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BackgroundAnakinra may represent an important therapy to improve the prognosis of COVID-19 patients. This meta-analysis using individual patient data was designed to assess the efficacy and safety of anakinra treatment in patients with COVID-19. MethodsBased on a pre-specified protocol (PROSPERO: CRD42020221491), a systematic literature search was performed in MEDLINE (PubMed), Cochrane, medRxiv.org, bioRxiv.org and clinicaltrials.gov databases for trials in COVID-19 comparing administration of anakinra with standard-of-care and/or placebo. Individual patient data from eligible trials were requested. The primary endpoint was the mortality rate and the secondary endpoint was safety. FindingsLiterature search yielded 209 articles, of which 178 articles fulfilled screening criteria and were full-text assessed. Aggregate data on 1185 patients from 9 studies were analyzed and individual patient data on 895 patients from 6 studies were collected. Most studies used historical controls. Mortality was significantly lower in anakinra-treated patients (38/342 [11{middle dot}1%]) as compared with 137/553 (24{middle dot}8%) observed in patients receiving standard-of-care and/or placebo on top of standard-of-care (137/553 [24{middle dot}8%]); adjusted odds ratio (OR), 0{middle dot}32; 95% CI, 0{middle dot}20 to 0{middle dot}51; p <0{middle dot}001. The mortality benefit was similar across subgroups regardless of diabetes mellitus, ferritin concentrations, or baseline P/F ratio. The effect was more profound in patients exhibiting CRP levels >100 mg/L (OR 0{middle dot}28,95%CI 0{middle dot}27-1{middle dot}47). Safety issues, such as increase of secondary infections, did not emerge. InterpretationAnakinra may be a safe anti-inflammatory treatment option in patients hospitalized with moderate-to-severe COVID-19 pneumonia to reduce mortality, especially in the presence of hyperinflammation signs such as CRP>100mg /L. FundingSobi. Research in contextO_ST_ABSEvidence before this studyC_ST_ABSSince the emergence of the COVID-19 pandemic, numerous drugs have been tried in an effort to prevent major detrimental consequences, such as respiratory and multiorgan failure and death. Early during the pandemic, it was realized that drugs aiming to regulate the immune host reaction may play an important role in the treatment of COVID-19. Evidence from a small number of patients with moderate or severe COVID-19 treated with anakinra, and interleukin-1 receptor antagonist, has suggested therapeutic efficacy. We systematically searched all available literature and aimed to present cumulative evidence of anakinra treatment in COVID-19 and the related effect on mortality. Added value of this studyThis is the first patient-level analysis on the effect of anakinra treatment in COVID-19 patients, which, on the one hand, suggests a significant benefit in the reduction of mortality and on the other hand, reassures safety of the treatment. Most importantly, the current study identifies a subgroup of patients with CRP>100mg/L, that may benefit most from treatment with anakinra. Confirmation of these effects in larger randomized clinical trials (RCTs) is urgently needed. Implications of all the available evidenceAnakinra may be an effective and safe immunomodulatory treatment in moderate-to-severe cases of pneumonia due to COVID-19 to prevent unfavorable outcomes. Anakinra may be helpful to avoid adverse events, such as breakthrough infections observed often with dexamethasone use, and may be considered an alternative in specific subgroups of patients e.g. diabetics. Larger trials, summarized in the Table, are ongoing and their results are urgently needed to investigate anakinras best place in the treatment of COVID-19. O_TBL View this table: org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@37134borg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1d3ca11org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1774b08org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@df281borg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@c2188d_HPS_FORMAT_FIGEXP M_TBL C_TBL
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BACKGROUNDThe spread of COVID-19 from Wuhan China, has been alarmingly rapid. Epidemiologic techniques succeeded in containing the disease in China, but efforts have not been as successful in the rest of the World, with a total of 29,155,581 confirmed cases of COVID-19, including 926,544 deaths worldwide as of September 15, 2020. Projections are for continued new infections and deaths if no effective therapeutic interventions can be initiated over the next several months. We performed a systematic review to determine the potential time course for development of treatments and vaccines, focusing on availability now and continuing in the last half of 2020. METHODS Clinical TrialsWe reviewed up-to-date information from several sources to identify potential treatments for COVID-19: The Reagan-Udall Expanded Access Navigator COVID-19 Treatment Hub was used to track the efforts of companies to develop agents. We focused on trials completed as of September 1, 2020 on identified agents We used several different sources: (A) covid-trials.org, then validated results on (B) clinicaltrials.gov and the (C) World Health Organizations International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (WHO ICTRP). We excluded studies which were clearly observational, with no randomization, control, or comparison group. We further set a cutoff of 100 for numbers of subjects, since smaller trial size could lack statistical power to establish superiority of the intervention over the control. PublicationsWe searched for published trial results on pubmed.gov and on medRxiv, the preprint server, and used a targeted Google search to find announcements of unpublished trial results RESULTS Clinical Trials in RecruitmentAs of our cutoff date of April 1, 2020, we found 409 trials meeting our minimum requirement of 100 subjects. The WHO Solidarity megatrial for hospitalized patients was launched in over 100 countries, actively comparing hydroxychloroquine (HCQ), lopanovir/ritonavir (LPV/r) alone and in combination with interferon beta-1, and remdesivir. The LPV/r alone and HCQ arms have already been discontinued. Of these, only 9 were conducted on outpatients. A few vaccine trials are hoping to complete Phase 3 enrollment by the end of the third quarter 2020, but a prolonged follow-up of patients will likely be required. Clinical trials CompletedAs of September 1, 2020, there were 231 trials reporting completion, Of these, only 59 studies enrolled 100 or more subjects. There were 34 trials in hospitalized patients, 9 directed at outpatients, and 8 prevention studies, Published DataAs of September 1, 2020 we found 70 publications reporting findings in human studies on 13 classes of drugs and on 6 vaccines. There were 33 randomized placebo or active control studies; the rest were retrospective observational. Only seven publications dealt with outpatient care, the rest all in hospitalized patients. Available TreatmentsAt this time, remdesivir and convalescent plasma have been granted emergency use authorization in the U.S.A., solely for hospitalized patients. There is also support for glucocorticoid treatment of the COVID-19 respiratory distress syndrome. No treatments or prophylaxis are offered for outpatients. CONCLUSIONCOVID-19 is propagated primarily by infected ambulatory individuals. There have been no options brought forward for prevention and non-hospital treatment with only a few randomized, controlled outpatient studies expected to yield results in time to impact on the continuing pandemic by the end of 2020. It will be necessary for public health authorities to make hard decisions, with limited data, to prevent the continued spread of the disease. The choices will be hardest when dealing with possible early release of safe and effective vaccines which would, of course, be of greatest benefit to the Worlds population.
