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1.
PLoS One ; 15(12): e0240039, 2020.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33284845

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To develop a tool for estimating the 10-year risk of death from other causes in men with localized prostate cancer. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: We identified 2,425 patients from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results-Medicare Health Outcomes Survey database, age <80, newly diagnosed with clinical stage T1-T3a prostate cancer from 1/1/1998-12/31/2009, with follow-up through 2/28/2013. We developed a Fine and Gray competing-risks model for 10-year other cause mortality considering age, patient-reported comorbid medical conditions, component scores and items of the SF-36 Health Survey, activities of daily living, and sociodemographic characteristics. Model discrimination and calibration were compared to predictions from Social Security life table mortality risk estimates. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 7.7 years, 76 men died of prostate-specific causes and 465 died of other causes. The strongest predictors of 10-year other cause mortality risk included increasing age at diagnosis, higher approximated Charlson Comorbidity Index score, worse patient-reported general health (fair or poor vs. excellent-good), smoking at diagnosis, and marital status (all other vs. married) (all p<0.05). Model discrimination improved over Social Security life tables (c-index of 0.70 vs. 0.59, respectively). Predictions were more accurate than predictions from the Social Security life tables, which overestimated risk in our population. CONCLUSIONS: We provide a tool for estimating the 10-year risk of dying from other causes when making decisions about treating prostate cancer using pre-treatment patient-reported characteristics.


Assuntos
Causas de Morte , Modelos Estatísticos , Neoplasias da Próstata/epidemiologia , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Comorbidade , Seguimentos , Inquéritos Epidemiológicos/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Tábuas de Vida , Masculino , Estado Civil/estatística & dados numéricos , Estadiamento de Neoplasias , Neoplasias da Próstata/patologia , Medição de Risco/métodos , Fatores de Risco , Programa de SEER/estatística & dados numéricos , Autorrelato/estatística & dados numéricos , Fumar/epidemiologia , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
2.
Int J Aging Res ; 2(1)2019.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34485914

RESUMO

Elderly falls are a healthcare epidemic. We aimed to identify risk factors of serious falls by linking data on functional status from the Global Longitudinal Study of Osteoporosis in Women (GLOW) and our institutional trauma registry. 124 of 5,091 local women enrolled in GLOW were evaluated by our trauma team for injuries related to a fall during the study period. Median injury severity score was 9. The most common injuries were intertrochanteric femur fracture (n = 25, 9.8%) and skin contusion/hematoma to face (n = 12, 4.7%). Injured women were older than the uninjured cohort (median 80 versus 68 years), more likely to have cardiovascular disease and osteoarthritis, and less likely to have high cholesterol. Prospectively collected Short Form 36 (SF-36) baseline activity status revealed greater limitation in all assessed activities in women evaluated for fall-related injuries in our trauma center. In multivariable analysis, age (per 10 year increase) and two or more self-reported falls in the baseline survey were the strongest predictors of falling (both HR 2.4, p <0.0001 and p<0.001 respectively), followed by history of osteoarthritis (HR 1.6, p= 0.01). Functional status was no longer associated with risk of fall when adjusting for these factors. Functional status appears to be a surrogate marker for frailty. With the aging of the US population and long lifespan of American women, this finding has important implications for both fall prevention strategies and research intended to better understand why aging women fall as burdensome validated metrics may not be the best indicators of fall risk.

3.
Clin Transl Radiat Oncol ; 4: 15-23, 2017 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29594203

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Radiation therapy is crucial to effective cancer treatment. Modern treatment strategies have reduced possible skin injury, but few clinical studies have addressed the dose relationship between radiation exposure and skin reaction. This prospective clinical study analyzes skin oxygenation/perfusion in patients undergoing fractionated breast conserving therapy via hyperspectral imaging (HSI). METHODS: Forty-three women undergoing breast conserving therapy were enrolled in this study. Optically stimulated luminescent dosimeters (OSLDs) measured radiation exposure in four sites: treatment breast, lumpectomy scar, medial tattoo and the control breast. The oxygenation/perfusion states of these sites were prospectively imaged before and after each treatment fraction with HSI. Visual skin reactions were classified according to the RTOG system. RESULTS: 2753 observations were obtained and indicated a dose-response relationship between radiation exposure and oxygenated hemoglobin (OxyHb) after a 600 cGy cumulative dose threshold. There was a relatively weak association between DeoxyHb and radiation exposure. Results suggest strong correlations between changes in mean OxyHb and skin reaction as well as between radiation exposure and changes in skin reaction. CONCLUSION: HSI demonstrates promise in the assessment of skin dose as well as an objective measure of skin reaction. The ability to easily identify adverse skin reactions and to modify the treatment plan may circumvent the need for detrimental treatment breaks.

4.
Am J Cardiol ; 118(8): 1105-1110, 2016 Oct 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27561191

RESUMO

The GRACE Risk Score is a well-validated tool for estimating short- and long-term risk in acute coronary syndrome (ACS). GRACE Risk Score 2.0 substitutes several variables that may be unavailable to clinicians and, thus, limit use of the GRACE Risk Score. GRACE Risk Score 2.0 performed well in the original GRACE cohort. We sought to validate its performance in a contemporary multiracial ACS cohort, in particular in black patients with ACS. We evaluated the performance of the GRACE Risk Score 2.0 simplified algorithm for predicting 1-year mortality in 2,131 participants in Transitions, Risks, and Actions in Coronary Events Center for Outcomes Research and Education (TRACE-CORE), a multiracial cohort of patients discharged alive after an ACS in 2011 to 2013 from 6 hospitals in Massachusetts and Georgia. The median age of study participants was 61 years, 67% were men, and 16% were black. Half (51%) of the patients experienced a non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) and 18% STEMI. Eighty patients (3.8%) died within 12 months of discharge. The GRACE Risk Score 2.0 simplified algorithm demonstrated excellent model discrimination for predicting 1-year mortality after hospital discharge in the TRACE-CORE cohort (c-index = 0.77). The c-index was 0.94 in patients with STEMI, 0.78 in those with NSTEMI, and 0.87 in black patients with ACS. In conclusion, the GRACE Risk Score 2.0 simplified algorithm for predicting 1-year mortality exhibited excellent model discrimination across the spectrum of ACS types and racial/ethnic subgroups and, thus, may be a helpful tool to guide routine clinical care for patients with ACS.


Assuntos
Síndrome Coronariana Aguda , Algoritmos , Negro ou Afro-Americano/estatística & dados numéricos , Mortalidade , Infarto do Miocárdio sem Supradesnível do Segmento ST , Infarto do Miocárdio com Supradesnível do Segmento ST , População Branca/estatística & dados numéricos , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Pressão Sanguínea , Estudos de Coortes , Creatinina/sangue , Diuréticos/uso terapêutico , Feminino , Georgia , Parada Cardíaca/epidemiologia , Frequência Cardíaca , Hospitalização , Humanos , Masculino , Massachusetts , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Estudos Prospectivos , Medição de Risco
5.
J Vasc Surg ; 64(2): 465-470, 2016 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27146792

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Vascular surgery procedural reimbursement depends on accurate procedural coding and documentation. Despite the critical importance of correct coding, there has been a paucity of research focused on the effect of direct physician involvement. We hypothesize that direct physician involvement in procedural coding will lead to improved coding accuracy, increased work relative value unit (wRVU) assignment, and increased physician reimbursement. METHODS: This prospective observational cohort study evaluated procedural coding accuracy of fistulograms at an academic medical institution (January-June 2014). All fistulograms were coded by institutional coders (traditional coding) and by a single vascular surgeon whose codes were verified by two institution coders (multidisciplinary coding). The coding methods were compared, and differences were translated into revenue and wRVUs using the Medicare Physician Fee Schedule. Comparison between traditional and multidisciplinary coding was performed for three discrete study periods: baseline (period 1), after a coding education session for physicians and coders (period 2), and after a coding education session with implementation of an operative dictation template (period 3). The accuracy of surgeon operative dictations during each study period was also assessed. An external validation at a second academic institution was performed during period 1 to assess and compare coding accuracy. RESULTS: During period 1, traditional coding resulted in a 4.4% (P = .004) loss in reimbursement and a 5.4% (P = .01) loss in wRVUs compared with multidisciplinary coding. During period 2, no significant difference was found between traditional and multidisciplinary coding in reimbursement (1.3% loss; P = .24) or wRVUs (1.8% loss; P = .20). During period 3, traditional coding yielded a higher overall reimbursement (1.3% gain; P = .26) than multidisciplinary coding. This increase, however, was due to errors by institution coders, with six inappropriately used codes resulting in a higher overall reimbursement that was subsequently corrected. Assessment of physician documentation showed improvement, with decreased documentation errors at each period (11% vs 3.1% vs 0.6%; P = .02). Overall, between period 1 and period 3, multidisciplinary coding resulted in a significant increase in additional reimbursement ($17.63 per procedure; P = .004) and wRVUs (0.50 per procedure; P = .01). External validation at a second academic institution was performed to assess coding accuracy during period 1. Similar to institution 1, traditional coding revealed an 11% loss in reimbursement ($13,178 vs $14,630; P = .007) and a 12% loss in wRVU (293 vs 329; P = .01) compared with multidisciplinary coding. CONCLUSIONS: Physician involvement in the coding of endovascular procedures leads to improved procedural coding accuracy, increased wRVU assignments, and increased physician reimbursement.


Assuntos
Codificação Clínica , Current Procedural Terminology , Confiabilidade dos Dados , Procedimentos Endovasculares/classificação , Planos de Pagamento por Serviço Prestado , Equipe de Assistência ao Paciente/classificação , Escalas de Valor Relativo , Terminologia como Assunto , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Vasculares/classificação , Centros Médicos Acadêmicos , Codificação Clínica/economia , Documentação/classificação , Documentação/economia , Procedimentos Endovasculares/efeitos adversos , Procedimentos Endovasculares/economia , Humanos , Medicare/classificação , Medicare/economia , Equipe de Assistência ao Paciente/economia , Padrões de Prática Médica/classificação , Padrões de Prática Médica/economia , Estudos Prospectivos , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Estados Unidos , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Vasculares/efeitos adversos , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Vasculares/economia
7.
J Bone Miner Res ; 31(7): 1466-72, 2016 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26861139

RESUMO

Increased fracture risk has been associated with weight loss in postmenopausal women, but the time course over which this occurs has not been established. The aim of this study was to examine the effects of unintentional weight loss of ≥10 lb (4.5 kg) in postmenopausal women on fracture risk at multiple sites up to 5 years after weight loss. Using data from the Global Longitudinal Study of Osteoporosis in Women (GLOW), we analyzed the relationships between self-reported unintentional weight loss of ≥10 lb at baseline, year 2, or year 3 and incident clinical fracture in the years after weight loss. Complete data were available in 40,179 women (mean age ± SD 68 ± 8.3 years). Five-year cumulative fracture rate was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method, and adjusted hazard ratios for weight loss as a time-varying covariate were calculated from Cox multiple regression models. Unintentional weight loss at baseline was associated with a significantly increased risk of fracture of the clavicle, wrist, spine, rib, hip, and pelvis for up to 5 years after weight loss. Adjusted hazard ratios showed a significant association between unintentional weight loss and fracture of the hip, spine, and clavicle within 1 year of weight loss, and these associations were still present at 5 years. These findings demonstrate increased fracture risk at several sites after unintentional weight loss in postmenopausal women. This increase is found as early as 1 year after weight loss, emphasizing the need for prompt fracture risk assessment and appropriate management to reduce fracture risk in this population. © 2016 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.


Assuntos
Fraturas Ósseas/epidemiologia , Pós-Menopausa , Redução de Peso , Idoso , Feminino , Seguimentos , Fraturas Ósseas/etiologia , Humanos , Estudos Longitudinais , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Fatores de Tempo
8.
Int. j. cardiol ; 1(218): 291-297, 2016.
Artigo em Inglês | Sec. Est. Saúde SP, SESSP-IDPCPROD, Sec. Est. Saúde SP | ID: biblio-1063529

RESUMO

Objective: Smoking has been shown to be a risk factor for heart disease. However, it was recently reported that despite the evolution in therapy for acute coronary syndrome (ACS), smokers have not demonstrated improved outcomes.The aim of the present study was to evaluate the temporal trends in the treatments and outcomes across a broad spectrum of ACS patients (STEMI and non-ST-elevation ACS [NSTEACS]) according to smoking status on presentation in the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE). Methods Our cohort was stratified into 3 groups: current smokers, former smokers and never smokers. We evaluated trends in demographics, treatment modalities and outcomes in these 3 groups from 1999 to 2007.ResultsThe study population comprised a total of 63,015 patients admitted to hospital with an ACS and with identifiable baseline smoking status. Smokers presented with STEMI more often than non-smokers. There was an unadjusted decline in 30-day mortality in all 3 groups. However, the adjusted decline was not statistically significant among current smokers (HR = 0.98 per study year, 95% CI 0.94–1.01, p = 0.20). A subgroup analysis of 22,894 STEMI patients demonstrated no reduction in annual adjusted 30-day mortality rates among smokers (HR = 1.01, 95% CI 0.96–1.06 (Table 5), whereas former and never smokers' mortality declined...


Assuntos
Fumar/tendências , Síndrome Coronariana Aguda
9.
Eur Heart J ; 36(16): 976-83, 2015 Apr 21.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25205530

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: While prior work has suggested that a high-grade atrioventricular block (HAVB) in the setting of an acute coronary syndrome (ACS) is associated with in-hospital death, limited information is available on the incidence of, and death associated with, HAVB in ACS patients receiving contemporary management. METHODS AND RESULTS: The incidence of HAVB was determined within The Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE). The clinical characteristics, in-hospital therapies, and outcomes were compared between patients with and without HAVB. Factors associated with death in patients with HAVB were determined. A total of 59 229 patients with ACS between 1999 and 2007 were identified; 2.9% of patients had HAVB at any point during the index hospitalization; 22.7% of whom died in hospital [adjusted odds ratio (OR) = 4.2, 95% confidence interval (CI), 3.6-4.9, P < 0.001]. The association between HAVB and in-hospital death varied with type of ACS [OR: ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) = 3.0; non-STEMI = 6.4; unstable angina = 8.2, P for interaction < 0.001]. High-grade atrioventricular block present at the time of presentation to hospital (vs. occurring in-hospital) and early (<12 h) percutaneous coronary intervention or fibrinolysis (vs.>12 h or no intervention) were associated with improved in-hospital survival, whereas temporary pacemaker insertion was not. Patients with HAVB surviving to discharge had similar adjusted survival at 6 months compared with those without HAVB. A reduction in the rate of, but not in-hospital mortality associated with, HAVB was noted over the study period. CONCLUSION: Although the incidence of HAVB is low and decreasing, this complication continues to have a high risk of in-hospital death.


Assuntos
Síndrome Coronariana Aguda/mortalidade , Bloqueio Atrioventricular/mortalidade , Síndrome Coronariana Aguda/complicações , Idoso , Bloqueio Atrioventricular/complicações , Feminino , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Infarto do Miocárdio/complicações , Infarto do Miocárdio/mortalidade , Marca-Passo Artificial/estatística & dados numéricos , Intervenção Coronária Percutânea/mortalidade , Prognóstico , Estudos Prospectivos , Sistema de Registros
10.
BMJ Open ; 4(2): e004425, 2014 Feb 21.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24561498

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: Risk scores are recommended in guidelines to facilitate the management of patients who present with acute coronary syndromes (ACS). Internationally, such scores are not systematically used because they are not easy to apply and some risk indicators are not available at first presentation. We aimed to derive and externally validate a more accurate version of the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) risk score for predicting the risk of death or death/myocardial infarction (MI) both acutely and over the longer term. The risk score was designed to be suitable for acute and emergency clinical settings and usable in electronic devices. DESIGN AND SETTING: The GRACE risk score (2.0) was derived in 32 037 patients from the GRACE registry (14 countries, 94 hospitals) and validated externally in the French registry of Acute ST-elevation and non-ST-elevation MI (FAST-MI) 2005. PARTICIPANTS: Patients presenting with ST-elevation and non-ST elevation ACS and with long-term outcomes. OUTCOME MEASURES: The GRACE Score (2.0) predicts the risk of short-term and long-term mortality, and death/MI, overall and in hospital survivors. RESULTS: For key independent risk predictors of death (1 year), non-linear associations (vs linear) were found for age (p<0.0005), systolic blood pressure (p<0.0001), pulse (p<0.0001) and creatinine (p<0.0001). By employing non-linear algorithms, there was improved model discrimination, validated externally. Using the FAST-MI 2005 cohort, the c indices for death exceeded 0.82 for the overall population at 1 year and also at 3 years. Discrimination for death or MI was slightly lower than for death alone (c=0.78). Similar results were obtained for hospital survivors, and with substitutions for creatinine and Killip class, the model performed nearly as well. CONCLUSIONS: The updated GRACE risk score has better discrimination and is easier to use than the previous score based on linear associations. GRACE Risk (2.0) performed equally well acutely and over the longer term and can be used in a variety of clinical settings to aid management decisions.


Assuntos
Síndrome Coronariana Aguda/mortalidade , Síndrome Coronariana Aguda/terapia , Infarto do Miocárdio/etiologia , Medição de Risco/métodos , Síndrome Coronariana Aguda/complicações , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Algoritmos , Pressão Sanguínea , Creatinina/sangue , Eletrocardiografia , Feminino , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Humanos , Estimativa de Kaplan-Meier , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos Estatísticos , Pulso Arterial , Fatores de Risco , Taxa de Sobrevida , Fatores de Tempo
11.
J Clin Endocrinol Metab ; 99(3): 817-26, 2014 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24423345

RESUMO

CONTEXT: Several fracture prediction models that combine fractures at different sites into a composite outcome are in current use. However, to the extent individual fracture sites have differing risk factor profiles, model discrimination is impaired. OBJECTIVE: The objective of the study was to improve model discrimination by developing a 5-year composite fracture prediction model for fracture sites that display similar risk profiles. DESIGN: This was a prospective, observational cohort study. SETTING: The study was conducted at primary care practices in 10 countries. PATIENTS: Women aged 55 years or older participated in the study. INTERVENTION: Self-administered questionnaires collected data on patient characteristics, fracture risk factors, and previous fractures. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: The main outcome is time to first clinical fracture of hip, pelvis, upper leg, clavicle, or spine, each of which exhibits a strong association with advanced age. RESULTS: Of four composite fracture models considered, model discrimination (c index) is highest for an age-related fracture model (c index of 0.75, 47 066 women), and lowest for Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX) major fracture and a 10-site model (c indices of 0.67 and 0.65). The unadjusted increase in fracture risk for an additional 10 years of age ranges from 80% to 180% for the individual bones in the age-associated model. Five other fracture sites not considered for the age-associated model (upper arm/shoulder, rib, wrist, lower leg, and ankle) have age associations for an additional 10 years of age from a 10% decrease to a 60% increase. CONCLUSIONS: After examining results for 10 different bone fracture sites, advanced age appeared the single best possibility for uniting several different sites, resulting in an empirically based composite fracture risk model.


Assuntos
Fraturas Ósseas/diagnóstico , Fraturas Ósseas/etiologia , Modelos Estatísticos , Osteoporose Pós-Menopausa/diagnóstico , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Fraturas Ósseas/epidemiologia , Humanos , Estudos Longitudinais , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Osteoporose Pós-Menopausa/complicações , Osteoporose Pós-Menopausa/epidemiologia , Prognóstico , Fatores de Risco
12.
Am J Cardiol ; 110(5): 628-35, 2012 Sep 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22608950

RESUMO

The risk of stroke in patients hospitalized with an acute coronary syndrome (ACS) ranges from <1% to ≥ 2.5%. The aim of this study was to develop a simple predictive tool for bedside risk estimation of in-hospital ischemic stroke in patients with ACS to help guide clinicians in the acute management of these high-risk patients. Data were obtained from 63,118 patients enrolled from April 1999 to December 2007 in the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE), a multinational registry involving 126 hospitals in 14 countries. A regression model was developed to predict the occurrence of in-hospital ischemic stroke in patients hospitalized with an ACS. The main study outcome was the development of ischemic stroke during the index hospitalization for an ACS. Eight risk factors for stroke were identified: older age, atrial fibrillation on index electrocardiogram, positive initial cardiac biomarkers, presenting systolic blood pressure ≥ 160 mm Hg, ST-segment change on index electrocardiogram, no history of smoking, higher Killip class, and lower body weight (c-statistic 0.7). The addition of coronary artery bypass graft surgery and percutaneous coronary intervention into the model increased the prediction of stroke risk. In conclusion, the GRACE stroke risk score is a simple tool for predicting in-hospital ischemic stroke risk in patients admitted for the entire spectrum of ACS, which is widely applicable to patients in various hospital settings and will assist in the management of high-risk patients with ACS.


Assuntos
Síndrome Coronariana Aguda/epidemiologia , Isquemia Encefálica/epidemiologia , Mortalidade Hospitalar/tendências , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologia , Síndrome Coronariana Aguda/diagnóstico , Síndrome Coronariana Aguda/terapia , Distribuição por Idade , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Isquemia Encefálica/diagnóstico , Isquemia Encefálica/terapia , Comorbidade , Ponte de Artéria Coronária/métodos , Ponte de Artéria Coronária/mortalidade , Eletrocardiografia/métodos , Feminino , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Sistema de Registros , Estudos Retrospectivos , Medição de Risco , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Distribuição por Sexo , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/diagnóstico , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/terapia , Análise de Sobrevida
13.
J Bone Miner Res ; 27(9): 1907-15, 2012 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22550021

RESUMO

The purposes of this study were to examine fracture risk profiles at specific bone sites, and to understand why model discrimination using clinical risk factors is generally better in hip fracture models than in models that combine hip with other bones. Using 3-year data from the GLOW study (54,229 women with more than 4400 total fractures), we present Cox regression model results for 10 individual fracture sites, for both any and first-time fracture, among women aged ≥55 years. Advanced age is the strongest risk factor in hip (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.3 per 10-year increase), pelvis (HR = 1.8), upper leg (HR = 1.8), and clavicle (HR = 1.7) models. Age has a weaker association with wrist (HR = 1.1), rib (HR = 1.2), lower leg (not statistically significant), and ankle (HR = 0.81) fractures. Greater weight is associated with reduced risk for hip, pelvis, spine, and wrist, but higher risk for first lower leg and ankle fractures. Prior fracture of the same bone, although significant in nine of 10 models, is most strongly associated with spine (HR = 6.6) and rib (HR = 4.8) fractures. Past falls are important in all but spine models. Model c indices are ≥0.71 for hip, pelvis, upper leg, spine, clavicle, and rib, but ≤0.66 for upper arm/shoulder, lower leg, wrist, and ankle fractures. The c index for combining hip, spine, upper arm, and wrist (major fracture) is 0.67. First-time fracture models have c indices ranging from 0.59 for wrist to 0.78 for hip and pelvis. The c index for first-time major fracture is 0.63. In conclusion, substantial differences in risk profiles exist among the 10 bones considered.


Assuntos
Fraturas Ósseas/complicações , Fraturas Ósseas/patologia , Internacionalidade , Osteoporose/complicações , Osteoporose/epidemiologia , Intervalos de Confiança , Feminino , Humanos , Estudos Longitudinais , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Análise Multivariada , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Fatores de Risco
14.
Chest ; 140(3): 706-714, 2011 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21436241

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Acutely ill hospitalized medical patients are at risk for VTE. We assessed the incidence of VTE in the observational International Medical Prevention Registry on Venous Thromboembolism (IMPROVE) study and derived VTE risk assessment scores at admission and associative VTE scores during hospitalization. METHODS: Data from 15,156 medical patients were analyzed to determine the cumulative incidence of clinically observed VTE over 3 months after admission. Multiple regression analysis identified factors associated with VTE risk. RESULTS: Of the 184 patients who developed symptomatic VTE, 76 had pulmonary embolism, and 67 had lower-extremity DVT. Cumulative VTE incidence was 1.0%; 45% of events occurred after discharge. Factors independently associated with VTE were previous VTE, known thrombophilia, cancer, age > 60 years, lower-limb paralysis, immobilization ≥ 7 days, and admission to an ICU or coronary care unit (first four were available at admission). Points were assigned to each factor identified to give a total risk score for each patient. At admission, 67% of patients had a score ≥ 1. During hospitalization, 31% had a score ≥ 2; for a score of 2 or 3, observed VTE risk was 1.5% vs 5.7% for a score ≥ 4. Observed and predicted rates were similar for both models (C statistic, 0.65 and 0.69, respectively). During hospitalization, a score ≥ 2 was associated with higher overall and VTE-related mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Weighted VTE risk scores derived from four clinical risk factors at hospital admission can predict VTE risk in acutely ill hospitalized medical patients. Scores derived from seven clinical factors during hospitalization may help us to further understand symptomatic VTE risk. These scores require external validation.


Assuntos
Embolia Pulmonar/epidemiologia , Trombose Venosa/epidemiologia , Idoso , Feminino , Hospitalização , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos Estatísticos , Embolia Pulmonar/prevenção & controle , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Trombose Venosa/prevenção & controle
15.
Chest ; 139(1): 69-79, 2011 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20453069

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Acutely ill, hospitalized medical patients are at risk of VTE. Despite guidelines for VTE prevention, prophylaxis use in these patients is still poor, possibly because of fear of bleeding risk. We used data from the International Medical Prevention Registry on Venous Thromboembolism (IMPROVE) to assess in-hospital bleeding incidence and to identify risk factors at admission associated with in-hospital bleeding risk in acutely ill medical patients. METHODS: IMPROVE is a multinational, observational study that enrolled 15,156 medical patients. The in-hospital bleeding incidence was estimated by Kaplan-Meier analysis. A multiple regression model analysis was performed to identify risk factors at admission associated with bleeding. RESULTS: The cumulative incidence of major and nonmajor in-hospital bleeding within 14 days of admission was 3.2%. Active gastroduodenal ulcer (OR, 4.15; 95% CI, 2.21-7.77), prior bleeding (OR, 3.64; 95% CI, 2.21-5.99), and low platelet count (OR, 3.37; 95% CI, 1.84-6.18) were the strongest independent risk factors at admission for bleeding. Other bleeding risk factors were increased age, hepatic or renal failure, ICU stay, central venous catheter, rheumatic disease, cancer, and male sex. Using these bleeding risk factors, a risk score was developed to estimate bleeding risk. CONCLUSIONS: We assessed the incidence of major and clinically relevant bleeding in a large population of hospitalized medical patients and identified risk factors at admission associated with in-hospital bleeding. This information may assist physicians in deciding whether to use mechanical or pharmacologic VTE prophylaxis.


Assuntos
Hemorragia/epidemiologia , Pacientes Internados , Admissão do Paciente/normas , Medição de Risco/métodos , Doença Aguda , Idoso , Feminino , Fibrinolíticos/efeitos adversos , Hemorragia/induzido quimicamente , Humanos , Incidência , Tempo de Internação , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prognóstico , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Taxa de Sobrevida/tendências , Tromboembolia/tratamento farmacológico
16.
Catheter Cardiovasc Interv ; 77(5): 617-22, 2011 Apr 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20853369

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: CABG and PCI are effective means for revascularization of patients with multi-vessel coronary artery disease, but previous studies have not focused on treatment of patients that first undergo primary PCI. METHODS: Among patients enrolled in the global registry of acute coronary events (GRACE), clinical outcomes for patients presenting with STEMI treated with primary PCI were compared according to whether residual stenoses were treated medically, surgically, or with staged PCI. Clinical characteristics and data pertaining to major adverse cardiac events during hospitalization and 6 months after discharge were collected. RESULTS: Of the 1,705 patients included, 1,345 (79%) patients were treated medically, 303 (18%) underwent staged PCI, and 57 (3.3%) underwent CABG following primary PCI. Hospital mortality was lowest among patients treated with staged PCI (Medical = 5.7%; PCI = 0.7%; CABG = 3.5%; P < 0.001 [PCI vs. Medical]), a finding that persisted after risk adjustment (Odds Ratio PCI vs. Medical 5 0.16, [0.04-0.68]; P 5 0.01). Six month postdischarge mortality likewise was lowest in the staged PCI group (Medical = 3.1%; PCI = 0.8%; CABG = 4.0%; P = 0.04 [PCI vs. Medical]). Patients revascularized surgically were rehospitalized less frequently (Medical = 20%; PCI = 19%; CABG = 6.3%; P < 0.05) and underwent fewer unscheduled procedures (Medical 5 9.8%; PCI = 10.0%; CABG = 0.0%; P < 0.02). CONCLUSIONS: The results of this multinational registry demonstrate that hospital mortality in patients who undergo staged percutaneous revascularization of multivessel coronary disease following primary PCI is very low. Patients undergoing CABG following primary PCI are hospitalized less frequently and undergo fewer unplanned catheter-based procedures.


Assuntos
Angioplastia Coronária com Balão/mortalidade , Fármacos Cardiovasculares/uso terapêutico , Ponte de Artéria Coronária/mortalidade , Estenose Coronária/terapia , Infarto do Miocárdio/terapia , Idoso , Angioplastia Coronária com Balão/efeitos adversos , Austrália , Fármacos Cardiovasculares/efeitos adversos , Ponte de Artéria Coronária/efeitos adversos , Estenose Coronária/complicações , Estenose Coronária/mortalidade , Europa (Continente) , Feminino , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Infarto do Miocárdio/etiologia , Infarto do Miocárdio/mortalidade , Nova Zelândia , América do Norte , Razão de Chances , Seleção de Pacientes , Sistema de Registros , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , América do Sul , Fatores de Tempo , Resultado do Tratamento
17.
Eur Heart J ; 31(12): 1449-56, 2010 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20231153

RESUMO

AIMS: To determine the incidence and factors associated with heart rupture (HR) in acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients. METHODS AND RESULTS: Among 60 198 patients, 273 (0.45%) had HR (free wall rupture, n = 118; ventricular septal rupture, n = 155). Incidence was 0.9% for ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI), 0.17% for non-STEMI, and 0.25% for unstable angina. Hospital mortality was 58 vs. 4.5% in patients without HR (P < 0.001). The incidence was lower in STEMI patients with primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) than in those without (0.7 vs. 1.1%; P = 0.01), but primary PCI was not independently related to HR in adjusted analysis (P = 0.20). Independent variables associated with HR included: ST-segment elevation (STE)/left bundle branch block; ST-segment deviation; female sex; previous stroke; positive initial cardiac biomarkers; older age; higher heart rate; systolic blood pressure/30 mmHg decrease. Conversely, previous MI and the use of low-molecular-weight heparin and beta-blockers during first 24 h were identified as protective factors for HR. CONCLUSION: The incidence of HR is low in patients with ACS, although its incidence is probably underestimated. Heart rupture occurs more frequently in ACS with STE and is associated with high hospital mortality. A number of variables are independently related to HR.


Assuntos
Síndrome Coronariana Aguda/complicações , Angina Instável/complicações , Ruptura Cardíaca/etiologia , Infarto do Miocárdio/complicações , Síndrome Coronariana Aguda/mortalidade , Síndrome Coronariana Aguda/terapia , Antagonistas Adrenérgicos beta/uso terapêutico , Adulto , Idoso , Angina Instável/mortalidade , Angina Instável/terapia , Anticoagulantes/uso terapêutico , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Fibrinolíticos/uso terapêutico , Ruptura Cardíaca/mortalidade , Ruptura Cardíaca/terapia , Ruptura Cardíaca Pós-Infarto/etiologia , Ruptura Cardíaca Pós-Infarto/mortalidade , Ruptura Cardíaca Pós-Infarto/terapia , Heparina de Baixo Peso Molecular/uso terapêutico , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Infarto do Miocárdio/mortalidade , Infarto do Miocárdio/terapia , Adulto Jovem
18.
Eur Heart J ; 31(11): 1328-36, 2010 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20231154

RESUMO

AIMS: To examine the extent of delay from initial hospital presentation to fibrinolytic therapy or primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), characteristics associated with prolonged delay, and changes in delay patterns over time in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). METHODS AND RESULTS: We analysed data from 5170 patients with STEMI enrolled in the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events from 2003 to 2007. The median elapsed time from first hospital presentation to initiation of fibrinolysis was 30 min (interquartile range 18-60) and to primary PCI was 86 min (interquartile range 53-135). Over the years under study, there were no significant changes in delay times to treatment with either strategy. Geographic region was the strongest predictor of delay to initiation of fibrinolysis >30 min. Patient's transfer status and geographic location were strongly associated with delay to primary PCI. Patients treated in Europe were least likely to experience delay to fibrinolysis or primary PCI. CONCLUSION: These data suggest no improvements in delay times from hospital presentation to initiation of fibrinolysis or primary PCI during our study period. Geographic location and patient transfer were the strongest predictors of prolonged delay time, suggesting that improvements in modifiable healthcare system factors can shorten delay to reperfusion therapy even further.


Assuntos
Angioplastia Coronária com Balão/estatística & dados numéricos , Fibrinolíticos/uso terapêutico , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Infarto do Miocárdio/terapia , Terapia Trombolítica/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Reperfusão Miocárdica/métodos , Transferência de Pacientes/estatística & dados numéricos , Análise de Regressão , Fatores de Tempo , Adulto Jovem
19.
Am J Orthop (Belle Mead NJ) ; 39(9 Suppl): 5-13, 2010 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21290026

RESUMO

The Global Orthopaedic Registry (GLORY) offers global and country-specific insights into the management of patients undergoing total hip arthroplasty and total knee arthroplasty by drawing on data, from June 2001 to December 2004, of 15,020 patients in 13 countries. GLORY achieved a 70% follow-up rate at 3 and/or 12 months, allowing longer-term findings to be reported. This paper reports data from GLORY on patient demographics, surgical approaches to patient management, selection of implants, anesthetic and analgesic practices, blood management, length of hospital stay, and patient disposition at discharge. Some aspects of orthopedic practice differ between countries. There was notable variation in the choice and selection of prosthesis, fixation of implants, length of hospital stay, and discharge disposition.


Assuntos
Artroplastia de Quadril/normas , Artroplastia do Joelho/normas , Bases de Dados Factuais , Sistema de Registros , Idoso , Artrite Reumatoide/cirurgia , Artroplastia de Quadril/instrumentação , Artroplastia de Quadril/métodos , Artroplastia do Joelho/instrumentação , Artroplastia do Joelho/métodos , Demografia , Feminino , Necrose da Cabeça do Fêmur/cirurgia , Humanos , Cooperação Internacional , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Osteoartrite/cirurgia , Próteses e Implantes
20.
Am J Orthop (Belle Mead NJ) ; 39(9 Suppl): 14-21, 2010 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21290027

RESUMO

The Global Orthopaedic Registry (GLORY) offers insights into multinational practice patterns of venous thromboembolism (VTE) prophylaxis in orthopedic surgery, based on data from 15,020 patients undergoing primary total knee arthroplasty or primary total hip arthroplasty from 2001 to 2004. Registry data show that the first choice for in-hospital VTE prophylaxis was low-molecular-weight heparin. Multimodal prophylaxis was common. Warfarin was more widely used in the USA than elsewhere in the world. GLORY data suggest that real-world practice often fails to meet the standards for prophylaxis recommended in the American College of Chest Physicians evidence-based guidelines, particularly in the USA. However, many US orthopedic surgeons may follow other practice guidelines, causing an underestimation of prophylaxis us in this study. Warfarin in the USA often failed to achieve recommended target International Normalized Ratio (INR) values. This paper reviews the GLORY practice findings in light of the contemporary literature on best practices for VTE prophylaxis in orthopedic patients.


Assuntos
Artroplastia de Quadril , Artroplastia do Joelho , Padrões de Prática Médica , Sistema de Registros , Tromboembolia Venosa/prevenção & controle , Anticoagulantes/uso terapêutico , Bases de Dados Factuais , Diretrizes para o Planejamento em Saúde , Heparina de Baixo Peso Molecular/uso terapêutico , Humanos , Dispositivos de Compressão Pneumática Intermitente , Complicações Pós-Operatórias , Varfarina/uso terapêutico
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