Development and validation of a score predicting mortality for older patients with mitral regurgitation.

OBJECTIVE: To develop and validate a user-friendly risk score for older mitral regurgitation (MR) patients, referred to as the Elder-MR score. METHODS: The China Senile Valvular Heart Disease (China-DVD) Cohort Study functioned as the development cohort, while the China Valvular Heart Disease (China-VHD) Study was employed for external validation. We included patients aged 60 years and above receiving medical treatment for moderate or severe MR (2274 patients in the development cohort and 1929 patients in the validation cohort). Candidate predictors were chosen using Cox's proportional hazards model and stepwise selection with Akaike's information criterion. RESULTS: Eight predictors were identified: age ≥ 75 years, body mass index < 20 kg/m2, NYHA class III/IV, secondary MR, anemia, estimated glomerular filtration rate < 60 mL/min per 1.73 m2, albumin < 35 g/L, and left ventricular ejection fraction < 60%. The model displayed satisfactory performance in predicting one-year mortality in both the development cohort (C-statistic = 0.73, 95% CI: 0.69-0.77, Brier score = 0.06) and the validation cohort (C-statistic = 0.73, 95% CI: 0.68-0.78, Brier score = 0.06). The Elder-MR score ranges from 0 to 15 points. At a one-year follow-up, each point increase in the Elder-MR score represents a 1.27-fold risk of death (HR = 1.27, 95% CI: 1.21-1.34, P < 0.001) in the development cohort and a 1.24-fold risk of death (HR = 1.24, 95% CI: 1.17-1.30, P < 0.001) in the validation cohort. Compared to EuroSCORE II, the Elder-MR score demonstrated superior predictive accuracy for one-year mortality in the validation cohort (C-statistic = 0.71 vs. 0.70, net reclassification improvement = 0.320, P < 0.01; integrated discrimination improvement = 0.029, P < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: The Elder-MR score may serve as an effective risk stratification tool to assist clinical decision-making in older MR patients.

Can Measuring the 'Dual Anchors of Aorta' Enhance the Success Rate of TAVR?-A Single-Center Experience.

INTRODUCTION: Chronic severe aortic regurgitation (AR) has a poor long-term prognosis, especially among old-age patients. Considering their advancing age, the surgical approach of aortic valve replacement may not always be the best alternative modality of treatment in such patients. Therefore, this study's primary goal was to provide an initial summary of the medium- and short-term clinical effectiveness of transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) guided by accurate multi-detector computed tomography (MDCT) measurements in patients with severe and chronic AR, especially in elderly patients. METHODS: The study enrolled retrospectively and prospectively patients diagnosed with severe AR who eventually underwent TAVR procedure from January 2019 to September 2022 at Fuwai cardiovascular Hospital, Beijing. Baseline information, MDCT measurements, anatomical classification, perioperative, and 1-year follow-up outcomes were collected and analyzed. Based on a novel anatomical categorization and dual anchoring theory, patients were divided into four categories according to the level of anchoring area. Type 1, 2, and 3 patients (with at least two anchoring regions) will receive TAVR with a transcatheter heart valve (THV), but Type 4 patients (with zero or one anchoring location) will be deemed unsuitable for TAVR and will instead receive medical care (retrospectively enrolled patients who already underwent TAVR are an exception). RESULTS: The mean age of the 37 patients with severe chronic AR was 73.1 ± 8.7 years, and 23 patients (62.2%) were male. The American Association of Thoracic Surgeons' score was 8.6 ± 2.1%. The MDCT anatomical classification included 17 cases of type 1 (45.9%), 3 cases of type 2 (8.1%), 13 cases of type 3 (35.1%), and 4 cases of Type 4 (10.8%). The VitaFlow valve (MicroPort, Shanghai, China) was implanted in 19 patients (51.3%), while the Venus A valve (Venus MedTech, Hangzhou, China) was implanted in 18 patients (48.6%). Immediate TAVR procedural and device success rates were 86.5% and 67.6%, respectively, while eight cases (21.6%) required THV-in-THV implantation, and nine cases (24.3%) required permanent pacemaker implantation. Univariate regression analysis revealed that the major factors affecting TAVR device failure were sinotubular junction diameter, THV type, and MDCT anatomical classification (p < 0.05). Compared with the baseline, the left ventricular ejection fraction gradually increased, while the left ventricular end-diastolic diameter remained small, and the N-terminal-pro hormone B-type natriuretic peptide level significantly decreased within one year. CONCLUSION: According to the results of our study, TAVR with a self-expanding THV is safe and feasible for patients with chronic severe AR, particularly for those who meet the criteria for the appropriate MDCT anatomical classification with intact dual aortic anchors, and it has a significant clinical effect for at least a year.

Holistic review and meta-analysis of independent impact of the residual SYNTAX score on prognosis in patients with acute coronary syndrome.

Objectives. The appropriate extent of revascularization following primary intervention is unknown. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of residual Syntax score (rSS) to predict the outcomes and provide guide to optimal management of revascularization following primary intervention. Designs. Previously published studies from 2007 to 2020 assessing the prognostic impact of rSS after ACS were included for this meta-analysis. The primary endpoint was defined as the major adverse clinical events (MACE) in multivariable analysis. The risk ratios (RRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated using the RevMan 5.4 software. Results. A total of 8,157 participants complicated with ACS from 12 clinical studies were included in this analysis. Based on the wide range of rSS studies available, we classified it into two major groups: rSS < 8 and rSS ≥ 8. In multivariate analysis, the rSS was an independent risk marker for MACE [RR = 1.04 (95%CI; 1.00-1.08)], all-cause mortality [RR = 1.05 (1.03-1.07)] and cardiovascular death [RR = 1.05 (1.03-1.07)]. Patients with incomplete revascularization (ICR) showed higher prevalence of MACE along with all-cause mortality, cardiovascular morality, and recurrent myocardial infarction without significant heterogeneity [RR = 1.60 (1.03-1.07), 2.30 (1.57-3.38), 3.57 (2.09-6.10) and 1.70 (1.38-2.09), respectively]. The patients with rSS ≥ 8 presented higher frequency of all-cause mortality [RR = 2.99 (2.18-4.09)], cardiovascular death [RR = 3.32 (2.22-4.95)], and recurrent myocardial infarction [RR = 1.64 (1.34-2.02)]. Conclusion. The meta-analysis indicated that an rSS value of 8 could be a reasonable cut-off for incomplete revascularization after ACS and is an efficient tool to guide revascularization. In future, detailed research should focus on investigation of the optimal value of the rSS score.

The Impact of Cardiac Dysfunction Based on Killip Classification on Gastrointestinal Bleeding in Acute Myocardial Infarction.

Background: Owing to limited data, the effect of cardiac dysfunction categorized according to the Killip classification on gastrointestinal bleeding (GIB) in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is unclear. The present study aimed to investigate the impact of cardiac dysfunction on GIB in patients with AMI and to determine if patients in the higher Killip classes are more prone to it. Methods: This retrospective study was comprised of patients with AMI who were admitted to the cardiac intensive care unit in the Heart Center of the Beijing Chaoyang Hospital between December 2010 and June 2019. The in-hospital clinical data of the patients were collected. Both GIB and cardiac function, according to the Killip classification system, were confirmed using the discharge diagnosis of the International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision coding system. Univariate and multivariate conditional logistic regression models were constructed to test the association between GIB and the four Killip cardiac function classes. Results: In total, 6,458 patients with AMI were analyzed, and GIB was diagnosed in 131 patients (2.03%). The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the risk of GIB was significantly correlated with the cardiac dysfunction [compared with the Killip class 1, Killip class 2's odds ratio (OR) = 1.15, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.73-1.08; Killip class 3's OR = 2.63, 95% CI: 1.44-4.81; and Killip class 4's OR = 4.33, 95% CI: 2.34-8.06]. Conclusion: This study demonstrates that the degree of cardiac dysfunction in patients with acute myocardial infarction is closely linked with GIB. The higher Killip classes are associated with an increased risk of developing GIB.