Prediction of depth of sedation and anaesthesia by the Narcotrend EEG monitor.

BACKGROUND: The Narcotrend (Monitor Technik, Bad Bramstedt, Germany) assesses sedation by automatic classification of EEG signals, using a scale first used for visual evaluation of the EEG. Limited information is available on its value, and only a few studies of the method exist. We set out to study the performance of the Narcotrend during propofol sedation. METHODS: In 23 ASA I-II patients, aged 18-65 yr, about to have general anaesthesia, we induced anaesthesia in steps using a target-controlled infusion of propofol. After equilibration for 8 min at each predicted propofol concentration (0.5, 1.0, 2.0, 3.0 and 4.0 microg x ml(-1)), sedation was assessed clinically with the modified Observer's Assessment of Alertness/Sedation Scale and the Narcotrend stage was noted. The prediction performance of the Narcotrend was assessed with the prediction probability P(K). A P(K) value of 1.0 means an exact prediction on every occasion, while a P(K) of 0.5 is no better than a 50:50 chance of being correct. RESULTS: In 12 women and 11 men (age 42 (sd 11) yr), a total of 138 measurements were made; 129 were analysed and nine were of poor signal quality. The prediction probability for the corresponding level of sedation was P(K)=0.92 (se 0.01); for the different target concentrations of propofol it was P(K) = 0.91 (se 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: The Narcotrend can monitor sedation with propofol. Other sedatives, anaesthetics and opioids should be used to test this monitor.

Definition of risk factors for death, end stage renal disease, and thromboembolic events in a monocentric cohort of 338 patients with systemic lupus erythematosus.

BACKGROUND: The survival rate in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) has improved dramatically during the past four decades to 96.6% (five year) in the Erlangen cohort, but it is nearly three times as high as in an age and sex matched control population. Reasons for death are mainly cardiovascular diseases (37%) and infections (29%). OBJECTIVE: To find risk factors existing at disease onset for a severe outcome in the Erlangen cohort. PATIENTS AND METHODS: By using a database of 338 patients with SLE from a single centre, documented at least one to 15 years and including Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics/American College of Rheumatology (SLICC/ACR) damage score data and index (SDI) and an activity score (European Consensus Lupus Activity Measurement (ECLAM)), a retrospective search was made for risk factors for a severe outcome like death, end stage renal disease (ESRD), and thromboembolic events (TE) in SLE. For this purpose, multivariable Cox regression models were analysed using the statistical package SPSS 10.0 for Windows. RESULTS: The following were defined as risk factors for death at disease onset: male sex (p<0.001, relative risk (RR)=3.5), age >40 at disease onset (p<0.0001, RR=19.9), nephritis (p<0.05, RR=1.6), a reduction of creatinine clearance (p<0.001, RR=1.8), heart disease (p=0.05, RR=1.5), and central nervous system (CNS) disease (p=0.06, RR=1.6). An increase in the SDI of two or more points from the first to the third year of disease was the worst prognostic factor (p<0.0001, RR=7.7). The existence of Ro or nRNP antibodies, or both, was protective (p<0.05, RR =0.1). A low C3 (p<0.01 RR=3.0) and splenomegaly (p<0.01 RR=2.7) at disease onset turned out to be risk factors for ESRD besides a nephritis. In patients with hypertension (p<0.05) and/or high titres of dsDNA antibodies (>70 U/l) (p<0.01) and/or a mean ECLAM score of 4 (p<0.01) in the course of disease, a prevalence of ESRD was recorded in 9% (p<0.05) and 10% (p<0.01), and 8% (p<0.01) v 4% in the whole group. Analysis of risk factors at disease onset for TE identified positive lupus anticoagulant (p=0.17, RR=1.6), cryoglobulins (p<0.05, RR=1.8), and nephritis (p=0.05, RR=1.4), in addition to an age >40 at disease onset. CONCLUSIONS: A subgroup of patients in the Erlangen cohort with a typical clinical and serological phenotype at disease onset that is at high risk for a worse outcome was identified. Identification of these white patients at risk at disease onset will enable treatment to be intensified and thereby possibly prevent or better control late stage manifestations.

Fcgamma receptor IIa, IIIa, and IIIb polymorphisms in German patients with systemic lupus erythematosus: association with clinical symptoms.

BACKGROUND: Receptors for IgG play an important part in immune complex clearance. Several studies have identified polymorphisms of receptors for the Fc fragment of IgG (FcgammaR) as genetic factors influencing susceptibility to disease or disease course of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). OBJECTIVE: To examine these possibilities by evaluating a panel of clinical parameters in a cohort of 140 German patients with SLE for correlations with the FcgammaRIIa, IIIa, and IIIb polymorphisms in an explorative study. METHODS: 140 German patients with SLE according to American College of Rheumatology (ACR) criteria and 187 German controls were genotyped for the FcgammaRIIa, IIIa, and IIIb polymorphisms. Associations between FcgammaR genotypes, combined genotypes and clinical as well as laboratory features were analysed. RESULTS: No significant skewing of any of the three FcgammaR polymorphisms was seen in the German SLE cohort studied. Various clinical and serological parameters were found more frequently and at younger age in homozygous patients with the genotypes IIA-R/R131 or IIIA-F/F158 than in patients with IIA-H/H131 or IIIA-V/V158. These effects were even more pronounced in patients with the low binding combined phenotypes of the FcgammaRIIa, IIIa (double negative phenotypes) and FcgammaRIIa, IIIa, and IIIb (triple negative phenotypes). In patients with the double negative IIA and IIIA genotypes significantly higher frequencies of nephritis (63% v 33%) and proteinuria according to ACR criteria (58% v 11%), anaemia (84% v 55%), and anticardiolipin antibodies (63% v 22%) were found than in patients with the double positive genotypes. Patients with the IIA-R/R131 genotype and the double negative homozygous genotype had an earlier incidence of clinical symptoms, haematological and immunological abnormalities. Accordingly, SLE is diagnosed earlier in these patients, the difference reaching statistical significance only in the double negative v the double positive genotype (26.3 v 39.5 years) and the IIIA-F/F158 genotype v the rest (26.7 v 32.0 years). Most relevant is the fact that a higher median disease activity (ECLAM score) was demonstrated, both in the IIA-R/R131 homozygous (3.3 v 2.7) and the double negative (3.4 v 2.3) patients, reaching statistical significance in the first group. CONCLUSION: The results of this explorative study support the view that the FcgammaRIIa/IIIa and IIIb polymorphisms constitute factors influencing clinical manifestations and the disease course of SLE but do not represent genetic risk factors for the occurrence of SLE. Higher frequencies of clinical symptoms, haematological and immunological abnormalities as well as an earlier onset of clinical symptoms, haematological and immunological markers of active disease were found in patients with the IIA-R/R131 genotype and the double negative and triple negative genotypes.