Heart failure in patients with congenital heart disease after a cancer diagnosis.

AIMS: Individuals with congenital heart disease (CHD) are at an increased risk for cancer. As cancer survival rates improve, the prevalence of late side effects, such as heart failure (HF), is becoming more evident. This study aims to evaluate the risk of developing HF following a cancer diagnosis in patients with CHD, compared with those without CHD and with CHD patients who do not have cancer. METHODS: CHD patients (n = 69 799) and randomly selected non-CHD controls (n = 650 406), born in Sweden between 1952 and 2017, were identified from the Swedish National Health Registers and Total Population Register (excluding those with syndromes and transplant recipients). CHD patients who developed cancer (n = 1309) were propensity score-matched with non-CHD patients who developed cancer (n = 9425), resulting in a cohort of 1232 CHD patients with cancer and 2602 non-CHD controls with cancer (after exclusion of individuals with HF prior to cancer diagnosis). In a separate analysis, CHD patients with cancer were propensity score-matched with CHD patients without cancer (n = 68 490). A total of 1233 CHD patients with cancer and 2257 CHD patients without cancer were included in the study. RESULTS: Among CHD patients with cancer, 73 (5.9%) developed HF during a mean follow-up time of 8.5 ± 8.7. Comparatively, in the propensity-matched control population, 29 (1.1%) non-CHD cancer patients (mean follow-up time of 7.3 ± 7.5) and 101 (4.5%) CHD patients without cancer (mean follow-up time of 9.9 ± 9.2) developed HF. CHD patients exhibited a significantly higher risk of HF post-cancer diagnosis compared with the non-CHD control group [hazard ratio (HR) 4.39, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.83-6.81], after adjusting for age at cancer diagnosis and comorbidities. In the analysis between CHD patients with cancer and those without cancer, the results indicated a significantly higher risk of developing HF in CHD patients with cancer (HR 1.53, 95% CI 1.13-2.07). CONCLUSIONS: CHD patients face a more than four-fold increased risk of developing HF after a cancer diagnosis compared with cancer patients without CHD. Among CHD patients, the risk of HF is only modestly higher for those with cancer than for those without cancer. This suggests that the increased HF risk in CHD patients with cancer, relative to non-CHD cancer patients, may be more attributable to CHD itself than to cancer treatment-related side effects.

Corrigendum to "Risk of cancer in young and older patients with congenital heart disease and the excess risk of cancer by syndromes, organ transplantation and cardiac surgery: Swedish health registry study (1930-2017)" [The Lancet Regional Health-Europe 18 (2022) 100407].

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2022.100407.].

Outcomes after cancer diagnosis in children and adult patients with congenital heart disease in Sweden: a registry-based cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: Patients with congenital heart disease (CHD) have an increased cancer risk. The aim of this study was to determine cancer-related mortality in CHD patients compared with non-CHD controls, compare ages at cancer diagnosis and death, and explore the most fatal cancer diagnoses. DESIGN: Registry-based cohort study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: CHD patients born between 1970 and 2017 were identified using Swedish Health Registers. Each was matched by birth year and sex with 10 non-CHD controls. Included were those born in Sweden with a cancer diagnosis. RESULTS: Cancer developed in 758 out of 67814 CHD patients (1.1%), with 139 deaths (18.3%)-of which 41 deaths occurred in patients with genetic syndromes. Cancer was the cause of death in 71.9% of cases. Across all CHD patients, cancer accounted for 1.8% of deaths. Excluding patients with genetic syndromes and transplant recipients, mortality risk between CHD patients with cancer and controls showed no significant difference (adjusted HR 1.17; 95% CI 0.93 to 1.49). CHD patients had a lower median age at cancer diagnosis-13.0 years (IQR 2.9-30.0) in CHD versus 24.6 years (IQR 8.6-35.1) in controls. Median age at death was 15.1 years (IQR 3.6-30.7) in CHD patients versus 18.5 years (IQR 6.1-32.7) in controls. The top three fatal cancer diagnoses were ill-defined, secondary and unspecified, eye and central nervous system tumours and haematological malignancies. CONCLUSIONS: Cancer-related deaths constituted 1.8% of all mortalities across all CHD patients. Among CHD patients with cancer, 18.3% died, with cancer being the cause in 71.9% of cases. Although CHD patients have an increased cancer risk, their mortality risk post-diagnosis does not significantly differ from non-CHD patients after adjustements and exclusion of patients with genetic syndromes and transplant recipients. However, CHD patients with genetic syndromes and concurrent cancer appear to be a vulnerable group.

Incidence of diabetes mellitus and effect on mortality in adults with congenital heart disease.

BACKGROUND: Worldwide, 1-2% of children are born with congenital heart disease (CHD) with 97% reaching adulthood. OBJECTIVES: This study aims to demonstrate the risk of diabetes in patients with CHD, and the influence of incident diabetes on mortality in CHD patients and controls. METHODS: By combining data from patient registries, the incidence of adult-onset diabetes registered at age 35 or older, and subsequent mortality risk were analysed in two successive birth cohorts (born in 1930-1959 and 1960-1983), by type of CHD lesion and sex, compared with population-based controls matched for sex and year of birth and followed until a maximum of 87 years of age. RESULTS: Out of 24,699 patients with CHD and 270,961 controls, 8.4% and 5.6%, respectively, were registered with a diagnosis of diabetes at the age of 35 or older, hazard ratio (HR) 1.47 (95% CI 1.40-1.54). The risk of diabetes was higher in the second birth cohort (HR of 1.74, 95% CI 1.54-1.95) and increased with complexity of CHD. After onset of DM, the total mortality among patients with CHD was 475 compared to 411/ 10,000 person-years among controls (HR 1.16, 95% CI 1.07-1.25). CONCLUSIONS: In this nationwide cohort of patients with CHD and controls, the incidence of diabetes was almost 50% higher in patients with CHD, with higher risk in the most recent birth cohort and in those with conotruncal defects, with the combination of CHD and diabetes associated with a significantly increased mortality compared to diabetic controls.

Impact of Down Syndrome on Survival Among Patients With Congenital Heart Disease.

BACKGROUND: Increasing survival among patients with congenital heart disease (CHD) has recently been reported. However, the impact of Down syndrome (DS) in patients with CHD is still debated. We aimed to estimate survival in patients with CHD with versus without DS compared with matched controls from the general population without CHD or DS. METHODS AND RESULTS: We linked data from Swedish health registries to identify patients with CHD born between 1970 and 2017. Data from the Total Population Register were used to match each patient with CHD by sex and birth year with 8 controls without CHD or DS. A Cox proportional regression model was used to estimate mortality risk, and Kaplan-Meier curves were analyzed for the survival analysis. We identified 3285 patients with CHD-DS, 64 529 patients with CHD without DS, and 26 128 matched controls. The mortality risk was 25.1 times higher (95% CI, 21.3-29.5) in patients with CHD-DS versus controls. The mortality rate was 2 times higher (95% CI, 1.94-2.31) for patients with CHD with versus without DS. Lower mortality was found during the second versus first birth periods in patients with CHD-DS compared with controls; hazard ratio: 46.8 (95% CI, 29.5-74.0) and 17.7 (95% CI, 12.8-24.42) in those born between 1970 and 1989 versus 1990 and 2017, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In this retrospective cohort study, the mortality risk among patients with CHD-DS was 25 times higher compared with matched controls and 2 times higher compared with patients with CHD without DS. Survival was higher in patients with CHD-DS born after versus before 1990, coinciding with the modern era of congenital heart care.

Socioeconomic factors and long-term mortality risk after surgical aortic valve replacement.

Background: There is scarce knowledge about the association between socioeconomic status and mortality in patients undergoing surgical aortic valve replacement. This study explores the associations between income, education and marital status, and long-term mortality risk. Methods: In this national registry-based observational cohort study we included all 14,537 patients aged >18 years who underwent isolated surgical aortic valve replacement for aortic stenosis in Sweden 1997-2020. Socioeconomic status and comorbidities were collected from three mandatory national registries. Cox regression models adjusted for patient characteristics and comorbidities were used to estimate the mortality risk. Results: Mortality risk was higher for patients in the lowest versus the highest income quintile (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.36, 95 % confidence interval [CI]: 1.11-1.65), for patients with <10 years education versus >12 years (aHR 1.20, 95 % CI:1.08-1.33), and for patients who were not married/cohabiting versus those who were (aHR 1.24, 95 % CI:1.04-1.48). Patients with the most unfavorable socioeconomic status (lowest income, shortest education, never married/cohabiting) had an adjusted median survival of 2.9 years less than patients with the most favorable socioeconomic status (14.6 years, 95 % CI: 13.2-17.4 years vs. 11.7 years, 95 % CI: 9.8-14.4). Conclusions: Low socioeconomic status in patients undergoing surgical aortic valve replacement is associated with shorter survival and an increased long-term adjusted mortality risk. These results emphasize the importance of identifying surgical aortic valve replacement patients with unfavorable socioeconomic situation and ensure sufficient post-discharge surveillance.

Survival Trends in Children With Tetralogy of Fallot in Sweden From 1970 to 2017.

Importance: Mortality in patients with tetralogy of Fallot (TOF) has decreased substantially since the start of surgical correction of this abnormality in the 1950s. However, nationwide data in Sweden comparing survival trends among pediatric patients with TOF with the general population are still limited. Objective: To study survival trends in pediatric patients with TOF and compare them with matched controls. Design, Setting, and Participants: A Swedish registry-based, nationwide, matched cohort study was conducted; data were collected from national health registers from January 1, 1970, to December 31, 2017. Patients with a registered diagnosis of TOF as well as controls without TOF matched by birth year and sex were included in the study. Follow-up data were collected from birth to age 18 years, death, or the end of follow-up (December 31, 2017), whichever occurred first. Data analysis was performed from September 10 to December 20, 2022. Survival trends among patients with TOF were compared with matched controls using Cox proportional hazards regression and Kaplan-Meier survival analyses. Main Outcomes and Measures: All-cause mortality during childhood in patients with TOF and matched controls. Results: The population included 1848 patients (1064 [57.6%] males; mean [SD] age, 12.4 [6.7] years) with TOF and 16 354 matched controls. The number of patients who underwent congenital cardiac surgery (henceforth, surgery group) was 1527 (897 [58.7%] males). In the whole TOF population from birth until age 18 years, 286 patients (15.5%) died during a mean (SD) follow-up time of 12.4 (6.7) years. In the surgery group, 154 of 1527 patients (10.1%) died during a follow-up time of 13.6 (5.7) years with a mortality risk of 21.9 (95% CI, 16.2-29.7) compared with matched controls. When stratified by birth period, a substantial decrease in the mortality risk was noted in the surgery group, from 40.6 (95% CI, 21.9-75.4) in those born in the 1970s to 11.1 (95% CI, 3.4-36.4) in those born in the 2010s. Survival increased from 68.5% to 96.0%. The risk of mortality for surgery decreased from 0.52 in the 1979s to 0.19 in the 2010s. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings of this study suggest there has been substantial improvement in survival in children with TOF who underwent surgery from 1970 to 2017. However, the mortality rate is still significantly higher in this group compared with matched controls. Predictors of good and poor outcomes in this group need to be further explored, with the modifiable ones evaluated for further outcome improvements.

Adults With Congenital Heart Disease: Trends in Event-Free Survival Past Middle Age.

BACKGROUND: The survival of children with congenital heart disease has increased substantially over the past decades, with 97% currently reaching adulthood. The total effect of advanced treatment on future mortality and morbidity in adult survivors with congenital heart disease (CHD) is less well described. METHODS: We used data from the Swedish National Inpatient, Outpatient, and Cause of Death Register to identify patients with CHD who were born between 1950 and 1999 and were alive at 18 years of age. Ten controls identified from the Total Population Register were matched for year of birth and sex and with each patient with CHD. Follow-up was from 1968 and 18 years of age until death or at the end of the study (2017). Survival percentage with 95% CI for all-cause mortality were performed with Kaplan-Meier survival function. Cox proportional hazard regression models with hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CI were used to estimate the risk of all-cause mortality. RESULTS: We included 37 278 patients with adult CHD (ACHD) and 412 799 controls. Mean follow-up was 19.2 years (±13.6). Altogether, 1937 patients with ACHD (5.2%) and 6690 controls (1.6%) died, a death rate of 2.73 per 1000 person-years and 0.84 per 1000 person years, respectively. Mortality was 3.2 times higher (95% CI, 3.0-3.4; P<0.001) among patients with ACHD compared with matched controls. Up to the maximum of 50 years of follow-up, >75% of patients with ACHD were still alive. Mortality was highest among patients with conotruncal defects (HR, 10.13 [95% CI, 8.78-11.69]), but also significantly higher for the more benign lesions, with the lowest risk in patients with atrial septal defects (HR, 1.36 [95% CI, 1.19-1.55]). At least 75% of patients with ACHD alive at 18 years of age lived past middle age and became sexagenerians. CONCLUSIONS: In this large, nationwide, register-based cohort study of patients with ACHD surviving to 18 years of age, the risk of mortality up to 68 years of age was >3 times higher compared with matched controls without ACHD. Despite this, at least 75% of patients with CHD alive at 18 years of age lived past middle age and became sexagenerians. A notable risk decline in the mortality for patients with ACHD was seen for those born after 1975.

Congenital heart disease: changes in recorded birth prevalence and cardiac interventions over the past half-century in Sweden.

AIMS: Our objective was to assess changes in the birth prevalence of CHD over a half-century in a high-resource, nationwide setting, as well as changes in the prevalence of cardiac interventions in this population. METHODS AND RESULTS: The Swedish National Patient and Cause of Death registers were linked to estimate the annual rates of CHD and cardiac interventions among live-born infants from 1970 to 2017. Additionally, separate estimates were obtained by lesion complexity, from mild to the most complex forms of CHD. Overall, the numbers of live-born infants with a CHD identified varied from 624 to 2459 annual cases, with rates increasing steadily from 5.7 to an average of 20 per 1000 live births at the end of the study period, and with a more pronounced increase from 1996 to 2005. The largest increase over time was observed for mild CHD lesions. Overall, the proportion of cardiac interventions among patients with CHD declined from 40.7% in 1970 to below 15.0% after 2014. However, in the most complex CHD lesion groups, overall cardiac interventions increased from 57.1 to 76.8% in patients with conotruncal defects and from 32.8 to 39.5% in those with severe non-conotruncal defects. CONCLUSION: The live-birth prevalence of CHD in Sweden more than tripled during the past half-century, most likely resulting from more accurate diagnostic capabilities. The largest increase over time was observed among patients with simple defects. During the same period, overall cardiac interventions decreased whereas interventions for the most complex CHD groups increased.

Chronic kidney disease in patients with congenital heart disease: a nationwide, register-based cohort study.

Aims: To investigate the risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD) in young patients with congenital heart disease (CHD) (age 0-47 years) compared with age- and sex-matched controls without CHD. Methods and results: Using data from the Swedish National Patient Register and the Cause of Death Register, 71,936 patients with CHD (50.2% male) born between 1970 and 2017 were identified. Each patient with CHD was matched by sex and age to 10 controls without CHD (n = 714,457). Follow-up data were collected for patients with CHD and controls until 2017. During a median follow-up of 13.5 (5.8; 25.5) years, 379 (0.5%) patients with CHD and 679 (0.1%) controls developed CKD. The risk of CKD was 6.4 times higher in patients with CHD than controls [95% confidence interval (CI): 5.65-7.27] and was highest in patients with severe non-conotruncal defects [hazard ratio (HR): 11.31; 95% CI: 7.37-17.36]. Compared with matched controls, the absolute and relative risks of CKD were greater for CHD patients born between 1997 and 2017 (HR: 9.98; 95% CI: 8.05-13.37) (incidence 39.5 per 100 000 person-years). The risk of CKD remained significantly higher after adjusting for hypertension, acute kidney injury, and diabetes mellitus (HR: 4.37; 95% CI: 3.83-5.00). Conclusion: Although the absolute risk of CKD in young patients with CHD is relatively low, patients with CHD are six times more likely to develop CKD than non-CHD controls up to the age of 47 years. Further data are needed to inform guidelines on the prevention and follow-up of CKD in CHD patients.

Risk of cancer in young and older patients with congenital heart disease and the excess risk of cancer by syndromes, organ transplantation and cardiac surgery: Swedish health registry study (1930-2017).

Background: Increasing survival of patients with congenital heart disease (CHD) will result in an increased risk of age-dependent acquired diseases later in life. We aimed to investigate the risk of cancer in young and older patients with CHD and to evaluate the excess risk of cancer by syndromes, organ transplantation and cardiac surgery. Methods: Patients with CHD born between 1930 and 2017 were identified using Swedish Health Registers. Each patient with CHD (n = 89,542) was matched by sex and birth year with ten controls without CHD (n = 890,472) from the Swedish Total Population Register. Findings: 4012 patients with CHD (4·5%) and 35,218 controls (4·0%) developed cancer. The median follow-up time was 58·8 (IQR 42·4-69·0) years. The overall cancer risk was 1·23 times higher (95% confidence interval (CI) 1·19-1·27) in patients with CHD compared with matched controls, and remained significant when patients with syndromes and organ transplant recipients were excluded. The risk of cancer was higher in all CHD age groups, and in patients that underwent cardiac surgery during the first year after birth (Hazard Ratio 1·83; 95% CI 1·32-2·54). The highest risk was found in children (0-17 years), HR 3·21 (95% CI 2·90-3·56). Interpretation: The cancer risk in patients with CHD was 23% higher than in matched controls without CHD. The highest risk was found in children and in the latest birth cohort (1990-2017). Funding: Funding by the Swedish state (Grant Number: 236611), the Swedish Research Council (Grant Number: 2019-00193), the Swedish Childhood Cancer Fund (Grant Number: SP2017-0012) and the Swedish Heart-Lung Foundation (Grant Number: 20190724).

Increasing home-time after a first diagnosis of heart failure in Sweden, 20 years trends.

AIMS: This study was performed to compare trends in home-time for patients with heart failure (HF) between those of working age and those of retirement age in Sweden from 1992 to 2012. METHODS AND RESULTS: The National Inpatient Register (IPR) was used to identify all patients aged 18 to 84 years with a first hospitalization for HF in Sweden from 1992 to 2012. Information on date of death, comorbidities, and sociodemographic factors were collected from the Swedish National Register on Cause of Death, the IPR, and the longitudinal integration database for health insurance and labour market studies, respectively. The patients were divided into two groups according to their age: working age (<65 years) and retirement age (≥65 years). Follow-up was 4 years. In total, following exclusions, 388 775 patients aged 18 to 84 years who were alive 1 day after discharge from a first hospitalization for HF were included in the study. The working age group comprised 62 428 (16%) patients with a median age of 58 (interquartile range, 53-62) years and 31.2% women, and the retirement age group comprised 326 347 (84%) patients with a median age of 77 (interquartile range, 73-81) years and 47.4% women. Patients of working age had more home-time than patients of retirement age (83.8% vs. 68.2%, respectively), mainly because of their lower 4 year mortality rate (14.2% vs. 29.7%, respectively). Home-time increased over the study period for both age groups, but the increase levelled off for older women after 2007, most likely because of less reduction in mortality in older women than in the other groups. CONCLUSIONS: This nationwide study showed increasing home-time over the study period except for women of retirement age and older for whom the increase stalled after 2007, mainly because of a lower mortality reduction in this group. Efforts to improve patient-related outcome measures specifically targeted to this group may be warranted.

Burden of Ischemic Stroke in Patients With Congenital Heart Disease: A Nationwide, Case-Control Study.

Background Patients with congenital heart disease (CHD) are at increased risk of developing ischemic stroke (IS) compared with controls without CHD. However, the long-term outcomes after IS, including IS recurrence and mortality risk, remain unclear. Methods and Results We identified all patients with CHD in Sweden who were born between 1930 and 2017 using the Swedish National Patient Register and the Cause of Death Register. Ten controls without CHD were randomly selected from the general population and matched for birth year and sex for each patient with CHD. The follow-up of the study population was performed between January 1970 and December 2017. In total, 88 700 patients with CHD (50.6% men) and 890 450 matched controls (51.0%) were included in this study. During a mean follow-up of 25.1±22.0 years, patients with CHD had a 5-fold higher risk of developing an index IS (hazard ratio [HR], 5.01; 95% CI, 4.81-5.22) compared with controls. However, the risk of developing a recurrent IS was lower in patients with CHD compared with controls (HR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.56-0.78), an observation that persisted after adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors and comorbidities. Patients with CHD were also at a significantly lower risk of all-cause mortality after index IS than controls (HR, 0.53; 95% CI, 0.49-0.58). Conclusions Patients with CHD had a 5-fold higher risk of developing index IS compared with matched controls. However, the risk of recurrent IS stroke and all-cause mortality were 34% and 47% lower, respectively, in patients with CHD compared with controls.

Cumulative Incidence of Infective Endocarditis in Patients with Congenital Heart Disease: A Nationwide, Case-Control Study Over Nine Decades.

BACKGROUND: Congenital heart disease (CHD) is a lifelong predisposing condition for infective endocarditis (IE). As a consequence of advances in pediatric care, the number of adults with CHD is now exceeding the number of children. The goal of the present study was to determine the cumulative incidence of IE in patients with CHD and detect temporal changes compared with controls. METHODS: Nationwide registry-based case-control study of patients with CHD born 1930-2017 matched with 10 random controls. Infective endocarditis episodes were linked using the Swedish 10-digit personal identification number. RESULTS: In total, 89 541 patients with CHD and 890 470 matched controls were included. In patients with CHD, 1477 IE episodes were registered and 447 episodes in controls. Patients with CHD had 8.5% cumulative incidence of IE at age 87 years, compared with 0.7% in matched controls. Incidence rate of IE per 100 000 person-years was 65.5 (95% confidence interval [CI] 62.2-68.9) and 1.8 (95% CI: 1.7-2.0) in CHD patients and controls, respectively. By age 18 years, patients with CHD had an IE incidence similar to that of 81-year-old controls. Incidence of IE differed by age but not by birth year. Bacterial etiology was registered from 1997 in half of the IE episodes; among CHD IE cases, 43.3% were caused by streptococci and 29.8% by Staphylococcus aureus. CONCLUSIONS: Infective endocarditis remains an important complication in patients with CHD. Incidence correlate with age and the number of IE episodes are expected to increase as the CHD population grow older.

The risk of dementia after coronary artery bypass grafting in relation to age and sex.

INTRODUCTION: We examined the long-term risk of dementia after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) in relation to age and sex. METHODS: All CABG patients in Sweden 1992-2015 (n = 111,335), and matched controls (n = 222,396) were included in a population-based study. Adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) for all-cause dementia, vascular dementia, and Alzheimer's disease were calculated. RESULTS: There was no difference in the risk for all-cause dementia between CABG patients and control subjects (aHR 0.98 [95% confidence interval 0.95 to 1.02]). CABG patients <65 years and 65 to 74 years had higher risk (aHR 1.29 [1.17-1.42] and 1.08 [1.02-1.13], respectively), and patients ≥75 years had lower risk (aHR 0.76 [0.71-0.81]). The highest risk was observed in women <65 years (aHR 1.64 [1.31-2.05]). DISCUSSION: Overall, the long-term risk for all-cause dementia does not differ between CABG patients and the general population. Younger patients have a higher risk, while older patients have a lower risk, compared to controls.

Long-term outcomes after myocardial infarction in middle-aged and older patients with congenital heart disease-a nationwide study.

AIMS: We aimed to describe the risk of myocardial infarction (MI) in middle-aged and older patients with congenital heart disease (ACHD) and to evaluate the long-term outcomes after index MI in patients with ACHD compared with controls. METHODS AND RESULTS: A search of the Swedish National Patient Register identified 17 189 patients with ACHD (52.2% male) and 180 131 age- and sex-matched controls randomly selected from the general population who were born from 1930 to 1970 and were alive at 40 years of age; all followed up until December 2017 (mean follow-up 23.2 ± 11.0 years). Patients with ACHD had a 1.6-fold higher risk of MI compared with controls [hazard ratio (HR) 1.6, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.5-1.7, P < 0.001] and the cumulative incidence of MI by 65 years of age was 7.4% in patients with ACHD vs. 4.4% in controls. Patients with ACHD had a 1.4-fold increased risk of experiencing a composite event after the index MI compared with controls (HR 1.4, 95% CI 1.3-1.6, P < 0.001), driven largely by the occurrence of new-onset heart failure in 42.2% (n = 537) of patients with ACHD vs. 29.5% (n = 2526) of controls. CONCLUSION: Patients with ACHD had an increased risk of developing MI and of recurrent MI, new-onset heart failure, or death after the index MI, compared with controls, mainly because of a higher incidence of newly diagnosed heart failure in patients with ACHD. Recognizing and managing the modifiable cardiovascular risk factors should be of importance to reduce morbidity and mortality in patients with ACHD.

Enhanced prediction of atrial fibrillation and mortality among patients with congenital heart disease using nationwide register-based medical hospital data and neural networks.

Aims: To improve short-and long-term predictions of mortality and atrial fibrillation (AF) among patients with congenital heart disease (CHD) from a nationwide population using neural networks (NN). Methods and results: The Swedish National Patient Register and the Cause of Death Register were used to identify all patients with CHD born from 1970 to 2017. A total of 71 941 CHD patients were identified and followed-up from birth until the event or end of study in 2017. Based on data from a nationwide population, a NN model was obtained to predict mortality and AF. Logistic regression (LR) based on the same data was used as a baseline comparison. Of 71 941 CHD patients, a total of 5768 died (8.02%) and 995 (1.38%) developed AF over time with a mean follow-up time of 16.47 years (standard deviation 12.73 years). The performance of NN models in predicting the mortality and AF was higher than the performance of LR regardless of the complexity of the disease, with an average area under the receiver operating characteristic of >0.80 and >0.70, respectively. The largest differences were observed in mortality and complexity of CHD over time. Conclusion: We found that NN can be used to predict mortality and AF on a nationwide scale using data that are easily obtainable by clinicians. In addition, NN showed a high performance overall and, in most cases, with better performance for prediction as compared with more traditional regression methods.

Post-operative musculoskeletal outcomes in patients with coarctation of the aorta following different surgical approaches.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to examine range of motion and muscle function in the upper extremity and spine in patients with coarctation of the aorta (CoA) comparing different surgical approaches. METHODS: From October 2017 to February 2019, 150 patients were assessed for inclusion. A total of 99 patients (n = 75 CoA, n = 24 control), were included and assessed regarding muscle function, arm length and circumference, and spinal and thoracic mobility. RESULTS: There were significant differences between the right and left arm in patients with CoA, operated with the subclavian flap technique compared to controls in regards to shoulder flexion (p < 0.001), elbow flexion (p = 0.001), shoulder abduction (p = 0.02), handgrip strength (p = 0.01), length of upper arm (p < 0.001), lower arm (p < 0.001), and of whole arm (p < 0.001), circumference regarding upper arm (p = 0.001), lower arm (p < 0.001), and wrist (p < 0.001). Structural scoliosis was more frequent in patients who had undergone thoracotomy (25.4%) than patients who had not undergone a thoracotomy (5.9%, p = 0.04), and were often located in the thoracic part of the spine. CONCLUSION: Patients with CoA operated on using the subclavian flap technique have impaired muscle function as well as reduced arm length and circumference. An increased rate of structural scoliosis was found in patients who underwent thoracotomy, in comparison with patients who had not undergone a thoracotomy. Further research is needed to determine whether muscle function impaired by surgical procedures can be improved with exercise.

Survival in Children With Congenital Heart Disease: Have We Reached a Peak at 97%?

Background Despite advances in pediatric health care over recent decades, it is not clear whether survival in children with congenital heart disease (CHD) is still increasing. Methods and Results We identified all patients with CHD using nationwide Swedish health registries for 1980 to 2017. We examined the survival trends in children with CHD; we investigated the mortality risk in patients with CHD compared with matched controls without CHD from the general population using Cox proportional regression models and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. Among 64 396 patients with CHD and 639 012 matched controls without CHD, 3845 (6.0%) and 2235 (0.3%) died, respectively. The mean study follow-up (SD) was 11.4 (6.3) years in patients with CHD. The mortality risk was 17.7 (95% CI, 16.8-18.6) times higher in children with CHD compared with controls. The highest mortality risk was found during the first 4 years of life in patients with CHD (hazard ratio [HR], 19.6; 95% CI, 18.5-20.7). When stratified by lesion group, patients with non-conotruncal defects had the highest risk (HR, 97.2; 95% CI, 80.4-117.4). Survival increased substantially according to birth decades, but with no improvement after the turn of the century where survivorship reached 97% in children with CHD born in 2010 to 2017. Conclusions Survival in children with CHD has increased substantially since the 1980s; however, no significant improvement has been observed this century. Currently, >97% of children with CHD can be expected to reach adulthood highlighting the need of life-time management.