Prediction of clinical outcomes in women with placenta accreta spectrum using machine learning models: an international multicenter study.

INTRODUCTION: Placenta accreta spectrum is a major obstetric disorder that is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. The objective of this study is to establish a prediction model of clinical outcomes in these women. MATERIALS AND METHODS: PAS-ID is an international multicenter study that comprises 11 centers from 9 countries. Women who were diagnosed with PAS and were managed in the recruiting centers between 1 January 2010 and 31 December 2019 were included. Data were reanalyzed using machine learning (ML) models, and 2 models were created to predict outcomes using antepartum and perioperative features. ML model was conducted using python® programing language. The primary outcome was massive PAS-associated perioperative blood loss (intraoperative blood loss ≥2500 ml, triggering massive transfusion protocol, or complicated by disseminated intravascular coagulopathy). Other outcomes include prolonged hospitalization >7 days and admission to the intensive care unit (ICU). RESULTS: 727 women with PAS were included. The area under curve (AUC) for ML antepartum prediction model was 0.84, 0.81, and 0.82 for massive blood loss, prolonged hospitalization, and admission to ICU, respectively. Significant contributors to this model were parity, placental site, method of diagnosis, and antepartum hemoglobin. Combining baseline and perioperative variables, the ML model performed at 0.86, 0.90, and 0.86 for study outcomes, respectively. Ethnicity, pelvic invasion, and uterine incision were the most predictive factors in this model. DISCUSSION: ML models can be used to calculate the individualized risk of morbidity in women with PAS. Model-based risk assessment facilitates a priori delineation of management.

Prediction of success of uterus-preserving management in women with placenta accreta spectrum (CON-PAS score): A multicenter international study.

OBJECTIVE: To create a model for prediction of success of uterine-preserving procedures in women with placenta accreta spectrum (PAS). METHODS: PAS-ID is a multicenter study that included 11 centers from 9 countries. Women with PAS, who were managed between January 1, 2010 and December 31, 2019, were retrospectively included. Data were split into model development and validation cohorts, and a prediction model was created using logistic regression. Main outcome was success of uterine preservation. RESULTS: Out of 797 women with PAS, 587 were eligible. Uterus-preserving procedures were successful in 469 patients (79.9%). Number of previous cesarean sections (CS) was inversely associated with management success (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 0.02, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.001-3.63 with five previous CS). Other variables were complete placental invasion (aOR 0.14, 95% CI 0.05-0.43), type of CS incision (aOR 0.04, 95% CI 0.01-0.25 for classical incision), compression sutures (aOR 2.48, 95% CI 1.00-6.16), accreta type (aOR 3.76, 95% CI 1.13-12.53), incising away from placenta (aOR 5.09, 95% CI 1.52-16.97), and uterine resection (aOR 102.57, 95% CI 3.97-2652.74). CONCLUSION: The present study provides a prediction model for success of uterine preservation, which may assist preoperative and intraoperative decisions, and promote incorporation of uterine preservation procedures in comprehensive PAS protocols.

Abdominal delivery in the intact amniotic sac in twin pregnancy.

OBJECTIVE: There has been an increasing trend for Caesarean deliveries in twin pregnancies over the last decades; preferred mode of delivery is still unclear. The article presents the mode of twin delivery within intact amniotic sac. METHODS: The intrapartum courses in 70 matched twin pairs extracted by Caesarean section were analysed. Neonates were distributed to two groups - main (delivered "en caul") and control (delivered by conventional Caesarean section) groups, and subdivided according to gestational age at the time of delivery: 28-30 weeks, 31-33 weeks and 34-37 weeks. Neonates delivered first and second were matched by pairs. RESULTS: The duration of Caesarean section was higher in the main group (delivered "en caul"). Apgar score at 5-th min depend on the gestational age at birth and was higher in main group. Mechanical ventilation term and length of hospital stay were lower in main group. Postnatal neurological examination showed lower incidence of brain damage in the main group. During the first year of life, neonates extracted within intact amniotic sac showed lower morbidity rate. This was correct also for pairs of neonates matched by delivery order. CONCLUSIONS: Presented method improves neonates' Apgar score, reduces the need for resuscitation and influence of intrapartum negative factors. The length of hospital stay and hospitalisation rate for the first year of life were also lower in neonates delivered "en caul", providing an economical benefit.

Contrasting effects of P2 receptor agonists on spontaneous contractility of human fallopian tubes with and without acute inflammation.

Two groups of women were used to compare effects of P2 receptor agonists on the contractile activity of isolated human fallopian tubes with and without acute purulent inflammation. A control group included women with uterine tubes without inflammation (n=15). A study group included women, operated for unsuccessful conservative anti-inflammatory treatment of acute purulent tuboovarial formations (group with acute purulent salpingitis, n=16). Division into two groups was done according to pathohistological diagnosis. Spontaneous contractions of the isolated tubes were registered isometrically with electromechanical transducer before and after incubation of the tissues with agonists of P2 receptors-ATP, UTP, 2-methylthio-ATP and alpha,beta-methylene-ATP. In the control group neither of the agonists produced any significant effect on fallopian tube contractility. In the study group, ATP, 2-methylthio-ATP and alpha,beta-methylene-ATP significantly increased the spontaneous contractility of isolated tubes. It is suggested that higher activity of P2 receptor agonists in the uterine tubes with acute purulent inflammation is due to expression of several subtypes of P2 receptors during inflammation.