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1.
Ann Emerg Med ; 74(4): 538-548, 2019 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30955987

RESUMO

STUDY OBJECTIVE: Documentation of pain severity with pain scores is recommended within emergency departments (EDs) to improve consistency of assessment and management of pain. Pain scores are used in treatment guidelines and triage algorithms to determine pain management and in audit and research to evaluate pain management practices. Despite significant debate of their benefits, there has been limited evaluation of their use in practice. We use naturalistic, qualitative methods to understand how pain scores are used in practice and the mechanisms by which pain scoring may influence pain management. METHODS: We undertook a multiple case study design, using qualitative research in 3 EDs in England (the cases). Case studies incorporated 143 hours of nonparticipant observation, documentary analysis, and semistructured interviews with 36 staff and 19 patients. Data were analyzed with thematic analysis. RESULTS: Analysis identified that ED staff used the pain score for 2 conflicting purposes: as an auditable tool for guiding patient management and as a tool for monitoring patient experience. This led to ED staff's facing conflict between reporting their own judgment of what the pain score ought to be and what the patient said it was. Staff justified recording their own judgment according to concerns of accountability and appropriateness of management decisions. Staff thought that pain scoring had value in raising awareness and prompting action. CONCLUSION: In practice, pain scoring may not accurately reflect patient experience. Using pain scoring to determine the appropriateness of triage and treatment decisions reduces its validity as a measure of patient experience. Pain scoring should not be central to audit and systems of accountability for pain management.


Assuntos
Dor Abdominal/enfermagem , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência , Medição da Dor/métodos , Dor Abdominal/etiologia , Idoso , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Comportamento de Procura de Droga , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Profissionais de Enfermagem/estatística & dados numéricos , Triagem/estatística & dados numéricos , Saúde da População Urbana/estatística & dados numéricos
2.
Ann Emerg Med ; 68(1): 93-102.e1, 2016 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26947800

RESUMO

STUDY OBJECTIVE: A 2-hour accelerated diagnostic pathway based on the Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction score, ECG, and troponin measures (ADAPT-ADP) increased early discharge of patients with suspected acute myocardial infarction presenting to the emergency department compared with standard care (from 11% to 19.3%). Observational studies suggest that an accelerated diagnostic pathway using the Emergency Department Assessment of Chest Pain Score (EDACS-ADP) may further increase this proportion. This trial tests for the existence and size of any beneficial effect of using the EDACS-ADP in routine clinical care. METHODS: This was a pragmatic randomized controlled trial of adults with suspected acute myocardial infarction, comparing the ADAPT-ADP and the EDACS-ADP. The primary outcome was the proportion of patients discharged to outpatient care within 6 hours of attendance, without subsequent major adverse cardiac event within 30 days. RESULTS: Five hundred fifty-eight patients were recruited, 279 in each arm. Sixty-six patients (11.8%) had a major adverse cardiac event within 30 days (ADAPT-ADP 29; EDACS-ADP 37); 11.1% more patients (95% confidence interval 2.8% to 19.4%) were identified as low risk in EDACS-ADP (41.6%) than in ADAPT-ADP (30.5%). No low-risk patients had a major adverse cardiac event within 30 days (0.0% [0.0% to 1.9%]). There was no difference in the primary outcome of proportion discharged within 6 hours (EDACS-ADP 32.3%; ADAPT-ADP 34.4%; difference -2.1% [-10.3% to 6.0%], P=.65). CONCLUSION: There was no difference in the proportion of patients discharged early despite more patients being classified as low risk by the EDACS-ADP than the ADAPT-ADP. Both accelerated diagnostic pathways are effective strategies for chest pain assessment and resulted in an increased rate of early discharges compared with previously reported rates.


Assuntos
Dor no Peito/diagnóstico , Procedimentos Clínicos , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Dor no Peito/etiologia , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Infarto do Miocárdio/diagnóstico , Alta do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Fatores de Risco , Fatores de Tempo , Adulto Jovem
3.
Scand J Trauma Resusc Emerg Med ; 23: 67, 2015 Sep 17.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26383093

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Risk stratification methods developed on the basis of predicting illness severity are often used to prioritise patients on the basis of urgency. Illness severity and urgency may not be interchangeable. Severe illness places patients at risk of adverse outcome, but treatment is only urgent if adverse outcome can be prevented by time-sensitive treatment. We aimed to develop a score to identify patients in need of urgent treatment, on the basis of potential to benefit from time-sensitive intervention, and to compare this with a severity score identifying patients at high risk of death. METHODS: A sequential cohort of adults presenting to one Emergency Department by ambulance and admitted to hospital was prospectively collected (2437 derivation, 2322 validation). Data on outcomes representing potential to benefit was collected retrospectively on a random subset (398 derivation, 227 validation). Logistic regression identified variables predictive of death and potential to benefit from urgent treatment. RESULTS: Death was predicted using age, respiratory rate, diastolic blood pressure, oxygen saturations, temperature, GCS and respiratory disease (AUROC 0.84 (95 % CI 0.8-0.89) derivation and 0.74 (0.69-0.81) validation), while potential to benefit was predicted by pulse, systolic blood pressure and GCS (AUROC 0.74 (0.67-0.80) derivation and 0.71 (0.59-0.82) validation). CONCLUSIONS: A score developed to predict the need for urgent treatment has a different composition to a score developed to predict illness severity, suggesting that triage methods based on predicting severity could lead to inappropriate prioritisation on the intended basis of urgency.


Assuntos
Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência/organização & administração , Medição de Risco/métodos , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Pressão Sanguínea , Temperatura Corporal , Inglaterra , Feminino , Escala de Coma de Glasgow , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Humanos , Masculino , Oxigênio/sangue , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Estudos Prospectivos , Pulso Arterial , Taxa Respiratória , Doenças Respiratórias/complicações , Estudos Retrospectivos , Triagem
4.
Am Heart J ; 169(1): 6-16.e6, 2015 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25497242

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Multiple studies have evaluated the diagnostic and prognostic performance of conventional troponin (cTn) and high-sensitivity troponin (hs-cTn). We performed a collaborative meta-analysis comparing cTn and hs-cTn for diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and assessment of prognosis in patients with chest pain. METHODS: MEDLINE/PubMed, Cochrane CENTRAL, and EMBASE were searched for studies assessing both cTn and hs-cTn in patients with chest pain. Study authors were contacted and many provided previously unpublished data. RESULTS: From 17 included studies, there were 8,644 patients. Compared with baseline cTn, baseline hs-cTn had significantly greater sensitivity (0.884 vs 0.749, P < .001) and negative predictive value (NPV; 0.964 vs 0.935, P < .001), whereas specificity (0.816 vs 0.938, P < .001) and positive predictive value (0.558 vs 0.759, P < .001) were significantly reduced. Based on summary receiver operating characteristic curves, test performance for the diagnosis of AMI was not significantly different between baseline cTn and hs-cTn (0.90 [95% CI 0.85-0.95] vs 0.92 [95% CI 0.90-0.94]). In a subanalysis of 6 studies that alternatively defined AMI based on hs-cTn, cTn had lower sensitivity (0.666, P < .001) and NPV (0.906, P < .001). Elevation of baseline hs-cTn, but negative baseline cTn, was associated with increased risk of death or nonfatal myocardial infarction during follow-up (P < .001) compared with both negative. CONCLUSION: High-sensitivity troponin has significantly greater early sensitivity and NPV for the diagnosis of AMI at the cost of specificity and positive predictive value, which may enable early rule in/out of AMI in patients with chest pain. Baseline hs-cTn elevation in the setting of negative cTn is also associated with increased nonfatal myocardial infarction or death during follow-up.


Assuntos
Dor no Peito/sangue , Infarto do Miocárdio/diagnóstico , Troponina/sangue , Dor no Peito/etiologia , Humanos , Infarto do Miocárdio/mortalidade , Prognóstico , Curva ROC , Sensibilidade e Especificidade
5.
Emerg Med J ; 31(6): 471-5, 2014 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23605036

RESUMO

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Risk-adjusted mortality rates can be used as a quality indicator if it is assumed that the discrepancy between predicted and actual mortality can be attributed to the quality of healthcare (ie, the model has attributional validity). The Development And Validation of Risk-adjusted Outcomes for Systems of emergency care (DAVROS) model predicts 7-day mortality in emergency medical admissions. We aimed to test this assumption by evaluating the attributional validity of the DAVROS risk-adjustment model. METHODS: We selected cases that had the greatest discrepancy between observed mortality and predicted probability of mortality from seven hospitals involved in validation of the DAVROS risk-adjustment model. Reviewers at each hospital assessed hospital records to determine whether the discrepancy between predicted and actual mortality could be explained by the healthcare provided. RESULTS: We received 232/280 (83%) completed review forms relating to 179 unexpected deaths and 53 unexpected survivors. The healthcare system was judged to have potentially contributed to 10/179 (8%) of the unexpected deaths and 26/53 (49%) of the unexpected survivors. Failure of the model to appropriately predict risk was judged to be responsible for 135/179 (75%) of the unexpected deaths and 2/53 (4%) of the unexpected survivors. Some 10/53 (19%) of the unexpected survivors died within a few months of the 7-day period of model prediction. CONCLUSIONS: We found little evidence that deaths occurring in patients with a low predicted mortality from risk-adjustment could be attributed to the quality of healthcare provided.


Assuntos
Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência/normas , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Indicadores de Qualidade em Assistência à Saúde , Qualidade da Assistência à Saúde/normas , Risco Ajustado , Austrália/epidemiologia , Inglaterra/epidemiologia , Hong Kong/epidemiologia , Humanos , Modelos Estatísticos , Medição de Risco
8.
Heart ; 98(20): 1498-503, 2012 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22865867

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: To estimate the cost-effectiveness of delayed troponin testing for myocardial infarction compared with troponin testing at presentation. DESIGN: Decision analysis modelling of cost-effectiveness using secondary data sources. SETTING: Acute hospitals in the UK. POPULATION: Patients attending hospital with suspected myocardial infarction but a normal or non-diagnostic ECG and no major comorbidities requiring admission. INTERVENTIONS: Delayed troponin testing (10 h after symptom onset) compared with standard and high-sensitivity troponin testing at presentation and no testing. Sensitivity analysis evaluated high-sensitivity troponin testing 3 h after initial assessment. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The incremental cost per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained by each strategy, compared with the next most effective alternative, and the probability of each strategy being cost-effective at varying willingness-to-pay per QALY gained. RESULTS: In all scenarios tested, presentation high-sensitivity troponin testing was the most effective strategy with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio below the £20 000/QALY threshold. 10 h troponin testing was only likely to be cost-effective if a discharge decision could be made as soon as a negative result was available and the £30 000/QALY threshold was used, or if a lower sensitivity estimate for presentation high-sensitivity troponin was assumed. Sensitivity analysis showed that including high-sensitivity troponin testing at presentation and 3 h in the analysis makes this the most cost-effective strategy. CONCLUSIONS: Delayed troponin testing is unlikely to be cost-effective compared with high-sensitivity troponin testing at presentation in most scenarios. Current NICE chest pain guidelines do not promote cost-effective care.


Assuntos
Diagnóstico Tardio/economia , Infarto do Miocárdio/diagnóstico , Infarto do Miocárdio/economia , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Troponina/sangue , Adulto , Idoso , Análise Custo-Benefício , Técnicas de Apoio para a Decisão , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Infarto do Miocárdio/sangue
9.
BMC Public Health ; 12: 542, 2012 Jul 23.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22823960

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Recent terrorist attacks and natural disasters have led to an increased awareness of the importance of emergency planning. However, the extent to which emergency planners can access or use evidence remains unclear. The aim of this study was to identify, analyse and assess the location, source and quality of emergency planning publications in the academic and UK grey literature. METHODS: We conducted a scoping review, using as data sources for academic literature Embase, Medline, Medline in Process, Psychinfo, Biosis, Science Citation Index, Cinahl, Cochrane library and Clinicaltrials.gov. For grey literature identification we used databases at the Health Protection Agency, NHS Evidence, British Association of Immediate Care Schemes, Emergency Planning College and the Health and Safety Executive, and the websites of UK Department of Health Emergency Planning Division and UK Resilience.Aggregative synthesis was used to analyse papers and documents against a framework based on a modified FEMA Emergency Planning cycle. RESULTS: Of 2736 titles identified from the academic literature, 1603 were relevant. 45% were from North America, 27% were commentaries or editorials and 22% were event reports.Of 192 documents from the grey literature, 97 were relevant. 76% of these were event reports.The majority of documents addressed emergency planning and response. Very few documents related to hazard analysis, mitigation or capability assessment. CONCLUSIONS: Although a large body of literature exists, its validity and generalisability is unclear There is little evidence that this potential evidence base has been exploited through synthesis to inform policy and practice. The type and structure of evidence that would be of most value of emergency planners and policymakers has yet to be identified.


Assuntos
Planejamento em Desastres , Serviços Médicos de Emergência/organização & administração , Prática Clínica Baseada em Evidências , Humanos , Reino Unido
10.
Ann Emerg Med ; 60(4): 442-8.e1, 2012 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22632776

RESUMO

STUDY OBJECTIVE: Recruitment to clinical trials is a challenging but essential activity in emergency medicine. Conventional fixed-sample trials may continue to recruit patients after efficacy has been demonstrated or when further recruitment is futile. Adaptive trials make use of emerging information to modify aspects of a trial or terminate it prematurely, potentially resulting in savings in terms of sample size, time, and cost. We aim to use sequential testing procedures to reanalyze data from a fixed-sample trial, the Randomised Assessment of Treatment Using Panel Assay of Cardiac Markers (RATPAC) trial, and investigate the potential for adaptive designs to reduce unnecessary recruitment. METHODS: The trial was reanalyzed with a triangular group sequential design, with interim analyses planned every 3 months. Patients were analyzed in the order in which they entered the original trial. RESULTS: We found that the RATPAC trial could potentially have stopped 1 year earlier, with 722 patients enrolled compared with 2,243 patients in the original trial, making a potential saving of approximately $390,000. Estimates of effect were similar, and the qualitative conclusions of the original and group sequential RATPAC trials were in agreement. However, the group sequential approach is not without limitations and would have resulted in less precise estimates of effect and less information available for the subsequent evaluation of secondary endpoints. CONCLUSION: Sequential designs are well suited in emergency medicine because of the rapidly obtained outcomes and the need to avoid unnecessary recruitment. We recommend that group sequential designs be considered for clinical trials in emergency medicine.


Assuntos
Seleção de Pacientes , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como Assunto/métodos , Biomarcadores/sangue , Interpretação Estatística de Dados , Término Precoce de Ensaios Clínicos/métodos , Medicina de Emergência/métodos , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência , Humanos , Infarto do Miocárdio/sangue , Infarto do Miocárdio/diagnóstico , Sistemas Automatizados de Assistência Junto ao Leito , Tamanho da Amostra , Fatores de Tempo , Troponina C/sangue
11.
Health Qual Life Outcomes ; 10: 20, 2012 Feb 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22304795

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: Health utility combines health related quality of life and mortality to produce a generic outcome measure reflecting both morbidity and mortality. It has not been widely used as an outcome measure in evaluations of emergency care and little is known about the feasibility of measurement, typical values obtained or baseline factors that predict health utility. We aimed to measure health utility after emergency medical admission, to compare health utility to age, gender and regional population norms, and identify independent predictors of health utility. METHODS: We selected 5760 patients across three hospitals who were admitted to hospital by ambulance as a medical emergency. The EQ-5D questionnaire was mailed to all who were still alive 30 days after admission. Health utility was estimated by applying tariff values to the EQ-5D responses or imputing a value of zero for those who had died. Multivariable analysis was used to identify independent predictors of health utility at 30 days. RESULTS: Responses were received from 2488 (47.7%) patients, while 541 (9.4%) had died. Most respondents reported some or severe problems with each aspect of health. Mean health utility was 0.49 (standard deviation 0.35) in survivors and 0.45 (0.36) including non-survivors. Some 75% had health utility below their expected value (mean loss 0.32, 95% confidence interval 0.31 to 0.33) and 11% had health utility below zero (worse than death). On multivariable modelling, reduced health utility was associated with increased age and lower GCS, varied according to ICD10 code and was lower among females, patients with recent hospital admission, steroid therapy, or history of chronic respiratory disease, malignancy, diabetes or epilepsy. CONCLUSIONS: Health utility can be measured after emergency medical admission, although responder bias may be significant. Health utility after emergency medical admission is poor compared to population norms. We have identified independent predictors or health utility that need to be measured and taken into account in non-randomized evaluations of emergency care.


Assuntos
Causas de Morte , Estado Terminal/mortalidade , Serviços Médicos de Emergência/estatística & dados numéricos , Tratamento de Emergência/mortalidade , Mortalidade Hospitalar/tendências , Qualidade de Vida , Adulto , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estado Terminal/terapia , Estudos Transversais , Tratamento de Emergência/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Indicadores Básicos de Saúde , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Análise Multivariada , Medição de Risco , Fatores Sexuais , Inquéritos e Questionários , Sobreviventes , Reino Unido , Adulto Jovem
12.
Am J Emerg Med ; 30(1): 37-44, 2012 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20970283

RESUMO

PURPOSES: We aimed to evaluate the Global Registry of Acute Cardiac Events (GRACE) and Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) scores in patients with suspected but not proven acute coronary syndrome (ACS). BASIC PROCEDURES: We conducted a secondary analysis of data from the RATPAC trial. Standardized data were collected from 2263 patients presenting to 6 emergency departments with suspected but not proven ACS. Patients were followed up by record review and postal questionnaire at 30 and 90 days after recruitment to identify major adverse events, defined as death, emergency revascularization, life-threatening arrhythmia, hospitalization for ACS, or nonfatal acute myocardial infarction (AMI). MAIN FINDINGS: Data were available for 2243 patients (mean age, 54.5 years; 58% male). The major adverse event rate was 43 (2%) of 2243 after 30 days and 62 (3%) of 2243 after 90 days. The c statistics for 30-day events were 0.717 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.698-0.735) for GRACE and 0.682 (95% CI, 0.662-0.701) for TIMI. The corresponding 90-day c statistics were 0.726 (95% CI, 0.707-0.745) for GRACE and 0.693 (95% CI, 0.674-0.712) for TIMI. The c statistic for patient age alone was 0.656 for 30-day events and 0.689 for 90-day events. PRINCIPAL CONCLUSIONS: The GRACE and TIMI scores are little better than age alone as predictors of major adverse events in patients with suspected but not proven ACS, and thus add little to prognostic assessment of such patients.


Assuntos
Síndrome Coronariana Aguda/diagnóstico , Técnicas de Apoio para a Decisão , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Dor no Peito/diagnóstico , Dor no Peito/etiologia , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Infarto do Miocárdio/diagnóstico , Prognóstico , Curva ROC , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Inquéritos e Questionários
13.
Emerg Med J ; 29(3): 233-8, 2012 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21617159

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The RATPAC trial showed that using a point-of-care panel of CK-MB(mass), myoglobin and troponin at baseline and 90 min increased the proportion of patients successfully discharged home, leading to reduced median length of initial hospital stay. However, it did not change mean hospital stay and may have increased mean costs per patient. The aim of this study was to explore variation in outcome and costs between participating hospitals. METHODS: RATPAC was a pragmatic multicentre randomised controlled trial (N=2243) and economic analysis comparing diagnostic assessment using the panel to standard care for patients with acute chest pain due to suspected myocardial infarction at six hospitals. The difference in the proportion of patients successfully discharged (primary outcome) and mean costs per patient between the participating hospitals was compared. RESULTS: Point-of-care assessment led to a higher proportion of successful discharges in four hospitals, a lower proportion in one and was equivocal in another. The OR (95% CI) for the primary outcome varied from 0.12 (0.01 to 1.03) to 11.07 (6.23 to 19.66) with significant heterogeneity between the centres (p<0.001). The mean cost per patient for the intervention group ranged from being £214.49 less than the control group (-132.56 to 657.10) to £646.57 more expensive (73.12 to 1612.71), with weak evidence of heterogeneity between the centres (p=0.0803). CONCLUSION: The effect of point-of-care panel assessment on successful discharge and costs per patient varied markedly between hospitals and may depend on local protocols, staff practices and available facilities.


Assuntos
Biomarcadores/sangue , Dor no Peito/diagnóstico , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência/estatística & dados numéricos , Infarto do Miocárdio/diagnóstico , Alta do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Doença Aguda , Adulto , Idoso , Dor no Peito/economia , Creatina Quinase Forma MB/sangue , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência/economia , Feminino , Custos Hospitalares , Humanos , Tempo de Internação , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Infarto do Miocárdio/economia , Mioglobina/sangue , Razão de Chances , Sistemas Automatizados de Assistência Junto ao Leito/economia , Troponina/sangue
14.
Emerg Med J ; 29(5): 383-8, 2012 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21586758

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: Prepandemic projections anticipated huge excess attendances and mortality in an influenza pandemic. A number of tools had been suggested for triaging patients with influenza for inpatient and critical care admission, but none had been validated in these patients. The authors aimed to evaluate three potential triage tools--CURB-65, PMEWS and the Department of Health community assessment tool (CAT)--in patients in the first waves of the 2009 H1N1 pandemic. SETTING: Prospective cohort study in three urban emergency departments (one adult, one paediatric, one mixed) in two cities. PARTICIPANTS: All patients presenting to the three emergency departments fulfilling the national definition of suspected pandemic influenza. OUTCOME MEASURES: 30-day follow-up identified patients who had died or had required advanced respiratory, cardiovascular or renal support. RESULTS: The pandemic was much less severe than expected. A total of 481 patients (347 children) were recruited, of which only five adults fulfilled the outcome criteria for severe illness. The c-statistics for CURB-65, PMEWS and CAT in adults in terms of discriminating between those admitted and discharged were 0.65 (95% CI 0.54 to 0.76), 0.76 (95% CI 0.66 to 0.86) and 0.62 (95% CI 0.51 to 0.72), respectively. In detecting adverse outcome, sensitivities were 20% (95% CI 4% to 62%), 80% (95% CI 38% to 96%) and 60% (95% CI 23% to 88%), and specificities were 94% (95% CI 88% to 97%), 40% (95% CI 32% to 49%) and 81% (95% CI 73% to 87%) for CURB-65, PMEWS and CAT, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Although limited by a paucity of cases, this research shows that current triage methods for suspected pandemic influenza did not reliably discriminate between patients with good and poor outcomes.


Assuntos
Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Vírus da Influenza A Subtipo H1N1 , Influenza Humana/diagnóstico , Pandemias , Triagem/métodos , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Surtos de Doenças/prevenção & controle , Surtos de Doenças/estatística & dados numéricos , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Influenza Humana/epidemiologia , Influenza Humana/mortalidade , Influenza Humana/terapia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Avaliação de Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde , Estudos Prospectivos , Medição de Risco , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Reino Unido/epidemiologia , Adulto Jovem
15.
J Trauma ; 71(1): 245-51, 2011 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21818031

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: There are many clinical decision rules for adults with minor head injury, but it is unclear how they compare in terms of diagnostic accuracy. This study aimed to systematically identify clinical decision rules for adults with minor head injury and compare the estimated diagnostic accuracies for any intracranial injury and injury requiring neurosurgical intervention. METHODS: Several electronic bibliographic databases covering biomedical, scientific, and gray literature were searched from inception to March 2010. At least two independent reviewers determined the eligibility of cohort studies that described a clinical decision rule to identify adults with minor head injury (Glasgow Coma Scale score, 13-15) at risk of intracranial injury or injury requiring neurosurgical intervention. RESULTS: Twenty-two relevant studies were identified. Differences existed in patient selection, outcome definition, and reference standards used. Nine rules stratified patients into high- and moderate-risk categories (to identify neurosurgical or nonsurgical intracranial lesions). The Canadian Computed Tomography Head Rule (CCHR) high-risk criteria have sensitivity of 99% to 100% with specificity of 48% to 77% for injury requiring neurosurgical intervention. Other rules such as New Orleans criteria, National Emergency X-Radiography Utilization Study II, Neurotraumatology Committee of the World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies, Scandinavian, and Scottish Intercollegiate Guidelines Network produce similar sensitivities for injury requiring neurosurgical intervention but with lower and more variable specificity values. DISCUSSION: The most widely researched decision rule is the CCHR, which has consistently shown high sensitivity for identifying injury requiring neurosurgical intervention with an acceptable specificity to allow considered use of cranial computed tomography. No other decision rule has been as widely validated or demonstrated as acceptable results, but its exclusion criteria make it difficult to apply universally.


Assuntos
Traumatismos Craniocerebrais/diagnóstico por imagem , Técnicas de Apoio para a Decisão , Tomografia Computadorizada por Raios X/normas , Adulto , Diagnóstico Diferencial , Humanos , Índices de Gravidade do Trauma
16.
Acad Emerg Med ; 18(5): 488-95, 2011 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21569168

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: Chest pain due to suspected myocardial infarction (MI) is responsible for many hospital admissions and consumes substantial health care resources. The Randomized Assessment of Treatment using Panel Assay of Cardiac markers (RATPAC) trial showed that diagnostic assessment using a point-of-care (POC) cardiac biomarker panel consisting of CK-MB, myoglobin, and troponin increased the proportion of patients successfully discharged after emergency department (ED) assessment. In this economic analysis, the authors aimed to determine whether POC biomarker panel assessment reduced health care costs and was likely to be cost-effective. METHODS: The RATPAC trial was a multicenter individual patient randomized controlled trial comparing diagnostic assessment using a POC biomarker panel (CK-MB, myoglobin, and troponin, measured at baseline and 90 minutes) to standard care without the POC panel in patients attending six EDs with acute chest pain due to suspected MI (n = 2,243). Individual patient resource use data were collected from all participants up to 3 months after hospital attendance using self-completed questionnaires at 1 and 3 months and case note review. ED staff and POC testing costs were estimated through a microcosting study of 246 participants. Resource use was valued using national unit costs. Health utility was measured using the EQ-5D self-completed questionnaire, mailed at 1 and 3 months. Quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) were calculated by the trapezium rule using the EQ-5D tariff values at all follow-up points. Mean costs per patient were compared between the two treatment groups. Cost-effectiveness was estimated in terms of probability of dominance and incremental cost per QALY. RESULTS: Point-of-care panel assessment was associated with higher ED costs, coronary care costs, and cardiac intervention costs, but lower general inpatient costs. Mean costs per patient were £1217.14 (standard deviation [SD] ± 3164.93), or $1,987.14 (SD ±$4,939.25), with POC versus £1005.91 (SD ±£1907.55), or $1,568.64 (SD ±$2,975.78), with standard care (p = 0.056). Mean QALYs were 0.158 (SD ± 0.052) versus 0.161 (SD ± 0.056; p = 0.250). The probability of standard care being dominant (i.e., cheaper and more effective) was 0.888, while the probability of the POC panel being dominant was 0.004. These probabilities were not markedly altered by sensitivity analysis varying the costs of the POC panel and excluding intensive care costs. CONCLUSIONS: Point-of-care panel assessment does not reduce costs despite reducing admissions and may even increase costs. It is unlikely to be considered a cost-effective use of health care resources.


Assuntos
Biomarcadores/sangue , Dor no Peito/sangue , Dor no Peito/economia , Tempo de Internação/estatística & dados numéricos , Sistemas Automatizados de Assistência Junto ao Leito/economia , Adulto , Idoso , Dor no Peito/etiologia , Análise Custo-Benefício , Creatina Quinase Forma MB/sangue , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência/economia , Inglaterra , Feminino , Gastos em Saúde , Humanos , Tempo de Internação/economia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Infarto do Miocárdio/sangue , Infarto do Miocárdio/complicações , Infarto do Miocárdio/economia , Mioglobina/sangue , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Inquéritos e Questionários , Troponina/sangue
17.
Emerg Med J ; 28(10): 827-37, 2011 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21212227

RESUMO

This study is an inclusive scoping review of the literature relating to outcome prediction in adult non-trauma emergency patients, in order to identify the number and range of risk scores developed for acutely ill adults and to identify the outcomes these scores predict. The data source used was Medline 1950-2009. To be eligible for inclusion, papers had to detail an assessment tool, wholly or predominantly clinical, applied at the point of patient presentation to unscheduled healthcare services with outcome measures up to 30 days after presentation. Papers detailing trauma, paediatrics, purely obstetric or psychiatric presentations, tools wholly applied in a critical care setting, tools requiring an algorithm not freely available, biomarkers or tests not routinely available in an Emergency Department (ED) setting were excluded. 192 papers were reviewed. Within 17 broad disease categories, 80 inclusion criteria were used, 119 tools were assessed (25 of which were non-disease specific), and 51 outcome measures were used (30 of which were disease-specific). The areas under the receiver-operator characteristic curve (AUROCs) varied from 0.44 to 0.984. The multiplicity of tools available presents a challenge in itself to the acute clinician. Many tools require a specific diagnosis, which is not immediately available, and the authors advocate ED development of tools for case-mix adjustment and clinical risk stratification.


Assuntos
Medicina de Emergência , Medição de Risco/métodos , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência/organização & administração , Humanos , Avaliação de Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde , Valor Preditivo dos Testes
18.
Heart ; 97(3): 190-6, 2011 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20884788

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: To determine whether using a point-of-care cardiac biomarker panel would increase the rate of successful discharge home after emergency department assessment, and affect the use of cardiac tests and treatments, subsequent attendance at or admission to hospital and major adverse events. DESIGN AND SETTING: Pragmatic multicentre randomised controlled trial in six acute hospitals in the UK. PARTICIPANTS: Patients attending with acute chest pain due to suspected myocardial infarction (N=2243). INTERVENTIONS: Diagnostic assessment using a point-of-care biomarker panel consisting of creatine kinase, myocardial type, myoglobin and troponin I measured at baseline and 90 min compared with standard care without the point-of-care panel. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome was successful discharge home, defined as having left hospital or awaiting transport home by 4 h after attendance and no major adverse events up to 3 months. Secondary outcome measures included length of stay, use of coronary care, cardiac interventions and inpatient beds, emergency department attendances, subsequent admissions, outpatient visits and major adverse events. RESULTS: Point-of-care panel assessment was associated with an increased rate of successful discharge (358/1125 (32%) vs 146/1118 (13%); OR 3.81, 95% CI 3.01 to 4.82; p<0.001), reduced median length of initial hospital stay (8.8 vs 14.2 h; p<0.001) and greater use of coronary care (50/1125 (4.0%) vs 31/1118 (3.0%); p=0.041), but no difference in mean length of initial stay (29.6 vs 31.7 h; p=0.462), mean inpatient days over follow-up (1.8 vs 1.7; p=0.815) or major adverse events (36 (3%) vs 26 (2%); OR 1.31, 95% CI 0.78 to 2.20; p=0.313). CONCLUSIONS: Point-of-care panel assessment increases successful discharge home and reduces median length of stay, but does not alter overall hospital bed use. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Current controlled trials ISRCTN37823923.


Assuntos
Biomarcadores/sangue , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência , Infarto do Miocárdio/diagnóstico , Adulto , Creatina Quinase Forma MB/sangue , Inglaterra , Métodos Epidemiológicos , Feminino , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Tempo de Internação/estatística & dados numéricos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Infarto do Miocárdio/terapia , Mioglobina/sangue , Alta do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Sistemas Automatizados de Assistência Junto ao Leito , Escócia , Troponina I/sangue
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