Disease burden and projection of total and early-onset colorectal cancer in Gulf cooperation council countries from 1990 to 2019.

BACKGROUND: Early-onset colorectal cancer (EO-CRC) incidence and prevalence trends in the rise in high income countries, such as the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries. The study aimed to offer an up-to-date assessment of the overall burden of CRC, and EO-CRC in GCC countries and project its incidence and mortality in 2030. METHOD: The prevalence, incidence, mortality, years of life lived with disability (YLDs), and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of CRC were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2019. The incidence and mortality of CRC, and EO-CRC up to 2030 were predicted. RESULTS: All GCC countries showed a higher annual average percentage changes (AAPC) AAPC incidence rate for EO-CRC compared to CRC. In Saudi Arabia the number of CRC cases has increased from 1990 1484.57; (95 % UI 1987.98,1083.86) 11.4-fold-increase to 16991.83; (95 % UI 21754.79,12892.12) in 2019. In 2030, the total incidence cases of CRC for the six Gulf countries are expected to reach 13,339 thousand, primarily driven by Saudi Arabia with 7,910.19 cases. In 2030, the CRC mortality rate is projected to be 7,647 cases, with nearly 57 % of CRC mortality cases anticipated in Saudi Arabia. CONCLUSION: This study sheds light on the alarming rise in CRC and EO-CRC across Gulf countries from 1990 to 2019, emphasizing Saudi Arabia's significant burden. It projects a concerning increase in CRC incidence and mortality by 2030, primarily in Saudi Arabia, and highlights the need for immediate public health interventions.

Homologous recombination mRNAs (RAD21, RAD50 and BARD1) have a potentially poor prognostic role in ERBB2-low bladder cancer patients.

Human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2/ERBB2) factor is known to be implicated in many malignancies and the potential of it as a prognostic biomarker was reported years ago. Molecular subtypes of HER2/ERBB2 negative and positive with distinct clinical outcomes have been identified in recent years; however, it is still under investigation for bladder cancer. This study evaluates the biological and prognostic significance of RAD21, RAD50 and BARD1 (homologous recombination biomarkers) mRNA levels with ERBB2 low and high expression to explore their impact on bladder cancer patient survival and cancer aggressiveness. The expression of ERBB2, RAD21, RAD50 and BARD1 mRNA levels was assessed in The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) bladder cancer dataset along with four validation cohorts. Outcome analysis was evaluated using disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). Univariate and multivariate analysis were used to evaluate the relationship between RAD21, RAD50, BARD1 and ERBB2 expression and clinicopathological variables. A significant increase in mRNA expression levels of RAD21, RAD50 and BARD1 was noticed in ERBB2-low patients compared to ERBB2-high patients. This overexpression of the homologous recombination repair transcripts was associated with poor outcome in ERBB2-low tumors, not in ERBB2-high tumors. Furthermore, the combined expression of high RAD21/RAD50, high RAD21/BARD1 or high RAD50/BARD1 were significantly associated with worse DFS and a better outcome for those with low co-expression in the ERBB2-low cohort. High expression of either RAD21/RAD50 or RAD21/BARD1 in ERBB2-low cohort associated with higher chance of metastasis. In addition, gene expression of BARD1 alone or in combination with RAD50 acted as an independent prognostic factor for worst survival. The data presented in this study reveal a connection between RAD21, RAD50, BARD1 and ERBB2 and patient survival. Importantly, it provided novel findings and potential prognostic markers, particularly in ERBB2-low bladder cancer.