Mortality Prediction After Cardiac Surgery: Higgins' Intensive Care Unit Admission Score Revisited.

BACKGROUND: This study was performed to develop and validate a cardiac surgical intensive care risk adjustment model for mixed cardiac surgery based on a few preoperative laboratory tests, extracorporeal circulation time, and measurements at arrival to the intensive care unit. METHODS: This was a retrospective study of admissions to 5 cardiac surgical intensive care units in Sweden that submitted data to the Swedish Intensive Care Registry. Admissions from 2008 to 2014 (n = 21,450) were used for model development, whereas admissions from 2015 to 2016 (n = 6463) were used for validation. Models were built using logistic regression with transformation of raw values or categorization into groups. RESULTS: The final model showed good performance, with an area under the receiver operating characteristics curve of 0.86 (95% confidence interval, 0.83-0.89), a Cox calibration intercept of -0.16 (95% confidence interval, -0.47 to 0.19), and a slope of 1.01 (95% confidence interval, 0.89-1.13) in the validation cohort. CONCLUSIONS: Eleven variables available on admission to the intensive care unit can be used to predict 30-day mortality after cardiac surgery. The model performance was better than those of general intensive care risk adjustment models used in cardiac surgical intensive care and also avoided the subjective assessment of the cause of admission. The standardized mortality ratio improves over time in Swedish cardiac surgical intensive care.

Validity of the Swedish Cardiac Surgery Registry.

OBJECTIVES: Our goal was to validate the Swedish Cardiac Surgery Registry by reviewing the reported cardiac operations to assess the completeness and quality of the registered data and the EuroSCORE II variables. METHODS: A total of 5837 cardiac operations were reported to the Swedish Cardiac Surgery Registry in Sweden during 2015. A randomly selected sample of 753 patient records (13%) was scrutinized by 3 surgeons at all 8 units in Sweden performing open cardiac surgery in adults. RESULTS: Coverage was excellent with 99% [95% confidence interval (CI) 98-99%] of the performed procedures found in the registry. Reported waiting times for surgery were correct in 78% (95% CI 76-79%) of the cases. The main procedural code was correctly reported in 96% (95% CI 95-97%) of the cases. The correlation between reported and monitored logistic EuroSCORE II had a coefficient of 0.79 (95% CI 0.76-0.82), and the median difference in EuroSCORE II was 0% (interquartile range -0.4% to 0.4%). The majority of EuroSCORE II variables had good agreement and coherence; however, New York Heart Association functional class, preoperative renal dysfunction, left ventricular ejection fraction, Canadian Cardiovascular Society Class IV angina and poor mobility were less robust. Postoperative complications were rare and in general had a high degree of completeness and agreement. CONCLUSIONS: The reliability of the variables in the national Swedish Cardiac Surgery Registry was excellent. Thus, the registry is a valuable source of data for quality studies and research. Some EuroSCORE II variables require improved and stricter definitions to obtain uniform reporting and high validity.

Transcatheter versus surgical treatment for aortic stenosis: patient selection and early outcome.

OBJECTIVES: To describe short-term clinical and echocardiography outcomes in patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) and surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR). To explore patient selection criteria for treatment with TAVI. DESIGN: TAVI patients (n = 45) were matched to SAVR patients (n = 45) with respect to age within ± 10 years, sex and systolic left ventricular function. RESULTS: TAVI patients were older, 82 ± 8 versus 78 ± 5 years (p = 0.005) and they had higher logEuroSCORE, 16 ± 11% versus 8 ± 4% (p = 0.001). There were no significant differences in 30 days mortality, stroke and myocardial infarction. TAVI patients received less erythrocyte (53% vs. 78%, p = 0.03) and thrombocyte (7% vs. 27%, p = 0.02) transfusions. Postoperative atrial fibrillation was less common (18% vs. 60%, p = 0.001) in the TAVI group. Paravalvular regurgitation was more common in TAVI patients (87% vs. 0%, p = 0.001) and 27% had access site complications. Aortic transvalvular velocity was 2.3 ± 0.4 m/s versus 2.6 ± 0.5 m/s (p = 0.002) and mean valve pressure gradient was 12 ± 4 mmHg versus 15 ± 5 mmHg (p = 0.01) in the TAVI and SAVR groups, respectively. Twenty-nine (64%) of the TAVI patients had logEuroSCORE = 15%. CONCLUSIONS: Both TAVI and SAVR have good short term clinical outcome with excellent hemodynamic result. In clinical practice, factors other than high logEuroSCORE play an important role in patient selection for TAVI.

Echo-guided presentation of the aortic valve minimises contrast exposure in transcatheter valve recipients.

OBJECTIVES: We have developed a method using transthoracic echocardiography in establishing optimal visualization of the aortic root, to reduce the amount of contrast medium used in each patient. BACKGROUND: During transcatheter aortic valve implantation, it is necessary to obtain an optimal fluoroscopic projection for deployment of the valve showing the aortic ostium with the three cusps aligned in the beam direction. This may require repeat aortic root angiograms at this stage of the procedure with a high amount of contrast medium with a risk of detrimental influence on renal function. METHODS: We studied the conventional way and an echo guided way to optimize visualisation of the aortic root. Echocardiography was used initially allowing easier alignment of the image intensifier with the transducer's direction. RESULTS: Contrast volumes, radiation/fluoroscopy exposure times, and postoperative creatinine levels were significantly less in patients having the echo-guided orientation of the optimal fluoroscopic angles compared with patients treated with the conventional approach. CONCLUSION: We present a user-friendly echo-guided method to facilitate fluoroscopy adjustment during transcatheter aortic valve implantation. In our series, the amounts of contrast medium and radiation have been significantly reduced, with a concomitant reduction in detrimental effects on renal function in the early postoperative phase.