How will technology change people's home care in the next 20 years? A strategic foresight study.

The rapid expansion of home health care has raised many unresolved issues and will have far-reaching consequences that can only be overcome with a holistic approach to help build and use collective intelligence in a structured, systemic way to anticipate developments. In this frame, the set of issues covered by the human factors research field will significantly impact the safety, quality, and effectiveness of home health care. However, only with a gaze of strategic foresight will we be capable of exploring, anticipating, and shaping the future. A group of researchers from the Italian Society of Ergonomics and Human Factors (SIE) has developed a road map to help all the stakeholders involved in this process.

A Strategic Foresight study was conducted to define a preferred scenario of home care in the next 20 years. A hybrid survey method called Human-Centred Foresight was applied. The results achieved in the study show a possible scenario of home care that can define medium- and long-term goals from today until 2041.

Red-light running behavior of cyclists in Italy: An observational study.

Accident analysis and studies on traffic revealed that cyclists' violation of red-light regulation is a typical infringement committed by cyclists. Furthermore, an association between cyclists' crash involvement and red-light violations has been found across different countries. The literature on red-light running cyclists' behavior in relation to their characteristic is still scarce. The present study, adopted an eye-observational methodology to investigates differences in cyclists' crossing behavior at intersections, with a particular attention to their demographical characteristics. The classification of cyclists' red-light behavior in risk-taking, opportunistic and law-obeying, was adopted and re-adapted to reflect more objective behaviors, eliminating any inference or judgment. Two researchers at a time observed unobtrusively at four different intersections, during morning and late afternoon peak hours, 1381 cyclists approaching the traffic light during the red phase. More than 60% of the observed cyclists violated the traffic control. Results showed that the visual search strategy displayed by the cyclists and the presence of other cyclists at the intersection are important factors in predicting the probability of red-light running behavior.