CHA2DS2-VASc in the prediction of early atrial fibrillation relapses after electrical or pharmacological cardioversion.

BACKGROUND: In hemodynamically stable patients, mortality and morbidity related to atrial fibrillation are mainly due to cardioembolic disorder. No difference in the survival rate and incidence of embolic events has been described in patients undergoing rhythm or rate control if the latter is combined with an appropriate anticoagulant therapy. CHA2DS2-VASc is a score that allows clinicians to stratify embolic risk in patients affected by nonvalvular atrial fibrillation. Each item can be involved in triggering and maintaining atrial fibrillation. Thus, we hypothesized that CHA2DS2-VASc may help to predict early recurrences after cardioversion. METHODS: A total of 319 consecutive patients, admitted to our emergency department or hemodynamically stable persistent atrial fibrillation, were enrolled and treated with electrical or pharmacological sinus rhythm restoration. Outcome was defined as recurrence of atrial fibrillation 5 days after cardioversion. Predicted probability of sinus rhythm stability was assessed with an ordinal regression model using CHA2DS2-VASc as an independent variable. RESULTS: The model showed a progressive decrease in the predicted probability of sinus rhythm stability after electrical or pharmacological cardioversion along with an increase in the CHA2DS2-VASc score. A logarithmic relationship was the best-fit trend among CHA2DS2-VASc ranks and the predicted probability of sinus rhythm stability in patients undergoing both electrical and pharmacological cardioversion (r(2) = 0.98, P < 0.05 for electrical cardioversion; r(2) = 0.91, P < 0.05 for pharmacological cardioversion). CONCLUSION: Our preliminary results suggest that CHA2DS2-VASc score could be useful in evaluating the risk of early recurrence of atrial fibrillation after cardioversion. This information may have implications for disease monitoring and treatment strategies in clinical practice.

Gastrointestinal motility disorder assessment in systemic sclerosis.

OBJECTIVES: SSc is a clinically heterogeneous and generalized disease, characterized by thickness of the connective tissue of the skin and internal organs, such as the digestive tract, impairing gastrointestinal (GI) motility. Our aim is to evaluate retrospectively abnormalities of oesophageal motility, gastric emptying, oro-cecal transit time (OCTT) and small intestine bacterial overgrowth (SIBO) in a large cohort of SSc patients. METHODS: Ninety-nine SSc patients were included in the study. Forty-two patients underwent oesophageal conventional manometry, 45 performed a [(13)C]octanoic acid breath test to measure gastric emptying time and all 99 patients performed a lactulose breath test in order to evaluate OCTT and SIBO. Data were compared with healthy controls. RESULTS: In SSc patients, median lower oesophageal sphincter (LOS) pressure [14 mmHg (25th-75th; 8-19) vs 24 mmHg (19-28); P < 0.01] and median wave amplitude [30 mmHg (16-70) vs 72 mmHg (48-96); P < 0.01] were lower than in controls. Oesophageal involvement, defined as reduced LOS pressure and ineffective oesophageal motility pattern, was encountered in 70% of SSc patients. A delayed gastric emptying time was present in 38% of SSc patients: mean t½ was 141 ± 79 min vs 90 ± 40 min of controls (P < 0.01). Also, OCTT was significantly delayed in SSc: median OCTT was 160 min (25th-75th; 135-180) vs 105 min (25th-75th; 90-135) of controls (P < 0.01). SIBO was observed in 46% of SSc compared with 5% of controls (P < 0.01). CONCLUSION: GI involvement is very frequent in SSc patients. Oesophagus and small bowel are more frequently impaired, whereas delayed gastric emptying is less common.