores were higher in the <10% subgroup compared to those in the >50% subgroup (all P < 0.05). Global satisfaction score was higher in the <10% subgroup than that in the 31% to 50% subgroup (F = 13.183, P = 0.004). For biological disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs, effectiveness and convenience scores were lower in the severe RA subgroup than those in the extremely mild RA subgroup (both P < 0.05). Convenience score was higher in the <10% subgroup compared to that in the 31% to 50% and >50% subgroups (F = 12.646, P = 0.005). Global satisfaction score was higher in the <10% subgroup than that in the 31% to 50% subgroup (F = 8.794, P = 0.032). CONCLUSION: Higher disease severity and higher financial burden were associated with lower patient satisfaction.

Clinical Practice Guideline for Tripterygium Glycosides/Tripterygium wilfordii Tablets in the Treatment of Rheumatoid Arthritis.

Tripterygium wilfordii Hook F (TwHF) is one of the most commonly used and effective traditional Chinese herbal medicines against rheumatoid arthritis (RA). Both Tripterygium Glycoside Tablets (TGT) and Tripterygium wilfordii Tablets (TWT) are the representative TwHF-based agents enrolled into the 2019 edition of Medicine Catalog for National Basic Medical Insurance, Injury Insurance, and Maternity Insurance. However, individual differences in TGT/TWT response across patients usually exist in the process of treating RA, implying that the clinical application of the two agents may not be standardized leading to the ineffective treatment and the risk of side effects. Growing evidence show that the bioactive constituents of TwHF may often have toxicity, the package insert of TGT and TWT may not be described in detail, and the therapeutic windows of the two agents are narrow. Thus, it is an urgent task to develop a standardized clinical practice guideline for TGT and TWT in the treatment of RA. In the current study, a group of clinical experts of traditional Chinese medicine and Western medicine in the research field of rheumatism diseases, pharmacists, and methodologists of evidence-based medicine were invited to select the clinical questions, to determine the levels of the evidence and the strength of the recommendations, and to develop the recommendations and good practice points. The guideline is formed based on the combination of clinical research evidence and expert experience (evidence-based, consensus, supplemented by experience). The clinical problems which are supported by clinical evidence may form recommendations, and the clinical problems without clinical evidence may form experts' suggestions. Both recommendations and experts' suggestions in this guideline summarized the clinical indications, usage, dosage, combined medication, and safety of TGT and TWT against RA systematically and comprehensively, which may offer a professional guidance in the context of the clinical application of the two TwHF-based agents.

Validation of new classification criteria of rheumatoid arthritis in an international multicentre study.

OBJECTIVES: Early identification of patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is essential to allow prompt therapy. In this study, we aimed to evaluate the performance of the newly proposed ERA criteria, compared to the 1987 ACR and 2010 ACR/EULAR criteria in an international multicentre study. METHODS: A total of 606 patients with disease duration ≤2 years and age ≥16 years who were diagnosed as RA or non-RA were enrolled from China, Sweden and India. The clinical and laboratory parameters were recorded. We compared the sensitivity, specificity, predictive value, likelihood ratio (LR), and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) of three criteria in these cohorts. Concordance between the three criteria was calculated with the Kappa coefficient. RESULTS: Three hundred and twelve RA and 294 non-RA patients were included. The Early Rheumatoid Arthritis (ERA) criteria had significantly higher specificity compared to the 2010 ACR/ EULAR criteria (83.7% vs. 78.2%, p=0.02) and sensitivity were similar (79.2% vs. 78.5%, p=0.883). In comparison with the 1987 ACR criteria, the ERA criteria had higher sensitivity (79.2% vs. 54.5%, p<0.001) but lower specificity (83.7% vs. 89.1%, p<0.001), and the AUC of the ERA criteria (0.878) was comparable to the 2010 ACR/EULAR criteria (0.849) and higher than the 1987 ACR criteria (0.791, p<0.0001). Patients from the three countries, seronegative and very early arthritis cohorts yielded consistent results. CONCLUSIONS: The ERA criteria demonstrate a better performance across ethnics in early RA diagnosis, and is more feasible in daily practice.

Anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide antibody predicts the development of rheumatoid arthritis in patients with undifferentiated arthritis.

BACKGROUND: Clinical outcomes of undifferentiated arthritis (UA) are diverse, and only 40% of patients with UA develop rheumatoid arthritis (RA) after 3 years. Discovering predictive markers at disease onset for further intervention is critical. Therefore, our objective was to analyze the clinical outcomes of UA and ascertain the predictors for RA development. METHODS: We performed a prospective, multi-center study from January 2013 to October 2016 among Chinese patients diagnosed with UA in 22 tertiary-care hospitals. Clinical and serological parameters were obtained at recruitment. Follow-up was undertaken in all patients every 12 weeks for 2 years. Predictive factors of disease progression were identified using multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression. RESULTS: A total of 234 patients were recruited in this study, and 17 (7.3%) patients failed to follow up during the study. Among the 217 patients who completed the study, 83 (38.2%) patients went into remission. UA patients who developed RA had a higher rheumatoid factor (RF)-positivity (42.9% vs. 16.8%, χ = 8.228, P = 0.008), anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide (CCP) antibody-positivity (66.7% vs. 10.7%, χ = 43.897, P < 0.001), and double-positivity rate of RF and anti-CCP antibody (38.1% vs. 4.1%, χ = 32.131, P < 0.001) than those who did not. Anti-CCP antibody but not RF was an independent predictor for RA development (hazard ratio 18.017, 95% confidence interval: 5.803-55.938; P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: As an independent predictor of RA, anti-CCP antibody should be tested at disease onset in all patients with UA.

Correlation of Polymorphisms of Natural Resistance-Associated Macrophage Protein 1 (NRAMP1) Gene and Smoking with the Risk of Rheumatoid Arthritis in Chinese Han People.

BACKGROUND In this study we report on the possible connection between single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in natural resistance-associated macrophage protein 1 (NRAMP1) gene and the risk of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) in the Chinese Han population. MATERIAL AND METHODS A total of 248 participants consisting of 116 RA cases and 132 healthy individuals were recruited for the current study. Genotyping for NRAMP1 gene polymorphisms was implemented using polymerase chain reaction-restriction fragment length polymorphism (PCR-RFLP). The chi-square test was used to detect discrepancies in genotype and allele frequencies between the RA case group and the control group. Odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) was used to evaluate relative risk of RA. The results were adjusted by logistic regression analysis. RESULTS The TT genotype and T allele in rs17221959 showed dramatically different distribution between RA cases and healthy controls. After adjustment, TT genotype (OR=0.338, 95%CI=0.278-1.214, P=0.028) and T allele (OR=0.608, 95%CI=0.298-0.956, P=0.005) showed close association with reduced risk of RA. For rs1059823, no obvious diversity was uncovered in either genotype or allele distribution between the 2 groups. Interaction analysis showed that smoking decreased the protective function of TT in rs17221959. CONCLUSIONS This study suggested that the TT genotype and T allele in rs17221959 decreased RA risk. Smoking could decrease the protective effect of TT.

Associations between IL-23R gene polymorphisms and the susceptibility of rheumatoid arthritis: a meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: This meta-analysis was aimed to verify the influences of interleukin 23 receptor (IL-23R) rs11209026 and rs2201841 polymorphisms on the susceptibility of rheumatoid arthritis (RA). METHODS: We searched potentially relevant studies on the relationships of IL-23R gene rs11209026 and rs2201841 polymorphisms with RA susceptibility from PubMed (Medline), CNKI and EMBASE web databases. Crude odds ratios (ORs) along with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) were calculated to assess the strength of association through the fixed- or random-effects model. RESULTS: Eight published articles containing 5544 RA patients and 5532 health individuals were included in our meta-analysis. In total analysis, we found IL-23R gene rs11209026 polymorphism was not related to RA susceptibility in all genetic models, but there was a significant association between rs2201841 polymorphism and RA susceptibility under G vs. A model. In stratified analysis by ethnicity, an increased RA susceptibility was detected for rs2201841 polymorphism in Caucasian group. CONCLUSION: The results of meta-analysis indicated that IL-23R gene rs2201841 polymorphism might be a susceptible factor for RA under G vs. A model, especially in Caucasian population.