Results from 22 years of Followup in the Göteborg Randomized Population-Based Prostate Cancer Screening Trial.

PURPOSE: Our goal was to analyze results from 22 years of followup in the Göteborg randomized prostate cancer (PC) screening trial. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In December 1994, 20,000 men born 1930-1944 were randomly extracted from the Swedish population register and were randomized (1:1) into either a screening group (SG) or to a control group (CG). Men in the SG were repeatedly invited for biennial prostate specific antigen testing up to an average age of 69 years. Main endpoints were PC incidence and mortality (intention-to-screen principle). RESULTS: After 22 years, 1,528 men in the SG and 1,124 men in the CG had been diagnosed with PC. In total, 112 PC deaths occurred in the SG and 158 in the CG. Compared with the CG, the SG showed a PC incidence rate ratio (RR) of 1.42 (95% CI, 1.31-1.53) and a PC mortality RR of 0.71 (95% CI, 0.55-0.91). The 22-year cumulative PC mortality rate was 1.55% (95% CI, 1.29-1.86) in the SG and 2.13% (95% CI, 1.83-2.49) in the CG. Correction for nonattendance (Cuzick method) yielded a RR of PC mortality of 0.59 (95% CI, 0.43-0.80). Number needed to invite and number needed to diagnose was estimated to 221 and 9, respectively. PC death risk was increased in the following groups: nontesting men, men entering the program after age 60 and men with >10 years of followup after screening termination. CONCLUSIONS: Prostate specific antigen-based screening substantially decreases PC mortality. However, not attending, starting after age 60 and stopping at age 70 seem to be major pitfalls regarding PC death risk.

Long-term Outcomes for Men in a Prostate Screening Trial with an Initial Benign Prostate Biopsy: A Population-based Cohort.

BACKGROUND: The optimal follow-up regimen for men after a benign prostate biopsy remains unknown. OBJECTIVE: To investigate long-term outcomes for men after an initial benign prostate biopsy. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: All men with a benign biopsy in the first screening round of the Göteborg prostate cancer (PC) screening trial were included. The follow-up period was January 1, 1995-May 15, 2017. INTERVENTION: Prostate-specific antigen (PSA) tests were performed every second year (upper median age limit 69yr). Men with PSA ≥3ng/ml underwent prostate biopsy (sextant biopsy up to 2009). OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: The 20-yr cumulative PC incidence and PC mortality were calculated using the 1 minus Kaplan-Meier method. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: Of 452 men with a benign biopsy and followed for a median of 21.1yr, 169 were diagnosed with PC and five died from PC. The 20-yr cumulative PC incidence and PC mortality were 40.0% and 1.4%, respectively. The corresponding figures were 38.8% and 0.6% for men with initial PSA ≤10ng/ml, and 64.4% and 21.4% for PSA >10ng/ml. The proportion of men untreated at final follow-up was similar in the two PSA groups (22% vs 23%). The use of sextant biopsy for many years of the trial is a limitation. CONCLUSIONS: Men with an initial benign prostate biopsy run a very low risk of dying from PC when participating in a screening program. However, if followed for a long period, many men will be diagnosed and treated for PC. Low-intensity follow-up, as in the Göteborg trial, appears sufficient for men with PSA ≤10ng/ml after a benign biopsy. PATIENT SUMMARY: This study shows that men who participate in a prostate cancer screening trial have a low risk of dying from prostate cancer if the first biopsy does not show cancer.

Prostate cancer risk assessment in men with an initial P.S.A. below 3 ng/mL: results from the Göteborg randomized population-based prostate cancer screening trial.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the long-term outcome of men with an initial prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level below 3 ng/mL and whether the free-to-total (F/T PSA) ratio is a useful prognostic marker in this range. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This study is based on 5,174 men aged 50-66 years, who in 1995-1996 participated in the first round of the Göteborg randomized screening trial (initial T-PSA level <3 ng/mL). These men were subsequently invited biennially for PSA and F/T PSA screening until they reached the upper age limit (on average 69 years). Biopsy was recommended if PSA ≥ 3 ng/mL. RESULTS: After a median follow-up of 18.9 years, 754 men (14.6%) were diagnosed with prostate cancer (PC). The overall cumulative PC incidence was 17.2%. It increased from 7.9% among men with T-PSA of ≤0.99 ng/mL to 26.0% in men with T-PSA levels of 1-1.99 ng/mL and 40.3% in men between 2-2.99 ng/mL (p < 0.001). The initial PSA was also related to the incidence of Gleason ≥7 PC (3.7% vs 9.7% vs 10.9%) and PC death (0.3% vs 1.1% vs 1.5%). Adding F/T PSA did not improve PC prediction in terms of Harrell concordance index (base model 0.76 vs 0.76) nor improvement of the likelihood of the model (p = 0.371). CONCLUSIONS: Some men with initial PSA < 3 ng/mL will be diagnosed too late, despite participating in an organized screening program, indicating that prompt diagnosis is justified in these men. PC incidence and risk of PC death was associated with PSA., but F/T PSA had no predictive value.

Role of Magnetic Resonance Imaging in Prostate Cancer Screening: A Pilot Study Within the Göteborg Randomised Screening Trial.

BACKGROUND: Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and targeted biopsies (TB) have shown potential to more accurately detect significant prostate cancer compared with prostate-specific antigen (PSA) and systematic biopsies (SB). OBJECTIVE: To compare sequential screening (PSA+MRI) with conventional PSA screening. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Of 384 attendees in the 10th screening round of the Göteborg randomised screening trial, 124 men, median age 69.5 yr, had a PSA of ≥ 1.8 ng/ml and underwent a prebiopsy MRI. Men with suspicious lesions on MRI and/or PSA ≥ 3.0ng/ml were referred for biopsy. SB was performed blinded to MRI results and TB was performed in men with tumour-suspicious findings on MRI. Three screening strategies were compared (PSA ≥ 3.0+SB; PSA ≥ 3.0+MRI+TB and PSA ≥ 1.8+MRI+TB). OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: Cancer detection rates, sensitivity, and specificity were calculated per screening strategy and compared using McNemar's test. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: In total, 28 cases of prostate cancer were detected, of which 20 were diagnosed in biopsy-naïve men. Both PSA ≥ 3.0+MRI and PSA ≥ 1.8+MRI significantly increased specificity compared with PSA ≥ 3.0+SB (0.92 and 0.79 vs 0.52; p<0.002 for both), while sensitivity was significantly higher for PSA ≥ 1.8+MRI compared with PSA ≥ 3.0+MRI (0.73 vs 0.46, p=0.008). The detection rate of significant cancer was higher with PSA ≥ 1.8+MRI compared with PSA ≥ 3.0+SB (5.9% vs 4.0%), while the detection rate of insignificant cancer was lowered by PSA ≥ 3.0+MRI (0.3% vs 1.2%). The primary limitation of this study is the small sample of men. CONCLUSION: A screening strategy with a lowered PSA cut-off followed by TB in MRI-positive men seems to increase the detection of significant cancers while improving specificity. If replicated, these results may contribute to a paradigm shift in future screening. PATIENT SUMMARY: Major concerns in prostate-specific antigen screening are overdiagnosis and underdiagnosis. We evaluated whether prostate magnetic resonance imaging could improve the balance of benefits to harm in prostate cancer screening screening, and we found a promising potential of using magnetic resonance imaging in addition to prostate-specific antigen.

The absence of voiding symptoms in men with a prostate-specific antigen (PSA) concentration of ≥3.0 ng/mL is an independent risk factor for prostate cancer: results from the Gothenburg Randomized Screening Trial.

UNLABELLED: What's known on the subject? and What does the study add? There are only a few studies and no consensus concerning the relationship between LUTS and prostate cancer. This paper focuses on 2353 men with an elevated PSA level within the Gothenburg Randomized Screening Trial who underwent biopsy and answered questions regarding LUTS. The main conclusion was that the absence of voiding symptoms is an independent risk factor for prostate cancer detection. OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether men with obstructive voiding symptoms are at increased risk for being diagnosed with prostate cancer within the Gothenburg randomized population-based prostate cancer screening trial. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: In 1995, 20 000 men born between 1930 and 1944 were randomly selected from the population register and randomized to either a screening group (10 000), invited for total prostate-specific antigen (tPSA) testing every second year until they reached an upper age-limit pending between 67 and 71 years, or to a control group not invited (10 000). Men with a PSA concentration of ≥3.0 ng/mL were offered further examination with prostate biopsies. Immediately before the physician's examination a self-administered, study-specific questionnaire was completed including one question concerning obstructive voiding symptoms. Multivariate logistic regression modelling was used to estimate odds ratios (ORs) for associations of age, tPSA, free/total PSA (f/tPSA) ratio, prostate volume and the presence of voiding symptoms in prostate cancer risk. A P < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. RESULTS: Between 1995 and 2010 there were 2590 men who had an elevated PSA concentration (≥3.0 ng/mL) at least once during the study. Of these, 2353 men (91%) accepted further clinical examination with transrectal ultrasonography (TRUS) and prostate biopsies. In all, 633/2353 men had prostate cancer (27%) on biopsy and 1720/2353 men (73%) had a benign pathology. Men with prostate cancer reported a lower frequency of voiding symptoms (24% vs 31%, P < 0.001), independent of age and locally advanced tumours (T2b-T4). In the multivariate logistic regression model increasing age and tPSA were positively associated with prostate cancer while prostate volume, f/tPSA ratio and the presence of voiding symptoms were all inversely associated with the risk of detecting prostate cancer in a screening setting. This inverse association of voiding symptoms and prostate cancer detection was restricted to men with large prostates (>37.8 mL); 15% in men with voiding symptoms vs 22% in asymptomatic men (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: The presence of voiding symptoms should not be a decision tool for deciding which men with an elevated PSA concentration should be offered biopsies of the prostate.