Multi-objective optimization of coal-fired power units considering deep peaking regulation in China.

China states to build new power system dominated by new energy power to promote the targets for peaking carbon emissions by 2030 and achieve carbon neutrality by 2060. Peaking regulation ancillary services provided by coal-fired power units is an essential solution to mitigate the volatility and instability of large-scale renewable energy for China's specific power mix. However, when the coal-fired power units operate at a low power output, the intensity of both coal consumption and carbon emissions gradually rises with the falling output rate. Moreover, cutting down the power output of coal-fired units frequently will damage the technical life. Given the impacts of power market reform and carbon mitigation targets, whether to participate in the energy market or the peaking regulation ancillary service market is an urgent issue for coal-fired power units. Considering the discrepancy in costs and benefits of various units at different output rate, this paper proposes a multi-objective optimization model to solve the issue from the perspective of the coal-fired power generators, in which both economic profit and carbon reduction goals are coordinated. Sequential quadratic programming is adopted to solve the nonlinear optimization problem. In order to study the difference in the decisions made by varied technical units, 7 different types of units are analyzed in the case study. The scenarios analysis indicates that large-capacity and new coal-fired power units are better to participate in energy market since it can give full play to the advantage of higher generation efficiency, while the small-capacity ones are suitable to provide flexible service in the peaking regulation ancillary service market. Besides, simple low-carbon objective will burden the cost of coal-fired power units and challenge the sustainable transition of power system. Hence, the power system should balance both economic profit of generators and national carbon mitigation targets during the low-carbon transition.

Spillover Network Features from the Industry Chain View in Multi-Time Scales.

Financial stocks in the industry chain interact notably because of close economic and technical relationships. Some participants pay particular attention to one industry chain and are concerned with different investment horizons. The motivation for this study is to offer more targeted information to various market participants who focus on different time scales in one industry chain from a systematic perspective by combining the GARCH-BEKK, heterogeneous network, and wavelet analysis methods. The findings are as follows: (1) For parties who prefer to take more risks to gain higher returns, scale 2 (4-8 days) is a good option, while long-term investment (32-128 days) is suitable for conservative investors. (2) In most cases, some links in the industry chain are particularly sensitive to changes in stocks in other links. (3) The influence, sensitivity, and intermediary of stocks in the industry chain on different time scales were explored, and participants could use the resulting information to monitor the market or select stocks. (4) The structures, key players, and industry chain attributes of the main transmission paths differ on multi-time scales. Risk transmission can be controlled by intercepting important spillover relations within the paths.

Power to gas: an option for 2060 high penetration rate of renewable energy scenario of China.

Replacing conventional fossil fuel power plants with large-scale renewable energy sources (RES) is a crucial aspect of the decarbonization of the power sector and represents a key part of the carbon-neutral strategy of China. The high penetration rate of renewable energy in the electricity system, however, implies the challenges of dealing with the intermittency and fluctuation of RES. Power to gas (P2G), which can convert surplus renewable power into a chemical form of energy (i.e., synthetic gas), can help handle this challenge and supply new energy carriers for various energy sectors. By modeling three potential 2060 energy mix scenarios in China, this paper aims to describe the possible contribution of the high penetration rate of renewable energy combined with P2G in the future sustainable energy system. Different schemes are listed and compared, and the results are used in a basic economic evaluation of the synthetic gas production cost for the P2G plants. Ideally, nearly 18 million tons of carbon dioxide would be recycled and transformed into methane (around 9.37 km3) annually in China. Considering a zero price for the excess renewable power and future costs of the components, the levelized cost of energy (LCOE) of the final production of methane is estimated at 0.86 $/m3SNG.

Dynamic heteroscedasticity of time series interpreted as complex networks.

Heteroscedasticity of time series is an important issue addressed in relation to the nonlinearity and complexity of time series. Previous studies have focused on time series heteroscedasticity during a long-term period but have rarely analyzed it from a nonlinear dynamic perspective. This paper proposes a new model for converting a time series into a complex network. Our proposed model can examine not only the heteroscedasticity of a short-term series but also the dynamic evolution process of this heteroscedasticity. Using four typical crude oil time series as sample data, we construct four networks. A network node denotes the types of fluctuation patterns corresponding to the symbolization of the heteroscedastic features of a short-term fluctuation series based on the autoregressive generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity model, and a weighted edge represents the evolution direction and frequency between two patterns. Our findings show that the choice of the length of a short-term period depends on the diversity of these patterns. The identification of the nodes with greater out-strength or greater betweenness centrality can help us to understand the different roles of fluctuation patterns in the evolution process. We propose a method for predicting the most probable target nodes from a source node. The analysis of clustering effects can help in detecting the fluctuation patterns between different clusters. This paper investigates the evolution dynamic mechanism of the heteroscedastic features of a short-term time series, which can help researchers and investors deeply understand the dynamic process of time series.